Alert archive / Washington / Red Flag Warnings in 2026
Red Flag Warning 10, NWS Spokane, WA
NWS Spokane, WA issued this red flag warning at Jul 16, 2026, 8:50 PM PDT for Douglas County, Grant County, Okanogan County, Washington. It took effect at Jul 17, 2026, 12:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 16, 2026, 8:50 PM PDT (03:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 17, 2026, 12:00 PM PDT
- Expired
- Jul 17, 2026, 9:00 PM PDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Spokane, WA
Counties Douglas County, WA, Grant County, WA, Okanogan County, WA
The radar
The Spokane radar (KOTX), 151 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Spokane, WA (KOTX), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 242 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 947 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -77 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2632 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 103 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 188 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.9
The text
As transmitted.
468 WWUS86 KOTX 170350 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Spokane WA 850 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE INLAND NORTHWEST THURSDAY NIGHT... ...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS OKANOGAN, METHOW VALLEYS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING... ...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WATERVILLE PLATEAU FRIDAY AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO WESTERLY IN THE EVENING... .Additional showers and storms will redevelop tonight for much of the Inland Northwest. Gusty outflow winds around 30 mph will be possible with this activity. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch are possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. Dry and breezy conditions will develop in portions of central Washington Friday afternoon. A sharp wind shift from south to west will impact the Waterville Plateau Friday evening. WAZ696-705-170500- /O.CAN.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1200Z/ East Washington Central Cascades (Zone 696)- Foothills of Central Washington Cascades (Zone 705)- 850 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 696 AND 705... The National Weather Service in Spokane has cancelled the Red Flag Warning. Isolated shower and thunderstorm coverage is possible overnight (10-15% chance) but confidence is too low to continue the Red Flag Warning. $$ WAZ703-171600- /O.UPG.KOTX.FW.A.0008.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ /O.EXT.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)- 850 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 703... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM PDT FRIDAY WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 703... The National Weather Service in Spokane has issued a Red Flag Warning for thunderstorms, which is in effect from noon to 9 PM PDT Friday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Affected Area: Okanogan Valley (Zone 703). * Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms possible overnight into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Prevailing Winds Friday Afternoon and Evening: Breezy south winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * Humidity: 13 to 19 percent Friday afternoon. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty thunderstorm outflow winds tonight into Friday morning. Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ704-171600- /O.UPG.KOTX.FW.A.0008.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ /O.EXT.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ Methow Valley (Zone 704)- 850 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 704... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 704... The National Weather Service in Spokane has issued a Red Flag Warning for thunderstorms, which is in effect from noon to 9 PM PDT Friday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Affected Area: Methow Valley (Zone 703). * Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms possible overnight into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Prevailing Winds Friday Afternoon and Evening: Breezy southeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. * Humidity: 13 to 19 percent Friday afternoon. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty thunderstorm outflow winds tonight into Friday morning. Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ706-171600- /O.NEW.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)- 850 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 706... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 706... The National Weather Service in Spokane has issued a Red Flag Warning for thunderstorms, which is in effect from noon to 11 PM PDT Friday. * Affected Area: Waterville Plateau (Zone 706). * Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms possible overnight into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Prevailing Winds Friday Afternoon and Evening: Breezy south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds shifting to west 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the evening. * Humidity: 10 to 18 percent Friday afternoon. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty thunderstorm outflow winds tonight into Friday morning. Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ701-708-171400- /O.EXT.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701)- Eastern Columbia Basin - Palouse - Spokane Area (Zone 708)- 850 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 701 AND 708... * Affected Area: Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701) and Eastern Columbia Basin -Palouse -Spokane Area (Zone 708). * Thunderstorms: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible overnight into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ697-698-171400- /O.EXT.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ East Portion of North Cascades National Park/Lake Chelan National Recreation Area (Zone 697)- East Washington North Cascades (Zone 698)- 850 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 697 AND 698... * Affected Area: East Portion of North Cascades National Park/Lake Chelan National Recreation Area (Zone 697) and East Washington North Cascades (Zone 698). * Thunderstorms: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible overnight into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ699-702-171400- /O.EXT.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ Okanogan Highlands and Kettle Mountains (Zone 699)- Colville Reservation (Zone 702)- 850 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 699 AND 702... * Affected Area: Okanogan Highlands and Kettle Mountains (Zone 699) and Colville Reservation (Zone 702). * Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms possible overnight into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ709-171200- /O.EXT.KOTX.