Beach Hazards Statement 53, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

200 
WHUS42 KMHX 020807
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
407 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

NCZ195-196-199-204-205-022015-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0053.000000T0000Z-260803T0000Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
Hatteras Island-
407 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches from Oregon Inlet to Surf City.

* WHEN...Through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong longshore currents will create dangerous 
  swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

140 
WHUS42 KMHX 021538
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1138 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

NCZ195-196-199-204-205-030000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0053.000000T0000Z-260803T0000Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
Hatteras Island-
1138 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches from Oregon Inlet to Surf City.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong longshore currents will create dangerous 
  swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

378 
WHUS42 KMHX 030014
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
814 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

NCZ195-196-199-204-205-031215-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0053.000000T0000Z-260803T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0054.260803T1200Z-260804T0000Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
Hatteras Island-
814 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and strong longshore currents in 
  the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches from Oregon Inlet to Surf City.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT Monday through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water. Strong longshore currents will 
  create dangerous swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 5 PM Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
302 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Have issued small craft advisories for our waters starting on
Sunday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Last dry day today.

2) Warm front/coastal trough moves through Sunday morning, with
above average rain chances Sunday into midweek.

Marine: SCA conditions develop Sunday into Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1..Southerly onshore flow and a mix of high clouds and
diurnal Cu will be the name of the game this afternoon as high
pressure continues to shift further offshore. This mornings upper
air sounding still shows pretty widespread dry air across ENC today
so outside of some increasing cloud cover as moisture continues to
advect in moistening up the atm profile, not expecting much in
the way of rain this afternoon. Highs get into the low 90s to
upper 80s inland and mid 80s along the coast and OBX today.

KEY MESSAGE 2...We enter into an unsettled pattern once again
starting tonight into Sunday with daily chances for showers and
thunderstorms into at least mid week. Upper level trough currently
in the Midwest will dive SE'wards into the Tennessee River Valley
Sun into Mon eventually stalling as an upper level ridge blocks
this troughs forward progress. At the mid levels, will see
multiple shortwaves round the base of this trough promoting
periods of lift across ENC and the offshore waters with the
first weak mid level shortwave tracking along the coast starting
tonight into Sun morning with additional shortwaves coming in
from the west Sun afternoon and again on Mon/Tue. At the
surface, closed low in the Midwest will gradually shift E'wards
into the Ohio River Valley with its associated surface front
stalling just to the west. These features, in addition to the
sea breeze each afternoon/evening, will be the main forcing
present for a notable increase in precip chances.

Starting later tonight into Sun there will be two areas of
focus for shower and thunderstorm activity. The first will be
overnight into Sun morning along and behind a N'ward moving warm
front/coastal trough with much of the activity occuring near
and east of Hwy 17. We should still be too dry aloft inland as
the boundary moves through, so thunder chances remain low inland
Sun morning. Proximity to the gulf stream could allow isolated
to scattered showers and thunderstorms to reach coastal
communities south of Oregon Inlet. The second will be in the
afternoon/evening with shower and thunderstorm activity coming
in from the west associated with the stalling upper trough.
Cloud cover will play a big role in how high instability can
truly get, but with the dewpoints rising there should be enough
instability entering the region for 1000-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE
Sunday. While shear is not too impressive with the
unidirectional SE flow, the combination of long, skinny CAPEs,
PWATs over 2", and slow storm motions could result in heavy
rainfall rates and wet microbursts where storms develop. The
best coverage is expected to be to our west closer to I-95, with
more isolated to scattered coverage across the Coastal Plain
but will continue to monitor trends in the CAM guidance and
adjust PoPs accordingly.

Monday the trough will remain stalled to our west and gradually
weaken. This reduces the potential for height falls over the region
despite the trough creeping a bit closer. Still, we should see
embedded shortwaves moving through aloft. Slightly better
forcing, paired with another day of long skinny CAPEs and PWATs
north of 2" brings higher precip chances compared to Sunday with
heavy rainfall rates, a low end wet microburst threat, and slow
storm motion vectors. All this brings flash flooding concerns
to mind, especially with how much rain has been observed in many
locations in the past 1-2 weeks.

We are currently in a Marginal (level 1/5) Excessive Rain Outlook
for Sunday and Monday with best chances at seeing flash flooding
likely along Hwy 17 and points east. What prevents it from
being higher is the uncertainty on instability with antecedent
cloud cover and the lack of substantial ground-level forcing.
With high temps forecast to only be in the low to mid 80s
Monday, the sea breeze may be weak in nature.

