High Wind Warning 1, NWS Morristown, TN

116 
WWUS74 KMRX 240935
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
435 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

TNZ041-043-045-047-072-074-087-241900-
/O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0001.260125T0000Z-260126T0000Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-
Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Hampton, Erwin, Cedar Creek, Cades Cove,
Citico, Unicoi, Gatlinburg, Coker Creek, Limestone Cove, Elkmont,
and Hartford
435 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 
PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, Sevier 
  Smoky Mountains, Southeast Carter, Southeast Greene, Southeast 
  Monroe, and Unicoi Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Locally higher wind gusts up to 80 mph are 
  expected across the highest elevations of the foothills such as 
  Cove Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution 
if you must drive.

&&

$$

27

764 
WWUS74 KMRX 241759
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1259 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

TNZ041-043-045-047-072-074-087-250700-
/O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0001.260125T0000Z-260126T0000Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-
Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Unicoi, Hampton, Erwin, Cedar Creek,
Citico, Cades Cove, Gatlinburg, Limestone Cove, Elkmont,
Hartford, and Coker Creek
1259 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 
PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, Sevier 
  Smoky Mountains, Southeast Carter, Southeast Greene, Southeast 
  Monroe, and Unicoi Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Locally higher wind gusts up to 80 mph are 
  expected across the highest elevations of the foothills such as 
  Cove Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution 
if you must drive.

&&

$$

CD

275 
WWUS74 KMRX 250349
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1049 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

TNZ041-043-045-047-072-074-087-251900-
/O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260126T0000Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-
Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Citico, Coker Creek, Gatlinburg, Elkmont,
Erwin, Hampton, Cedar Creek, Unicoi, Hartford, Cades Cove, and
Limestone Cove
1049 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, Sevier 
  Smoky Mountains, Southeast Carter, Southeast Greene, Southeast 
  Monroe, and Unicoi Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Locally higher wind gusts up to 90 mph are 
  expected across the highest elevations of the foothills such as 
  Cove Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution 
if you must drive.

&&

$$

DH

800 
WWUS74 KMRX 250449
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1149 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

TNZ041-043-045-047-072-074-087-251900-
/O.NEW.KMRX.CW.Y.0001.260126T0500Z-260126T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260126T0000Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-
Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Citico, Coker Creek, Gatlinburg, Elkmont,
Erwin, Hampton, Cedar Creek, Unicoi, Hartford, Cades Cove, and
Limestone Cove
1149 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT TO 10 
AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 20 to 40 mph with 
  gusts up to 70 mph. For the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold wind 
  chills as low as 9 below expected.

* WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, Sevier 
  Smoky Mountains, Southeast Carter, Southeast Greene, Southeast 
  Monroe, and Unicoi Counties.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 7 PM EST Sunday. For the 
  Cold Weather Advisory, from midnight Sunday Night to 10 AM EST 
  Monday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. The cold wind chills as low 
  as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are 
  not taken.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Locally higher wind gusts up to 90 mph are 
  expected across the highest elevations of the foothills such as 
  Cove Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution 
if you must drive.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

&&

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-081>086-
098>102-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251900-
/O.NEW.KMRX.CW.Y.0001.260126T0500Z-260126T1500Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest
Cocke-Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Northwest Carter-Roane-
Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-Sequatchie-
Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-
Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington
VA-
Including the cities of Monteagle, Hansonville, Strawberry
Plains, Big South Fork National, Lenoir City, Bybee, Tusquitee,
Morristown, Madisonville, Rockwood, Elizabethton, Athens, Elgin,
Melvine, Old Cumberland, Jefferson City, Etowah, Greeneville,
Cleveland, Bean Station, Happy Valley, Martin Springs, Grandview,
Andrews, Tasso, McMahan, Sweetwater, Appalachia, Clear Water,
Norris Lake, Newport, Caryville, Treadway, Pardee, Harriman,
Sharps Chapel, Arthur, Oliver Springs, Hayesville, Benhams, South
Holston Dam, Fincastle, Cartwright, Harrisburg, Clinton, Big
Stone Gap, Bullet Creek, Jasper, Turtletown, White Pine, Kodak,
Sneedville, Slick Rock, Archville, Jellico, Howard Quarter,
Alcoa, Sevierville, Pigeon Forge, Castlewood, Marble, Lone Oak,
Smokey Junction, Big Frog Mountain, Unaka, Clairfield, Rose Hill,
Bristol TN, Luttrell, Dandridge, Trade, Maryville, Topton,
Bristol VA, Spring City, Pine Orchard, Eagle Furnace, Royal Blue,
Rosedale, Kingston, Benton, Parksville, Laurel Bloomery, Big
Spring, Maynardville, Knoxville, High Point, Dye, Lake Forest,
Abingdon, Shady Valley, Reliance, Kyles Ford, Powells Crossroads,
Petros, Murphy, Harrogate-Shawanee, Signal Mountain, Norma,
Mountain City, Alpha, Fairview, Brayton, Dayton, White Oak,
Evensville, Johnson City, Hiawasse Dam, Evanston, Huntsville,
Oneida, Norton, Springdale, Lone Mountain, Chestnut Hill,
Ducktown, Violet, Honaker, Cagle, Doeville, Old Washington,
Loudon, Russellville, Elk Valley, Oak Ridge, Chattanooga,
Hiltons, Mount Crest, Conasauga, Neva, Bearden, Lookout Mountain,
Brasstown, Sandlick, Shooting Creek, Pikeville, Wise, Palio,
Paulette, South Pittsburg, Bradbury, Haletown (Guild), Dentville,
Mooresburg, Seymour, Coeburn, Lebanon, Dunlap, La Follette,
Kingsport, and Whitwell
1149 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 /1049 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026/

