Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

601 
WGUS72 KMHX 130559
FFSMHX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
159 AM EDT Mon Jul 13 2026

NCC061-107-130609-
/O.CAN.KMHX.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260713T0645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Duplin NC-Lenoir NC-
159 AM EDT Mon Jul 13 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHWESTERN DUPLIN AND 
SOUTHWESTERN LENOIR COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3519 7783 3519 7781 3493 7781 3494 7815
      3519 7816 3518 7808 3519 7804 3519 7802
      3518 7798 3517 7798 3517 7797 3517 7793
      3515 7789 3516 7789 3516 7788 3518 7783

$$

Martin

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
720 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Issues a Small Craft Advisory for central coastal waters.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Increased risk of scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms through Monday, some of which could be strong to
marginally severe, along with a risk of heavy rainfall and
scattered instances of flooding.

2) Brief reprieve from the dangerous heat early next week, then
hot and humid conditions return by the end of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...The frontal boundary is slowly pushing across
southern portion of the FA this afternoon will move south of the
area overnight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms have
blossomed over the north and eastern portion of the area this
afternoon. While SPC continues to have ENC in marginal risk of
severe storms today with modest instability and shear present,
DCAPE is much lower than yesterday, less than 700 J/Kg, and
storms have remained relatively weak with strongest gusts only
around 30 kt. While cannot rule out an isolated storm producing
strong wind gusts, the over all severe threat appears minimal.

The storms have produced locally heavy rainfall to some areas,
however. Highest rainfall totals so far today has been across
western Hyde Co where 1-1.5" has fallen this afternoon. Anomalous
moisture, moderate instability, and areas of enhanced
convergence will continue across the Carolinas early this week.
Guidance differ on where the most persistent convection will
occur, but the pattern supports the potential for bands of
training convection. If these bands do, indeed, develop, short-
term hi-res guidance suggests a reasonable worst-case scenario
is for rainfall totals of upwards of 3-5". Amounts aside, the
anomalous moisture plus enhanced lift and moderate instability
suggests rainfall rates of 1-3"/hr at times. All of this
supports the potential for isolated to scattered instances of
flash flooding. Still considering a Flood Watch for portions
of the area, but there remains some uncertainty regarding the
placement of the heaviest rainfall and where the greatest risk
of training convection will be. Ensemble guidance show the
strongest signal across coastal sections of the FA, but
probabilities for greater than 3" over the next 48 hours are
only around 20-40% for this area. Given the drought conditions,
most of the area should be able to handle this amount but hydro
concerns may be focused in urban areas where rainfall rates may
overcome drainage systems for short bursts of time. Periods of
moderate to heavy rain may linger into Monday, but instability
is forecast to wane by then, and this may lead to lower rainfall
rates compared to today.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Low pressure developing off the coast of NC on
Monday is expected to keep a "cooler" northeasterly flow going
across ENC through Tuesday. This should keep temps below normal
for a couple of days, and consequently lower the heat risk. This
looks to be short-lived, though, as a warming southwesterly
flow regime returns mid to late-week. Guidance continue to show
a strong signal for above normal temperatures and an increased
heat risk once again.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Moist and moderately unstable airmass, combined with lift
associated with a stalled frontal boundary bisecting the
Carolinas is currently supporting a widespread area of scattered
showers and thunderstorms especially across the eastern part of
NC. With the front moving little and waves of favorable mid-
level disturbances, convective activity is likely to be ongoing
through most of the overnight hours. Predominant conditions
should be VFR for the next few hours but gradually fall to MVFR
and then IFR pre-dawn. Any sites that see direct impacts from
showers/storms will likely see further deterioration to IFR/LIFR
for a brief period.

Predominantly MVFR returns by midday Monday. Higher instability
will be confined mainly from EWN south, so VCSH is more likely
to the north while risk of storms is more probable closer to the
coast.

Outlook (Monday night through Thursday): Moisture and lift
along a stalled front should continue to support periods of SHRA
into Tuesday with periods of low CIGs (IFR/MVFR). A more
predominant period of VFR conditions looks to return by the
middle of next week.

