Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Melbourne, FL
NWS Melbourne, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 14, 2026, 6:27 PM EDT for Osceola County, Florida. It was in force for 21 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 14, 2026, 6:27 PM EDT (22:27 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 14, 2026, 6:48 PM EDT
- In force
- 21 min
- Issued by
- NWS Melbourne, FL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 0.75 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
County Osceola County, FL
The radar
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1132 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -97 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1233 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 39 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 95 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
761 WUUS52 KMLB 142227 SVRMLB FLC097-142300- /O.NEW.KMLB.SV.W.0084.260714T2227Z-260714T2300Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Melbourne FL 627 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026 The National Weather Service in Melbourne has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northeastern Osceola County in east central Florida... * Until 700 PM EDT. * At 627 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Holopaw, moving southeast at 15 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... Holopaw, Harmony, Forever Florida, and Alligator Lake. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is also occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. && LAT...LON 2811 8131 2824 8123 2812 8096 2795 8112 TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 294DEG 14KT 2809 8115 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH $$ Law
1 follow-up statement
345 WWUS52 KMLB 142248 SVSMLB Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Melbourne FL 648 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026 FLC097-142257- /O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-260714T2300Z/ Osceola FL- 648 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY IS CANCELLED... The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled. However gusty winds are still possible with this thunderstorm. LAT...LON 2811 8131 2824 8123 2812 8096 2795 8112 TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 294DEG 14KT 2806 8107 $$ Law
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 14, 2:55 PM EDT, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
- Marginal Risk (level 1 out of 5) for severe storms this afternoon and evening with the potential for a couple to a few storms capable of frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts up to 60mph (5-14%), and heavy rainfall with the potential for minor flooding; a brief tornado cannot be ruled out (< 2% chance)
- Scattered to numerous showers and storms will continue to develop and push eastward and offshore through the afternoon and evening hours today before storm coverage decreases into mid to late week as drier Saharan air moves across the area
- Hot and humid temperatures will lead to afternoon heat indices between 102-107F each day. Make sure to practice heat safety!
Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 2:55 PM EDT, 3 hours 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL Issued by National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 255 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026 - Marginal Risk (level 1 out of 5) for severe storms this afternoon and evening with the potential for a couple to a few storms capable of frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts up to 60mph (5-14%), and heavy rainfall with the potential for minor flooding; a brief tornado cannot be ruled out (< 2% chance) - Scattered to numerous showers and storms will continue to develop and push eastward and offshore through the afternoon and evening hours today before storm coverage decreases into mid to late week as drier Saharan air moves across the area - Hot and humid temperatures will lead to afternoon heat indices between 102-107F each day. Make sure to practice heat safety! && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026 Rest of Today-Tonight... Latest radar and satellite imagery depict a west-east oriented cluster of showers and storms currently moving across northern Lake and Volusia counties. This activity will continue to track E/SE this afternoon with expanding areal coverage of convection southward across the area in response to sea breeze and outflow boundary interactions. SPC maintains a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) of isolated severe storms for ECFL through this evening carrying a primary risk of damaging wind gusts, as noted in the most recent MCD highlighting a localized wet microburst potential with stronger convection. A few areas of localized flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas also remain possible with heavier and quickly accumulating rainfall locations. Convection expected to push offshore late evening into tonight with mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions settling in overnight. (from previous discussion)... Wednesday-Thursday...Low level W/SW flow continues with ridge axis over the West Atlantic near to south of the area. Model guidance does show even drier air from the SAL moving into the area, with the GFS showing PW values on Wednesday dropping to as low as 1.5-1.6 inches. However, models have struggled with the amount of dry air and even NBM has been increasing PoPs slightly for this period as we get closer in time. However, for now the forecast for lower convective coverage continues, with PoPs ranging from 20-40% each afternoon/evening. The low level offshore flow and sea breeze collision will continue to generate at least isolated to scattered showers and storms across the area, with a few stronger storms still possible. The decrease in convective coverage will only allow temps to increase, with more widespread mid 90s for max temps across the area. Drier air aloft should mix down leading to a decrease in afternoon dewpoints (as low as upper 60s/low 70s across the interior), but with the hot temps will still lead to peak heat index values 100-107F. Friday-Monday...Mid level ridge extending from the Atlantic and across the southeast U.S. will gradually break down as trough digs southward across the eastern United States through the weekend into early next week. This will keep surface ridge axis near to south of the area. Moisture gradually rises through the period, with afternoon/evening shower and storm chances increasing and returning to more normal values (PoPs around 30-40% Friday and then 40-50% for much of the area Saturday-Monday). No relief from the July heat is in sight, with max temps forecast to continue to range from the low to mid 90s. The added humidity may even push peak afternoon heat index values a little closer to Heat Advisory thresholds (108-110F) in some spots. However, most for most areas values still look to mostly range from 102-107F. && .MARINE... Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026 (modified previous discussion)... Boating conditions will remain generally favorable through the rest of the week and into early this weekend, outside of offshore moving thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. High pressure ridge axis over the west Atlantic will remain near to south of the waters, maintaining generally west-southwest winds during the overnight and morning hours, switching to the south-southeast into the afternoon/evening as the east coast sea breeze forms. Wind speeds are forecast to remain mostly below 15 knots, with seas 1-3 feet. Scattered to numerous offshore moving storms remain possible this afternoon and evening, and will be capable of producing strong to locally severe wind gusts up to 35-50 knots and frequent lightning. Coverage of storms then decrease into mid to late week, becoming isolated to scattered, but a few strong offshore moving storms will still be possible during the afternoon and evening hours. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFs) Issued at 250 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026 Showers and storms have developed along a line roughly from north of LEE east through DAB, and will continue to trek E/SE through the afternoon and evening in response to prevailing westerly boundary layer flow and convective outflow. MVFR/LCL IFR cigs/vsbys with locally gusty/erratic winds will be possible during passage with VFR conditions otherwise. Convection expected to clear terminals along/north of ISM-MCO-TIX by around 23Z, and terminals southward by around 02-03Z, with VFR conditions remainder of the night with winds decreasing to lgt/vrb. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 74 92 75 92 / 10 30 10 20 MCO 75 95 77 95 / 30 20 20 20 MLB 76 92 77 92 / 30 20 10 30 VRB 74 93 75 93 / 30 20 10 20 LEE 76 94 77 94 / 10 20 20 10 SFB 75 95 77 95 / 10 20 30 20 ORL 76 94 77 94 / 20 20 20 20 FPR 74 93 74 93 / 30 20 10 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && TBW
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 14, 5:02 PM EDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
502 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0455 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 3 N Cape Canaveral SFS 28.51N 80.56W
07/14/2026 M41 MPH Brevard FL Mesonet
USSF wind sensor on tower 6 measured a peak
wind gust of 41MPH/36KT from the northwest
at 4:55 PM. Sensor elevation is 54 feet.
