Severe Thunderstorm Warning 62, NWS Mobile, AL

589 
WWUS54 KMOB 240934
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
434 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

ALC097-241000-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0062.000000T0000Z-260524T1000Z/
Mobile AL-
434 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN MOBILE COUNTY...

At 434 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 5 miles east of Big Point to 6 miles north of Alabama
Port, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Midtown Mobile, Downtown Mobile, Tillmans Corner, Theodore, Tanner
Williams, I10 And I65, and Mobile Regional Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3050 8840 3081 8841 3070 8800 3038 8807
TIME...MOT...LOC 0934Z 186DEG 32KT 3057 8840 3045 8809 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

MM

705 
WWUS54 KMOB 240946
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
446 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

ALC097-240956-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0062.000000T0000Z-260524T1000Z/
Mobile AL-
446 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN MOBILE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However, gusty winds are
still possible with these thunderstorms.

LAT...LON 3050 8840 3081 8841 3070 8800 3038 8807
TIME...MOT...LOC 0943Z 186DEG 31KT 3065 8839 3053 8808 

$$

MM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
323 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 319 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

 - Strong to severe storms are possible early this morning as a
   complex of storms rolls across the northern Gulf. Gusty winds
   are the main concern.

 - Flash flooding remains a concern over the next several days,
   especially west of I-65, with multiple rounds of heavy
   rainfall.

 - Moderate Rip Current Risk continues today through Memorial Day
   for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. The risk
   increases to HIGH Monday night through at least mid-week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 319 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

Numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue to overspread the
area through daybreak. A line of strong thunderstorms is
approaching southwest Alabama over the next hour or two, with an
MCV trailing behind it. This complex will continue to traverse the
area, bringing with it moderate to heavy rainfall, frequent
lightning, and gusty winds. Observed VAD hodographs are small and
curved, with just enough shear and SRH to support a low end
tornado threat in any mini spinnies (small supercells) that
develop. While rain rates are not particularly impressive at the
moment, any supercells or training storms will pose a problem for
locally higher rain rates in excess of 2" per hour. If this sets
up over the spots that have had problems the past couple days,
then flash flooding could become a concern in the coming hours.
MM/25

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 120 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

There's not much activity on radar across our area as of 06z,
however, our eyes are on the convective complex to our west that
is rolling across the northern Gulf. Most of the CAMs are not
handling the future evolution of this complex very well as many of
the models show the complex falling apart over the next few
hours. Our current thinking is that this complex will hold
together and make it into our local area, as there are no
environmental cues that indicate that this batch of storms will
fall apart. Cloud tops continue to cool, even as the storms skirt
across the southernmost parishes in Louisiana. Based on the
current trajectory, if the storms hold together and move inland,
the storms will likely reach our southeast Mississippi counties
between 08-09z and our coastal Alabama counties by 09-10z. Based
on what we are seeing upstream, expect gusty winds with the
potential for a few Severe Thunderstorm Warnings and Marine
Warnings as this complex rolls across a portion of the area. We
have less of a concern with flooding given the forward progression
of the complex, however, any additional rainfall in central
Mobile County this morning will be a problem given the saturated
soils from storms over the past 36 hours.

A wet pattern will persist through the week as the area remains on
the western periphery of a ridge over the western Atlantic. Deep
onshore flow continues with PWATs surging to over 2.0 inches at
times throughout the week. Multiple subtle shortwaves will ride
through the flow aloft, providing ample ascent for the development
of showers and storms each day. Heavy rainfall will be the
predominant concern, although we cannot rule out a few strong to
potentially severe storms with gusty downburst winds each afternoon.
Storms will be capable of quickly dropping 1-2 inches of rain in a
short period of time over the next few days. Overall, we currently
have an additional 3-5 inches of rain in the forecast (mainly west
of I-65) through the holiday weekend and into the week, but in
reality, we could see those amounts fall in a day if storms
repeatedly move over the same locations. The recent HREF localized
probability-matched mean (LPMM) shows a bullseye of 7-10 inches of
rain across our southeast Mississippi counties with 3-5 inches
across Mobile County on Monday alone, which would be problematic
from a flooding standpoint (to say the least). Given the significant
flooding on Friday in central Mobile County and the very saturated
soils, that area in particular will be highly susceptible to
additional flash flooding in the coming days.

Beach Forecast - Risk for rip currents is MODERATE through Memorial
Day, but quickly increases to a HIGH risk Monday night through at
least the middle of the week. 07/mb

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

MVFR to IFR flight category is expected to prevail across the
forecast area through the rest of tonight into the morning hours,
with MVFR ceilings likely lingering through much of the day
Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms may become more prevalent prior
to daybreak as a large complex of storms moves in from the
southwest. This activity should relax mid to late morning, with
another round during the afternoon into early evening hours.
Temporary reductions in flight category can be expected with any
showers or storms. Winds will remain generally out of the
southeast at 5 to 10 knots through the day Monday. MM/25

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

Light to moderate southeasterly flow will continue to prevail
into early next week. Seas will generally be 2 to 3 feet through
Monday afternoon, increasing to 3 to 4 feet Monday night into
Tuesday. No impacts are expected other than locally higher winds
and seas possible near thunderstorms. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      84  71  82  72 /  90  70  90  70
Pensacola   85  74  82  74 /  50  60  90  70
Destin      85  74  83  75 /  40  30  80  70
Evergreen   86  70  82  70 /  80  60  90  50
Waynesboro  80  69  80  69 /  90  60 100  60
Camden      83  68  80  69 /  80  50  90  60
Crestview   89  71  84  71 /  60  40  90  60

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT early this morning for
     ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT early this morning for
     FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
332 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

ALZ263-265-266-240930-
Mobile Coastal AL-Baldwin Coastal AL-Mobile Central AL-
332 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN MOBILE AND
SOUTHWESTERN BALDWIN COUNTIES THROUGH 430 AM CDT...

At 331 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 11 miles west of Petit Bois Island to 28 miles
south of Dauphin Island. Movement was north at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Gulf Shores, Theodore, Grand Bay, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island,
Coden, Fort Morgan, and Alabama Port.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3022 8838 3033 8840 3035 8839 3038 8841
      3039 8841 3038 8840 3074 8841 3026 8768
      3022 8773
TIME...MOT...LOC 0831Z 201DEG 34KT 3021 8869 2988 8829

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

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