Flash Flood Warning 28, NWS Nashville, TN

210 
WGUS74 KOHX 192329
FFSOHX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
629 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

TNC125-192339-
/O.CAN.KOHX.FF.W.0028.000000T0000Z-260720T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Montgomery TN-
629 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR EASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3642 8718 3641 8720 3640 8721 3638 8728
      3658 8745 3664 8748 3664 8717 3651 8713
      3645 8714 3644 8715 3643 8715 3642 8716
      3643 8717

$$

Clements

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1234 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1228 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

- Daily rounds of storms will continue through the weekend. Heavy
  rain resulting in flash flooding is going to be the main
  impact, although some strong wind gusts are also possible.

- Heat indices will reach the low 100s west of the Cumberland
  Plateau into early next week. Tuesday will be the hottest day of
  the period with heat indices nearing or exceeding 105 degrees.

- There is a slight risk (level 2/5) for severe weather Tuesday
  into Wednesday. Main impact is damaging winds currently.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

Today's chosen area of morning convective initiation is south of I-
40, with cumulus fields bubbling well on satellite in that area and
beginning to bubble north of I-40 as well. High temperatures will
get into the mid 80s to low 90s for highs today, with heat indices
in the triple digits especially west of the Plateau.

While we are not in a severe risk area today, we are still expecting
thunderstorms in Middle Tennessee. Some guidance is showing an
organized storm cluster forming near the TN/AL state line tonight
and continuing into Alabama, whereas other guidance is not showing
anything more than the pop-up showers and thunderstorms we've grown
accustomed to. Guidance seems to do better once we have more
widespread initiation, so we will see what is spit out when storms
form. Not expecting severe weather today, but some stronger storms
are possible. As usual, main hazards continue to be gusty winds and
heavy rainfall that could result in localized flash flooding with
stronger storms.

As for Monday, highs will be more widespread in the 90s, even in
some areas of the Plateau. While we will continue to see an increase
in heat indices to start the work week, spots meeting and exceeding
heat advisory criteria will be more isolated in Middle Tennessee
compared to other areas. This leads us to forgo a heat product, at
least for Monday. Rain wise, popcorn convection will continue on
Monday in the scattered fashion we have seen lately. The atmosphere
is chock full of moisture right now, and that's the way it will stay
through mid-week.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

The beginning and middle of the work weeks are a bit complicated
with multiple hazards at the same time. Tuesday into Wednesday, a
500mb trough and accompanying low pressure system will swing through
Ontario, dragging behind them the cold front we will see Tuesday
night into Wednesday. This will bring us some forcing and not
surprisingly, a risk for severe weather. SPC has seen this setup in
the guidance and put us in a Day 3 slight risk (level 2 out of 5)
for severe weather. As it stands now, damaging winds continue their
streak of being a popular hazard with our severe chances this
summer. There appears to be a low end tornado threat in CAMs with
this system, with a linear storm mode to boot. Something we will
have to keep an eye on in future forecast packages. In addition to
the severe risk, heat indices will be dangerously high on Tuesday,
exceeding 105 in quite a few areas west of the plateau.

After the cold front, we will enter a quieter period for the mid-
week. Highs will be in the mid 80s starting on Wednesday, slowly
warming back into the 90s into next weekend. It does look like we
could see another system Friday into Friday night associated with a
shortwave in the mid-levels, but specifics are not too clear on that
system just yet.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

Scattered storms have once again developed across Middle Tennessee
with medium chances of impacting CSV/SRB and low to medium chances
of impacting BNA/MQY/CKV through the afternoon. Activity will
decrease after 00z. Areas of fog are expected to develop after 06z
with medium to high chances of dropping vis to IFR/MVFR at
CSV/SRB/CKV. Confidence is lower at BNA/MQY, so VFR conditions
were maintained. PROB30 was not included at BNA for Monday as
storm coverage is expected to be lower. Winds will generally
remain around 5 kts or less for the forecast period shifting from
the WNW to the SSW overnight and into Monday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      74  92  75  94 /  20  20  20  20
Clarksville    73  91  75  94 /  20  30  10  30
Crossville     68  86  70  86 /  20  30  20  30
Columbia       72  92  73  94 /  20  40  20  20
Cookeville     70  88  72  88 /  20  20  30  40
Jamestown      68  87  70  87 /  20  20  30  50
Lawrenceburg   71  90  73  92 /  30  30  20  20
Murfreesboro   73  93  74  94 /  30  30  20  20
Waverly        73  91  74  94 /  20  30  10  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Reagan

