Beach Hazards Statement 16, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

086 
WHUS42 KMHX 010644
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
244 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

NCZ203-205-011845-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0016.260501T1200Z-260502T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
244 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF CAPE
HATTERAS FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2:00 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

455 
WHUS42 KMHX 011538
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1138 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

NCZ196-020000-
/O.EXA.KMHX.BH.S.0016.000000T0000Z-260502T0000Z/
East Carteret-
1138 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...Core Banks beaches.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2 pm.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

NCZ203-205-020000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0016.000000T0000Z-260502T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
1138 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2 pm.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

595 
WHUS42 KMHX 020006
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
806 PM EDT Fri May 1 2026

NCZ203-205-021215-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0016.000000T0000Z-260502T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0017.260502T1200Z-260503T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
806 PM EDT Fri May 1 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and strong longshore currents in 
  the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT Saturday through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water. Strong longshore currents will 
  create dangerous swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2:00 PM Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. 

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ196-020115-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0016.000000T0000Z-260502T0000Z/
East Carteret-
806 PM EDT Fri May 1 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...

The risk of dangerous rip currents is expected to decrease tonight.

$$

Martin

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
120 PM EDT Thu Apr 30 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Increased rain chances given radar trends for this afternoon.
Decreased rainfall totals inland Saturday. Continued trending
upwards with wind gusts for marine zones Saturday into Sunday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Rain chances decreasing from SW to NE this afternoon and
evening as remnants of MCS move offshore.

2) Rain arrives this weekend as a low pressure system develops
off of the southeast coast on Saturday and drags a frontal
system through the area Saturday night.

3) Cold front moves through the middle of next week

Marine: Small craft advisory for the central waters continues
into Friday. Low pressure passing off the coast will bring
heightened winds and seas this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Remnants of a MCS have moved offshore, with
lingering stratiform rain slowly ending from SW to NE through
the rest of this afternoon and evening. About 0.1"-0.25" of
precip has been observed so far south of hwy 70, decreasing as
you go inland. No thunder expected over land for the remainder
of today.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Guidance remains in good agreement with a low
pressure system passing just off the coast Saturday bringing
much needed rainfall to the region. As this is happening, an
upper level low centered over Ontario and Quebec will work to
deepen an upper level trough that will begin to push a
supporting wave out of Texas which will eventually elongate into
the frontal system that will accompany the coastal low. The
merged systems will push through Saturday into Sunday and move
offshore but not before some significant rainfall. Probabilities
for at least an inch of rainfall are still high, and decreased a
tad inland. While NBM probs for precip greater than one inch
inland are greater than 60%, GEFS and EPS show a different
story, generally in the 20-60% range. With the best moisture,
instability, and forcing along the coast and offshore, the
current thinking is rainfall totals inland will trend towards
the lower end of guidance. Chances for precip > 1" along the
coast S of Oregon Inlet are now 60-90%, decreasing a bit to
30-60% inland west of hwy 17.

As far as convection is concerned, currently most of the
instability remains offshore with northerly flow keeping
profiles more stable over land. This should keep rainfall rates
low enough to preclude any flash flooding threat, especially
when paired with the drought conditions in place. Still a lot of
uncertainty in the models regarding how strong the low will get
and will have to monitor as the system gets closer.

KEY MESSAGE 3...A cold front moves through the middle of next
week, with an upper level trough digging towards the mid-
atlantic and SE. Still some uncertainty with the timing, as
ECMWF has the frontal passage coming through Thu afternoon, and
the GFS has the frontal passage Wed night/Thu morning. Ensemble
probs for PWATs greater than 1.5" ahead of this front are
currently 30-50%. If the model consensus shifts to the afternoon
Thursday, and the upper level support remains just as
impressive, instability would be maximized and we would have to
start thinking about severe potential. Machine learning severe
probs are highest in the mid-atlantic and SE US Thursday. At
this point there is enough uncertainty to just take a wait and
see approach.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Pred VFR conditions expected through the period. Light showers
should be east of the terminals by 19z. Sct mid and high clouds
will linger overnight, increasing Fri morning ahead of the next
system.

Outlook: Conditions will deteriorate Friday night into Saturday
as widespread rain, low VIS and CIGs overspread ENC. Expect VFR
to return Sunday and continue into early next week.

&&

.MARINE...
Thunderstorm chances for warm Gulf Stream waters are decreasing
as the MCS moves further offshore. A northerly surge around
15-20 kt develops tonight behind the departing MCS and some of
the strongest HiRes models suggesting a brief period of winds
approaching SCA criteria. Seas have been around 3-5 ft for
waters but the central waters are expected to rise at or above 6
ft again tonight. Despite the relatively lower seas right now,
the anticipated increase later today keeps the inherited SCA
unchanged.

Outlook: Another low pressure system will pass across or just
south of the waters late in the week which will likely bring
another round of Small Craft Advisory conditions Saturday into
Sunday. Still high uncertainty on gale potential for coastal
waters and the Pamlico Sound, with EPS probs of gale force gusts
> 60%, but GEFS probs < 20%.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ203-
     205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Friday for AMZ152-154.

&&

DISCUSSION...SK/RJ
AVIATION...CQD
MARINE...SK/RJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
531 AM EDT Thu Apr 30 2026

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193>196-198-199-204-010945-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-West Carteret-East Carteret-Inland Onslow-
Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
531 AM EDT Thu Apr 30 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-205-010945-
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
531 AM EDT Thu Apr 30 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.