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EST /11 PM CST/ 
SUNDAY NIGHT TO 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ MONDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills from 2 to 8 degrees above zero are 
  expected.

* WHERE...Most of southwest North Carolina, east Tennessee, and 
  southwest Virginia.

* WHEN...From midnight EST /11 PM CST/ Sunday Night to 10 AM EST /9 
  AM CST/ Monday.

* IMPACTS...The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if 
  precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

&&

$$

DH

527 
WWUS74 KMRX 251701
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1201 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026

TNZ087-260530-
/O.NEW.KMRX.CW.Y.0002.260126T2300Z-260127T1700Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260126T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.CW.Y.0001.260126T0500Z-260126T1500Z/
Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Coker Creek and Citico
1201 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 
10 AM EST MONDAY...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO NOON EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 15 to 25 mph with 
  gusts up to 60 mph over the higher elevations and foothills. For 
  the Cold Weather Advisories, very cold wind chills as low as 5 to 
  10 below expected.

* WHERE...Southeast Monroe County.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 7 PM EST this evening. For 
  the first Cold Weather Advisory, from midnight tonight to 10 AM 
  EST Monday. For the second Cold Weather Advisory, from 6 PM Monday 
  to noon EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. The cold wind chills as low 
  as 5 to 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions 
  are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution 
if you must drive.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Keep pets indoors as much as possible.

&&

$$

TNZ041-043-045-047-072-074-260530-
/O.NEW.KMRX.EC.A.0001.260126T2300Z-260127T1700Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260126T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.CW.Y.0001.260126T0500Z-260126T1500Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-
Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Including the cities of Cedar Creek, Cades Cove, Limestone Cove,
Hampton, Hartford, Unicoi, Elkmont, Gatlinburg, and Erwin
1201 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 
10 AM EST MONDAY...
...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 15 to 25 mph with 
  gusts up to 75 mph over the higher elevations and foothills. For 
  the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold wind chills as low as 5 to 10 
  below expected. For the Extreme Cold Watch, dangerously cold wind 
  chills as low as 15 to 20 below possible.

* WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, Sevier 
  Smoky Mountains, Southeast Carter, Southeast Greene, and Unicoi 
  Counties.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 7 PM EST this evening. For 
  the Cold Weather Advisory, from midnight tonight to 10 AM EST 
  Monday. For the Extreme Cold Watch, from Monday evening through 
  Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. The cold wind chills could 
  result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution 
if you must drive.

Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must 
go outside.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

&&

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>017-035>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-081>086-
098>102-260530-
/O.NEW.KMRX.CW.Y.0002.260126T2300Z-260127T1700Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.CW.Y.0001.260126T0500Z-260126T1500Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-
Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Northwest Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-
Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-
Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-
East Polk-
Including the cities of Big South Fork National, Cartwright,
Palio, McMahan, Newport, Old Cumberland, Jellico, Cagle, Bean
Station, Bybee, Bullet Creek, Norris Lake, White Pine, Clear
Water, Kyles Ford, Bristol TN, Evensville, South Pittsburg,
Luttrell, White Oak, Grandview, Springdale, Topton, Evanston,
Lenoir City, Sevierville, Fincastle, Turtletown, Royal Blue,
Murphy, Melvine, South Holston Dam, Kodak, Cleveland,
Russellville, Alpha, Whitwell, Kingston, Clinton, Andrews, Lone
Mountain, Slick Rock, Strawberry Plains, Fairview, Johnson City,
Powells Crossroads, Elizabethton, Tusquitee, Monteagle,
Morristown, Lookout Mountain, Arthur, Treadway, Violet,
Mooresburg, Oneida, Maynardville, Chattanooga, Madisonville,
Harrogate-Shawanee, Bearden, Haletown (Guild), Mount Crest,
Athens, Bradbury, Alcoa, Sneedville, La Follette, Hayesville,
Rose Hill, Brayton, Sweetwater, Maryville, Martin Springs, Tasso,
Paulette, Knoxville, Harrisburg, Dunlap, Dandridge, Dayton,
Sandlick, Petros, Reliance, Big Frog Mountain, Lone Oak, Sharps
Chapel, Lake Forest, Unaka, Signal Mountain, Eagle Furnace,
Archville, Elk Valley, Ducktown, Seymour, Norma, Big Spring,
Benton, High Point, Jefferson City, Loudon, Rockwood, Shooting
Creek, Smokey Junction, Kingsport, Harriman, Pine Orchard,
Greeneville, Etowah, Pikeville, Oliver Springs, Jasper,
Conasauga, Happy Valley, Dentville, Oak Ridge, Spring City, Old
Washington, Howard Quarter, Parksville, Marble, Brasstown,
Clairfield, Caryville, Pigeon Forge, Huntsville, Hiawasse Dam,
Elgin, and Chestnut Hill
1201 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026 /1101 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026/