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-260717T1200Z/ Lower Palouse - Snake River (Zone 709)- 850 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 709... * Affected Area: Lower Palouse -Snake River (Zone 709). * Thunderstorms: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible overnight into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ IDZ101-WAZ700-171600- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1800Z/ Northern and Central Idaho Panhandle (Zone 101)- Selkirk Mountains of Northeast Washington (Zone 700)- 850 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 101 AND 700... * Affected Area: Northern and Central Idaho Panhandle (Zone 101) and Selkirk Mountains of Northeast Washington (Zone 700). * Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms possible overnight into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
5 follow-up statements
370 WWUS86 KOTX 171217 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Spokane WA 517 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS OKANOGAN, METHOW VALLEYS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING... ...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WATERVILLE PLATEAU FRIDAY AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO WESTERLY IN THE EVENING... .Additional showers and storms will track through Northern Washington and North Idaho this morning with a decreasing trend from south to north. Dry and breezy conditions will develop in portions of central Washington Friday afternoon. A sharp wind shift from south to west will impact the Waterville Plateau Friday evening. WAZ709-171330- /O.EXP.KOTX.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-260717T1200Z/ Lower Palouse - Snake River (Zone 709)- 517 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 5 AM PDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 709... $$ WAZ703-172030- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)- 517 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 703... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 703... * Affected Area: Okanogan Valley (Zone 703). * Winds: South 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * Timing: Friday afternoon and early evening. * Relative Humidities: 13 to 19 percent. * Temperatures: Up to 95. * Lightning: Isolated lightning decreasing this morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ704-172030- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ Methow Valley (Zone 704)- 517 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 704... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 704... * Affected Area: Methow Valley (Zone 704). * Winds: South 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. * Timing: Friday afternoon and early evening. * Relative Humidities: 14 to 19 percent. * Temperatures: 90 to 93. * Lightning: Isolated lightning decreasing this morning. * Impacts: Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ706-172030- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0600Z/ Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)- 517 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 706... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 706... * Affected Area: Waterville Plateau (Zone 706). * Winds: Breezy south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds shifting to west 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the evening. * Timing: Friday afternoon and evening. * Relative Humidities: 12 to 18 percent. * Temperatures: 90 to 93. * Lightning: Isolated lightning decreasing this morning. * Impacts: Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ701-708-171400- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701)- Eastern Columbia Basin - Palouse - Spokane Area (Zone 708)- 517 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 701 AND 708... * Affected Area: Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701) and Eastern Columbia Basin-Palouse-Spokane Area (Zone 708). * Thunderstorms: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ697-698-171400- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ East Portion of North Cascades National Park/Lake Chelan National Recreation Area (Zone 697)- East Washington North Cascades (Zone 698)- 517 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 697 AND 698... * Affected Area: East Portion of North Cascades National Park/Lake Chelan National Recreation Area (Zone 697) and East Washington North Cascades (Zone 698). * Thunderstorms: Isolated thunderstorms possible Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ699-702-171400- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ Okanogan Highlands and Kettle Mountains (Zone 699)- Colville Reservation (Zone 702)- 517 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 699 AND 702... * Affected Area: Okanogan Highlands and Kettle Mountains (Zone 699) and Colville Reservation (Zone 702). * Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms possible into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ IDZ101-WAZ700-171800- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1800Z/ Northern and Central Idaho Panhandle (Zone 101)- Selkirk Mountains of Northeast Washington (Zone 700)- 517 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 101 AND 700... * Affected Area: Northern and Central Idaho Panhandle (Zone 101) and Selkirk Mountains of Northeast Washington (Zone 700). * Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
791 WWUS86 KOTX 171304 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Spokane WA 604 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS OKANOGAN, METHOW VALLEYS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING... ...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WATERVILLE PLATEAU FRIDAY AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO WESTERLY IN THE EVENING... .Additional showers and storms will track through Northern Washington and North Idaho this morning with a decreasing trend from south to north. Dry and breezy conditions will develop in portions of central Washington Friday afternoon. A sharp wind shift from south to west will impact the Waterville Plateau Friday evening. WAZ704-172115- /O.CAN.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ Methow Valley (Zone 704)- 604 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 704... