Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS Mobile, AL

656 
WWUS54 KMOB 200104
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
804 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MSC041-111-153-200114-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-260620T0115Z/
Perry MS-Wayne MS-Greene MS-
804 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN PERRY...
SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE AND NORTHWESTERN GREENE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3138 8909 3143 8899 3143 8894 3156 8894
      3146 8854 3117 8859 3109 8886
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 315DEG 26KT 3135 8866 3123 8871 3119 8879 

$$

RD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
727 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 705 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

 - Moderate Risk of Flash Flooding today for much of the local
   area which lessens to Slight Risk on Saturday.

 - There remains a HIGH RISK of rip currents through Saturday for
   Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

 - A Heat Advisory has been issued for southern portions of the
   area today.

&&

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 705 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

The central Gulf coast remains in chaotic weather pattern with a
summer-time high CAPE (SB CAPES 3000-5000 J/KG)/Low Shear (<30
kts) environment and deep moisture with PWAT's 2.0-2.2"
contributing to scattered to numerous showers and a few
thunderstorms carrying over into the evening. At the same time,
the driving force for convective initiation is interaction of
numerous mesoscale boundaries. The strongest of storms have been
prolific lightning and locally heavy rainfall producers. A few
storms this evening could be strong to briefly severe. Although
the areal flash flood watch has expired, forecasters will handle
any problematic/slow moving heavy rain rate storms with targeted
short fused flood advisories and/or flash flood warnings as
needed. /10

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 110 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

The area is still feeling residual impacts from the significant
rainfall yesterday. Currently there are scattered showers and
thunderstorms working their way through the area and this is
projected to continue through much of the day into the evening.

The heat has returned for today and it is very sticky out there with
dewpoints in the upper 70s and even low 80s in spots along the coast
with temperatures approaching 90. We have opted to issue a Heat
Advisory for our southern Mississippi counties, Mobile and southern
Baldwin counties in Alabama, and coastal areas of the western
Florida panhandle. This advisory lasts through this evening for heat
indices up to 108. We will monitor the heat risk for the beginning
of next week as values creep up again towards advisory criteria.

...THROUGH SATURDAY...

There is an east-west oriented front across central Alabama is the
focus for convection late this morning/early afternoon and it will
drop south through the day today and becomes very slow moving/stall
on Saturday before moving back north. This will bring additional
rainfall to some already hard hit areas from yesterday, so the risk
for flooding is still high today given the lingering impacts. Our
risk for excessive rainfall from WPC is a MODERATE for day 1 and the
day 2 risk is SLIGHT for essentially all of the CWA. A marginal risk
from the SPC for severe storms also exists on today for the entire
area. This is mainly for the afternoon and evening hours as the
boundary moves into the area with increased instability and a wind
risk could be realized if convection organizes along the boundary.

The environment looks to be pretty similar today and tomorrow. Our
significant deep layer moisture is beginning to wane. PWATs have
been very high this week in the 2.3-2.5 inch range and are now
beginning to drop. These will steadily drop to below 2 inches by
Saturday and to near normal by Monday. 48 hour LPMMs for interior
counties in south central Alabama show a widespread swath of 2-5
inches. FFG is very low given previous days of rainfall and
antecedent soil conditions being completely saturated. 1 hour FFG is
generally at or below 2 inches and 3 hour FFG is not much better
topping out at 2.5-3 inches in most locations. There are some areas
through our southeast Mississippi counties and into southern Alabama
where the FFG for 1 and 3 hours is only about 1 inch. The exception
is areas along the coast, generally south of I-10, where 1 hour FFG
is ~4 inches. We are still very saturated through ~850mb and warm
mid-level temperatures with a freezing level of 15,000+ feet will
still support efficient warm rain processes today with rainfall
rates up to 2.5-3 inches/hour. Rainfall totals today and tomorrow
are expected to be 1-3 inches with localized areas reaching up to 4-
5 inches where convection trains given the slow moving/stalled
boundary. Given the antecedent conditions and lower FFG, the
Flood Watch continues through early this evening. There may be
enough time to drain and dry out some depending on the convective
coverage of today before tomorrows rainfall.

We currently have multiple rivers in or projected to increase to
moderate flood stage with a majority of rivers in minor flood stage.
Some of our "flashier" locations like Bayou Sara at Saraland, the
Fish River, and Styx River already have or are currently peaking and
forecasted to drop below minor flood stage by tomorrow morning.

...SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK...

We look to stay under zonal flow aloft with high pressure building
into the Gulf through this weekend. The broad trough pattern in
place across the eastern half of the CONUS takes on more of a
meridional orientation before moving offshore this weekend. Slight
chance to chance pops follow for Sunday, then dry conditions are
anticipated on Monday then slight chance to chance pops return for
Tuesday. We will keep an eye on heat risk for the beginning of next
week, but as of now it looks to stay below criteria. By mid week,
troughing and associated shortwaves return to the eastern CONUS
which could bring some slight heat relief and chances for showers
and storms.

