Severe Thunderstorm Warning 49, NWS Melbourne, FL

055 
WWUS52 KMLB 192042
SVSMLB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
442 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

FLC097-192052-
/O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-260619T2100Z/
Osceola FL-
442 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL OSCEOLA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 2802 8087 2808 8087 2809 8086 2814 8086
      2821 8071 2805 8068
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 255DEG 13KT 2804 8082 

$$

FLC009-192100-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-260619T2100Z/
Brevard FL-
442 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN BREVARD COUNTY...

At 442 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Camp Holly Fish
Camp, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Melbourne, Camp Holly Fish Camp, West Melbourne, and June Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2802 8087 2808 8087 2809 8086 2814 8086
      2821 8071 2805 8068
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 255DEG 13KT 2804 8082 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Tollefsen

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
300 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

- Hot and humid conditions continue into the weekend and next
  week. A Heat Advisory remains effect through 7 PM today.
  Residents and visitors should remain well-hydrated and stay cool
  in the shade or air conditioning each day.

- Rain and Storm chances remain high today and tomorrow with a
  Marginal Risk (5-14%) for Severe Storms today, as well as a
  Marginal Risk (5-14%) for Excessive Rainfall today and tomorrow;
  the potential for flooding of urban and low lying areas exists
  today and tomorrow.

- A Moderate Risk for rip currents continues at area beaches.
  Remember to swim near a lifeguard and to never enter the water
  alone!

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Current-Tonight... Hot this afternoon with temperatures observed in
the low to mid 90s across much of east central Florida. However,
some relief from the heat should come in the form of increasing
showers and storms through the evening. Isolated to scattered
showers and storms are beginning to gradually organize near the
I-4 corridor early this afternoon as a weak mid-level boundary
passes aloft. A sea breeze has developed from the Cape southward,
and is struggling to move inland. Meanwhile, the sea breeze has
yet to form from the Cape northward where slightly stronger 925mb
flow exists. General consensus from the most recent high res-
guidance may suggest increasing coverage of showers and storms
southward into the evening. As the sea breeze becomes more
defined, particularly from the Cape southward, southwest steering
flow should lead to storm convergence along the boundary. A strong
to marginally severe storm environment exists through this
evening, especially along boundary collisions. Model sounding
analysis indicates a modest pocket of dry air above 700mb, aiding
in DCAPE values near 1,000 J/kg. Mixing in the low to mid levels
will allow for localized damaging wind gusts of 50-60 mph in the
form of quick thunderstorm downbursts. Additionally, the dry air
aloft could allow for small coin-sized hail within the strongest
storms through efficient evaporative cooling. Any melting hail
that occurs within the layer will allow for storms to produce
heavy rainfall, and if stationary movement occurs along boundary
collisions, a localized flood threat may exist. Additionally,
cannot rule out a brief funnel cloud or waterspout along boundary
collisions. Expect showers and storms to move offshore through the
evening with diminishing coverage along the Treasure Coast as
late as midnight. Dry conditions are then forecast overnight with
low temperatures mostly in the mid to upper 70s.

Weekend... A cold front remains in place across the southeast U.S.
and north of Florida on Saturday. Low pressure moving eastward
through the central U.S. will begin to gradually lift the boundary
northward on Sunday. Deep moisture (PWAT 2.0-2.2") persists early
this weekend as shortwave energy passes aloft. The moisture profile
then gradually dries on Sunday with modeled PWATs returning slightly
closer to climatological normals. Westerly surface flow becomes
light, and sometimes variable early each day, as a surface ridge
axis across south Florida weakens. Uniform offshore flow through the
low levels should still favor a west coast sea breeze regime with
the east coast sea breeze slower to develop and move inland.

RAP analysis indicates a 500mb shortwave approaching from north
Florida early Saturday morning. While the convective evolution
remains slightly uncertain, some high res guidance suggests this
could prompt early initiation of showers and storms for areas
north of Orlando on Saturday. Further south towards Okeechobee and
the Treasure Coast, a more typical pattern of diurnal showers and
storms may be favored with later initiation of showers and storms
into the afternoon and evening. Based on this analysis, the
current forecast suggest isolated to scattered coverage of showers
and storms north of Orlando through noon, remaining mostly dry to
start the morning further south. High coverage (50-70%) then
builds areawide after 3PM, with slightly lower coverage expected
west of Orlando. A strong storm threat may become conditional
depending on how the early the northern convective solution may
evolve. Stronger storms which develop will be capable of wind
gusts 45-55 mph, small hail, and locally heavy downpours. A brief
funnel cloud or waterspout remains possible along boundary
collisions.

A more typical diurnal pattern returns on Sunday. Lighter low level
flow should allow the east coast sea breeze to develop a little
earlier and push farther inland than it has been able to this past
week. The greatest afternoon and evening rain chances (50-70%)
should become generally favored between Orlando and the I-95
corridor along a sea breeze collision, and activity may gradually
push back towards the coast beyond sunset. Stronger storms which
develop along boundary collisions will be capable of gusty winds,
frequent lightning, and locally heavy down pours.

Outside of showers and storms, a hot and humid summertime pattern
persists. Temperatures widely range the low 90s, approaching mid 90s
across the interior each afternoon. Triple digit peak heat index
values are currently forecast to remain shy of Heat Advisory
criteria (108F) each day, and trends will be monitored. A Moderate
to locally Major HeatRisk should persist through the weekend. When
spending time outdoors, make sure to properly hydrate, seek shade,
and wear appropriate clothing.

