Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
446 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Have issued Heat Advisory for most of the area for Thursday.

Have issued a Small Craft Advisory for the Pamlico Sound for
late Thursday and Thursday night and coastal waters south of
Oregon Inlet for late Thursday through early Saturday morning.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Scattered showers and thunderstorms along a stalled frontal
boundary this afternoon will dissipate this evening. Some
storms will have the potential to produce gusty winds and heavy
rain.

2) Dangerous heat and humidity persists across ENC into this
weekend.

3) There is a chance for some strong thunderstorms later this
weekend into early next week as instability builds across ENC.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A moist and unstable environment continues
across the region with a frontal boundary stalled across ENC.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms have developed along the
front and sea breeze boundaries bringing area of strong
thunderstorms with gusty winds, heavy rain and frequent
lightning. Shear remains limited serving to keep storms sub-
severe but cannot rule out an isolated severe storm this
afternoon before instability wanes this evening. May see a few
showers continuing overnight as the front gradually lift back
north.

Drier conditions expected Thursday and Friday with WSW flow
aloft limited upper level forcing but could see isolated showers
and thunderstorms along the sea breeze during the afternoon and
evening hours.

KEY MESSAGE 2...SW flow brings increasing low level thicknesses
and warming temperatures and a High Heat Risk across the region
Thursday and Friday with highs reaching the mid to upper 90s
except lower 90s for coastal areas south of Oregon Inlet. Heat
Indices are expected to climb to around 100-110 each afternoon
with highest values along the coast and southern sections of the
FA. There is some uncertainty with the dewpoint forecast each
afternoon, especially inland, as some guidance brings deeper
mixing allowing dewpoints to drop well into the 60s inland from
the coast, which could keep heat indices from reaching advisory
criteria. Have issued a Heat Advisory for Thursday for most of
the FA except far NW counties. Temps have trended down slightly
for Saturday with most of the area remaining in a Moderate Heat
Risk.

KEY MESSAGE 3...An upper level trough/mid level shortwave and
surface front approaching from the north and west this weekend
an increase in shower and thunderstorm chances is likely. While
instability has trended down with a cold front moving into the
area from the north and west, could see a few stronger storms
this weekend with greater upper level support.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms across rtes this afternoon
bringing periods of sub-VFR conditions with heavy rainfall,
hail, and gusty winds. Outside of storms, conditions generally
remaining VFR. Storms will wane this evening with guidance
bringing pred VFR conditions overnight, though cannot complete
rule out periods of shallow for or stratus developing with
storms bringing moist near surface conditions. Best chances will
be across far northern sections, north of the front prior to
lifting north of the area. Pred VFR expected Thursday with less
thunderstorm activity, mainly isolated storms along the sea
breeze.

Outlook (Thursday night through Monday): Mainly iso to widely
sct activity expected Friday with a lower threat for sub-VFR
conditions. However, as we get into the weekend as an upper
level trough and associated surface front approaches increasing
chances for showers and storms as well as sub-VFR conditions
will be noted.

&&

.MARINE...
A frontal boundary is stalled across the waters this afternoon
with generally light winds, around 15 kt or less outside of
convection, and seas around 2-4 ft. The front will lift north
tonight and an area of low pressure will track along it on
Thursday, along with an increasing thermal gradient, serving to
tighten pressure gradients with SW winds increasing to around
15-25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt with seas building to 4-7 ft.
Winds will be strongest across the Pamlico Sound and coastal
waters south of Oregon Inlet and have issued a SCA for these
areas. Wind relax briefly Friday morning, but then tighten again
Friday afternoon as a front approaches from the NW with SCA
conditions expected to redevelop over the coastal waters south
of Oregon Inlet.

Outlook (Saturday through Monday): Conditions gradually improve
Saturday, then will see a backdoor cold front drop through the
waters late Saturday night and Sunday with winds becoming NE
around 10-20 kt with seas building to 3-5 ft. A weak area of low
pressure may form along the stalled front to the south Monday
keeping E-NEly flow across the waters.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NCZ045>047-
     080-081-090-092-094-193>196-198-199-203>205.
     Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ079-090>092-
     094-193>196-198-199.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM Thursday to 4 AM EDT Friday for
     AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM Thursday to 8 AM EDT Saturday
     for AMZ152-154-156.
     Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Thursday to 8 AM EDT Saturday
     for AMZ158.

