River Flood Warning 14, NWS Mobile, AL

028 
WGUS84 KMOB 100339
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1039 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Greene, George and Jackson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.




&&

MSC039-041-059-110345-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.260512T0400Z-260515T0300Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260512T0400Z.260513T1200Z.260514T2100Z.NO/
1039 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING TO LATE THURSDAY 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.

* WHEN...From Monday evening to late Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 22 feet, Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west 
  Merrill.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 18.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late Monday evening to a crest of 22.5 feet Wednesday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage Thursday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 22 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
      3074 8868 3082 8879


$$

BB

609 
WGUS84 KMOB 101441
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
941 AM CDT Sun May 10 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Greene, Jackson and George 
  Counties.

For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

MSC039-041-059-111445-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.260512T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260512T1500Z.260514T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
941 AM CDT Sun May 10 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.

* WHEN...From Tuesday morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in 
  west Merrill.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 19.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late Tuesday morning and continue rising to a crest of 22.5
    feet Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
      3074 8868 3082 8879


$$

10

342 
WGUS84 KMOB 110446 RRA
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1146 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Jackson, George and Greene 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.




&&

MSC039-041-059-120500-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.260512T2100Z-260515T1800Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260512T2100Z.260514T0000Z.260515T1200Z.NO/
1146 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY 
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.

* WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon to early Friday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 22 feet, Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west 
  Merrill.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 20.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    Tuesday afternoon to a crest of 22.5 feet Wednesday evening.
    It will then fall below flood stage Friday morning.
  - Flood stage is 22 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
      3074 8868 3082 8879


$$

BB

267 
WGUS84 KMOB 111410
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
910 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George, Greene and Jackson 
  Counties.

For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

MSC039-041-059-121415-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.260513T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260513T1500Z.260515T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
910 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.

* WHEN...From Wednesday morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in 
  west Merrill.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 20.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late Wednesday morning and continue rising to a crest of 22.5
    feet Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
      3074 8868 3082 8879


$$

10

562 
WGUS84 KMOB 120153
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
853 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Greene, Jackson and George 
  Counties.

For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

MSC039-041-059-130200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.260513T1500Z-260516T1901Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260513T1500Z.260515T0000Z.260516T1300Z.NO/
853 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO EARLY 
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.

* WHEN...From Wednesday morning to early Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in 
  west Merrill.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 20.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late Wednesday morning to a crest of 22.5 feet Thursday
    evening. It will then fall below flood stage Saturday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
      3074 8868 3082 8879


$$

JP

632 
WGUS84 KMOB 121421
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
921 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Greene, George and Jackson 
  Counties.

For the Pascagoula River...including Merrill...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on 
the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

MSC039-041-059-131430-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.260514T1800Z-260516T0600Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.260514T1800Z.260514T1800Z.260516T0000Z.NO/
921 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY 
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Pascagoula at Merrill.

* WHEN...From Thursday afternoon to early Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in 
  west Merrill.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 21.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.0
    feet early Thursday afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage Friday evening.
  - Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
      3074 8868 3082 8879


$$

10

676 
WGUS84 KMOB 130140 RRA
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
840 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Mississippi...

  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting Jackson, Greene and George 
  Counties.

MSC039-041-059-130245-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0014.260514T1800Z-260513T0140Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
840 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 21.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 12.2 feet Sunday
    evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

          Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location  Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Pascagoula
Merrill   22.0  21.2  Tue 8 pm CDT 20.6  19.3  17.1         


&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
      3074 8868 3082 8879


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
711 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 711 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

 - Strong to severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall potentially
   resulting in localized flash flooding remain possible through
   Monday.

 - A Moderate risk of rip currents will occur today.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 711 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

Regional radars are showing a large cluster of showers and
thunderstorms moving into the forecast area from the west while
slowly pushing south toward the coast. The leading edge, which
will comprise much of the deeper convection, will push south of
the coast early this afternoon followed by an area of lingering
showers slowly tapering off from north to south. Some of the
stronger convection may bring gusty surface winds up to 40 mph
requiring the issuance of a Special Weather Statement. Widespread
rainfall amounts today will generally range from one-half to 1.5
inches, with a few spots potentially receiving up to 2 inches
where storms linger resulting in nuisance-type flooding. No
updates to the products are needed at this time. /22

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1142 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

A zonal flow pattern persists over the forecast region through
Sunday as a large upper trof pattern remains across much of the
Plains to the interior eastern states. A series of vigorous
shortwaves continue to move across the area meanwhile, aided by a
remnant upper low currently over Texas which shears out
downstream. Rounds of convection are anticipated to develop and
progress across the area in response to this pattern, although
timing these has proved difficult due to the inherently noisy
series of shortwaves. That said, the first round of convection is
anticipated to occur from late tonight through the early afternoon
likely in the form of an MCS, with some convection lingering into
the evening hours. Model soundings indicate that the convection
that develops late tonight will probably be elevated, and it's not
clear if convection will manage to become surface based on
Saturday. Lapse rates within the mixed layer appear to range from
6.5 to possibly 7.5 C/km, and if these higher end lapse rates are
realized and shear profiles prove to be favorable, then the
convection may be able to support a risk of large hail and
possibly strong wind gusts. Locally heavy rainfall will also be
possible through the day.

