Severe Thunderstorm Warning 55, NWS Mobile, AL

571 
WWUS54 KMOB 081658
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1158 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

MSC111-131-081715-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0055.000000T0000Z-260508T1715Z/
Perry MS-Stone MS-
1158 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN PERRY AND NORTHEASTERN STONE COUNTIES...

At 1158 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles east of
Wiggins, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wiggins.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3081 8917 3091 8916 3091 8914 3095 8914
      3100 8894 3100 8889 3079 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 1658Z 270DEG 34KT 3087 8906 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

MM

854 
WWUS54 KMOB 081709
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1209 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

MSC111-131-081719-
/O.EXP.KMOB.SV.W.0055.000000T0000Z-260508T1715Z/
Perry MS-Stone MS-
1209 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN PERRY AND
NORTHEASTERN STONE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1215 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3081 8917 3091 8916 3091 8914 3095 8914
      3100 8894 3100 8889 3079 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 1709Z 270DEG 34KT 3087 8897 

$$

MM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
950 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 950 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

 - Strong to severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall potentially
   resulting in localized flash flooding remain possible today
   through Monday.

 - A Moderate risk of rip currents will occur today through the
   upcoming weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 950 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

An active pattern persists over the next few days across the
region with several rounds of showers and thunderstorms expected
through Sunday. Throughout the period, storms may be strong to
severe, along with the potential for heavy rainfall and flash
flooding. More details on this can be found below.

For the rest of today, we can expect scattered showers and storms
to begin developing and moving across the forecast area from west
to east by late morning into early afternoon. We are already
seeing strong to severe storms developing across Louisiana that
will likely continue progressing eastward into our southeast
Mississippi counties between 11am and 2pm before progressing into
our Alabama and Florida Panhandle counties this afternoon into
early evening. Most of these storms will be elevated as a warm
front remains well south offshore, however the presence of
1,000j/kg of MUCAPE and deep layer shear approaching 60 knots will
support elevated supercells rooted around the 1km AGL layer with
a large to hail threat. Some of these storms could produce hail
over two inches in diameter in the most robust supercells.
Additionally, there will be the potential for storms to train over
the same areas, with a focus more towards the coastal counties
and far southeastern Mississippi counties. This may promote the
potential for heavy rainfall and flash flooding, particularly in
our urban areas that are more susceptible to flooding. The
expectation is for storms to push out of the area by late
afternoon into early evening, with the atmosphere reseting for the
next round late into the overnight and morning hours Saturday.

As we head into late tonight and Saturday, another shortwave will
progress across the area. The expectation is for the warm front
offshore to begin lifting northward onshore. Model guidance is
beginning to become enthused about an MCS tracking into the area
from the northwest prior to daybreak, eventually pushing offshore
by mid to late morning. Steep mid-level lapse rates will be
present along with ample CAPE and shear allowing for robust
updrafts to develop within the MCS. The biggest question is when
does this complex enter better instability and interact with the
warm front. Initially storms may be somewhat elevated as they
move into our interior southeast Mississippi into southwest
Alabama counties, but as the warm front lifts north and surface
heating begins by daybreak we will likely see storms become
surface based and shift from a large hail and strong wind threat
to an all hazards threat south of the Highway 84 corridor to the
coast. This complex should shift offshore by late morning, and at
the moment there is no anticipation for renewed development during
the afternoon as the atmosphere will be worked over. Models have
overall struggled with depicting a consistent evolution of the
associated shortwaves with each round of storms, but there is a
better consensus towards this morning complex with recent
iterations of the CAM guidance.

Confidence on timing and intensity of subsequent storms Sunday are
a bit more uncertain as CAM guidance begins to diverge on the
evolution of everything but the expectation is for adequate shear
and instability to still be in place to support at least a low end
threat for strong to severe storms. Very steep mid-level lapse
rates near or over 7.5C/km overspread the area creating a
favorable environment for robust updrafts in any storms that
develop. Primary hazards with storms Sunday presently look to be
damaging winds and large hail.

Monday we will see the main cold front progressing into the area
with another potent shortwave moving through. Once again, the
shear and cape environment are more than adequate for strong to
severe thunderstorms with the potential for damaging winds and
large hail. There remains variance on how quickly everything moves
through, but as of right now timing appears to be early morning
into the afternoon hours for the best coverage of storms.

The next few days will feature numerous rounds of showers and
storms, and with that the potential for flash flooding. HREF
ensemble LPMM indicates the potential for widespread 1 to 3 inches
of rain over the next 36 to 48 hours, with a focused corridor of
up to 4 inches or greater across our southeast Mississippi into
southwestern Alabama counties through Saturday evening. The
potential exists for locally higher totals, which could be
problematic particularly for our urban areas. Additional heavy
rainfall will be possible across the forecast area after this
period through Monday, however confidence on location and totals
is a bit more uncertain. Despite this, the focus will continue to
be on urban areas that see training storms and any interior areas
that see significant training of very heavy thunderstorms each
day.

The forecast dries out Tuesday into late week with no impactful
weather anticipated at this time and seasonable to slightly above
normal temperatures expected for that period. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 816 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

MVFR ceilings are expected to prevail through much of the day.
Over the next hours, showers and thunderstorms will start to
develop and pass across the area through the afternoon. Highest
coverage looks to be over the southern half of the area. Expect
brief reductions in ceilings and visibility in some of the heavier
storms. Rain chances decrease by the evening hours, with low-end
MVFR ceilings remaining prevalent, potentially becoming IFR after
midnight. Light northerly to northeasterly winds this morning
will turn more easterly to southeasterly by the afternoon/evening
hours. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 220 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

A light to occasionally moderate northeasterly to easterly flow will
prevail through this afternoon. Winds turn onshore tonight and will
continue through the weekend. Offshore winds return on Monday and
will increase to a moderate to occasionally strong flow by Monday
night in the wake of a cold front. A brief Small Craft Advisory
may become necessary for our local Gulf waters Monday night. /96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      67  80  68  83 /  70  90  50  60
Pensacola   70  80  70  81 /  60  90  60  70
Destin      70  79  70  80 /  40  80  60  70
Evergreen   60  79  63  83 /  80  90  50  60
Waynesboro  62  78  64  83 /  60  70  50  60
Camden      60  77  62  81 /  70  80  40  50
Crestview   64  81  65  84 /  70  90  60  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&