Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2026

Wind Advisory 3, NWS New York, NY

September 24, 20264 counties in Connecticut; 5 counties in New Jersey; 11 counties in New York

NWS New York, NY issued this wind advisory at Sep 24, 2026, 2:29 PM EDT for 4 counties in Connecticut; 5 counties in New Jersey; 11 counties in New York. It took effect at Sep 25, 2026, 2:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 46 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 24, 2026, 2:29 PM EDT (18:29 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 25, 2026, 2:00 PM EDT
Expired
Sep 27, 2026, 12:00 PM EDT
In force
46 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-09-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-09-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -64 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
748 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

432 
WWUS71 KOKX 241829
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
229 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

CTZ007>012-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-271000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.260925T1800Z-260927T1000Z/
Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-
Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten
Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-
Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern
Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
229 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New York.

* WHEN...From 2 PM Friday to 6 AM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/nyc

BR
5 follow-up statements
119 
WWUS71 KOKX 250831
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Upton NY
Issued by National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
431 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

CTZ005-006-NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ069-070-252000-
/O.EXA.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.260925T1800Z-260927T1000Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-
Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
Western Union-Eastern Union-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
431 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New 
  York.

* WHEN...From 2 PM Friday to 6 AM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ007>012-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-252000-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.260925T1800Z-260927T1000Z/
Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-
Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-
Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
431 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New 
  York.

* WHEN...From 2 PM Friday to 6 AM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Staarmann/OKX
665 
WWUS71 KOKX 251848
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
248 PM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

CTZ005-006-NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ069-070-271000-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1000Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-
Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western
Union-Eastern Union-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
248 PM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Sustained northeast winds 15 to 25 mph, locally up to 25-30
  mph. Wind gusts 35-40 mph, locally up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey, and
  southeast New York.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strong winds will last for a very long
  duration, possibly exceeding 24-36 hours. Considering the long
  duration rain fall and full foliage of trees, impacts may be
  exacerbated.

The highest localized winds are expected to occur on eastern Long
Island and southern New London county.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ007>012-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-271000-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1000Z/
Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-
Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten
Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-
Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern
Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
248 PM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Sustained northeast winds 20 to 25 mph, locally up to 30-35
  mph. Wind gusts 40-50 mph, locally up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut and southeast New York.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strong winds will last for a very long
  duration, possibly exceeding 24-36 hours. Considering the long
  duration rain fall and full foliage of trees, impacts may be
  exacerbated.

The highest localized winds are expected to occur on eastern Long
Island and southern New London county.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/nyc

BR
096 
WWUS71 KOKX 260840
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
440 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

CTZ005-006-NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ069-070-262200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1000Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-
Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western
Union-Eastern Union-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
440 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Northeast New Jersey, Rockland and Northern Westchester
  Counties in southeast New York, and Northern Fairfield and New
  Haven Counties in southern Connecticut.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ007>012-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-262200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1000Z/
Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-
Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten
Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-
Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern
Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
440 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...All of New York City and Long Island in southeast New York,
  and coastal and southeast Connecticut.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/nyc

Goodman
362 
WWUS71 KOKX 261747
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
147 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

CTZ008-011-012-NYZ078>081-177-179-271015-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.HW.W.0001.260926T1747Z-260927T1600Z/
Northern New London-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-
Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast
Suffolk-Northern Nassau-Southern Nassau-
147 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Northern New London, Southern Middlesex,
  and Southern New London Counties. In New York, Northeast Suffolk,
  Northern Nassau, Northwest Suffolk, Southeast Suffolk, Southern
  Nassau, and Southwest Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around
or damaged by the wind.

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution
if you must drive.

&&

$$

NJZ002-NYZ067-068-271015-
/O.EXB.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1600Z/
Western Passaic-Orange-Putnam-
147 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Western Passaic County. In New York, Orange
  and Putnam Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ005-006-NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ069-070-271015-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1600Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-
Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western
Union-Eastern Union-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
147 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey, and
  southeast New York.

* WHEN...Until noon EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ007-009-010-NYZ071>075-176-178-271015-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1600Z/
Northern Middlesex-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern
Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Southern Queens-
147 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Northern Middlesex, Southern Fairfield, and
  Southern New Haven Counties. In New York, Bronx, Kings (Brooklyn),
  New York (Manhattan), Northern Queens, Richmond (Staten Island),
  Southern Queens, and Southern Westchester Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/nyc

JM
934 
WWUS71 KOKX 270753
NPWOKX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Upton NY
Issued by National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
353 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

CTZ008-011-012-NYZ078>081-177-179-271600-
/O.CON.KOKX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260927T1600Z/
Northern New London-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-
Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast
Suffolk-Northern Nassau-Southern Nassau-
353 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph in
  exposed coastal areas. Winds further inland may see gusts up to
  50-55 mph.

