Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Melbourne, FL

626 
WWUS52 KMLB 172329
SVSMLB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
729 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

FLC009-172345-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-260617T2345Z/
Brevard FL-
729 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY...

At 729 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Indialantic,
moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Melbourne, Satellite Beach, Indialantic, Merritt Island, and Indian
Harbour Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2808 8060 2818 8065 2822 8056 2817 8055
      2808 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 254DEG 18KT 2810 8055 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Schaper

206 
WWUS52 KMLB 172336
SVSMLB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
736 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

FLC009-172346-
/O.EXP.KMLB.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-260617T2345Z/
Brevard FL-
736 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 745 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 2808 8060 2818 8065 2822 8056 2817 8055
      2808 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 253DEG 17KT 2811 8052 

$$

Schaper

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
241 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 240 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

- Hot and humid conditions continue this week with Moderate to
  Major  Heat Risk for all of East Central Florida through
  Friday. Residents and visitors should remain well-hydrated and
  seek breaks in the shade or A/C during the heat of the day.

- Increasing storm coverage is expected Thursday afternoon through
  late week as deeper moisture moves across central Florida from
  the north. Storms will move from inland areas toward the
  Atlantic coast each afternoon, with strong storms possible.

- A Moderate Risk of life-threatening rip currents persists at all
  central Florida Atlantic beaches into late week. Always swim
  near a lifeguard and never enter the water alone!

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 240 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Current-Tonight...Mornings central FL soundings confirm the airmass
has dried some since yesterday with PWATs ~1.7 inches with WSW at 15-
20 knots from 1-10 kft on the 915 MHZ Cape Wind profilers. With the
drier airmass and SW winds we're watching the heat build early this
afternoon with mid 90s a good bet for much of east central FL,
except areas along the east coast behind the sea breeze pass where
lower 90s will be common. Orlando Intl hit 98 yesterday, and they
could reach that value this afternoon if storms miss the airport
(the record is 100 today in 1998 for Orlando - a prolifically hot
summer). High resolution models do also indicate mid afternoon
showers/storms will converge across Volusia and Brevard counties
later this afternoon and during the early evening with some
activity also affecting the Treasure Coast. The strengthened
environmental low level flow may enhance connective outflow to 50
mph with storms. Boaters should be on the look out to the WSW for
fast approaching storms by late afternoon and evening. Storm
coverage should diminish after 11pm with dry conditions overnight.

Thursday...A favorable pattern is setting up for afternoon storms
across east central FL with increasing deep moisture as PWATs
increase to 1.8-1.9 inches by late morning and SSW low level flow.
Temps aloft will cool slightly with disturbances across the northern
peninsula helping to enhance convection across northern sections by
late afternoon. Storm coverage should be highest (50-60%) from I-4
eastward to the Volusia and Brevard Atlantic coast into early
evening. A few locally strong storms are expected with the risk of
strong winds to 50-55 mph, frequent lighting and localized heavy
rainfall amounts up to 2-3 inches. With highs in the mid 90s and
afternoon heat indices from 107-107 degrees, the heat will continue
to pose a hazard to those outdoors. Resident and visitors should
remember to stay hydrated, wear light colored clothing, shift
outdoor work away from 10am to 4pm, and take frequent breaks from
the heat.

Friday-Sunday...Unsettled weather with high shower and storm chances
are forecast to start the weekend as a mid level trough aloft
approaches north FL Friday and settles over central FL Saturday.
Upper level disturbances combined with high moisture levels will
lead to scattered to numerous showers and storms (50-70%) Friday
afternoon and numerous showers and storms (70%-80%) on Saturday. The
strongest storms look favored on Friday with higher instability and
enhancement from disturbances aloft. The latest excessive rainfall
outlook also highlights Friday afternoon for a marginal risk for
excessive rainfall with storms.  It appears we'll likely see an
earlier start to the showers and storms than recent days throughout
the weekend and also increased cloud cover by Saturday afternoon
into Sunday as a front approaches the area from the north. Highs
in the mid 90s Friday may drop a few degrees into the lower 90s
over the weekend with the approaching front and clouds.

Mon-Wed...Drier conditions are forecast into early next week as a
ridge aloft rebuilds across central and south Florida. Scattered
showers (30-50%) and lightning storms are forecast into each
afternoon as a weak east coast sea breeze moves inland and converges
with weak west-southwest flow. Above normal high temperatures are
expected to continue into next week with a Major HeatRisk for much
of the area.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 240 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Tonight...Scattered storms will move from the mainland to the near
shore waters late this afternoon and evening mainly north of
Sebastian Inlet posing a hazard to small craft with gusty winds up to
35-40 knots in a few storms. For the overnight...convection will
diminish with SSW winds to around 15 knots offshore.

Thursday...Southerly flow to 15 knots is expected with afternoon
storms moving toward the nearshore waters by late afternoon, again
mainly north of Sebastian Inlet. A few strong storms are possible with
the highest coverage between 5pm and 9pm Thu evening. Seas 2-3 ft.

Friday-Monday...A frontal boundary will approach the local Atlantic
waters by Saturday night and Sunday morning and dissipate into
early next week. Scattered to numerous generally offshore moving
showers and lightning storms are forecast for Fri and Sat
afternoon and evening with storm coverage decreasing by Monday.
The potential for a few strong storms exists, especially Fri and
Sat ahead of the frontal boundary.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 201 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Mostly dry across east central Florida early this afternoon with
coverage of scattered storms forecast to gradually build. VCTS
included across the north from MLB/ISM northward after 19Z/20Z,
but an earlier start is expected at LEE. VCSH included along the
Treasure Coast. South-southwest winds prevail around 8-12 kts this
afternoon with locally higher gusts at times. A sea breeze is
beginning to develop along portions of the coast, and will locally
shift winds south-southeast at coastal TAF sites. Convection is
forecast to diminish after sunset across the interior, while
showers and storms may linger a few hours into the evening along
the coast. South-southwest winds subside around 5 kts tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  76  94  75  92 /  20  60  40  50
MCO  77  96  76  93 /  20  50  30  50
MLB  77  93  77  93 /  40  40  40  70
VRB  77  94  76  94 /  30  30  30  70
LEE  78  95  76  93 /  10  40  20  30
SFB  77  96  76  94 /  30  60  40  50
ORL  78  95  77  93 /  30  60  30  50
FPR  76  93  77  93 /  20  30  30  70

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...Volkmer
AVIATION...Law

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
658 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

FLZ547-647-747-172345-
Southern Brevard Barrier Islands FL-Inland Southern Brevard FL-
Mainland Southern Brevard FL-
658 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN BREVARD COUNTY
THROUGH 745 PM EDT...

At 657 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Camp Holly Fish Camp, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Palm Bay, Melbourne, Satellite Beach, Malabar, and Indialantic.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Conditions are favorable for the development of brief funnel clouds.
If a funnel cloud is spotted move indoors and report your sighting
to the National Weather Service.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Seek
safe shelter inside a sturdy building or hard-topped vehicle.
Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a
thunderstorm. When thunder roars, go indoors!

&&

LAT...LON 2794 8046 2793 8084 2812 8084 2830 8058
      2822 8056 2819 8056
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 238DEG 21KT 2807 8075

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Schaper