Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS New York, NY

919 
WGUS71 KOKX 091941
FFSOKX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
341 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

NYC047-091951-
/O.CAN.KOKX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260709T2015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kings (Brooklyn) NY-
341 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 4051 7426 4052 7425 4055 7425 4056 7422
      4060 7420 4061 7421 4063 7420 4064 7419
      4064 7413 4065 7409 4066 7408 4066 7407
      4060 7404 4054 7410 4048 7425 4048 7426
      4049 7427 4050 7426

$$

NYC085-092015-
/O.CON.KOKX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260709T2015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Richmond (Staten Island) NY-
341 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND) COUNTY...

At 341 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy downpours with embedded 
thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 
0.5 and 1 inch of rain has fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 
0.75 to 1.25 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 
inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or 
expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Todt Hill, Huguenot, The Verrazano Narrows Bridge, Port Richmond, 
  Tottenville, Oakwood, Tompkinsville, Annadale, New Dorp, Heartland 
  Village, Greenridge and Grasmere.

This includes the following Event Locations...
	Sullivans Homeport Pier.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of urban 
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as other drainage 
areas and low lying spots.

If you are in a basement, be prepared to move to a higher floor.

&&

LAT...LON 4051 7426 4052 7425 4055 7425 4056 7422
      4060 7420 4061 7421 4063 7420 4064 7419
      4064 7413 4065 7409 4066 7408 4066 7407
      4060 7404 4054 7410 4048 7425 4048 7426
      4049 7427 4050 7426

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.75-1.25 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

NV

969 
WGUS51 KOKX 091959
FFWOKX
NYC085-092145-
/O.EXT.KOKX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260709T2145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
359 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

The National Weather Service in Upton has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Richmond (Staten Island) County in southeastern New York...

* Until 545 PM EDT.

* At 359 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1 inch of rain 
  has fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.75 to 1 inch in 1 
  hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in 
  the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Todt Hill, Huguenot, The Verrazano Narrows Bridge, Port Richmond, 
  Tottenville, Oakwood, Tompkinsville, Annadale, New Dorp, Heartland 
  Village, Greenridge and Grasmere.

This includes the following Event Locations...
	Sullivans Homeport Pier.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of urban 
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as other drainage 
areas and low lying spots.

If you are in a basement, be prepared to move to a higher floor.

&&

LAT...LON 4051 7426 4052 7425 4055 7425 4056 7422
      4060 7420 4061 7421 4063 7420 4064 7419
      4064 7413 4065 7409 4066 7408 4066 7407
      4060 7404 4054 7410 4048 7425 4048 7426
      4049 7427 4050 7426

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.75-1 INCH IN 1 HOUR

$$

NV

570 
WGUS71 KOKX 092108
FFSOKX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
508 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

NYC085-092118-
/O.CAN.KOKX.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260709T2145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Richmond (Staten Island) NY-
508 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND) 
COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 4051 7426 4052 7425 4055 7425 4056 7422
      4060 7420 4061 7421 4062 7420 4064 7419
      4064 7413 4065 7409 4066 7408 4064 7406
      4060 7404 4054 7410 4048 7425 4048 7426
      4049 7427 4050 7426

$$

NV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1054 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes to forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Isolated strong to severe thunderstorm and localized flash
flood threat during the afternoon and evening both today and
Friday. Increasingly warm and muggy today and Friday, with heat
indices peaking in the lower to mid 90s on Friday.

2) Mainly dry conditions for the upcoming weekend with
seasonably warm temperatures.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...

Forecast remains on track, with lead area of showers and
embedded thunderstorms approaching the NYC/NJ metro between 1
and 2 pm. This activity is relatively weak as it encounters a
weakly unstable and weakly sheared environment.

Some of the 00z CAM guidance has initialized this activity
fairly well, and does intensify this activity as it approaches
NE NJ between 17z and 18z in response to building instability
and approaching vort train. Primary threat will be for
torrential downpours, with an isolated flash flood threat (10 %
prob across NE NJ/NYC metro). Secondary threat of a pulse wet
microburst (5 %prob across NE NJ/NYC metro). The flash flood and
severe threat decreases moving N and E from the NYC/NJ metro.

Otherwise, there continues to remain good agreement on Mid-
Mississippi River valley closed upper low shearing towards the
region later today, with a resultant weak surface low pressure
wave tracking across the northern Mid-Atlantic, and lee/pre-
frontal surface trough developing and approaching from the west.

These features should be able to provide a trigger/focus for
scattered showers and thunderstorms across NYC/NJ metro and N&W in a
marginally (locally moderate) unstable and weak shear environment.
Severe threat should be limited in this environment, but can't rule
out an isolated damaging pulse wet microburst threat, especially
if the lower atmosphere is able to destabilize more than
forecast. Environment is more conducive to an isolated flash
flood threat with high PWATs (2-2.25"), a deep warm cloud layer,
and potential for briefly back building storms. Higher flash
flood threat appears to be across SE PA/S NJ with higher
instability and enhanced moisture transport/convergence with the
weak surface wave. Still an isolated flash flood risk is
signaled for the NYC/NE NJ metro region in the high res-
guidance, depicted thru being on the edge of HREF 10% ensemble
prob for 3"/3hr, and HiRes ARW and NSSL WRF indicating max NY/NJ
metro neighborhood value of 2 1/2 to 3" in 3/hr in WPC URRD.
Given the continued signals in the hi-res guidance, will
continue to address in HWO. Diminishing severe/flash flood
threat in the late evening in wake of trough.