* WHERE...In Connecticut, Northern New London, Southern Middlesex,
  and Southern New London Counties. In New York, Northeast Suffolk,
  Northern Nassau, Northwest Suffolk, Southeast Suffolk, Southern
  Nassau, and Southwest Suffolk Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EDT today.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around
or damaged by the wind.

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution
if you must drive.

&&

$$

CTZ005-006-NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ069-070-271600-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1600Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-
Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western
Union-Eastern Union-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
353 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WHAT...Sustained northeast winds 15 to 25 mph, locally up to 25-30
  mph. Wind gusts 35-40 mph, locally up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Northeast New Jersey, Rockland and Northern Westchester
  Counties in southeast New York, and Northern Fairfield and New
  Haven Counties in southern Connecticut.

* WHEN...Until noon EDT today.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strong winds will last for a very long
  duration, possibly exceeding 24-36 hours. Considering the long
  duration rain fall and full foliage of trees, impacts may be
  exacerbated.

The highest localized winds are expected to occur on eastern Long
Island and southern New London county.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

CTZ007-009-010-NYZ071>075-176-178-271600-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1600Z/
Northern Middlesex-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern
Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Southern Queens-
353 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 40-45 mph.

* WHERE...All of New York City and Long Island in southeast New York,
  and coastal and southeast Connecticut.

* WHEN...Until noon EDT today.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strong winds will last for a very long
  duration, possibly exceeding 24-36 hours. Considering the long
  duration rain fall and full foliage of trees, impacts may be
  exacerbated.

The highest localized winds are expected to occur on eastern Long
Island and southern New London county.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NJZ002-NYZ067-068-271600-
/O.CON.KOKX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260927T1600Z/
Western Passaic-Orange-Putnam-
353 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Western Passaic County. In New York, Orange
  and Putnam Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EDT today.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strong winds will last for a very long
  duration, possibly exceeding 24-36 hours. Considering the long
  duration rain fall and full foliage of trees, impacts may be
  exacerbated.

The highest localized winds are expected to occur on eastern Long
Island and southern New London county.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/nyc

OKX

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Sep 24, 11:04 AM EDT, 3 hours 25 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • 1) A coastal storm likely brings rainfall and gusty winds Friday into the upcoming weekend. Any rain impacts expected to be limited. Mostly minor wind impacts possible, primarily for coastal areas. 2) Coastal flooding and beach flooding/erosion expected this week, with the greatest impacts expected Friday through Saturday. 3) A high rip current risk will persist into the weekend. High surf can not be ruled out, mainly Friday through Saturday.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 24, 11:04 AM EDT, 3 hours 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1104 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Gale Warnings on the ocean waters out to 20 NM were extended
through Friday. Gale Watches on central and eastern sound and
the South Shore Bays were converted to Gale Warnings for Friday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A coastal storm likely brings rainfall and gusty winds Friday
into the upcoming weekend. Any rain impacts expected to be limited.
Mostly minor wind impacts possible, primarily for coastal areas.

2) Coastal flooding and beach flooding/erosion expected this
week, with the greatest impacts expected Friday through
Saturday.

3) A high rip current risk will persist into the weekend. High
surf can not be ruled out, mainly Friday through Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...
Models in general agreement with a closed 500mb low over or near the
forecast area Friday through Sunday. Given its location,
anticipating the surface low to track near or not too far east of
the 40N/70W benchmark during Saturday before meandering or
retrograding toward the coast late in the weekend, then slowly
departing during Monday as it weakens. Confidence in this track
is still not high due to the closed/cutoff low aloft.

Rain chances begin Friday morning, and mainly east of the city,
rain is likely Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon. For
the the city and points west, rain chances are mostly below 50%
up until Saturday afternoon and night. Still thinking that
rainfall flooding impacts are little to none - just low chance
for flooding across far eastern zones, and probably limited to
minor nuisance and poor drainage flooding. Long Island,
especially eastern Long Island, can handle a fair amount of
rain, especially the long duration nature of the event. However,
if the NAM verifies, a period of heavy rain is possible the
first part of Saturday night, with over 2 inches of rainfall for
the south fork of Long Island in a 6 hour period. If models
trend west with the storm track, then western zones could have a
chance of minor flooding. The Weather Prediction Center has
placed southeast CT and central and easter Long Island in a
marginal to slight risk of excessive rainfall from Friday
through Monday night.

As for winds, continue anticipating gusts to remain below
advisory thresholds, but it could come close across eastern LI
and SE CT late day Friday through Saturday morning.
However, there may be isolated incidents of downed trees and
power lines due to the heavy rain loosening the soil and
weighing down leaves in combination with breezy/windy
conditions.

.KEY MESSAGE 2...
The high tide cycles of most concern continue to look like
Friday evening and Saturday morning. A blend of ESTOFS, ETSS and
Steven's 50th was used with the latest TWL forecast.