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 704... The National Weather Service in Spokane has cancelled the Red Flag Warning. * Affected Area: Methow Valley (Zone 704). * Winds: Southeast 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Winds shifting to the west and northwest Friday evening 5 to 15 mph. * Timing: Friday afternoon and early evening. * Relative Humidities: 14 to 19 percent. * Temperatures: 90 to 93. * Impacts: Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ706-172115- /O.CAN.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0600Z/ Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)- 604 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 706... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 706... The National Weather Service in Spokane has cancelled the Red Flag Warning. * Affected Area: Waterville Plateau (Zone 706). * Winds: Breezy south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds shifting to west 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the evening. * Timing: Friday afternoon and evening. * Relative Humidities: 12 to 18 percent. * Temperatures: 90 to 93. * Impacts: Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ697-698-171415- /O.CAN.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ East Portion of North Cascades National Park/Lake Chelan National Recreation Area (Zone 697)- East Washington North Cascades (Zone 698)- 604 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 697 AND 698... The National Weather Service in Spokane has cancelled the Red Flag Warning. The threat for scaterred thunderstorms has ended. $$ WAZ703-172115- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)- 604 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 703... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 703... * Affected Area: Okanogan Valley (Zone 703). * Winds: South 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * Timing: Friday afternoon and early evening. * Relative Humidities: 13 to 19 percent. * Temperatures: 92 to 96. * Lightning: Isolated lightning decreasing this morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ701-708-171415- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701)- Eastern Columbia Basin - Palouse - Spokane Area (Zone 708)- 604 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 701 AND 708... * Affected Area: Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701) and Eastern Columbia Basin -Palouse -Spokane Area (Zone 708). * Thunderstorms: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds.: PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ699-702-171415- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ Okanogan Highlands and Kettle Mountains (Zone 699)- Colville Reservation (Zone 702)- 604 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 699 AND 702... * Affected Area: Okanogan Highlands and Kettle Mountains (Zone 699) and Colville Reservation (Zone 702). * Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms possible Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ IDZ101-WAZ700-171800- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1800Z/ Northern and Central Idaho Panhandle (Zone 101)- Selkirk Mountains of Northeast Washington (Zone 700)- 604 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 101 AND 700... * Affected Area: Northern and Central Idaho Panhandle (Zone 101) and Selkirk Mountains of Northeast Washington (Zone 700). * Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms into Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
795 WWUS86 KOTX 171355 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Spokane WA 655 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY 703,704,705 FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING... .Additional showers and storms will track through Northern Washington and North Idaho this morning with a decreasing trend from south to north. Dry and breezy conditions will develop in portions of central Washington Friday afternoon. A sharp wind shift from south to west will impact the Waterville Plateau Friday evening. WAZ703-172200- /O.EXP.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)- 655 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 703... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 703... * Affected Area: Okanogan Valley (Zone 703). * Winds: South 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * Timing: Friday afternoon and early evening. * Relative Humidities: 13 to 19 percent. * Temperatures: 92 to 96. * Impacts: Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ701-708-171500- /O.EXP.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701)- Eastern Columbia Basin - Palouse - Spokane Area (Zone 708)- 655 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 701 AND 708... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible through 730 AM then the threat will wane. $$ WAZ699-702-171500- /O.EXP.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1400Z/ Okanogan Highlands and Kettle Mountains (Zone 699)- Colville Reservation (Zone 702)- 655 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 699 AND 702... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible through 730 AM then the threat will wane. $$ IDZ101-WAZ700-171800- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1800Z/ Northern and Central Idaho Panhandle (Zone 101)- Selkirk Mountains of Northeast Washington (Zone 700)- 655 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 101 AND 700... * Affected Area: Northern and Central Idaho Panhandle (Zone 101) and Selkirk Mountains of Northeast Washington (Zone 700). * Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms through Friday morning. Rainfall amounts up to a tenth of an inch possible, with locally higher amounts where multiple storms move over the same area. * Outflow Winds: Gusty and erratic thunderstorm outflow winds up to 30 mph will be possible through Friday morning. * Impacts: New fire starts from lightning. New and existing fires could be impacted by gusty outflow winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ704-172200- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ Methow Valley (Zone 704)- 655 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 704... * Affected Area: Methow Valley (Zone 704). * Winds: Southeast 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Winds shifting to the west and northwest Friday evening 5 to 15 mph. * Timing: Friday afternoon and early evening. * Relative Humidities: 14 to 19 percent. * Temperatures: 90 to 93. * Impacts: Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ706-172200- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0600Z/ Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)- 655 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 706... * Affected Area: Waterville Plateau (Zone 706). * Winds: Breezy south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds shifting to west 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the evening. * Timing: Friday afternoon and evening. * Relative Humidities: 12 to 18 percent. * Temperatures: 90 to 93. * Impacts: Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