&&

DISCUSSION...SK/RCF
AVIATION...SK/RCF
MARINE...SK/RCF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
457 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

NCZ029-044-092100-
Martin-Pitt-
457 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon may become strong
to severe, bringing a threat for damaging wind gusts, and small
hail. In addition to this, thunderstorms may also bring heavy
rainfall, which could lead to instances of localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Oppressive heat and humidity is possible Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ045>047-080-081-092100-
Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Beaufort-Mainland Hyde-
457 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon may become strong
to severe, bringing a threat for damaging wind gusts, and small
hail. In addition to this, thunderstorms may also bring heavy
rainfall, which could lead to instances of localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Oppressive heat and humidity is possible Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ094-092100-
Pamlico-
457 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon may become strong
to severe, bringing a threat for damaging wind gusts, and small
hail. In addition to this, thunderstorms may also bring heavy
rainfall, which could lead to instances of localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Oppressive heat and humidity is possible Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ079-092100-
Greene-
457 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon may become strong
to severe, bringing a threat for damaging wind gusts, and small
hail. In addition to this, thunderstorms may also bring heavy
rainfall, which could lead to instances of localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Oppressive heat and humidity is possible Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ204-205-092100-
Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
457 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon may become strong
to severe, bringing a threat for damaging wind gusts, and small
hail. In addition to this, thunderstorms may also bring heavy
rainfall, which could lead to instances of localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Oppressive heat and humidity is possible Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ195-196-199-092100-
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
457 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.
   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon may become strong
to severe, bringing a threat for damaging wind gusts, and small
hail. In addition to this, thunderstorms may also bring heavy
rainfall, which could lead to instances of localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Oppressive heat and humidity is possible Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-092100-
Northern Outer Banks-
457 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Oppressive heat and humidity is possible Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ091-092100-
Lenoir-
457 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon may become strong
to severe, bringing a threat for damaging wind gusts, and small
hail. In addition to this, thunderstorms may also bring heavy
rainfall, which could lead to instances of localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Oppressive heat and humidity is possible Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ090-092-193-194-198-092100-
Duplin-Jones-Northern Craven-Southern Craven-Inland Onslow-
457 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon may become strong
to severe, bringing a threat for damaging wind gusts, and small
hail. In addition to this, thunderstorms may also bring heavy
rainfall, which could lead to instances of localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Oppressive heat and humidity is possible Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
538 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

NCZ044-082215-
Pitt NC-
538 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL PITT AND NORTHWESTERN
BEAUFORT COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT...

At 538 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
House, or near Greenville, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Greenville, Stokes, House, Pactolus, East Carolina University, Pitt
Greenville Airport, Dowdy Ficklen Stadium, and Simpson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3570 7719 3569 7719 3569 7718 3568 7718
      3568 7717 3567 7717 3566 7718 3566 7717
      3564 7717 3551 7735 3567 7746 3578 7732
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 328DEG 12KT 3567 7735

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Martin

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
551 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

NCZ196-082215-
East Carteret NC-
551 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CARTERET COUNTY THROUGH
615 PM EDT...

At 551 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Bettie, or near Harkers Island, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Morehead City, Harkers Island, Sealevel, Marshallberg, Davis,
Straits, Smyrna, Otway, Williston, Open Grounds Farm, Stacy, Oceana
Pier, Cape Lookout Lighthouse, Rachel Carson Estuarine Reserve, Fort
Macon State Park, and Gloucester.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3469 7678 3470 7678 3471 7681 3470 7674
      3471 7670 3470 7670 3470 7672 3469 7668
      3470 7669 3471 7664 3483 7651 3488 7661
      3492 7653 3482 7627 3454 7651
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 303DEG 26KT 3479 7659

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

41

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
558 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

NCZ080-094-193-194-082245-
Beaufort NC-Northern Craven NC-Pamlico NC-Southern Craven NC-
558 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CRAVEN...SOUTH CENTRAL
BEAUFORT AND WEST CENTRAL PAMLICO COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM EDT...

At 557 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Ernul, or 11 miles north of New Bern, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
New Bern, James City, Askins, Cayton, Olympia, Grantsboro, Ernul,
Fairfield Harbour, Coastal Carolina Regional Airport, Alliance, and
Bridgeton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3525 7718 3532 7701 3519 7672 3499 7701
TIME...MOT...LOC 2157Z 307DEG 19KT 3524 7707

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

41

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
618 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

NCZ196-082315-
East Carteret NC-
618 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL CARTERET COUNTY
THROUGH 715 PM EDT...

At 618 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Straits, or near Harkers Island, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Morehead City, Harkers Island, North River, Marshallberg, Davis,
Straits, Smyrna, Otway, Williston, Bettie, Michael J Smith Airport,
Oceana Pier, Cape Lookout Lighthouse, Rachel Carson Estuarine
Reserve, Fort Macon State Park, and Gloucester.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3469 7676 3470 7675 3470 7669 3471 7670
      3471 7674 3472 7673 3472 7670 3473 7670
      3473 7673 3485 7661 3476 7634 3452 7650
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 299DEG 15KT 3474 7659

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

41