On Friday, northern stream shortwave digs into northern New
England, with a bit more in the way of mean troughing across
the region, while a convectively enhanced shortwave approaches
the region Friday aft/eve. At the surface, this will have a
stronger cold front approaching the region in the
afternoon/evening. Trigger and focus is once again there for
another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms Fri
aft/eve, with an isolated severe/flash flood threat. A slightly
better severe threat on Friday aft/eve with 30-35kt deep layer
shear profile to complement marginal to locally moderate
instability environment. Damaging wind gusts would be the main
threat. Flash flood threat looks a bit lower than Thursday with
slightly lower PWATS (mid-level drying in wake of Thursday pre-frontal
trough) and quicker anticipated storm movement. Flash flood
threat will ultimately be contingent on moisture pooling ahead
of cold front, storm coverage, and potential SW to NE training
along frontal boundary. Hi-res guidance is hinting at a
potential for more widespread convective activity as compared to
Thursday.

Temperatures will continue to moderate to near seasonable levels
today with highs in the middle 80s. Highs could come close to
90 degrees in the NYC metro and NE NJ with most other spots
reaching the upper 80s on Friday, with max heat indices reaching
the low to mid 90s.

.KEY MESSAGE 2...

General model agreement in mean upper troughing sliding across the NE
US this weekend and offshore on Monday, while at the surface
Canadian high pressure builds down from southern Canada thru the
weekend and overhead by Monday.

This pattern should keep conditions mainly dry through the weekend
with temperatures near seasonably warm levels. The general synoptic
pattern could persist into early next week with only a slight uptick
in temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Mainly VFR as a weak trough of low pressure approaches the
terminals this afternoon.

A few showers/thunderstorms moving across eastern PA are
expected to reach KEWR/KTEB closer to 17z, so adjusted the TEMPO
to reflect the latest timing. Also, some MVFR cigs (BKN025-030)
are being observed out ahead of it. I have also bumped up the
timing from 19z to 18z for KJFK and KLGA for thunder potential.
MVFR or lower possible in any thunderstorm. No other changes
planed for the afternoon TAFs.

Additional TSRA possible again on Friday afternoon, but outside
current 30-hr TAF window.

Winds will generally be less than 10 kt from the S/SW,
increasing to 10-15kts this afternoon, with locally higher
gusts in any thunderstorms.

 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Amendments likely for timing of convection today, especially
onset/offset.

A few gusts S/SW 15-20kt possible this afternoon.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

Friday: Mainly VFR. Chance of afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms with brief MVFR to IFR conditions possible.

Saturday through Monday: VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-SCA conditions expected today and Fri with modest S/SW flow
of 15g20kt. Occasional gusts to 25 kt possible for ocean waters
west of Fire Inlet, entrance to NY Harbor, and adjacent
southern bays each day with coastal jet development. Seas
generally 3 to 4 ft.

Sub-SCA conditions likely continue for the weekend into Monday
with high pressure building towards and then over the waters.

Rip Currents: A moderate risk of rip currents persists through
Friday, due to a mixture of 1-3 ft S wind wave and lingering
1-3 ft SE/E swells.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Air Quality Alert until 11 PM EDT this evening for CTZ005>012.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...NV/MW
AVIATION...BC
MARINE...NV/MW

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
255 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-176>179-100700-
Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-
Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
255 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorm and flash flood threat during
the afternoon and evening both today and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ005>012-NYZ078>081-100700-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Northwest Suffolk-
Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-
255 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet NWS
warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-380-383-385-100700-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 NM-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM-
Waters from Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY from 20 to 60 nm-
Waters from Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY from 20 to
60 nm-
Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY from 20 to 60 nm-
255 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time that would meet NWS
warning criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
1238 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

NJZ006-106>108-NYZ072-074-075-091800-
Hudson NJ-Eastern Union NJ-Eastern Essex NJ-Western Union NJ-
New York (Manhattan) NY-Kings (Brooklyn) NY-Richmond (Staten Is.) NY-
1238 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHEASTERN
ESSEX...RICHMOND...KINGS AND NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) COUNTIES THROUGH
200 PM EDT...

At 1238 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from Somerville to North
Brunswick Township to Clearbrook Park. Movement was east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Plainfield around 1250 PM EDT.
  Tottenville and Clark around 105 PM EDT.
  Linden and Huguenot around 115 PM EDT.
  Elizabeth and Oakwood around 120 PM EDT.
  Todt Hill and Port Richmond around 125 PM EDT.
  Newark and Bayonne around 130 PM EDT.
  The Verrazano Narrows Bridge and Bay Ridge around 135 PM EDT.
  Jersey City and Coney Island around 140 PM EDT.
  Battery Park and Park Slope around 145 PM EDT.

This includes the following event locations Brooklyn Bridge Park,
Sports Illustrated Stadium, Liberty State Park, Governors Island,
Sullivans Homeport Pier, Battery Park, Hoboken Waterfront, Hudson
River Park Pier 34, and Hunters Point.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4050 7426 4055 7425 4056 7421 4060 7422
      4059 7428 4061 7431 4060 7446 4062 7442
      4067 7441 4066 7445 4067 7443 4072 7426
      4071 7425 4073 7423 4079 7400 4057 7389
      4056 7400 4060 7403 4053 7410 4050 7423
TIME...MOT...LOC 1638Z 252DEG 22KT 4057 7460 4044 7451 4030 7446

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

NV