Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Miami, FL

292 
WWUS52 KMFL 262138
SVSMFL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
538 PM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026

FLC011-262200-
/O.CON.KMFL.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-260426T2200Z/
Broward FL-
538 PM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL BROWARD COUNTY...

At 538 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Twin Lakes to Downtown Fort Lauderdale, moving
northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, Tamarac, Lauderdale-By-The-Sea,
Lauderhill, Oakland Park, North Lauderdale, Lauderdale Lakes, Wilton
Manors, Sea Ranch Lakes, Lazy Lake, Broadview-Pompano Park, Village
Park, Downtown Fort Lauderdale, Franklin Park, Twin Lakes, Golden
Heights, Palm Aire, Washington Park, and Fort Lauderdale Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2624 8008 2610 8010 2611 8015 2614 8019
      2617 8025 2620 8027
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 226DEG 15KT 2619 8016 2613 8014 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

DH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
112 PM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1235 PM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026

    - Scattered showers and storms will develop later this
      afternoon across the east coast metro area. Some of these
      storms could become strong and could contain gusty winds,
      heavy downpours, and small hail.

    - Another round of showers and thunderstorms will be possible
      on Monday afternoon, mainly across inland areas.

    - Above normal temperatures are possible heading into the
      middle and latter portion of the upcoming week.

&&

.MESOSCALE UPDATE FOR AFTERNOON STORMS...
Issued at 1235 PM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026

ACARS soundings and 17z RTMA analysis in conjunction with GOES
East indicate increasing instability across the region this
afternoon as widespread cumulus congestus continues to congeal on
the unstable side of both the Atlantic and Gulf sea-breezes. Cloud
activity at this hour remains low capped in nature at this time
as an inversion is still clearly present in ACARS and TOWR
soundings. Model guidance (RRFS and HRRR) continues to hint at the
eventual erosion of the CAP in the next few hours which will then
facilitate more vertical growth of updrafts and reflectivity
cores.

While diurnal circulations have resulted in the advection of both
sea- breezes inland thus far this afternoon, light southerly to
southwesterly back ground flow will focus convection on a pinned
Atlantic sea- breeze primarily between the hours of 2 to 8 pm
today. Aloft, 500mb temperatures have warmed to -9C to -10C as a
prior shortwave has departed into the western Atlantic with the
next short wave upstream still well to the northwest over the
Gulf. In the grand scheme of things, 500mb flow remains out of a
northwesterly direction as we remain well to the south of a
positively tilted mid-level trough axis over the northeastern
United States. 20 knots to 25 knots of 500mb flow will result in
convection moving east-southeast to southeast off of the sea-
breeze boundary. Residence time will remain rather short in
nature, but the localized ascent from the sea-breeze boundary and
any outflow boundary collisions could result in a one or two pulse
strong to severe cores. A steep low-level lapse rate gradient,
SBCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg, and DCAPE of 800 to 1000 J/Kg and a
continuation of mid-level dry air aloft will support the potential
of a non-zero threat but low (<5% probability) of isolated strong
to marginally severe wind gusts and small hail. More common storm
hazards will be heavy rainfall and lightning with any
thunderstorms.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 220 AM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026

A mid level trough will remain near the region through the rest of
the weekend and heading into Monday as well. Several shortwave
impulses of energy will pass over the Florida Peninsula and then
round the base of the trough just offshore in the western
Atlantic during this time frame. At the surface, a frontal
boundary will remain draped over Northern and Central Florida
today while a broad area of low pressure begins to take shape
later in the day well off to the northeast off the Carolina
coastline. This frontal boundary will allow for the surface wind
flow to generally take on a south to southwesterly direction
throughout today. The sea breezes will once again develop this
afternoon, however, this time around the Gulf breeze will be the
dominate one as the east coast sea breeze gets pinned over the
metro areas. While the sea breeze boundaries will be the main
feature for convective initiation today, the combination of
several mid level shortwaves nearby as well as a surface frontal
boundary just to the north of the region could provide extra
sources of lift for convective development. With moisture pooling
over the region out ahead of the frontal boundary, the focus for
thunderstorm development will be over the interior as well as the
east coast metro areas this afternoon where sea breeze and other
mesoscale boundaries collide. With 500mb temperatures remaining
between -10 and -11C combined with DCAPE values of 700 to 850 J/kg
this afternoon, the ingredients are there to support a few strong
thunderstorms that are able to take advantage of the lift along
boundary collisions. These storms will be capable of producing
heavy downpours, gusty winds as well as some small hail. High
temperatures today will generally rise into the mid to upper 80s
across most areas, however, lower 90s will be possible over the
interior areas along and south of Alligator Alley.

