Alert archive / Alabama / Special Weather Statements in 2026
Special Weather Statement, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this special weather statement at Jul 18, 2026, 7:41 PM CDT for Crenshaw County, Alabama. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 18, 2026, 7:41 PM CDT (00:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 18, 2026, 8:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 49 min
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Hail
- 0.00 in
- Wind
- 40
County Crenshaw County, AL
The radar
The Maxwell AFB radar (KMXX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1541 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -15 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1357 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 8 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 20 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 63 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 18, 6:53 PM CDT, 48 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 653 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
- Scattered storms expected each afternoon and evening this weekend into the coming week with gusty downburst winds being the main threat.
- Warming trend is possible next week with the heat index potentially soaring to 105-111 across portions of the area.
- There is a moderate (40%) probability of tropical development over the northern Gulf over the next 7 days.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 6:53 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
653 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 653 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
- Scattered storms expected each afternoon and evening this
weekend into the coming week with gusty downburst winds being
the main threat.
- Warming trend is possible next week with the heat index
potentially soaring to 105-111 across portions of the area.
- There is a moderate (40%) probability of tropical development
over the northern Gulf over the next 7 days.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 653 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Isolated to scattered storms are beginning to wane as we approach
sunset. The forecast remains on track and no updates are needed.
SS/97
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 151 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Through Tuesday...An upper low over the northeastern Gulf meanders
westward over the northern Gulf as an upper high over the western
tropical Atlantic builds west over the Caribbean and Southeast.
Small differences in the path of this low and its associated surface
low are leading to various probabilities in the development of a
possible tropical system over the northern Gulf. The further south
of the northern Gulf the surface low passes, the greater the chance
of a tropical system developing. Guidance varies in the
path/development/speed. As of the 2pm update, NHC is advertising a
40% chance of developing into a tropical system as it meanders east.
The current forecast is based upon the upper low taking a west-
northwest track, with the associated surface low taking a more
northwesterly path, moving inland over the western Florida
panhandle. With this track, deep layer moisture generally remains
over the forecast area and nearby, with a quick band of low moisture
moving over the forecast area Sunday night. The upper system
weakens, with most guidance advertising an upper trough over the
northern Gulf by Tuesday evening. Highest PoPs remain south of the
coast through the short term. Over land, scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms see a bit of a downward trend as best
instability decreases with increasing cloud cover as the main
circulation moves over the forecast area. Enough instability is
present (MLCapes rising to around 2500J/kg each day) for strong to
severe storms. Very weak wind shear will help to lean any storms
towards a pulse type severe.
With the better up subsidence over the Lower Mississippi River
Valley, combined with increased cloud cover over eastern portions of
the forecast area, a west to east gradient in high temperatures is
expected. High temperatures ranging from the upper 90s over and west
of the Mississippi/Alabama state line, with low 90s east are
expected. Low temperatures in the low to mid 70s expected. Heat
indices creep upwards into the coming week, with Heat Advisory
levels expected along and west of the Mississippi/Alabama state line
Sunday, west of the Tombigbee River by Tuesday.
Wednesday on, the upper low/trough mixes out, with an upper ridge
over the Southern Plains building east over the Southeast. PoPs
decrease as upper subsidence increases, with a weak cold front
bringing a bit drier airmass over the Southeast mid week. Even with
the increasing upper subsidence, cooler air moves over the forecast
area the end of the week behind the front, with temperatures
dropping below seasonal norms. High Heat Indices continue to be a
problem for the forecast area Wednesday, dropping below Advisory
levels for Thursday.
Taking a look at the Rip Current risk on area beaches, a light to at
times moderate offshore flow will limit onshore swell, with a Low
Risk of Rip Currents into the early part of the week. Increasing
onshore swell and an increasing tidal range will increase the Rip
Risk to Moderate to High Wednesday on.
/16
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 653 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
Winds are decreasing as we approach sunset and will prevail
northerly to northeasterly at 5-10 knots by morning. There are some
indications of isolated to scattered showers and storms around
daybreak mainly for our counties in the northwest Florida panhandle,
so a PROB30 remains for the KPNS and KJKA terminals. Scattered to
numerous showers and storms develop tomorrow afternoon. These storms
are accompanied by gusty winds and drops of cigs/vis to MVFR and
even locally IFR within the strongest storms. SS/97
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 151 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
A developing system over the Gulf will bring increasing
flow, mainly south of the coast into the coming week. A Small Craft
Advisory may be needed in the coming week.