The amount of convective coverage on Sunday remains difficult to
ascertain, but with the continuing series of shortwaves have opted
for chance to likely pops. Shear values look low on Sunday and
0-6 km bulk shear values typically range from 20-30 knots, but
steep mid level lapse rates are possible. Will need to continue to
monitor this period at this point, though storms with large hail
and strong wind gusts are possible especially if more favorable
shear values are realized. The broad upper trof pattern amplifies
over the eastern half of the CONUS Sunday night into Monday, then
moves off into the western Atlantic on Tuesday. An associated
surface low is expected to meanwhile bring a cold front through
the forecast area late Sunday night into Monday morning, with the
front stalling near the coast before moving offshore later in the
afternoon. Have gone with chance to likely pops Sunday night
increasing to predominately likely pops on Monday, then dry
conditions develop Monday night in the wake of the front.
Favorable shear values appear to be in place on Monday along with
sufficient instability to continue the potential for strong to
possibly some severe storms. Dry conditions are expected to follow
for Tuesday through next Saturday. A low risk of rip currents is
expected for Alabama beaches through Saturday night while the
western Florida panhandle beaches are anticipated to have a
moderate risk. A moderate risk follows for all beach areas from
Sunday through Monday, then a low risk is expected on Tuesday. /29

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 711 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

IFR and MVFR ceilings mostly prevail this morning, along with
localized LIFR ceilings, ahead a large storm complex moving into
the area from the west. Reductions to visibility to IFR and MVFR
levels are expected with these showers and thunderstorms, and
could briefly drop to LIFR levels in some of the heavier
activity. Rain chances start to diminish this afternoon and should
largely dissipate by early evening. VFR conditions will likely
return for the overnight hours. Winds will generally be
southeasterly to southerly today, although they may briefly turn
northerly in the wake of this morning's storms. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 556 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

A light to moderate onshore will abruptly turn to an offshore flow
this afternoon as a line of showers and thunderstorms sweeps
through the area. Winds will then be erratic late this afternoon
and evening as the convection lingers before a light onshore flow
resumes going into Sunday. A light southwesterly to westerly flow
on Monday proceeding a cold front will shift to a moderate to
occasionally strong northerly Monday night behind the front. Winds
may increase to advisory levels briefly on Monday night. A light
to moderate northeasterly flow Tuesday morning will diminish going
into midweek. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      79  67  83  68 /  90  40  50  50
Pensacola   79  69  81  70 /  80  30  50  50
Destin      79  70  80  70 /  80  30  40  40
Evergreen   78  63  84  64 /  90  40  60  60
Waynesboro  78  64  83  64 /  80  40  50  60
Camden      76  62  82  63 /  90  30  60  60
Crestview   80  65  85  65 /  90  40  60  40

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
502 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

ALZ054-091045-
Wilcox AL-
502 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CENTRAL WILCOX COUNTY THROUGH 545
AM CDT...

At 502 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Uniontown to near Consul to 4 miles southwest
of Thomaston. Movement was east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

These storms will remain over mainly rural areas of central Wilcox
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3225 8742 3224 8739 3220 8736 3220 8733
      3214 8728 3214 8725 3212 8726 3208 8719
      3205 8718 3205 8686 3190 8703 3213 8758
      3213 8752 3226 8752 3227 8744
TIME...MOT...LOC 1002Z 287DEG 43KT 3243 8751 3230 8755 3221 8766

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
613 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

MSZ067-075-076-091200-
Perry MS-Greene MS-Wayne MS-
613 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PERRY...WAYNE AND NORTHWESTERN
GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH 700 AM CDT...

At 613 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 3 miles east of Sandersville to 3 miles south
of Ellisville to near Sumrall. Movement was southeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Waynesboro, Richton, Clara, Beaumont, New Augusta, State Line, and
Buckatunna.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 8915 3143 8894 3182 8894 3183 8880
      3158 8846 3144 8845 3120 8868 3107 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 1113Z 298DEG 37KT 3178 8898 3155 8923 3145 8956

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
702 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

ALZ052-MSZ067-075-076-079-091230-
Washington AL-Perry MS-Greene MS-Wayne MS-George MS-
702 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN WASHINGTON...NORTHWESTERN
GEORGE...PERRY...SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE AND GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH 730
AM CDT...

At 701 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles southwest of Silas to 11 miles
northwest of Leakesville to near Beaumont. Movement was southeast at
40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Lucedale, Chatom, Leakesville, Clara, Deer Park, Tibbie, Beaumont,
New Augusta, Millry, McLain, State Line, Buckatunna, and Fruitdale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3141 8884 3180 8853 3177 8847 3170 8846
      3170 8831 3159 8808 3111 8837 3111 8843
      3099 8844 3081 8885 3085 8889 3091 8889
      3091 8894 3114 8915 3120 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 1201Z 314DEG 35KT 3170 8845 3127 8870 3115 8895

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
903 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

ALZ265-266-091500-
Mobile Coastal AL-Baldwin Coastal AL-
903 AM CDT Sat May 9 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN MOBILE AND
SOUTHWESTERN BALDWIN COUNTIES THROUGH 1000 AM CDT...

At 902 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 3 miles south of Moss Point to 11 miles south
of Gulf Park Estates to 23 miles southeast of Long Beach. Movement
was southeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Fort Morgan, Coden, and Alabama Port.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3022 8838 3033 8840 3034 8840 3035 8839
      3037 8840 3038 8841 3039 8841 3038 8840
      3045 8840 3046 8809 3033 8779 3022 8791
TIME...MOT...LOC 1402Z 294DEG 32KT 3038 8854 3021 8873 3007 8895

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MM