As the surface low continues to move further northeast in the
Atlantic tonight into Monday, the surface frontal boundary will
continue to weaken as it slowly pushes through the region. While
winds at the surface will remain rather light and sea breeze
driven on Monday, winds across the mid to upper levels will
become more north northwesterly as the day progresses. This may
help to introduce some drier air aloft later in the day over the
region. Moisture will continue to pool over the area in the lower
levels as the front pushes through which will be conducive for
scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop once again during
the afternoon hours. While chances of strong thunderstorm
development will still remain on the lower side, an isolated
strong thunderstorm or two cannot be entirely ruled out during the
late afternoon hours where sea breeze and other mesoscale
boundaries collide. The strongest storms will once again be
capable of producing gusty winds and heavy downpours. High
temperatures on Monday will generally range from the mid 80s along
the east coast to the lower 90s across interior portions of
Southwest Florida.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 220 AM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026

Heading into Tuesday and Wednesday, a rather strong mid level ridge
centered over the southwest Gulf will sprawl eastward over the
Florida Peninsula during this time frame. At the same time, a
surface area of high pressure will begin to build in from the
north on Tuesday before centering over the region on Wednesday.
Outside of an isolated shower on Tuesday due to some lingering
lower level moisture in place from what is left of the frontal
boundary, many areas will remain dry throughout most of Tuesday
and into Wednesday. With east to southeasterly wind flow in place
during this time frame, high temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday
will generally rise into the mid 80s along the east coast and
into the lower 90s across interior portions of Southwest Florida.

During the second half of the week, uncertainty in the forecast
still remains on the higher side as a deepening mid level low/trough
complex dives down into the Great Lakes region as well as the
Northeast and Mid Atlantic States during this time frame. This
deepening mid level low/trough complex will help to flatten the
ridge over the region creating more of a zonal flow across South
Florida by the end of the week. At the surface, low pressure will
move off the Mid Atlantic Coastline on Thursday and the cold front
associated with this system will extend southwestward back into
Northern and Central Florida. The uncertainty in the forecast has
to do with the forward momentum of the front as guidance is
showing signals that it could stall somewhere across the Lake
Okeechobee region. What is more certain, is that out ahead of this
front, winds will become south southwesterly on Thursday and
Friday creating very warm temperatures area wide heading into the
second half of the week. If the front remains to the north of the
region, dry conditions will prevail and rain chances will remain
rather limited. If this front were to push further south into the
region before stalling, this could introduce some chances of
showers and thunderstorms each afternoon heading into the second
half of the week. As of now, the forecast takes a blend of the
models and keeps the area dry during this time frame, however, if
future models runs trend towards pushing the front further south,
chances of showers and thunderstorms may increase during this time
period. This will continue to be monitored as the week
progresses. High temperatures on Thursday and Friday will be above
climatological normals as upper 80s and lower 90s will be common
across most of the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026

SHRA/TSRA is forecast to develop along a pinned Atlantic sea-
breeze over the next several hours and persist through 00z. Winds
will veer to a southeasterly component at all east coast
terminals, remaining out of the southwest at KAPF. Erratic wind
shifts and gusty winds are possible at any east coast terminal
that is directly impacted by SHRA/TSRA. Light and variable winds
will be possible once again overnight with any SHRA/TSRA activity
dissipating by 01-03z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 220 AM EDT Sun Apr 26 2026

A gentle to moderate south to southwesterly wind flow will develop
across the local waters today out ahead of an approaching front.
These winds will become variable on Monday as the front slowly
pushes through the region before becoming east northeasterly on
Tuesday as high pressure starts to build back into the region. Seas
across the Gulf waters will remain at 2 feet or less through early
next week. Seas across the Atlantic waters will remain at 2 feet or
less through the rest of the weekend and most of Monday. These seas
will then build to 3 to 5 feet on Tuesday as a northeasterly swell
develops behind the frontal boundary. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will be possible mainly across the Atlantic waters
today and Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            71  87  72  84 /  20  20  10  10
West Kendall     67  89  68  86 /  20  10   0  10
Opa-Locka        70  88  72  85 /  20  20  10  10
Homestead        70  87  71  85 /  10  10   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  70  84  72  83 /  20  20  10  10
N Ft Lauderdale  70  84  72  83 /  30  20  10  10
Pembroke Pines   71  89  72  87 /  20  20  10  10
West Palm Beach  68  84  71  83 /  20  20  10   0
Boca Raton       70  84  72  83 /  30  20  10   0
Naples           69  87  68  88 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...CWC
LONG TERM....CWC
AVIATION...Hadi