157 WWUS86 KOTX 171813 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Spokane WA 1113 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 IDZ101-WAZ700-171915- /O.EXP.KOTX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260717T1800Z/ Northern and Central Idaho Panhandle (Zone 101)- Selkirk Mountains of Northeast Washington (Zone 700)- 1113 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 101 AND 700... Isolated thunderstorms possible through this evening but the threat of abundant lightning has diminished. $$ WAZ706-180400- /O.EXT.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)- 1113 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 706... * Affected Area: Waterville Plateau (Zone 706). * Winds: Breezy south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds shifting to west 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the evening. * Timing: Friday afternoon and evening. * Relative Humidities: 12 to 18 percent. * Temperatures: 90 to 93. * Impacts: Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ703-704-180400- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0010.260717T1900Z-260718T0400Z/ Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-Methow Valley (Zone 704)- 1113 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 703 AND 704... * Affected Area: Okanogan Valley (Zone 703) and Methow Valley (Zone 704). * Winds: For Okanogan Valley (Zone 703) South 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. For Methow Valley (Zone 704) Southeast 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Winds shifting to the west and northwest Friday evening 5 to 15 mph. * Timing: Friday afternoon and evening. * Relative Humidities: 13 to 19 percent. * Temperatures: 90 to 96. * Impacts: Gusty winds and low humidity Friday afternoon may lead to rapid fire spread with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
821 WWUS86 KOTX 180408 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Spokane WA 908 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WASHINGTON SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... Dry and breezy conditions are expected on the Waterville Plateau and Colville Reservation Saturday afternoon and evening. Rapid fire spread is likely with any new or ongoing fires. Evening Cascade gap winds will increase relative humidity above critical levels. WAZ706-182000- /O.EXP.KOTX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-260718T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KOTX.FW.W.0011.260718T1900Z-260719T0400Z/ Waterville Plateau (Zone 706)- 908 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 706... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 706... The National Weather Service in Spokane has issued a Red Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from noon to 9 PM PDT Saturday. * Affected Area: Waterville Plateau (Zone 706). * Winds: West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * Relative Humidities: 12 to 23 percent. * Impacts: Rapid fire spread is likely with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ WAZ703-704-180515- /O.EXP.KOTX.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-260718T0400Z/ Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-Methow Valley (Zone 704)- 908 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 703 AND 704... Wind and relative have dropped below critical thresholds. $$ WAZ702-182000- /O.NEW.KOTX.FW.W.0011.260718T1900Z-260719T0400Z/ Colville Reservation (Zone 702)- 908 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 702... The National Weather Service in Spokane has issued a Red Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect from noon to 9 PM PDT Saturday. * Affected Area: Colville Reservation (Zone 702). * Winds: Southwest/West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. * Relative Humidities: 15 to 23 percent. * Impacts: Rapid fire spread is likely with any new or ongoing fires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Spokane, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jul 16, 4:42 PM PDT, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- A mix of wet and dry thunderstorms through Friday will bring lightning, hail, and strong outflow winds.
- Breezy, dry conditions around the lee of the Cascades Friday and breezy and dry conditions across the region Saturday.
- Dry conditions this weekend, with temperatures remaining warm in the upper 80s and 90s.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 4:42 PM PDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
442 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A mix of wet and dry thunderstorms through Friday will bring
lightning, hail, and strong outflow winds.
- Breezy, dry conditions around the lee of the Cascades Friday
and breezy and dry conditions across the region Saturday.
- Dry conditions this weekend, with temperatures remaining warm
in the upper 80s and 90s.
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
Hot and unstable conditions, low humidity, lightning, and
gusty winds will maintain critical fire weather conditions
across portions of Central and Eastern Washington through at
least Thursday. Dry conditions resume this weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
This afternoon through Friday: An evolving risk for isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be found this period,
as a low pressure trough tracks up the Washington coast and
eventually into British Columbia by late Friday night. This
afternoon that low sits off the WA coast and it is projected to
lift toward Vancouver Island by Friday morning. A deformation
axis wrapping from Idaho westward toward the Cascades will edge
north through that period too, then all these features will
start to lift into British Columbia. The moist and unstable
southerly flow ahead of and into that feature will be one of the
focal points for the precipitation threat. However the general
set-up will bring a risk for isolated showers/t-storms just
about anywhere in hit-and-miss fashion. Analysis shows around
500-2000 J/kg of CAPE are found around the region, with the
highest numbers around the central to southern Panhandle;
however, there is a 25-250 J/kg CIN that may be inhibiting some
of the convection from developing. The lift at this point it not
all that impressive to overcome that, but as we head into the
remainder of the afternoon into tonight activity is expected to
expand. For the afternoon and evening Friday the risk for
showers/t-storms linger near the Canadian border and around the
central Panhandle, with a slot of drier air wrapping into the
region reducing that threat of precipitation.
