Beach Hazards Statement 17, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

996 
WHUS42 KMHX 020631
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
231 AM EDT Sat May 2 2026

NCZ203-205-021845-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0017.260502T1200Z-260503T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
231 AM EDT Sat May 2 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and strong longshore currents in 
  the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water. Strong longshore currents will 
  create dangerous swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2:00 PM Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

203 
WHUS42 KMHX 021426
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1026 AM EDT Sat May 2 2026

NCZ203-205-030000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0017.000000T0000Z-260503T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
1026 AM EDT Sat May 2 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and strong longshore currents in 
  the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water. Strong longshore currents will 
  create dangerous swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2 PM this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

402 
WHUS42 KMHX 030004
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
804 PM EDT Sat May 2 2026

NCZ203-205-031215-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0017.000000T0000Z-260503T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0018.260503T1200Z-260504T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
804 PM EDT Sat May 2 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING NORTH
OF CAPE HATTERAS...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT Sunday through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 3:00 PM Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

Martin

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
242 PM EDT Fri May 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Added in some slight chance PoP's to today's forecast.

Adjusted PoPs and QPF values down across the far inland zones
on Saturday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Rain arrives this weekend as a coastal low develops off of the
southeast coast on Saturday and drags a frontal system through the
area Saturday night.

3) Cold front moves through the middle to late next week

Marine: Small Craft Advisories in effect Saturday into Sunday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A weak mid level shortwave is lifting north
across the area which has produces isolated to widely scattered
light showers. Models are handling this poorly, so have done a
blanket 20% PoP for much of the CWA to cover this. QPF amounts
will be minimal this afternoon and early evening.

Guidance remains in good agreement with a low pressure system
passing just off the coast Saturday bringing much needed
rainfall to the region. Upper level low sitting over eastern
Canada this weekend will act to deepen an incoming positively
tilted trough as it moves across the Mid-Atlantic Sat into Sun.
Associated mid level shortwave strengthens as it nears and
pushes off the coast this weekend as it rounds the base of this
deepening trough. At the same time, a progressive southern
stream jet stream will bring a second, slightly weaker shortwave
across the Deep South and Southeast eventually merging with the
northern stream shortwave. At the surface this will kick off
cyclogenesis off the Southeast coast on Sat along a stalled
frontal boundary located to the south of NC. As the two
aforementioned shortwaves merge this low will begin to deepen as
it tracks NE'wards offshore of the OBX Sat afternoon and
evening bringing widespread rainfall to ENC with highest
rainfall amounts currently forecast along the coast, decreasing
inland.

Probabilities for at least an inch of rainfall along the coast are
still high, and have decreased substantially inland across the
board. While NBM probs for precip greater than one inch inland
are still around 70%, the deterministic NBM has finally keyed
into the lesser totals suggested by hi-res guidance and some
long range guidance inland the past couple days. Deterministic
NBM has closer to half an inch of precip inland, so elected to
stick with this outcome for the forecast. Chances for precip >
1" along the coast S of Oregon Inlet along OBX are now greater
than 70%, and this area will likely be the focus for highest
precip totals.

As far as convection is concerned, currently most of the
instability remains offshore with northerly flow keeping
profiles more stable over land. This should keep rainfall rates
low enough to preclude any flash flooding threat, especially
when paired with the drought conditions in place. While there is
still some uncertainty with how strong the low will get as it
passes by the OBX on Sat, current thinking is the low remains
above 1000 mb as it passes by the area before deepening further
and at a much quicker pace to the north and east of the area.

KEY MESSAGE 2...The next timeframe we are monitoring will be
mid to late week next week. A cold front moves across the
Eastern Seaboard, with an upper level trough digging towards the
Mid-Atlantic and SE. There remains a fair amount of uncertainty
with the timing, as ECMWF has the frontal passage coming
through Thu morning into the afternoon, and the GFS has the
frontal passage Wed night/Thu morning and the Canadian has the
front moving through Thursday night. Ensemble probs for PWATs
greater than 1.5" ahead of this front remain around 30-50%. If
the model consensus shifts to the afternoon Thursday, and the
upper level support remains just as impressive, instability
would be maximized and we would have to start thinking about
severe potential. Machine learning severe probs are highest in
the Mid-Atlantic and SE US Thursday. At this point there is
enough uncertainty to just take a wait and see approach.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Pred VFR conditions expected through this evening, then
gradually deteriorating late tonight and Saturday morning. MVFR
likely to develop after midnight, becoming widespread IFR
towards 12z Sat morning. IFR likely to continue through much of
Sat, grad improving from west to east Sat eve. Isolated to
widely sct showers will continue through late evening, becoming
widespread overnight and Saturday. Periods of moderate to
locally heavy rain will be possible Sat. Winds become northerly
10-15 kt Sat.

Outlook: Conditions will continue to grad improve from west to
east Sat night. VFR conditions expected Sunday into early next
week.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds 10-15 knots for most wil veer to an E and eventually a SE
direction out ahead of an approaching low to the south. Seas
along the coast have lowed down to 3-5 ft, ending SCA
conditions across the central waters. However, as the
aforementioned low begins to approach from the south and deepens
winds will increase to 10-20 kts with our next round of small
craft conditions then expected later Saturday as the low makes
its closest point of approach and winds switch to become
northerly.

The aforementioned low will pass across or just south
of the waters Saturday afternoon into Sunday bringing our next
round of SCA's which have been issued on this shift. For now it
looks like outside of any thunderstorms that impact the waters
which could bring locally enhanced winds and seas, winds will
remain around 20-25 kts with gusts up around 30 kts with a few
gusts up near 35 kts especially along the Gulf Stream and waters
outside of 20 nm. For now it appears gusts would be infrequent
enough and isolated enough to preclude any gale products but
will have to monitor trends today to make sure it stays that
way.

Outlook: High pressure settling to our east keeps winds
south/southwest and below 25 knots Sunday night onwards. Next
cold front moves through mid to late week, with increasing winds
and seas expected both ahead and behind it.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ196-
     203-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Saturday to 2 AM EDT Sunday
     for AMZ131-135-156-158-230-231.
     Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Saturday to 10 AM EDT Sunday
     for AMZ150.
     Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Saturday to 8 PM EDT Sunday
     for AMZ152-154.

&&

DISCUSSION...RCF/RJ
AVIATION...CQD
MARINE...RCF/RJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1134 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193>195-198-021545-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-West Carteret-Inland Onslow-
1134 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ205-021545-
Hatteras Island-
1134 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ199-204-021545-
Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
1134 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-203-021545-
East Carteret-Northern Outer Banks-
1134 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.