Severe Thunderstorm Warning 65, NWS Melbourne, FL

704 
WWUS52 KMLB 252034
SVSMLB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
434 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

FLC097-252043-
/O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-260625T2045Z/
Osceola FL-
434 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 2859 8140 2846 8112 2835 8124 2835 8148
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 109DEG 1KT 2844 8133 

$$

FLC095-252045-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-260625T2045Z/
Orange FL-
434 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY...

At 433 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Orlando
International Airport, and is nearly stationary.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Orlando, Orlando International Airport, Conway, College Park, and Oak
Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2859 8140 2846 8112 2835 8124 2835 8148
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 109DEG 1KT 2844 8133 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Heil

494 
WWUS52 KMLB 252042
SVSMLB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
442 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

FLC095-252052-
/O.EXP.KMLB.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-260625T2045Z/
Orange FL-
442 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Melbourne.

LAT...LON 2859 8140 2846 8112 2835 8124 2835 8148
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 217DEG 18KT 2847 8130 

$$

Heil

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
243 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 243 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

- Scattered to numerous showers and storms forecast this afternoon
  and evening, with lightning, gusty winds, small hail, and brief
  heavy downpours all possible.

- Isolated to scattered showers and storms forecast through the
  rest of the week and into this weekend, with a frontal boundary
  bringing increasing moisture into early next week. Rain and
  storm chances increase as a result Monday onward.

- Hot and muggy conditions persist areawide with peak heat indices
  exceeding 100F each afternoon. Widespread Moderate to Major
  HeatRisk is forecast each day through the forecast period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 243 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Current-Tonight... A stationary front is analyzed over portions of
north Florida while a broad ridge axis remains settled over the
Florida peninsula. Light winds have allowed the east coast sea
breeze to develop from the Cape southward early this afternoon,
and some convection has already started to bubble up on the east
side of Lake Okeechobee as boundary interactions occur. Additional
development of scattered showers and storms is anticipated
across much of the area through the remainder of the afternoon
and evening. In addition to sufficient surface instability,
modeled pulses of shortwave energy aloft may enhance the potential
for strong storm development. Tall updrafts which interact with
dry air aloft (DCAPE ~ 800-1,200 J/Kg) will have the potential for
isolated strong downbursts producing wind gusts around 55 mph.
500mb temperatures analyzed around -8C may become locally cooler
in the presence of any passing shortwave energy, and small hail
will also be possible with strong convection today. Light steering
flow should push convection towards the nort-northeast, although
direction may become variable at times around boundary
interactions. Slow moving storms will promote the potential for
locally heavy rainfall through this evening. Activity gradually
dwindles beyond sunset with mostly dry conditions then forecast
overnight. Low temperatures fall into the low to mid 70s.

Friday-Sunday... High pressure aloft builds across the southeast
U.S. through late this weekend. At the surface, a weak ridge axis
remains draped across the Florida peninsula, extending westward from
the Atlantic high. A typical summertime pattern of scattered
afternoon showers and storms (~40-60%) is forecast Friday and
Saturday. Drier conditions are currently forecast on Sunday with rain
chances ranging 20-40%, however model disagreement in moisture
may lead to some fluctuation in Sunday's PoPs over the next few
forecast cycles. Model sounding profiles suggests a modest layer
of dry air persisting in the low to mid levels through the period,
continuing the potential for localized thunderstorm downbursts
within stronger storms. Stronger storms which develop, will be
capable of wind gusts 40-50 mph and frequent lightning strikes.
Light steering flow may lead to localized heavy rainfall within
slow moving or stationary storms.

Hot, above normal, temperatures persist late this week and into
early next week. Highs mostly range the low to mid 90s along the
coast with mid 90s across the interior. Localized areas north and
west of the I-4 region may even touch the upper 90s this weekend
with moderate probabilities (40-50%) of meeting or exceeding 97F.
Peak heat index values mostly range 102-107F, and a Moderate to
Major HeatRisk will impact those without adequate cooling or
hydration.