Right now the main activity around the 2 pm hour was showing up
from the Palouse to the Idaho Panhandle in isolated fashion.
However, the low edging closer and deformation axis lifting
north, I am expecting the showers to expand around the Cascades,
north and eastern WA and the ID Panhandle through this
afternoon and evening. Then heading into the overnight into
Friday morning the threat starts to lift the primarily the
northern mountain zones. Some of these thunderstorms will have
the potential for gusty outflow winds, small hail and lightning.
The SPC still has a marginal threat of severe t-storms over the
eastern third of WA and ID, so some of these produce strong
outflow winds (up to 60 mph) and hail (up to 1 inch). The
overall better threat of that is toward the ID/MT border
eastward, but this will still be monitored.
The threat of lighting and gusty outflow winds is reason for
the Red Flag Warnings that are currently in place. The cells
have been moving at a pretty good clip, around 30 to 40 mph and
lightning outside of the core of the storms and just given the
speed suggest this would be mostly dry lightning. So the risk
for fire starts remains. The other fire weather concerns will be
found heading into Friday afternoon due to breezy/windy and dry
conditions. Per the HREF, the combined probability of RH <20%
and winds >15 mph from the Okanogan Valley to Waterville Plateau
is starts to rise after midday and peaks in the late afternoon
to early evening. Thus fire weather watches remain in place for
some of that area, the Okanogan and Methow Valley for Friday
from noon to 9 pm. Relative humidity values bottom out around
the mid-teens with winds of 10-20 mph and gusts of 25-30 mph.
Saturday through Wednesday: Ensemble show the low pressure
continuing to track over British Columbia and east into Alberta,
but a secondary shortwave trough track around the backside of
the parent trough and into our region Saturday into Sunday,
before a dirty ridge takes over. The drier air over the region
means that the shortwave will not have much to work with in
terms of precipitation, meaning a dry weekend. However heading
toward Tuesday some monsoonal moisture edges toward again some
limited shower/t-storm chances will reemerge near the
southeastern CWA and eventually into most of the mountain zones
toward Wednesday (into next Thursday). We will see about the
lowland risk as we get closer.
Winds will be breezy/gusty on Saturday with the low still
tracking by, so speeds of 10-20 mph and gusts of 20-30 mph are
in the forecast. With minimum RH values in the teens and 20s, we
will have some elevated fire weather conditions with possible
pockets of critical fire weather conditions. High temperatures
will hover in the upper 80s to mid 90s through Sunday, warming
to mainly the 90s to low 100s next week but the model spread
starts to introduce some uncertainty into the forecast as to the
precise numbers. /Solveig
&&
.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS: Low pressure off the Northwest Pacific coast will
continue to promote a moist southerly flow across the region
through tonight across eastern WA and north ID. Elevated
instability in this airmass will promote occasional isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms. Radar and hi-res model
trends suggest a diminishing threat for thunderstorms near the
TAF sites through tonight so have removed -TSRA mention with
this update, but will continue to monitor as there will be a
nonzero threat through tonight. Greatest chances for -TSRA this
afternoon will be near KLWS/KPUW, and across northeast WA and
north ID (north of KGEG/KSFF/KCOE) thereafter tonight. Further
west towards the Cascades, drier weather will prevail with
occasionally gusty gap winds until early Friday morning.
Otherwise, VFR weather will prevail through the 00z TAF cycle.
Breezy south to southwest winds develop east of the Cascades
Friday, with gusty west-northwesterly gap winds closer to the
range. Some measure of -TSRA activity may roll over across the
northern mountains (mainly NE Washington/N Idaho) through 18z
Friday.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS:
High confidence in VFR prevailing region-wide. Low confidence in
timing and coverage of showers and thunderstorms through Friday
morning with several sporadic waves of convection possible.
Moderate confidence in the greatest chances for convection
tonight through Friday morning being across northeastern WA and
north ID.