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EST /11 PM 
CST/ TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ MONDAY...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ MONDAY 
TO NOON EST /11 AM CST/ TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Cold Weather Advisories, very cold wind 
  chills as low as zero to 10 above zero expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina and east Tennessee.

* WHEN...For the first Cold Weather Advisory, from midnight EST /11 
  PM CST/ tonight to 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ Monday. For the second 
  Cold Weather Advisory, from 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ Monday to noon EST 
  /11 AM CST/ Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if 
  precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Keep pets indoors as much as possible.

&&

$$

TNZ018-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260530-
/O.NEW.KMRX.EC.A.0001.260126T2300Z-260127T1700Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.CW.Y.0001.260126T0500Z-260126T1500Z/
Johnson-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Shady Valley, Trade, Laurel Bloomery,
Rose Hill, Rosedale, Appalachia, Benhams, Lebanon, Coeburn,
Hiltons, Doeville, Neva, Big Stone Gap, Dye, Bristol VA,
Abingdon, Mountain City, Norton, Honaker, Castlewood, Wise,
Pardee, and Hansonville
1201 PM EST Sun Jan 25 2026

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 
10 AM EST MONDAY...
...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold wind chills as 
  zero to 5 below expected. For the Extreme Cold Watch, dangerously 
  cold wind chills as low as 10 to 20 below zero possible.

* WHERE...In Tennessee, Johnson County. In Virginia, Lee, Russell, 
  Scott VA, Washington VA, and Wise Counties.

* WHEN...For the Cold Weather Advisory, from midnight tonight to 10 
  AM EST Monday. For the Extreme Cold Watch, from Monday evening 
  through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if 
  precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must 
go outside.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
648 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 549 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

- Today will remain dry with seasonally cool temperatures.

- A significant winter storm will impact the region, primarily
  Sunday PM into Sunday. Confidence is still limited on where the
  heaviest precipitation and duration of frozen precipitation will
  occur Saturday night into early Sunday morning. All types of
  precipitation (rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow) are
  expected.

- The heaviest snow accumulations (3 inches or more) are most
  likely along the Tennessee/Kentucky border and in southwest
  Virginia. The heaviest ice accumulations (over 0.25 inches) are
  most likely along the Cumberland Plateau, northeast Tennessee,
  the mountains, and just north of Interstate 40/81. Snow
  accumulations will be more limited further south with ice
  accumulations more uncertain along the foothills and southern
  Valley.

- Extreme cold temperatures are expected Monday into Tuesday with
  highs well below freezing and overnight lows approaching or
  falling below 0. Lower wind chills are expected.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1259 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

Currently, broad troughing is in place across the eastern U.S. with
an impressive 1,050mb Arctic High moving down from Canada into the
Northern Plains. A closed low is also noted off the Baja California
Coast. Dry and cool conditions are expected to continue today with
this initial setup. However, the pattern will quickly change as the
closed low moves onshore in the southwest with the jet strengthening
to its south. The jet to our north will strengthen as well,
increasing southerly 850mb flow, upper divergence, and isentropic
lift. An eventual surface low will develop in the northern Gulf and
track up the East Coast towards Sunday and Monday.

