Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
122 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 119 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

- There is a low to medium chance for severe weather this
  afternoon and evening, mainly north of I-40. Strong winds are
  the primary threat.

- Localized flash flooding from heavy rain will remain a
  possibility through tonight.

- Hot and humid conditions build as heat indices reach the 100s
  west of the Plateau Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1113 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Middle TN remains in a moisture-rich environment, though PWATs
have actually dropped a touch this morning, down to 1.90". Still
well above the 90th percentile climatologically, but it's lower
than previous days. For the remainder of today, our eyes will be
just to our north along the TN/KY border as another MCV spins
through this evening. Embedded within this MCV will be the
potential for very heavy rain and gusty winds. Bulk shear will
increase out ahead of this, lending to strong wind threat. Shear
values overall are forecast to be on the lower side, between 20-25
kts, but with tons of instability in place from daytime heating,
it won't take much for a storm to get windy this
afternoon/evening. Timing for potential severe storms will be this
afternoon through tonight before 12AM.

With regards to the flooding threat, the Flood
Watch has been cancelled since widespread flooding is no longer a
concern. As storms move through this afternoon and evening,
localized flash flooding will remain a possibility, so remain
aware of that if you get caught under a storm.

Rain and storm chances will becomes much more isolated Wednesday
as high pressure expands to our west. This feature will bring
warmer temperatures into the upper 80s to low 90s, and coupled
with continued high humidity, this will result in heat index
values in the upper 90s to low 100s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1113 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

High pressure will remain in place through Thursday, which will be
our hottest day this week with air temperatures in the mid 90s
and heat index values in the low 100s. By Friday, a front will
push through the area, bringing a high chance for rain and storms
areawide. The severe threat with this front currently look very
low with only meager bulk shear values. Still, there will be
plenty of instability from daytime heating for the front to
interact with, so we could see a few strong storms. Moving into
the weekend, upper level flow will become more zonal with high
humidity remaining in place. There is some model uncertainty
beyond Saturday, but the pattern overall favors continued low to
medium rain chances through early next week. Long range models
are hinting at a very deep low developing over the Great Lakes
next week that would help keep our temperatures cooler, in the low
to mid 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

The HRRR is consistent in bringing a cluster of storms
southeastward into Middle Tennessee during the afternoon, so we've
added PROB30 groups to the TAFs to account for this possibility,
with the impact times staying close to the HRRR timing. After
that, TAFs are VFR, except for some morning MVFR ceilings at KCSV.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      73  93  75  94 /  30  10   0   0
Clarksville    74  91  75  92 /  40   0   0   0
Crossville     68  84  69  86 /  40  40   0  10
Columbia       72  92  73  93 /  10   0   0   0
Cookeville     70  87  71  89 /  50  30   0  10
Jamestown      67  86  69  89 /  60  40   0  10
Lawrenceburg   71  89  72  90 /  10   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   72  92  73  93 /  30  10   0   0
Waverly        73  92  75  93 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Baggett
LONG TERM....Baggett
AVIATION.....Rose

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
219 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

TNZ007-008-092000-
Robertson TN-Sumner TN-
219 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL SUMNER AND EAST CENTRAL
ROBERTSON COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM CDT...

At 219 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
White House, or 11 miles northwest of Gallatin, moving east at 20
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Gallatin, White House, Cross Plains, and Cottontown.

This includes Interstate 65 between mile markers 106 and 114.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3645 8675 3654 8670 3659 8640 3646 8639
      3636 8649
TIME...MOT...LOC 1919Z 276DEG 16KT 3648 8662

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

40/Sizemore

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
234 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0234 PM     Hail             White House             36.46N 86.66W
06/09/2026  E0.70 Inch       Sumner             TN   Public

            Dime size hail reported in White House.

&&

AS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
300 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

TNZ005-006-023>025-092045-
Stewart TN-Dickson TN-Humphreys TN-Montgomery TN-Houston TN-
300 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN DICKSON...
MONTGOMERY...EASTERN STEWART...EASTERN HOUSTON AND NORTHEASTERN
HUMPHREYS COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM CDT...

At 300 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Big Rock to 13 miles northeast of Tennessee
Ridge to 7 miles southeast of Erin. Movement was east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Dickson, Waverly, Erin, Clarksville, McEwen, Big Rock, Charlotte,
Vanleer, Cumberland City, Slayden, Palmyra, Woodlawn, Indian Mound,
and Cunningham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3644 8726 3608 8736 3609 8779 3637 8771
      3663 8789 3664 8746
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 268DEG 13KT 3660 8775 3641 8755 3622 8762

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

40/Sizemore

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
324 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     Flash Flood      2 WNW White House       36.48N 86.71W
06/09/2026                   Robertson          TN   Emergency Mngr

            Portions of Parks Subdivision has flooded.
            Water is up to the bottom of car doors.

&&

AS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
334 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

TNZ007-008-027-092100-
Robertson TN-Davidson TN-Sumner TN-
334 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL DAVIDSON...WESTERN
SUMNER AND CENTRAL ROBERTSON COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM CDT...

At 334 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles northwest of Cross Plains to near
Coopertown. Movement was east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Springfield, Hendersonville, Goodlettsville, White House,
Millersville, Greenbrier, Coopertown, Ridgetop, Cross Plains,
Portland, Orlinda, Mitchellville, Cottontown, and Black Jack.

This includes Interstate 65 between mile markers 98 and 121.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3665 8637 3632 8656 3634 8692 3637 8691
      3639 8692 3638 8693 3639 8694 3638 8694
      3637 8699 3665 8682 3665 8659 3663 8656
      3665 8651
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 262DEG 25KT 3663 8677 3639 8691

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

40/Sizemore

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
343 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

TNZ006-007-025-026-092130-
Robertson TN-Dickson TN-Cheatham TN-Montgomery TN-
343 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN DICKSON...EASTERN
MONTGOMERY...CHEATHAM AND WESTERN ROBERTSON COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM
CDT...

At 343 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Guthrie to 8 miles west of Coopertown to 6
miles north of White Bluff. Movement was east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Clarksville, Springfield, Ashland City, Coopertown, Pleasant View,
Charlotte, Adams, Cedar Hill, and Cheatham Dam.

This includes Interstate 24 between mile markers 2 and 31.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3664 8678 3638 8691 3633 8692 3625 8698
      3614 8700 3615 8734 3643 8726 3663 8746
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 251DEG 22KT 3662 8726 3645 8711 3620 8719

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

40/Sizemore