&&
JHSpecial weather statement, Jul 14, 5:22 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
522 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
FLZ045-053-142145-
Osceola FL-Orange FL-
522 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN ORANGE AND NORTH
CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM EDT...
At 522 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lake Nona, or over Orlando International Airport, moving southeast at
20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Orlando, Kissimmee, Saint Cloud, Winter Park, and Wedgefield.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Seek
safe shelter inside a sturdy building or hard-topped vehicle.
Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a
thunderstorm. When thunder roars, go indoors!
&&
LAT...LON 2845 8151 2859 8135 2850 8091 2818 8131
TIME...MOT...LOC 2122Z 307DEG 19KT 2844 8126
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
LawSpecial weather statement, Jul 14, 5:45 PM EDT, 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
545 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
FLZ045-053-142215-
Osceola FL-Orange FL-
545 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE AND NORTH
CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT...
At 545 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Lake Hart, or near Avalon Park, moving southeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Orlando, Wedgefield, Orlando International Airport, Narcoossee, and
Lake Hart.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Seek
safe shelter inside a sturdy building or hard-topped vehicle.
Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a
thunderstorm. When thunder roars, go indoors!
&&
LAT...LON 2838 8135 2851 8127 2848 8093 2817 8113
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 293DEG 16KT 2841 8119
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
LawSpecial weather statement, Jul 14, 5:51 PM EDT, 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
551 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
FLZ045-053-142215-
Osceola FL-Orange FL-
551 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE AND NORTH
CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT...
At 551 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Buena Ventura Lakes, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Orlando, Kissimmee, Bay Lake, Celebration, and Buena Ventura Lakes.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Seek
safe shelter inside a sturdy building or hard-topped vehicle.
Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a
thunderstorm. When thunder roars, go indoors!
&&
LAT...LON 2837 8163 2847 8139 2825 8117 2824 8147
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 289DEG 20KT 2834 8133
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
LawSpecial weather statement, Jul 14, 6:08 PM EDT, 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
608 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
FLZ053-142245-
Osceola FL-
608 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTY THROUGH
645 PM EDT...
At 607 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Saint Cloud, moving southeast at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Saint Cloud, Lake Kissimmee, Harmony, Forever Florida, and Alligator
Lake.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Seek
safe shelter inside a sturdy building or hard-topped vehicle.
Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a
thunderstorm. When thunder roars, go indoors!
&&
LAT...LON 2826 8122 2799 8094 2789 8131 2792 8131
2793 8133 2807 8136 2807 8135 2808 8135
2808 8136 2824 8140
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 315DEG 11KT 2817 8128
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
LawSpecial weather statement, Jul 14, 6:18 PM EDT, 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
618 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
FLZ053-547-142245-
Osceola FL-Inland Southern Brevard FL-
618 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN BREVARD AND
NORTHEASTERN OSCEOLA COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM EDT...
At 617 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Holopaw, moving southeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Holopaw, Narcoossee, Harmony, Alligator Lake, and Deer Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Seek
safe shelter inside a sturdy building or hard-topped vehicle.
Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a
thunderstorm. When thunder roars, go indoors!
&&
LAT...LON 2835 8126 2835 8112 2829 8081 2816 8079
2800 8099 2825 8128
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 295DEG 20KT 2818 8106
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
LawThe office that day
Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Volusia | 28 min |
| Jul 14, 2:41 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 34 min | |
| Jul 14, 3:26 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 64 min | |
| Jul 14, 3:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Volusia | 30 min |
| Jul 14, 3:56 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Seminole | 34 min |
| Jul 14, 4:39 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 66 min | |
| Jul 14, 5:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Orange | 23 min |
| Jul 14, 5:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Orange | 30 min |
| Jul 14, 5:51 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Orange | 24 min |
| Jul 14, 6:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Osceola | 16 min |
| Jul 14, 6:08 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Osceola | 37 min |
| Jul 14, 6:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Osceola | 27 min |
| Jul 14, 6:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Osceola | 28 min |
| Jul 14, 7:07 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 53 min | |
| Jul 14, 7:42 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 63 min | |
| Jul 14, 7:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Indian River | 28 min |
| Jul 14, 7:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Indian River, Okeechobee | 26 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2026Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.