...BEACH FORECAST...

Hazardous beach conditions continue today with lingering impacts
from the departing system. All area beaches are flying double red
flags again today. The rip current risk is still a HIGH for all
Florida and Alabama beaches through Saturday afternoon, becoming
moderate through Monday. NWPS shows breakers of 5-6 feet through
early evening, especially for our Florida beaches. A High Surf
Advisory remains in effect through Friday evening for our Gulf
coastline.

SS/97

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 629 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Scattered to numerous shra/few tsra continues over the region this
evening. Cigs lower to MVFR categories and vsby briefly down LIFR
in the strongest convection. A diurnal decrease in activity is
anticipated as we go into the night with an uptick in coverages
again Saturday. Cigs/vsby lowering in and near tsra and brief
strong convective wind gusts. /10

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 328 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Small Craft Should Exercise Caution on the Gulf this morning.
Light to occasional moderate mainly southwesterly flow will occur
through early next week shifting to a more westerly component on
Tuesday. Seas around 6 feet this morning will slowly subside to 2
to 3 feet by the end of the week. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      76  89  75  88 /  50  70  30  30
Pensacola   78  89  78  89 /  50  70  30  30
Destin      78  87  78  87 /  50  60  30  40
Evergreen   72  85  72  88 /  50  80  30  70
Waynesboro  73  86  73  88 /  60  90  40  60
Camden      71  83  71  86 /  40  90  30  70
Crestview   74  88  73  89 /  60  80  30  60

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
455 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

ALZ263-192230-
Mobile Central AL-
455 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY
THROUGH 530 PM CDT...

At 455 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Tanner Williams, or 16 miles northeast of Escatawpa, moving east at
15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Tillmans Corner, Theodore, Semmes, Tanner Williams, and Mobile
Regional Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3053 8817 3059 8841 3080 8841 3079 8813
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 277DEG 11KT 3070 8843

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

RD

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mobile AL
503 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 ENE Magnolia Grove Go 30.75N 88.18W
06/18/2026                   Mobile             AL   Broadcast Media

            Broadcast media relays photos of multiple
            trees down blocking the road at the 6100
            block of Moffett Road. Photo shows a tree on
            one car. Report was at 830, but no
            significant wind based on radar at this
            time. May have been from the leading edge of
            the storm around 7pm.

&&

SS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mobile AL
506 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SSE Medal of Honor Pa 30.63N 88.17W
06/18/2026                   Mobile             AL   Broadcast Media

            Broadcast Media shows a photo of a large
            tree down on Knollwood Drive near Briarfield
            Lane. Time estimated by radar.

&&

SS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
532 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

ALZ263>265-192315-
Mobile Coastal AL-Baldwin Central AL-Mobile Central AL-
532 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL MOBILE AND SOUTHWESTERN
BALDWIN COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM CDT...

At 531 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Theodore, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Midtown Mobile, Daphne, Tillmans Corner, Fairhope, Theodore, and I10
And I65.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3053 8829 3072 8818 3064 8781 3050 8782
      3041 8787 3042 8790 3049 8791 3049 8793
      3048 8794 3047 8792 3041 8791 3039 8788
      3036 8790
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 295DEG 19KT 3056 8816

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
611 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

ALZ264-266-200000-
Baldwin Coastal AL-Baldwin Central AL-
611 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY THROUGH
700 PM CDT...

At 611 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Spanish Fort to 4 miles southeast of
Daphne to 4 miles south of Point Clear. Movement was east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Robertsdale, Point Clear,
Loxley, Magnolia Springs, Stapleton, Summerdale, Silverhill, Perdido
Beach, and Elberta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3039 8803 3056 8794 3076 8799 3079 8774
      3079 8756 3074 8752 3072 8750 3072 8748
      3070 8747 3070 8745 3067 8741 3064 8739
      3061 8740 3060 8741 3056 8742 3052 8745
      3049 8743 3029 8751
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 268DEG 21KT 3070 8789 3057 8784 3042 8791

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
716 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MSZ067-075-076-200100-
Perry MS-Greene MS-Wayne MS-
716 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN PERRY...WAYNE AND
NORTHWESTERN GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 715 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 5 miles northeast of Mill Creek to 4 miles east
of Ovett to near Macedonia. Movement was southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Waynesboro, Richton, Clara, and New Augusta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 8915 3143 8894 3181 8894 3176 8858
      3134 8859 3117 8900 3129 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 0015Z 296DEG 18KT 3174 8888 3149 8895 3140 8913

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

RD