Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1141 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1137 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

- Scattered afternoon showers and storms each day. Highest chances
  over the Cumberland Plateau with low chances west of the
  Plateau.

- No severe weather is expected, but a few storms may produce
  gusty winds and heavy downpours.

- Gradually getting warmer and more humid with heat index values
  climbing over 100 most days this weekend through next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

The key messages tell it all with an unremarkable forecast for
typical August weather.

An upper level low that has been set up for several days over the
eastern part of the state will keep scattered showers and
isolated storms going today and again Thursday, especially along
and near the Plateau. No severe storms are expected with weak
lapse rates. Most activity will die off with sunset. Areas of fog
will form overnight, especially for locations that receive rain.
Otherwise, temperatures will be near normal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

The upper low will weaken and get swept away by the weekend. We
will then be within a bridge zone between a strong Bermuda high
and a strong, hot western ridge. This will keep our temperatures
seasonably warm - maybe a degree or 2 above normal. This pattern
will also keep conditions humid with pop-up showers and storms
each afternoon. For the most part, chances/coverage will continue
to be highest (30 to 60 percent) for the Plateau and generally
low (20 to 30 percent) for areas west of the Plateau. No severe
storms are expected, but gusty winds and heavy downpours will
occur with some storms. Heat risk levels will be in the 2-3 range
(out of 4) with peak heat index values pushing mostly into the
100-105 range.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1137 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

Isolated to scattered showers and storms will bubble up over the
area this afternoon. Brief cig/vsby impacts are expected at CSV
and SRB, but probs are very low elsewhere. Outside these small showers
and storms, conditions will be VFR with light winds.

For tonight, mainly VFR, but CSV and SRB will have episodes of fog
and stratus, down to LIFR at times.

Daytime Thursday will be a repeat with mostly VFR and a low chance
for afternoon showers and storms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      91  72  92  74 /  20  10  10   0
Clarksville    91  70  92  73 /  10   0  10  10
Crossville     84  67  83  67 /  40  30  70  10
Columbia       90  71  92  73 /  20  10  10   0
Cookeville     85  69  85  70 /  40  20  40  10
Jamestown      85  68  84  68 /  40  20  50  10
Lawrenceburg   88  70  89  71 /  30  10  10  10
Murfreesboro   91  72  91  73 /  30  10  20  10
Waverly        90  70  92  73 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1254 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

TNZ030>032-064-051845-
Putnam TN-De Kalb TN-Jackson TN-Smith TN-
1254 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN SMITH...NORTHERN DE
KALB...SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON AND WEST CENTRAL PUTNAM COUNTIES THROUGH
145 PM CDT...

At 1254 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Gordonsville, or near Carthage, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Carthage, Gordonsville, Hickman, South Carthage, Center Hill Lake,
Granville, and Edgar Evins State Park.

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 256 and 276.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3607 8600 3627 8601 3633 8568 3603 8568
TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 270DEG 7KT 3617 8592

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
139 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

TNZ010-031>033-051930-
Putnam TN-Overton TN-Clay TN-Jackson TN-
139 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN OVERTON...EASTERN
JACKSON...EASTERN CLAY AND NORTH CENTRAL PUTNAM COUNTIES THROUGH 230
PM CDT...

At 139 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Gainesboro, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Cookeville, Livingston, Celina, Gainesboro, Algood, Dale Hollow Lake,
Rickman, Cummins Falls State Park, and Standing Stone State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3625 8578 3654 8560 3662 8530 3616 8535
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 267DEG 10KT 3636 8558

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

40/Sizemore

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
228 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

TNZ010-011-033-052015-
Overton TN-Pickett TN-Clay TN-
228 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL OVERTON...
NORTHWESTERN PICKETT AND NORTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM
CDT...

At 228 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles east of Celina, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Byrdstown, Wolf River Dock, Dale Hollow Lake, Huntersville, and
Static.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

If on or near Dale Hollow Lake, get out of the water and move
indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to
10 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you
are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter
now! Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3662 8506 3652 8507 3650 8509 3648 8509
      3646 8540 3662 8545 3663 8523
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 255DEG 8KT 3655 8536

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

40/Sizemore

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