-----------------------
Confidence descriptors:
Low - Less than a 30 percent chance
Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance
High - Greater than a 70 percent chance
For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports,
please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage:
https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard
&&
.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
Spokane 62 92 59 91 59 92 / 30 10 0 0 0 0
Coeur d'Alene 64 91 61 90 59 90 / 40 10 10 0 0 0
Pullman 54 86 53 86 52 88 / 30 10 20 0 0 0
Lewiston 66 95 63 96 62 96 / 40 10 10 0 0 0
Colville 60 93 55 91 54 94 / 20 30 0 0 0 0
Sandpoint 60 91 58 89 56 91 / 50 20 0 0 0 0
Kellogg 60 89 59 87 56 87 / 50 10 10 0 0 0
Moses Lake 62 93 59 93 58 94 / 10 10 0 0 0 0
Wenatchee 66 93 64 91 64 94 / 10 10 0 0 0 0
Omak 68 95 62 94 62 96 / 30 10 0 0 0 0
&&
.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...Red Flag Warning until 11 AM PDT Friday for Colville
Reservation (Zone 702)-Okanogan Highlands and Kettle
Mountains (Zone 699)-Okanogan Valley (Zone 703)-Selkirk
Mountains of Northeast Washington (Zone 700).
Heat Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening for Lower Garfield
and Asotin Counties-Moses Lake Area-Okanogan Valley-
Spokane Area-Upper Columbia Basin-Washington Palouse-
Waterville Plateau-Wenatchee Area.
Red Flag Warning until 11 PM PDT this evening for Eastern
Columbia Basin -Palouse -Spokane Area (Zone 708)-
Foothills of Northeast Washington (Zone 701)-Lower
Palouse -Snake River (Zone 709).
Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday
evening for Methow Valley (Zone 704)-Okanogan Valley
(Zone 703).
Red Flag Warning until 5 AM PDT Friday for East Portion of
North Cascades National Park/Lake Chelan National
Recreation Area (Zone 697)-East Washington Central
Cascades (Zone 696)-East Washington North Cascades (Zone
698)-Foothills of Central Washington Cascades (Zone 705)-
Methow Valley (Zone 704)-Waterville Plateau (Zone 706).
ID...Red Flag Warning until 11 AM PDT Friday for Northern and
Central Idaho Panhandle (Zone 101).
Heat Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening for Coeur d'Alene
Area-Idaho Palouse-Lewis and Southern Nez Perce Counties-
Lewiston Area.
&&In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 16, 5:42 PM PDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Spokane WA
542 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 NE Nezperce 46.24N 116.23W
07/16/2026 Lewis ID Law Enforcement
Lewis County Sheriff reported a downed tree
29.5 ft tall over State Highway 64. Time
estimated from radar.
&&Local storm report, Jul 16, 5:58 PM PDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Spokane WA
558 PM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Nezperce 46.24N 116.24W
07/16/2026 Lewis ID Law Enforcement
Lewis County sheriff reported two ten inch
diameter branches hanging on powerlines.
Time estimated from radar.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Spokane, WA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 1:37 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Douglas | 23 min |
| Jul 17, 1:40 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Okanogan | 35 min |
| Jul 17, 1:44 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Okanogan | 31 min |
| Jul 17, 2:08 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Lincoln | 37 min |
| Jul 17, 2:13 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Douglas | 32 min |
| Jul 17, 2:20 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Okanogan | 25 min |
| Jul 17, 2:26 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Okanogan | 34 min |
| Jul 17, 2:31 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Grant | 29 min |
| Jul 17, 2:49 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Okanogan | 26 min |
| Jul 17, 3:08 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Douglas | 37 min |
| Jul 17, 3:18 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Ferry | 27 min |
| Jul 17, 3:34 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Ferry | 26 min |
| Jul 17, 4:33 AM PDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OTX | Lincoln | 42 min |
| Jul 17, 4:46 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Ferry | 29 min |
| Jul 17, 4:57 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Ferry | 33 min |
| Jul 17, 5:05 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Stevens | 25 min |
| Jul 17, 5:09 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Stevens | 36 min |
| Jul 17, 5:18 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Ferry | 42 min |
| Jul 17, 5:34 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Stevens | 41 min |
| Jul 17, 5:39 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Pend Oreille | 36 min |
| Jul 17, 5:58 AM PDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OTX | Stevens | 32 min |
| Jul 17, 6:31 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Stevens | 44 min |
| Jul 17, 6:40 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | OTX | Spokane | 50 min |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Washington, 2026Every red flag warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.