River Flood Warning 2, NWS Nashville, TN

382 
WGUS84 KOHX 040339
FLSOHX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1039 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Tennessee...

  Mill Creek Near Nolensville affecting Davidson County.

TNC037-040445-
/O.CAN.KOHX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260704T0339Z/
/NLVT1.1.ER.260703T2349Z.260704T0015Z.260704T0042Z.UU/
1039 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Mill Creek Near Nolensville.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 PM CDT Friday the stage was 6.9 feet and falling.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3618 8669 3607 8664 3592 8661 3592 8674
      3604 8677 3616 8673


$$

Reagan

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
712 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 701 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

- Dangerous heat and humidity will continue through Independence
  Day.

- Scattered storms could produce damaging wind gusts, torrential
  downpours, and small hail during the afternoon and early evening
  Saturday.

- The forecast for next week is not as hot, but very warm and
  humid with medium chances for showers and storms each day.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 701 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Strong to severe storms developed across Middle TN this afternoon
after a day of extreme heating and abundant available moisture.
Stratiform rain is setting up now as thunderstorms are mostly
limited to the Upper Cumberland this evening, some of which being
severe. These storms will continue over the next couple of hours
before weakening and eventually diminishing. Elsewhere, showers
continue across Middle TN. Latest radar imagery shows a slight
decreasing trend in coverage, but overall, showers look to stick
around over the next two to three hours.

We dry out overnight, and we basically repeat all over again
tomorrow. Confidence is low on how widespread storms will be
Saturday afternoon, but with temperatures climbing back into the
upper 90s and a midlevel shortwave expected to push through,
storms will definitely  be firing off once again through the
afternoon and evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1050 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Overall, atmospheric conditions are very similar to yesterday,
with perhaps a smidge less instability today. CAMs did a pretty
good job yesterday with storms forming along I-65 then drifting
westward. Today, they show generally greater coverage of showers
and storms area-wide with the main focus along and just east of
I-65. Once again, damaging wind gusts, hail, and local flash
flooding will be a concern. CAPE will reach 4,000+ with 1,200
DCAPE, above average PW, and mainly cold-pool driven storm
motion/development. Storms will die off pretty quickly around
sunset. The dangerous heat continues with peak heat index values
reaching 105-100 again this afternoon. Tonight will be muggy and
uncomfortable with local patchy fog.

As we get to Saturday (Independence Day), the upper high will
weaken and move eastward. This means temperatures will be a few
degrees cooler. Although temps will back off, the heat and
humidity combination will keep conditions potentially dangerous
with so many people doing outdoors stuff. A Heat Advisory will
remain in place til fireworks time. Those outdoor activities will
be potentially impacted by scattered storms. Severe parameters do
not look as threatening for Saturday, but a few strong storms
with gusty winds and downpours will be possible in the heat of the
afternoon and early evening. Models suggest the showers and storms
may linger a little longer after sunset which isn't great news
for fireworks. We will just have to wait and monitor radar trends
at the time.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1050 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Heat will back off for next week as the big upper high is
replaced with a general weak troughing pattern with some
disturbances glancing the area. Temps and humidity will be closer
to normal with highs in the mid 80s to low 90s. Expect daily
medium shower and storm chances with the highest chances each
afternoon and evening. There doesn't appear to be any organized
severe threat, but like we've seen the past couple of days, the
strongest storms may produce isolated damaging wind gusts, small
hail, and very heavy rainfall.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 601 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Widespread storms continue to impact Middle Tennessee and all TAF
sites. Overall intensity has decreased, but new development is
near CSV and SRB. Main impacts from RA and TSRA should subside by
~02z. BNA will have lingering RA and VCTS mainly, but improving
conditions are being seen on recent METARs.

Some patchy fog is possible overnight, but low confidence on
development, so is only mentioned in SRB and CSV TAF at this time.
Iso/sct TS is forecast again tomorrow afternoon and it will be hot
again, so PROB30s are in for all terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      72  95  75  94 /  60  30  40  70
Clarksville    71  95  74  93 /  30  50  30  60
Crossville     67  90  70  88 /  40  30  40  70
Columbia       71  95  72  93 /  50  30  40  70
Cookeville     69  91  71  90 /  50  30  40  60
Jamestown      69  91  69  89 /  40  30  40  70
Lawrenceburg   70  92  72  91 /  50  30  40  70
Murfreesboro   71  96  73  95 /  50  30  40  70
Waverly        72  94  73  92 /  40  50  30  70

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for TNZ005>010-
023>032-056>064-075-093>095.

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Saturday for TNZ005>010-023>032-
056>064-075-093>095.

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Saturday for TNZ011-033-034-065-066-
077>080.

&&

UPDATE.......Cravens
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....Sizemore

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
559 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0121 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     8 SE Spencer            35.67N 85.36W
07/03/2026                   Van Buren          TN   Public

            Multiple trees down in Fall Creek Falls
            Park.

&&

JB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
602 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NNE Gallatin          36.39N 86.45W
07/03/2026                   Sumner             TN   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Lots of trees and lines down in and around
            Gallatin.

&&

JB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
608 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0451 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NW Hendersonville     36.32N 86.62W
07/03/2026                   Sumner             TN   Emergency Mngr

            Trees down in Winding Way neighborhood.

&&

JB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
631 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

TNZ032>034-066-040015-
Putnam TN-Cumberland TN-Fentress TN-Overton TN-
631 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN OVERTON...NORTHERN
CUMBERLAND...SOUTHEASTERN PUTNAM AND FENTRESS COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM
CDT...

At 631 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 12 miles west of Wartburg
to 7 miles southeast of Monterey. Movement was northwest at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Crossville, Jamestown, Fairfield Glade, Monterey, Allardt, Pleasant
Hill, Grimsley, Slate Springs, Clarkrange, and Crawford.

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 297 and 324.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 8470 3638 8472 3635 8473 3633 8477
      3630 8480 3629 8487 3624 8488 3621 8491
      3615 8491 3613 8487 3608 8483 3610 8482
      3609 8480 3605 8479 3600 8472 3594 8469
      3596 8526 3621 8539 3652 8473 3640 8466
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 136DEG 17KT 3617 8479 3607 8516

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

10

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
704 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0652 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 S Allardt             36.36N 84.88W
07/03/2026                   Fentress           TN   Public

            Trees down in the Allardt area.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
715 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

TNZ011-034-040100-
Fentress TN-Pickett TN-
715 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PICKETT AND NORTHERN FENTRESS
COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 714 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Jamestown, moving northwest at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Jamestown, Byrdstown, Wolf River Dock, Huntersville, Pickett State
Park, Pall Mall, and Static.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3632 8511 3635 8512 3640 8512 3641 8514
      3646 8515 3648 8518 3663 8524 3662 8502
      3660 8479 3650 8472 3647 8471
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 155DEG 25KT 3651 8496

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

10