Monday-Wednesday... The local synoptic pattern shifts Monday into
midweek as a mid level trough rounds the eastern side of high
pressure anchored over the eastern U.S. Deep moisture builds as a
surface front sags near or across central Florida. This should
result in increasing rain chances (50-80%) through the extended
forecast period. Models indicate light offshore flow persisting
through the low and mid levels Monday, and a warm, moist airmass may
support periods of locally heavy rainfall as the sea breeze slowly
moves inland against the prevailing flow. An east-northeast shift in
winds into mid week will allow for an easier inland progression
of the east coast sea breeze, but a heavy rainfall threat may
still exist where storms become stationary along boundary
collisions with greatest focus towards the interior. Very hot and
humid on Monday with peak heat index values widely exceeding 104F.
A few degrees "cooler" Tuesday and Wednesday, but still remaining
above normal in the low to mid 90s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 243 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

A broad axis of high pressure is maintained over the local Atlantic
waters through the weekend. Southerly winds remain 10 kts or less
early each day before turning south-southeast around 10-15 kts each
afternoon and evening as the east coast sea breeze develops. Seas of
1-2 ft persist into early next week, occasionally building to 3 ft
far offshore. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are forecast
over the local Atlantic waters again this afternoon and evening,
and a few strong storms will be capable of wind gusts 34 kts or
greater. Coverage of showers and storms decreases over the waters
late week. However, isolated to scattered convection may be
possible over the Gulf Stream during the nighttime hours.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 151 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

VFR conditions are expected outside of showers/storms with the
potential for a few strong to marginally severe storms. Generally,
SSW winds at the inland TAFs and SSE winds at the coastal TAFs at
5-10kts are forecast to become light and variable overnight. TAFs
begin with VCTS at 18Z/19Z with TEMPO TSRA this aftn/eve before
drying out overnight. VCTS and TEMPO TSRA returns FRI after 18Z/19Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  74  92  76  92 /  30  50  30  40
MCO  75  94  76  94 /  40  60  60  60
MLB  77  90  78  90 /  30  20  20  40
VRB  76  91  77  91 /  20  30  10  40
LEE  76  93  77  94 /  40  50  30  40
SFB  75  95  76  95 /  30  60  50  60
ORL  76  93  77  93 /  40  60  60  60
FPR  75  90  76  90 /  20  40  10  40

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...Law
AVIATION...Fehling

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
314 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NNW Melbourne Beach   28.08N 80.56W
06/23/2026                   Brevard            FL   Public

            [delayed report] Photo via social media
            shows the roof and side panels of a screened
            back porch lifted off the ground by
            thunderstorm winds.

&&

JH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
335 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

FLZ154-254-252000-
Inland Indian River FL-Coastal Indian River FL-
335 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN INDIAN RIVER COUNTY
THROUGH 400 PM EDT...

At 335 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Vero Lake Estates, or over Sebastian Highlands, moving northwest at
10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Sebastian, Fellsmere, Wabasso, Sebastian Highlands, and Roseland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2770 8052 2778 8065 2782 8054 2782 8051
      2784 8050 2786 8045 2775 8043
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 150DEG 11KT 2775 8050

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Fehling

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
349 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 WNW Vero Beach        27.65N 80.42W
06/25/2026  M39 MPH          Indian River       FL   ASOS

            Vero Beach Municipal Airport measured a peak
            wind gust of 39MPH/34KT from the southwest
            at 3:08 PM.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
354 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

FLZ041-141-252030-
Coastal Volusia FL-Inland Volusia FL-
354 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL VOLUSIA COUNTY
THROUGH 430 PM EDT...

At 354 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Ormond Beach, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Daytona Beach, Port Orange, Ormond Beach, South Daytona, and Holly
Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2943 8107 2915 8092 2914 8092 2907 8102
      2926 8121 2927 8115 2941 8116 2942 8114
      2942 8111 2943 8111
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 215DEG 9KT 2927 8111

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Fehling

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
358 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

FLZ053-252030-
Osceola FL-
358 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY
THROUGH 430 PM EDT...

At 358 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Campbell, or near Intercession City, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Kissimmee, Intercession City, West Lake Toho, Celebration, and
Poinciana.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2835 8150 2835 8139 2818 8126 2814 8147
      2814 8152 2818 8153 2820 8152 2826 8156
      2826 8157
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 228DEG 14KT 2823 8146

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Fehling

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
415 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

FLZ045-053-252100-
Osceola FL-Orange FL-
415 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE AND NORTH
CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM EDT...

At 415 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Kissimmee, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Orlando, Kissimmee, Buena Ventura Lakes, Oak Ridge, and Orlando
International Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Seek
safe shelter inside a sturdy building or hard-topped vehicle.
Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a
thunderstorm. When thunder roars, go indoors!

&&

LAT...LON 2821 8139 2828 8153 2856 8146 2847 8115
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 205DEG 20KT 2832 8142

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Heil