&&

.MARINE...
A front is slowly pushing across the southern waters late this
afternoon and will push south of the area overnight. An area of
low pressure will develop along the front near Cape Fear and
slowly slide eastward through Tuesday. While significant
deepening of the low is not expected, the tightening gradient
will lead to building easterly winds, especially for waters
north of Ocracoke Inlet. South of there, winds are expected to
lighter and more variable as the low moves slowly east away from
Cape Fear. From Ocracoke Inlet north, easterly winds of 15-
20kt are expected with some guidance suggesting some gusts to
around 25 kt possible at times, mainly across the central
waters. Will see building seas with a decent easterly fetch off
the coast with 3-5 ft seas across most of the nearshore
waters, however guidance is bringing seas up to 4-7 ft across
the outer waters and central nearshore waters. Have issued a SCA
for the central waters from Oregon Inlet to Ocracoke Inlet
Monday and Monday evening.

Outlook (Tuesday through Friday): Low pressure will slowly
weaken and move east on Tuesday with high pressure building in
mid to late week bringing improved boating conditions.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Monday to midnight EDT Monday
     night for AMZ152-154.

&&

DISCUSSION...RM/SK
AVIATION...RM/SK/MS
MARINE...RM/SK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
812 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

NCZ204-140015-
Ocracoke Island-
812 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected through
tonight. Heavy rainfall and scattered instances of flash flooding
are possible with this activity. Additionally, a few strong to severe
thunderstorms may develop.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ195-199-140015-
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
812 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected through
tonight. Heavy rainfall and scattered instances of flash flooding
are possible with this activity. Additionally, a few strong to severe
thunderstorms may develop.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198-140015-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-Inland Onslow-
812 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected through
tonight. Heavy rainfall and scattered instances of flash flooding
are possible with this activity. Additionally, a few strong to severe
thunderstorms may develop.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Widespread showers and a few thunderstorms are expected on Monday.
Heavy rainfall and a few instances of flash flooding may occur with
this activity.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-205-140015-
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
812 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected through
tonight. Heavy rainfall and scattered instances of flash flooding
are possible with this activity. Additionally, a few strong to severe
thunderstorms may develop.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-140015-
East Carteret-
812 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected through
tonight. Heavy rainfall and scattered instances of flash flooding
are possible with this activity. Additionally, a few strong to severe
thunderstorms may develop.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
635 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

NCZ198-199-122330-
Coastal Onslow NC-Inland Onslow NC-
635 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN ONSLOW AND SOUTHEASTERN
DUPLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

At 635 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Verona, or near New River Station, moving south at
15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Jacksonville, North Topsail Beach, New River Station, Camp Lejeune
Center, Folkstone, Midway Park, Verona, Dixon, Onslow Beach, Sneads
Ferry, Sea View Pier, Holly Ridge, and Haws Run.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3446 7753 3448 7758 3473 7769 3476 7768
      3478 7734 3448 7715 3444 7739 3444 7752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 357DEG 14KT 3463 7751

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RTE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1034 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

NCZ090>092-130330-
Jones NC-Lenoir NC-Duplin NC-
1034 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN JONES...SOUTHWESTERN
LENOIR AND NORTHERN DUPLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 PM EDT...

At 1034 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Walnut Creek to 12 miles southeast of
Dunn. Movement was southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Kinston, Warsaw, La Grange, Mount Olive, Kornegay, Deep Run, Bowdens,
Beautancus, Kenansville, Pleasant Hill, Albertson, Faison, Pink Hill,
Calypso, and Sandy Bottom.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3519 7816 3518 7808 3519 7802 3518 7798
      3517 7797 3517 7793 3515 7789 3516 7789
      3518 7783 3533 7783 3537 7781 3511 7745
      3489 7815 3504 7815 3509 7817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0234Z 321DEG 9KT 3535 7789 3522 7842

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Simms

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1128 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

NCZ090-091-130430-
Lenoir NC-Duplin NC-
1128 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN GREENE...WESTERN LENOIR
AND NORTHERN DUPLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 1230 AM EDT...

At 1128 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Goldsboro to near Clinton. Movement was east at
5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Kinston, Warsaw, La Grange, Mount Olive, Kornegay, Deep Run, Bowdens,
Beautancus, Kenansville, Dawson, Institute, Albertson, Kinston
Regional Jetport, Sarecta, Faison, Magnolia, Pink Hill, Calypso, and
Sandy Bottom.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3519 7816 3518 7808 3519 7802 3517 7797
      3517 7793 3515 7789 3516 7789 3518 7783
      3534 7782 3537 7780 3537 7770 3535 7768
      3537 7763 3536 7755 3487 7786 3489 7815
      3504 7815 3509 7817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0328Z 290DEG 6KT 3536 7796 3508 7833

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Simms