/16
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 75 96 75 96 / 30 50 40 60
Pensacola 77 93 77 94 / 60 70 30 60
Destin 77 91 77 91 / 70 60 30 70
Evergreen 73 93 72 93 / 30 60 40 50
Waynesboro 75 98 75 97 / 10 20 30 30
Camden 74 91 74 92 / 10 50 40 30
Crestview 73 93 72 94 / 70 60 30 70
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 7 PM CDT Sunday for MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...None.
&&In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 18, 5:13 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
513 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
ALZ053-055-182300-
Clarke AL-Monroe AL-
513 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL MONROE AND EAST
CENTRAL CLARKE COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM CDT...
At 513 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Whatley, or 9 miles southeast of Grove Hill, moving south at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Whatley.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3174 8773 3172 8753 3138 8751 3143 8786
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 015DEG 10KT 3162 8766
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
RDLocal storm report, Jul 18, 5:24 PM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mobile AL
524 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0513 PM Marine Tstm Wind 5 ESE Destin 30.39N 86.41W
07/18/2026 M41 MPH Okaloosa FL Mesonet
Mesonet station XCBS reports a gust of 41
mph.
&&
SSSpecial weather statement, Jul 18, 5:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
552 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
ALZ264-266-FLZ201-202-182345-
Baldwin Coastal AL-Baldwin Central AL-Escambia Inland FL-
Escambia Coastal FL-
552 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN BALDWIN AND SOUTH
CENTRAL ESCAMBIA COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM CDT...
At 552 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles west of Gonzalez, moving south at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
West Pensacola, Gonzalez, Orange Beach, Lillian, Myrtle Grove, and
Perdido Beach.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3070 8755 3069 8728 3030 8728 3025 8761
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 008DEG 21KT 3059 8741
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
RDSpecial weather statement, Jul 18, 6:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
613 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
ALZ262-264-FLZ201-190000-
Baldwin Central AL-Baldwin Inland AL-Escambia Inland FL-
613 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL BALDWIN AND
NORTHWESTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM CDT...
At 612 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southwest of Bratt, or 10 miles south of Atmore, moving south
at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central
Baldwin and northwestern Escambia Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3094 8764 3093 8741 3061 8738 3064 8772
TIME...MOT...LOC 2312Z 004DEG 18KT 3087 8751
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
RDSpecial weather statement, Jul 18, 7:07 PM CDT, 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
707 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
ALZ058-060-190045-
Covington AL-Crenshaw AL-
707 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN CRENSHAW AND
NORTHEASTERN COVINGTON COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM CDT...
At 707 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Glenwood, or 4 miles southeast of Luverne, moving southwest at 15
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Luverne, Brantley, Dozier, and Glenwood.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3153 8616 3153 8620 3135 8620 3150 8651
3177 8625 3171 8615 3166 8615 3166 8616
3165 8616 3163 8618 3162 8618 3162 8615
3154 8614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0007Z 029DEG 12KT 3166 8622
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
RDSpecial weather statement, Jul 18, 7:41 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
741 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
ALZ057-058-190130-
Butler AL-Crenshaw AL-
741 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN BUTLER AND NORTHERN
CRENSHAW COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM CDT...
At 741 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Naftel, or 7 miles southwest of Meadville, moving south at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Petrey and Highland Home.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3181 8655 3197 8649 3197 8640 3203 8641
3204 8640 3205 8641 3205 8630 3197 8630
3197 8620 3196 8618 3189 8617 3179 8620
3179 8615 3172 8615
TIME...MOT...LOC 0041Z 010DEG 16KT 3200 8625
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
RDThe office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 7:07 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Crenshaw | 38 min |
| Jul 18, 7:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Crenshaw | 52 min |
| Jul 18, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington, Crenshaw | 32 min |
| Jul 18, 8:56 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Covington | 49 min |
| Jul 19, 10:11 AM CDT | Tropical Storm Watch | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 48 hr |
| Jul 19, 12:27 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 78 min | |
| Jul 19, 1:20 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Baldwin | 40 min |
| Jul 19, 2:19 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Baldwin | 41 min |
| Jul 19, 2:53 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Baldwin | 37 min |
| Jul 19, 2:54 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 45 min | |
| Jul 19, 4:12 PM CDT | Rip Current Statement | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 5 days |
| Jul 19, 4:14 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Baldwin | 46 min |
| Jul 19, 5:25 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 50 min | |
| Jul 19, 5:26 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Escambia | 34 min |
| Jul 19, 6:09 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Escambia | 3 hr |
| Jul 19, 6:38 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Santa Rosa | 3 hr |
| Jul 19, 12:17 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | MOB | George, Greene, Perry, Stone, Wayne | 53 hr |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Alabama, 2026Every special weather statement in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.