Special Weather Statement, NWS Mobile, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1125 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1037 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

- Hot conditions continue today with heat index values of 108-112 possible.

- Thunderstorm chances increase this afternoon through the
  weekend. A few storms may produce strong to locally damaging
  wind gusts, torrential rainfall, and frequent cloud to ground
  lightning.

- A High Risk of rip currents is expected to return this weekend
  for all area beaches.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1037 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

The heat finally begins to relax as we enter a much more active
pattern for showers and thunderstorms late week into the weekend.
Upper troughing begins to nudge its way into the area as upper
ridging retreats westward, allowing for northerly flow aloft to
prevail through Friday night and more westerly flow around the
base of the trough this weekend. This will allow for several
weak shortwaves to track across the region over the next few
days, providing for daily scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms. A surface cold front attempts to work its way
southward towards the area, but will likely hang up just north of
the forecast area. Today is the last day of heat advisories as
heat indices rise into the 108 to 112 range this afternoon, with
heat indices below criteria in the 100 to 105 range Friday
areawide. With that said, high temperatures top out in the middle
to upper 90's today and upper 80's to lower 90's Friday and into
the weekend. Overnight lows stay hot in the middle to upper 70's.

With the increase in coverage of showers and storms, there will
also be a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms any given
afternoon through this weekend. Some mid-level dry air begins
working its way into the area which should allow for more robust
downdrafts with any storms. Strong to locally damaging wind gusts
associated with these microbursts will be possible in any storm,
particularly as we get into the weekend. Shear is fairly weak, but
can't rule out some loosely organized multi-cell clusters or
bowing segments. In addition to this, locally heavy rainfall is
likely with storms. If storms train over the same areas or decide
to sit over any given location for a prolonged period of time,
localized flash flooding could be possible.

As we head into next week the upper trough lifts out and we
gradually get upper ridging to work its way back into the area.
Afternoon highs warm into the lower to middle 90's again and rain
chances diminish to more isolated to scattered coverage each day
next week.

A Moderate risk of rip currents continues today through Friday,
becoming a High risk of rip currents for all area beaches as we
get into the weekend. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1037 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

VFR flight category is expected to prevail across the area through
tonight. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are
expected this afternoon and evening across the region, temporarily
reducing flight category and potentially producing variable and
strong wind gusts. Winds remain generally out of the west around 5
to 10 knots today, relaxing to light and variable at night. MM/25

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1037 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

Light to moderate westerly winds becomes a moderate to occasionally
strong westerly to southwesterly flow for Saturday night through
Sunday before diminishing on Monday. Small Craft should exercise
caution this weekend, and forecast trends will be monitored for
the potential need of Small Craft Advisories at some point this
weekend. Scattered to numerous showers and storms become possible
through late week, with best chances this weekend. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      75  92  75  91 /  50  80  50  60
Pensacola   79  91  77  90 /  50  80  70  70
Destin      80  90  78  89 /  40  80  70  80
Evergreen   73  92  72  88 /  40  70  50  80
Waynesboro  74  93  74  91 /  40  80  40  60
Camden      74  91  73  87 /  40  60  50  80
Crestview   75  93  74  90 /  50  80  60  80

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>053-059-
     261>266.

FL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

MS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-
     079.

GM...None.
&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
210 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

ALZ261-302000-
Mobile Inland AL-
210 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN MOBILE COUNTY
THROUGH 300 PM CDT...

At 210 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Gulfcrest, or 4 miles south of Citronelle, moving southeast at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Satsuma, Citronelle, Creola, Chunchula, Gulfcrest, and Axis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3102 8833 3113 8821 3098 8792 3079 8813
      3079 8818
TIME...MOT...LOC 1910Z 314DEG 13KT 3102 8822

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
212 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

ALZ051-MSZ067-302000-
Choctaw AL-Wayne MS-
212 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN CHOCTAW AND
NORTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM CDT...

At 212 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southeast of Shubuta, or 9 miles northeast of Waynesboro,
moving southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern
Choctaw and northeastern Wayne Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3181 8828 3170 8845 3170 8846 3169 8846
      3162 8856 3177 8871 3186 8861 3189 8848
      3191 8847
TIME...MOT...LOC 1912Z 311DEG 7KT 3180 8857

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
221 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

FLZ202>204-302000-
Santa Rosa Coastal FL-Escambia Coastal FL-Santa Rosa Inland FL-
221 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN SANTA ROSA AND
SOUTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM CDT...

At 221 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Goulding, moving east at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Pensacola, Ferry Pass, Brent, West Pensacola, Ensley, Warrington,
Gulf Breeze, Goulding, Myrtle Grove, Oriole Beach, Navarre, Pensacola
Beach, and Floridatown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3032 8749 3041 8743 3042 8740 3044 8739
      3045 8741 3057 8735 3058 8729 3061 8727
      3051 8681 3026 8695 3022 8718
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 282DEG 6KT 3045 8718

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
250 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

ALZ264-266-FLZ201-202-302030-
Baldwin Coastal AL-Baldwin Central AL-Escambia Inland FL-
Escambia Coastal FL-
250 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN BALDWIN AND SOUTH
CENTRAL ESCAMBIA COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM CDT...

At 250 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Lillian, or 9 miles west of West Pensacola. This storm was nearly
stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Brent, West Pensacola, Ensley, Warrington, Gonzalez, Goulding,
Lillian, and Myrtle Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3039 8754 3059 8751 3063 8729 3063 8724
      3062 8726 3060 8724 3060 8723 3059 8723
      3058 8722 3032 8722
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 270DEG 4KT 3047 8744

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
302 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

ALZ060-FLZ205-302045-
Covington AL-Okaloosa Inland FL-
302 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL COVINGTON AND
NORTHEASTERN OKALOOSA COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM CDT...

At 302 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lockhart, or near Florala, moving south at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Florala, Laurel Hill, and Lockhart.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8639 3081 8639 3081 8648 3107 8648
      3107 8628 3099 8627
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 359DEG 5KT 3099 8639

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
321 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

MSZ067-302100-
Wayne MS-
321 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN WAYNE COUNTY
THROUGH 400 PM CDT...

At 321 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles southeast of Heidelberg, or 15 miles northeast of Laurel. This
storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Wayne
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3182 8894 3183 8889 3183 8881 3168 8874
      3167 8894
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 359DEG 3KT 3182 8895

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MM