Beyond Monday, the trough/low is still expected to linger to our
west until eventually it gets picked up and shifted to our north by
another trough moving through the Great Lakes region. As a result,
daily elevated precip chances continue through mid-week with a low
end risk for flash flooding. By the end of the week it looks like we
return back to climo or below climo PoPs as a lack of mid level
shortwaves or significant forcing will be noted across ENC though we
do begin to warm back up with temps returning to the upper 80s to
low 90s inland and mid 80s along the OBX.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions continue across ENC with steady S'rly flow at 5-10
kts with gusts up around 15 kts noted today. In addition to this, a
mix of high clouds and diurnal Cu have developed across ENC today
with the lowest ceilings remaining around 4-6 kft. Any diurnal Cu
that develops today will quickly dissipate around sunset. VFR
conditions are forecast to continue into tonight before flying
conditions begin to deteriorate. Latest 12Z guidance continues to
suggest MVFR ceilings encroach from the west after 06Z and then
track towards the coast through the morning Sunday as a coastal
trough/weak warm front lift north across the region before lifting
late Sunday morning/early Sun afternoon back to VFR conditions.
As a result, have introduced MVFR ceilings at ISO/PGV terminals
between 06-09Z and at the EWN/OAJ terminals between 09-12Z Sun
with VFR conditions returning between 15-18Z across all
terminals on this update. Coastal regions could see isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms tonight into Sun morning
along and behind the aforementioned coastal trough. Ended up
keeping OAJ/EWN dry through 06Z but have included a PROB30 group
at these terminals after about 09Z. Additional rounds of
showers and storms that may impact the further inland terminals
(ISO/PGV) will be possible Sun afternoon.

Outlook (Sunday night through Thursday): Periods of sub-VFR
ceilings/vis are possible Sun night into early next week as ENC
enters into a more unsettled period of weather with daily
chances for showers and thunderstorms with a stalled upper
trough off to the west. Precip chances and thus the threat for
sub-VFR conditions look to decrease beyond Wed.

&&

.MARINE...
Biggest chance on this update was the inclusion of small craft
advisories starting on Sunday across all near shore coastal
waters and inland waters. Ongoing 5-10 kt S-SE'rly winds with
gusts up to 15 kts will continue into tonight with winds
becoming more S-SW'rly and increasing to 15-25 kts with gusts up
to 25-30 kts late Sun morning into Sun afternoon. IN response to
the strengthening winds Sun, expect ongoing 1-3 ft seas across
our coastal waters to build late Sun morning to 4-8 ft by Sun
evening, thus resulting in widespread SCA conditions. In
addition to this as a weak warm front/ coastal trough lifts
north across the area increasing shower and thunderstorm chances
are likely starting from south to north Sun morning and
persisting into the end of the period.

Outlook (Sunday night through Thursday): Southerly winds remain
elevated into Monday before gradually decreasing Mon afternoon
and evening keeping SCA in place. Winds will ease first across
the inland waters and N'rn sounds thus ending SCA's by Mon
morning here with SCA's ending across the coastal waters south
of Oregon Inlet by Mon evening. Expect more benign winds and
seas from Tue onwards as weak high pressure builds over the
area. In addition to the above, elevated chances for showers and
thunderstorms will remain possible into midweek.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Sunday to 8 PM EDT Monday for
     AMZ131-150-230-231.
     Small Craft Advisory from noon Sunday to 8 PM EDT Monday for
     AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM to 8 PM EDT Sunday for AMZ136-
     137.
     Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Sunday to 11 PM EDT Monday for
     AMZ152-154-156-158.

&&

DISCUSSION...RCF/RJ
AVIATION...RCF
MARINE...RCF/RJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
329 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

NCZ029-044-079-090-091-021930-
Martin-Pitt-Greene-Duplin-Lenoir-
329 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ045>047-080-081-092-094-193>196-198-199-203>205-021930-
Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Beaufort-Mainland Hyde-Jones-
Pamlico-Northern Craven-Southern Craven-West Carteret-East Carteret-
Inland Onslow-Coastal Onslow-Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-
Hatteras Island-
329 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are forecast to impact
portions of Eastern North Carolina starting Sunday and continuing
into Wednesday. With PWAT's over two inches, slow storm motions, and
training storms there is an increased risk for flash flooding
especially across areas that saw heavy rainfall over the past week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.