Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
323 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 252 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

- Low to medium shower and thunderstorm chances (20-40%) Tuesday
  across the far eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos.
  Damaging winds and large hail remain the primary hazards for the
  strongest storms.

- Elevated to near-critical fire weather conditions are expected
  across southeast New Mexico, the Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains,
  and portions of far west Texas through Friday.

- Very windy conditions expected in the Guadalupe/Delaware
  Mountains through Tuesday evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday night)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

A broad dryline has developed this afternoon across the eastern
Permian Basin. Convergence and instability along this feature is
causing a few storms to develop with the help of daytime heating.
Shear is marginal but we could see a storm or two become severe
with large hail and strong winds the main threats. The dryline
retreats back west overnight before surging back east tomorrow in
a near carbon copy of what is happening today. Additional lift
from an upper trough and jet stream will increase the storm
coverage and PoPs increase to 40 to 50 percent in the far eastern
counties. Highs will be similar to today reaching the 80s for most
locations which is pretty typical for April.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Westerly flow then dominates for the middle and end of the week,
keeping the dryline just far enough east that rain chances should
generally remain in the Big Country and Hill Country of central
and west-central Texas. Cannot rule out a rogue shower from Big
Lake to Snyder but rainfall amounts will be very little. Highs
should hold in the 80s to lower 90s throughout this week since
there are no upper features moving across the area to provide any
change.

Friday an upper level trough moves out of the intermountain west
and into the Great Plains. Unfortunately the best lift will be
north of the area and this system will provide more wind than
anything else. It is possible that pressure falls ahead of the
trough could hold the dryline far enough west that some of the
eastern counties in our CWA could see some rain chances but most
of the area will be dry, windy, and quite possibly dusty. The
trough moves east of the area and a cold front moves through
Saturday bringing quite pleasant temperatures for the weekend with
slightly below normal highs in the 70s.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

VFR conditions prevail. Gusty southwesterly winds continue at CNM
and HOB until around sunset before diminishing. Elsewhere,
southwesterly winds generally between 10-15 kts are expected, with
occasional light gusts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 252 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Have left the Tuesday Fire Weather Watch in effect for now and
will let one more shift look at conditions before making a final
decision. At this time, it appears minimum afternoon humidities
will be a little to high to warrant a Red Flag Warning but again
will wait 12 hours to see if models drop them any. A dryline will
push east into the Permian Basin daily bringing elevated fire
weather conditions to portions of southeastern New Mexico and the
Permian Basin, but the day to watch is Friday. An upper low moving
into the Great Plains will bring windy and dry conditions and
Friday afternoon should see critical fire weather conditions
across a good portion of the area. The limiting factor could be
fuel moisture in the eastern basin and lower Trans Pecos. Fire
fighters should monitor Friday as the biggest day of concern.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               65  85  62  86 /  20  30  50  20
Carlsbad                 59  85  54  81 /   0  10  10   0
Dryden                   66  83  63  85 /  30  40  50  20
Fort Stockton            62  87  62  86 /  20  20  30  10
Guadalupe Pass           56  74  52  71 /   0  10  10   0
Hobbs                    57  84  54  81 /  10  10  20   0
Marfa                    50  80  49  78 /  10  10  20   0
Midland Intl Airport     64  86  62  84 /  20  20  40  10
Odessa                   64  86  62  84 /  20  20  40  10
Wink                     60  87  60  84 /  10  10  20   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Wind Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for
     Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware
     Mountains.

NM...High Wind Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

     Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
     evening for Chaves Plains-Lea.

&&

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
225 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

TXZ075-082-132000-
Pecos TX-Terrell TX-
225 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL PECOS AND NORTH
CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM CDT...

At 224 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 23
miles north of Sanderson, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Pecos
and north central Terrell Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3036 10235 3046 10249 3075 10222 3057 10200
TIME...MOT...LOC 1924Z 229DEG 16KT 3049 10236

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
302 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

TXZ075-082-132030-
Pecos TX-Terrell TX-
302 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL PECOS AND
NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM CDT...

At 301 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 23
miles west of Sheffield, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Sheffield.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 314 and 325.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3044 10220 3061 10231 3087 10195 3058 10171
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 246DEG 29KT 3057 10218

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
334 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

TXZ075-132115-
Pecos TX-
334 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EASTERN PECOS COUNTY THROUGH 415
PM CDT...

At 333 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 18
miles south of McCamey, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Bakersfield.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 294 and 308.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3075 10224 3083 10238 3103 10221 3100 10219
      3101 10218 3100 10214 3100 10212 3099 10208
      3100 10205 3100 10203 3098 10201 3099 10198
      3097 10196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 215DEG 22KT 3086 10225

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

95

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
358 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

TXZ069-070-132130-
Reagan TX-Upton TX-
358 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN REAGAN AND
SOUTHEASTERN UPTON COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM CDT...

At 357 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles south of Rankin, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Rankin and Best.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3108 10174 3109 10208 3144 10186 3126 10148
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 220DEG 28KT 3106 10197

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

95

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
410 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

TXZ075-082-132145-
Pecos TX-Terrell TX-
410 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL PECOS AND NORTH
CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM CDT...

At 410 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 25
miles north of Sanderson, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Pecos
and north central Terrell Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3038 10248 3050 10253 3076 10211 3047 10193
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 241DEG 23KT 3052 10238

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

95