Ahead of the storm, persistent NE flow between strong high
pressure to the north and the developing low to the south could
help trap water and allow it to pile through late week,
exacerbating the potential for tidal flooding. The main areas of
concern ahead of the storm look to be portions of the NY Harbor
and South Shore Bays during times of high tide Thursday evening
and Friday morning. Coastal Flood Statements and Advisories have
been issued for these locations. There is potential for
additional zones to be added if confidence in minor flooding
increases for other areas.

The greatest impact will likely be with the Friday evening and
Saturday morning high tide cycles. This looks to be a widespread
solid minor, locally moderate flooding situation for most areas.
For southern Nassau, there was high enough confidence in a
widespread moderate flood event to issue a Coastal Flood Watch.
Additional Watches or Warnings may be needed.

.KEY MESSAGE 3...
Swell from the approaching coastal storm will bring a high rip
current risk into the weekend. An 11-12ft swell around 11-12s is
expected out of the east. Because of the easterly direction,
surf heights are expected to top out right around 6-7 ft. If
confidence in 7 ft surf increases, a High Surf Advisory may be
needed.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
High pressure remains north of the terminals with low pressure
developing and remaining well south of the area through the TAF
period.

Mainly VFR conditions, however tempo MVFR cigs expected into early
afternoon for most of the terminals.

NE winds 15-20kt with gusts 25-30kt through the day with speeds
diminishing somewhat this evening, then increasing late tonight into
early Friday morning while backing slightly.

 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Chance that MVFR cigs prevail into at least early afternoon.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

Friday and Saturday: MVFR or lower cond in showers as a coastal
storm nears the area. N-NE winds 15-20 kt with gusts 25 to
around 35 kt Friday, highest east of NYC metros and along the
coast. 30 to 40 kt possible Saturday, highest east. Winds/gusts
may be up to 10 kt higher than fcst if the storm is closer to the
area. LLWS possible starting Friday evening and lasting through
Saturday.

Sunday: MVFR or lower in showers. N-NE winds 15-20 kt, G25-30kt.

Monday: Mainly VFR, Sub VFR possible early east. N-NW winds 7-15kt,
G20 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component
forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Gales continue on all ocean waters out to 60 NM today. The
gales on the ocean waters out to 20 NM were extended into
Friday as there is high confidence that conditions will be at
least gale force. However, storm force conditions are still
possible, especially for the eastern ocean zone. Decided to go
with the Gale Warning to avoid confusing double headlines (Gale
Warning with a Storm Watch in effect at the same time) and allow
a step up to either a Storm Watch or Storm Warning with
subsequent forecast packages. Gale Watches on central and
eastern sound and the South Shore Bays were converted to Gale
Warnings for Friday and all other waters a SCA remains in
effect. However, there is potential for an upgrade to gales for
these waters, which will be dependent on the exact track of the
low. Any product issuances for Friday night and beyond was too
far out in time to issue, especially given track uncertainty.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...High Risk for Rip Currents through Friday afternoon for NYZ075-080-
     081-178-179.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT
     Friday for NYZ080-179.
     Coastal Flood Watch from Friday evening through Saturday
     morning for NYZ179.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Friday for ANZ331-332-340-
     345.
     Gale Warning from 8 AM to 6 PM EDT Friday for ANZ331-332-340-
     345.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Friday for ANZ335-338.
     Gale Warning until 6 PM EDT Friday for ANZ350-353-355.
     Gale Warning until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ380-383-385.
     Storm Watch from 6 PM EDT this evening through Friday
     afternoon for ANZ380-383-385.

&&

DISCUSSION...JP/JT
AVIATION...BC/JC
MARINE...JP
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 24, 2:42 AM EDT, 11 hours 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
242 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

NYZ075-081-178-250645-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Southeast Suffolk-Southern Queens-
242 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ179-250645-
Southern Nassau-
242 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ080-250645-
Southwest Suffolk-
242 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>074-078-079-176-177-250645-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-
Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-
242 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet NWS
warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ380-383-385-250645-
Waters from Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY from 20 to 60 nm-
Waters from Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY from 20 to
60 nm-
Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY from 20 to 60 nm-
242 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Storm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ350-353-355-250645-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 NM-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM-
242 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ331-332-340-345-250645-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
242 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ335-338-250645-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-
242 AM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Gale force gusts possible Friday into Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 24, 2:39 AM EDTGale WarningOKX60 hr
Sep 24, 2:58 PM EDTStorm WarningOKX65 hr
Sep 24, 3:42 PM EDTHigh Surf AdvisoryOKXKings, Nassau, Queens, Suffolk3 days

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2026Wind Advisories in New Jersey, 2026Wind Advisories in Connecticut, 2026Every wind advisory in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.