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
147 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

TNZ060-061-094-095-191930-
Lawrence TN-Maury TN-Giles TN-Marshall TN-
147 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN MARSHALL...NORTHEASTERN
LAWRENCE...SOUTH CENTRAL MAURY AND GILES COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM
CDT...

At 147 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles east of Summertown, or 13 miles northwest of Pulaski, moving
southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Lawrenceburg, Pulaski, Petersburg, Ardmore, Cornersville, Elkton,
Ethridge, Lynnville, Goodspring, Frankewing, and Prospect.

This includes Interstate 65 between mile markers 1 and 30.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3499 8693 3525 8741 3544 8723 3543 8719
      3546 8713 3545 8695 3532 8663 3531 8665
      3532 8666 3531 8668 3525 8675 3526 8683
      3499 8684
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 299DEG 26KT 3537 8713

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Clements

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
232 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

TNZ093-094-192015-
Lawrence TN-Wayne TN-
232 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN WAYNE AND SOUTHERN
LAWRENCE COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM CDT...

At 232 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Collinwood, or 14 miles south of Waynesboro, moving southeast at
30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Loretto, Collinwood, St. Joseph, Leoma, Westpoint, Iron City, and
Cypress Inn.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3501 8798 3509 8798 3532 8771 3512 8722
      3510 8721 3509 8722 3500 8723
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 296DEG 39KT 3511 8778

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Clements

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
234 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

TNZ061-075-095-192015-
Bedford TN-Giles TN-Marshall TN-
234 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT MARSHALL...NORTHEASTERN GILES
AND SOUTHERN BEDFORD COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM CDT...

At 234 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lewisburg, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Shelbyville, Lewisburg, Cornersville, Lynnville, Belfast, Raus, and
Farmington.

This includes Interstate 65 between mile markers 18 and 35.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3535 8704 3558 8679 3539 8629 3538 8633
      3536 8633 3536 8636 3535 8637 3535 8641
      3532 8642 3533 8646 3536 8649 3535 8653
      3536 8654 3537 8659 3536 8660 3533 8660
      3531 8668 3525 8675 3526 8683 3521 8683
TIME...MOT...LOC 1934Z 298DEG 26KT 3541 8678

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Clements

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
339 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0321 PM     Flash Flood      2 SE Lawrenceburg       35.22N 87.30W
07/19/2026                   Lawrence           TN   Emergency Mngr

            Water flowing swiftly enough over Fall River
            Rd. to move garbage cans and push debris
            across roadway. Near the intersection of
            Baker Lane down to Highway 64.

&&

APB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Nashville TN
402 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0351 PM     Flash Flood      2 ESE St. Joseph        35.03N 87.48W
07/19/2026                   Lawrence           TN   Public

            Water flowing across the roadway at the
            intersection of South Old Military Rd. and
            Odem Rd.

&&

APB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
452 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

TNZ028>030-032-064-192245-
Putnam TN-Wilson TN-Trousdale TN-De Kalb TN-Smith TN-
452 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SMITH...NORTHWESTERN DE KALB...
NORTHEASTERN WILSON...SOUTHWESTERN TROUSDALE AND WEST CENTRAL PUTNAM
COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM CDT...

At 452 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northeast of Lebanon, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Lebanon, Carthage, Hartsville, Watertown, Gordonsville, Hickman,
South Carthage, Alexandria, Dowelltown, Liberty, Tuckers Crossroads,
Dickerson Chapel Recreation Area, Center Hill Lake, and Edgar Evins
State Park.

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 238 and 271.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3618 8568 3591 8596 3596 8600 3596 8603
      3625 8639 3632 8632 3631 8630 3633 8630
      3642 8620
TIME...MOT...LOC 2152Z 303DEG 33KT 3626 8620

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Clements