Flash Flood Warning 34, NWS Norman, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
155 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 155 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

- Scattered storms this afternoon with a few strong storms
  capable of gusty winds and small hail.

- Increasing rain and storm chances into the weekend. Storms may
  become strong to severe with damaging winds and large hail as
  the primary hazards. Locally heavy rainfall may lead to flooding
  concerns.

- Near to above normal temperatures heading into next week with a
  potential for triple digit heat.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 155 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

A shortwave is ejecting northward ahead of the upper low across
Texas this morning and will approach Oklahoma this afternoon.
Periods of isolated to scattered showers and storms are and will
continue to move north across portions of south central into
southeast Oklahoma this morning and afternoon. Morning low clouds
across southern into central Oklahoma are beginning to break this
morning with temperatures expected to warm near to above normal
today in the 80s to lower 90s.

Ample diurnal heating will allow for an uncapped environment this
afternoon with enough buoyancy to support convective updraft
development. Despite the approaching shortwave, flow aloft will
remain weak and bulk shear will be very low. Similar to the past few
days, storms that develop will have the potential to pulse up and
down with a few isolated damaging winds and large hail at times. The
corridor with the greatest chances for storms this afternoon and
evening will be across western north Texas stretching into southwest
Oklahoma and northeastward into north central Oklahoma. Most of
these storms will be diurnally driven, but the increasing low-level
jet could linger some of the showers and storms into late tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 155 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

The upper low over northwest Mexico Friday will begin to lift
northeastward towards the 100th meridian by Saturday morning. This
will bring several rounds of showers and storms through the day
Saturday into Sunday. The greatest chances for showers and storms
Saturday morning will be across north Texas and into southern and
central Oklahoma. A few of these morning storms could become strong
to locally severe with damaging winds and large hail as the primary
concern. Additional chances for showers and storms will increase
northward across the area during the afternoon hours Saturday with
storms being scattered in nature and may be focused towards
lingering outflow boundaries from Friday night and Saturday
morning's activity. An unstable environment with slight higher bulk
shear (25-30 knots) than previous days will give way to strong to
locally severe storms capable of damaging winds and large hail.

By the afternoon hours, a surface low co-located with the upper low
will approach western north Texas from the Southern High Plains.
This surface low will bring yet another potential round of showers
and storms across Oklahoma into early Saturday evening and
overnight. Storms may grow upscale into an MCS into the late evening
hours as they push eastward with the surface low. Increased surface
vorticity around the low could increase the potential for low-level
shear. Damaging winds will be the primary hazards into the late
evening and overnight hours, but hail and a tornado or two may also
be possible.

PWATs are expected to be anywhere from 1.5-2 inches across the area,
which will lead to a heavy rainfall, high rainfall rates, with any
storms that develop throughout the day. With the scattered nature of
storm development, flooding will heavily depend on areas with nearly
stationary storms on boundaries or areas that receive several rounds
of storms. The area with the higher probabilities for greater than
at least 1-2 inches of rainfall will be across central into southern
Oklahoma and north Texas.

By Sunday, the precipitation chances will exit the area from west
to east with the vacating upper low. Temperatures Saturday will be
slightly cooler than previous days due to increased cloud cover and
rain/storm chances, but highs will still likely warm into the 80s.
Sunday, temperatures may warm back into the 90s across the west but
remain slightly cooler in the east due to lingering precipitation
and cloud cover.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

After the upper low/trough move to the northeast late Sunday,
upper ridging builds over the southern/central Plains and the
upper flow retreats to the north. This shifts us back into a
generally dry and warm pattern. The ECMWF produces some QPF
Monday night in north central Oklahoma with the potential of
storms moving in from Kansas, but otherwise the week looks dry.
Temperatures will warm through the week as the ridge builds with
triple digit highs returning to the west and the north central
Oklahoma wheat belt.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Most of our terminals will remain in a MVFR category due to
lowered ceilings from broken stratus through 01Z. Isolated
convection already breaking out across southwest & southeast
Oklahoma and western north Texas which could impact terminals
KSPS, KCSM, KLAW, and KDUA through 20Z. By 23-01Z all terminals
except for KWWR will have 30% probabilities for storms with those
probabilities increasing to TEMPO groups in time through the
remainder of the forecast period. Ceiling over some of our
terminals may further lower to an IFR category after 08Z. Although
terminals will be mainly dealing with lowering ceilings and storms,
visibilities may also reduce briefly in heavy rain with any
strong thunderstorm cells overhead. Surface winds will generally
be out of the south through the period at 10 kts gusting 15-20
kts through 01Z, then down to 5-10 kts through the remainder of
the forecast. Surface winds could be gusty and variable for some
period as well due to storm outflows.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  70  81  67  85 /  40  90  90  40
Hobart OK         68  83  64  91 /  50  80  80  20
Wichita Falls TX  68  85  66  90 /  70  80  80  40
Gage OK           68  84  63  91 /  10  50  40  10
Ponca City OK     72  82  67  84 /  10  60  90  70
Durant OK         72  82  71  86 /  60  90  80  80

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...23
SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....26
AVIATION...68

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
146 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

OKZ006-011-051915-
Major OK-Alfalfa OK-
146 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Alfalfa and eastern Major Counties through 215 PM CDT...

At 145 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles west of Ringwood, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Fairview, Helena, Ringwood, Cleo Springs, Meno, Aline, Orienta, and
Isabella.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3655 9824 3640 9813 3616 9841 3617 9842
      3629 9855 3657 9843
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 221DEG 12KT 3637 9833

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MAD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
216 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

OKZ011-051945-
Major OK-
216 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of eastern Major County
through 245 PM CDT...

At 216 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles southwest of Ringwood, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Fairview, Ringwood, Cleo Springs, Meno, Isabella, and Orienta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9831 3628 9851 3636 9855 3646 9846
      3646 9811
TIME...MOT...LOC 1916Z 223DEG 8KT 3635 9832

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MAD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
223 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

OKZ016-022-023-052000-
Washita OK-Caddo OK-Custer OK-
223 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Washita, northwestern
Caddo and southern Custer Counties through 300 PM CDT...

At 223 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Colony to near Canute. Movement was north
at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Weatherford, Clinton, Cordell, Burns Flat, Hydro, Arapaho, Dill City,
Canute, Corn, Eakly, Butler, Bessie, Foss, Colony, Alfalfa, Foss
Reservoir, Cloud Chief, Stafford, and Cowden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3540 9936 3566 9927 3557 9863 3555 9863
      3554 9844 3514 9857 3527 9937
TIME...MOT...LOC 1923Z 183DEG 6KT 3534 9869 3541 9928

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MAD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
234 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

OKZ005-006-011-052000-
Major OK-Alfalfa OK-Woods OK-
234 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Woods,
southwestern Alfalfa and north central Major Counties through 300 PM
CDT...

At 234 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Aline. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Carmen and Aline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 9854 3647 9862 3662 9844 3661 9834
      3648 9841
TIME...MOT...LOC 1934Z 228DEG 4KT 3651 9845

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MAD

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
355 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 W Fairview            36.27N 98.49W
06/05/2026  M59 MPH          Major              OK   Mesonet

            Fairview Mesonet.

&&

Bunker

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
358 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 W Fairview            36.27N 98.49W
06/05/2026  M62 MPH          Major              OK   Mesonet

            Fairview Mesonet.

&&

Bunker