Monday-Thursday... High pressure builds aloft into next week with
its ridge axis generally near Lake Okeechobee or south Florida. A
broad surface ridge axis attempts to hold its structure over south
Florida early in the week as a cold front drops into the southeast
U.S. and offshore the Atlantic seaboard through mid week. A drier
airmass should help to cut back rain chances, especially near and
north of Orlando Monday and Tuesday. Widely isolated to scattered
rain chances through Tuesday become more scattered into mid week.
High temperatures look to trend a few degrees above normal through
the extended period, ranging the low to mid 90s along the coast
and mid 90s across the interior.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Generally favorable boating conditions continue outside of offshore
moving showers and storms. Southwest flow becomes light this weekend
as a surface ridge axis weakens over south Florida. Winds shift
onshore, generally out of the south-southeast, each afternoon as the
sea breeze develops. Seas of 2-3 ft subside to become widely 1-2 ft
this weekend and into early next week. High coverage of afternoon/
evening showers and storms is forecast through Saturday, decreasing
Sunday and especially into Monday/Tuesday. A few strong offshore
moving storms will be possible today and again on Saturday, and
stronger storms will be capable of isolated wind gusts of 40-50 kts,
frequent lightning, and small hail.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 120 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

VCSH/VCTS increasing in coverage through the afternoon hours today,
with PROB30s and TEMPOs in effect for VIS and CIG reductions due
to TSRA as well as gusty and variable winds between 19-02Z.
Activity pushes offshore and diminishes after 03Z. Light winds
overnight becoming more WSW tomorrow, with winds picking up to
around 10 knots. VCSH starting as early as 11Z across the
interior, becoming VCTS everywhere after 15Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  77  90  74  90 /  20  70  30  70
MCO  77  92  75  93 /  20  70  40  70
MLB  78  91  76  90 /  30  70  40  60
VRB  77  91  75  91 /  50  70  50  50
LEE  78  91  76  92 /  30  60  40  50
SFB  77  92  75  93 /  20  70  30  70
ORL  78  92  76  92 /  20  70  40  60
FPR  76  91  75  91 /  50  70  40  50

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for FLZ041-044>046-053-
     058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747.

AM...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...Law
AVIATION...Tollefsen

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
247 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

FLZ041-141-247-347-447-191930-
Coastal Volusia FL-Northern Brevard Barrier Islands FL-
Inland Volusia FL-Mainland Northern Brevard FL-
Inland Northern Brevard FL-
247 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN BREVARD AND
SOUTHEASTERN VOLUSIA COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM EDT...

At 247 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Maytown, or 9 miles southwest of Edgewater, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Deltona, Port Orange, New Smyrna Beach, Edgewater, and Orange City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Seek
safe shelter inside a sturdy building or hard-topped vehicle.
Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a
thunderstorm. When thunder roars, go indoors!

&&

LAT...LON 2875 8065 2876 8098 2879 8106 2881 8107
      2883 8111 2883 8112 2881 8113 2886 8129
      2896 8129 2913 8091
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 252DEG 23KT 2888 8103

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Tollefsen

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
258 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0243 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     5 N Edgewater           29.05N 80.90W
06/19/2026  M41 MPH          Volusia            FL   Mesonet

            The Weather Flow Site New Smyrna Beach
            (XNSB) measured a wind gust of 41MPH/36KTS
            from the south-southeast.

&&

Schaper

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
341 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

FLZ053-192015-
Osceola FL-
341 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EASTERN OSCEOLA COUNTY THROUGH
415 PM EDT...

At 341 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles north of Lake Kissimmee, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Kissimmee, Lake Marian, Holopaw, Kenansville, and Harmony.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Seek
safe shelter inside a sturdy building or hard-topped vehicle.
Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a
thunderstorm. When thunder roars, go indoors!

&&

LAT...LON 2801 8138 2807 8137 2807 8135 2808 8135
      2809 8141 2835 8110 2835 8108 2794 8087
      2785 8087 2770 8099 2766 8113 2782 8121
      2785 8124 2786 8130 2792 8131 2794 8135
      2795 8134 2800 8139 2800 8141 2804 8142
TIME...MOT...LOC 1941Z 239DEG 18KT 2803 8128

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Tollefsen

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
343 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0331 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Wilbur By the Sea       29.14N 80.96W
06/19/2026  M40 MPH          Volusia            FL   Mesonet

            The mesonet station GW3253 Port Orange
            measured a peak wind gust of 40MPH/35KT from
            the northeast at 3:31 PM.

&&

ZL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
406 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0343 PM     Marine Tstm Wind 1 E Lagrange            28.63N 80.81W
06/19/2026  M56 MPH          AMZ552             FL   Mesonet

            The WeatherFlow station at Parrish Park
            North measured a peak wind gust of
            56MPH/49KT from the southwest at 3:43 PM.

&&

ZL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
413 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

FLZ053-058-254-547-647-192100-
Okeechobee FL-Osceola FL-Inland Indian River FL-
Inland Southern Brevard FL-Mainland Southern Brevard FL-
413 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT OKEECHOBEE...WESTERN INDIAN
RIVER...SOUTHWESTERN BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM
EDT...

At 413 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northeast of Kenansville, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Palm Bay, Melbourne, Rockledge, Fellsmere, and Malabar.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Seek
safe shelter inside a sturdy building or hard-topped vehicle.
Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a
thunderstorm. When thunder roars, go indoors!

&&

LAT...LON 2736 8103 2739 8112 2749 8120 2755 8121
      2758 8116 2765 8113 2777 8118 2784 8123
      2786 8130 2792 8131 2803 8144 2801 8138
      2807 8135 2809 8137 2835 8103 2835 8073
      2805 8062 2773 8060 2731 8085 2728 8100
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 239DEG 18KT 2797 8094

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Tollefsen