Saturday morning, northeasterly flow will remain in place at the
surface as the Arctic High shifts eastward with 850mb temperatures
beginning at or below freezing across the whole region. Based on the
first run of several high-res model guidance, more significant dry
air is being noted across the region Saturday morning into the early
afternoon. This brings attention to lessened precipitation chances
during the day, especially during the morning hours. Throughout the
day, southerly 850mb winds will gradually increase to 30 and 40 kts
and beyond, leading to a northward shift in the warm nose. The focus
for initial precipitation is generally along and north of I-40 by
early afternoon, which would fall in the form of primarily snow with
potentially some sleet, depending on the northward extent of the
warm nose. It is not until Saturday evening into Saturday night when
precipitation spreads throughout the region. The strong southerly
850mb flow will pull the warm nose entirely north of the region,
leading to melting of snow before it reaches the ground. The
question continues to be how long places, especially in the Valley
and foothills, stay below freezing. Based on the latest data, places
in the southern Valley and the foothills (Monroe to County) will see
the shortest window of freezing rain. For southern areas, this will
be due to further proximity from northern cold air, and the
foothills will be due to strong downsloping. Interstate 40 and 81
certainly delineate lesser ice accumulations to its south vs more
significant accumulations (over 0.25 inches) to the north. These
significant accumulations also look likely along the southern
Plateau because of earlier onset and better access to colder air to
the west. Snow and sleet accumulations have also trended slightly
upward for places north of Interstates 40 and 81 because of this
initially drier air and slightly slower warm nose progression.

By the day on Sunday, 850mb flow will become more westerly but
increase to 60 kts or greater, leading to even stronger winds in the
mountains and broader WAA, turning precipitation back to primarily
rain. In addition to WAA, this will also lead to better moisture
transport and even heavier rainfall. By Sunday night, a front ahead
of another Arctic High will move through the region, leading to
significant CAA and a transition of lingering precipitation to all
snow. Depending on how long moisture remains, additional light
accumulations are likely, especially in the northern half of the
region. Very cold temperatures dropping well into the teens and even
single digits can be expected with the lingering MSLP gradient
producing winds and even lower wind chills. Moisture may linger
enough with northwesterly flow to keep chances for snow showers in
the mountains on Monday. Otherwise, the bigger story will be very
cold temperatures area-wide on Monday, likely struggling to get out
of the mid 20s for many. Lower wind chills are also possible. By
Monday night into Tuesday morning, the Arctic High will become set
up to our south with subsidence leading to extremely cold low
temperatures. For any places that have snowfall, values below 0 are
likely. Afterwards, general troughing and northwesterly flow remain
in place aloft with weak WAA helping temperatures rise at least
above freezing for most.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 549 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

Dry VFR TAFs through the period, though clouds will begin to
thicken late in the period at KCHA as the forecast winter storm
approaches. A few gusty winds at TYS and CHA under mediocre mixing
today, gusts to 20 knots in generally northerly flow. Winds
around 10-15 knots to persist into the night. Lighter winds at
KTRI.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             48  28  39  32 /   0  20  70 100
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  46  25  36  30 /   0  10  80 100
Oak Ridge, TN                       45  23  34  29 /   0  10  80 100
Tri Cities Airport, TN              44  19  37  27 /   0   0  70 100

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Sunday evening for
     Cherokee-Clay.

TN...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Sunday evening for
     Anderson-Bledsoe-Blount Smoky Mountains-Bradley-Campbell-
     Claiborne-Cocke Smoky Mountains-East Polk-Grainger-Hamblen-
     Hamilton-Hancock-Hawkins-Jefferson-Johnson-Knox-Loudon-
     Marion-McMinn-Meigs-Morgan-North Sevier-Northwest Blount-
     Northwest Carter-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene-Northwest
     Monroe-Rhea-Roane-Scott TN-Sequatchie-Sevier Smoky
     Mountains-Southeast Carter-Southeast Greene-Southeast
     Monroe-Sullivan-Unicoi-Union-Washington TN-West Polk.

VA...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Sunday evening for
     Lee-Russell-Scott VA-Washington VA-Wise.

&&

DISCUSSION...BW
AVIATION...Wellington

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1239 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-240545-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
1239 AM EST Fri Jan 23 2026 /1139 PM CST Thu Jan 22 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North
Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

....COMPLEX WINTER STORM SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

A storm system will approach the region later on Saturday into
Sunday. As cold air moves into the region, impactful wintry
precipitation is forecast. A wintry mix of snow, sleet, freezing
rain, and rain is expected across the region with significant
travel impacts forecast Saturday evening through Sunday morning.

...STRONG MOUNTAIN WINDS...

Mountain wave winds will be possible later Saturday into early
Sunday with wind gusts across the mountains and foothills up to
about 40 mph. This will also result in warming temperatures across
the foothills with a quick changeover to rain near the western
foothills of the mountains.

...COLD TEMPERATURES AND POSSIBLE LINGERING OF WINTERY
ACCUMULATION...

Very cold temperatures are expected behind this departing storm
system with low temperatures in the single digits on Monday night
through Tuesday morning with wind chill values as cold as -5 to
-15 degrees across the higher elevations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports of snow and/or ice accumulation will be needed
this weekend.