Flash Flood Warning 60, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

402 
WGUS74 KMAF 030204
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
804 PM MDT Tue Jun 2 2026

NMC015-030445-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0060.000000T0000Z-260603T0445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Eddy NM-
804 PM MDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY...

At 804 PM MDT, trained weather spotters reported street flooding in
Carlsbad. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. Additional
rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area.
Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Trained spotters reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Carlsbad, Loving, Carlsbad North, Avalon, Brantley Lake State Park,
  Whites City, Carlsbad Caverns National Park, Living Desert State
  Park, Lake Avalon, Cavern City Air Terminal and Otis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Remain alert for flooding even in locations not receiving rain.
Arroyos, streams, and rivers can become raging killer currents in a
matter of minutes, even from distant rainfall.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3275 10426 3265 10433 3252 10446 3225 10461
      3216 10464 3212 10463 3209 10457 3209 10445
      3211 10438 3220 10420 3235 10403 3245 10398
      3256 10395 3271 10395 3278 10400 3283 10407
      3283 10414

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

29

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
601 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 556 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

- Shower and thunderstorm chances increase across much of west
  Texas and southeast New Mexico starting tonight through at
  least Friday. We will be keeping a close eye on the flash flood
  potential during this time.

- Cloud cover and rain chances keep temperatures below normal
  Wednesday through Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

An active weather pattern once again develops for west Texas and
southeast New Mexico starting this afternoon. Upper-level troughing
is evident this afternoon near southern California. This trough will
gradually make its way towards our area through the rest of the
week. In the meantime, once again this afternoon scattered showers
and thunderstorms will develop across the higher terrain west of the
Pecos River. Similar to yesterday, storms that develop this
afternoon could become strong to marginally severe, posing a large
hail and damaging wind threat. For tonight, the latest runs of
convective-allowing models have come into better agreement depicting
a cluster of storms developing in southeast New Mexico and moving
across the Permian Basin. By this time, precipitable water will have
increased to 1.0-1.5 inches across the area, which is well over the
90th percentile (approaching daily record territory). As a result,
flash flooding will be our main concern as this cluster moves across
these areas.

The cluster of storms clears the area by Wednesday morning. After
that occurs, forecast confidence becomes lower overall. Guidance
indicates there may be a general break in activity late Wednesday
morning into the afternoon for portions of the area (mainly much of
the Permian Basin and southeast New Mexico). However, medium (40-
60%) PoPs are maintained in the higher terrain west of the Pecos
thanks to continued upslope flow. Additional showers and
thunderstorms may once again move across portions of southeast New
Mexico and the Permian Basin Wednesday night/early Thursday morning,
but convective-allowing models have been notably slower to catch
onto this solution than coarser resolution models. In any case, rain
chances will continue from early Thursday morning through portions
of the Long Term Period as the trough continues its slow approach
towards our area. While issuing a Flood Watch was heavily considered
on this shift, low confidence in shower/storm coverage after tonight
and the potential for long breaks in activity dissuaded us from
doing so yet. That being said, should model agreement increase and
converge towards a wetter solution Wednesday onward, a watch may be
deemed necessary later on (especially given our anomalously high
PWATs and antecedent wet soils). Otherwise, highs today top out in
the upper 80s and low 90s, but fall into the 80s for most tomorrow
thanks to dense cloud cover.

Sprang

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

The unsettled weather pattern will continue across west Texas and
southeast New Mexico through the latter part of the week. A slow
moving upper-level trough will remain oriented over eastern New
Mexico and west Texas Thursday into Thursday night. An upper-level
low will gradually become cut off over the vicinity of Sonora/
Chihuahua MX on Friday. Abundant deep-layer moisture will remain
oriented over our forecast area ahead of this system through late
this week with precipitable water values remaining very high
between 1.0-1.4 inches. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms will develop across the region Thursday into Friday,
with the best chances (50-70 percent) focused from the Permian
Basin to the Lower Trans Pecos/Davis Mountains/Marfa Plateau/
Big Bend region. We will need to continue to monitor the potential
for locally heavy rainfall and an associated flooding threat with
storms that develop in the moist airmass across our region late
this week. A few strong to marginally severe storms will be
possible during the afternoon and evening. Temperatures will
remain below normal through the end of the week with highs mostly
in the 80s and lows generally in the 60s.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to
develop across the region on Saturday as the upper-level trough
axis remains over the region. This feature finally shifts to the
east of our region on Sunday with upper-level ridging building in
through Monday. Convection will become much less in coverage and
mainly relegated to the eastern Permian Basin/Lower Trans Pecos
both days. Temperatures heat back up into the 90s Sunday and
Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 556 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

Quite the messy setup over the next few hours as TS become more
widespread west of the terminals and spread east. We expect a
complex of storms with gusty outflow winds affecting all terminals
through the evening and overnight. Amendments are likely as the
complex evolves and shifts east. A lull in storms is possible
after sunrise with skies clearing from west to east.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               68  85  65  84 /  40  50  50  60
Carlsbad                 64  84  63  85 /  80  30  50  30
Dryden                   72  90  69  87 /  20  40  30  30
Fort Stockton            67  87  65  87 /  40  60  30  50
Guadalupe Pass           62  77  61  79 /  50  40  50  40
Hobbs                    61  80  60  82 /  70  60  50  60
Marfa                    56  83  55  82 /  30  60  30  80
Midland Intl Airport     67  83  65  83 /  60  70  50  50
Odessa                   66  82  65  83 /  60  70  50  50
Wink                     66  84  64  85 /  60  60  50  40

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for Andrews-Central
     Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis
     Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern
     Culberson-Ector-Gaines-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
     Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Loving-Lower Brewster
     County-Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Pecos-Presidio Valley-
     Reeves County Plains-Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-
     Ward-Winkler.

NM...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for Central Lea-Eddy
     County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern
     Lea-Southern Lea.

&&

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...29

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
303 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXZ277-022030-
Davis Mountains TX-
303 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS COUNTY
THROUGH 330 PM CDT...

At 303 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
McDonald Observatory, or 12 miles northwest of Fort Davis. This
thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
McDonald Observatory and Black Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 10401 3064 10414 3078 10416 3076 10395
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 195DEG 4KT 3069 10408

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

55

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
342 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXZ276-022115-
Marfa Plateau TX-
342 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS AND
SOUTHERN CULBERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM CDT...

At 342 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles north of Valentine, or 23 miles southeast of Van Horn. This
thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central Jeff
Davis and southern Culberson Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3083 10462 3087 10449 3072 10439 3072 10441
      3070 10441 3069 10438 3067 10440 3059 10466
      3079 10468
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 219DEG 4KT 3079 10456

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

KLG

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
359 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Alpine                  30.37N 103.66W
05/31/2026                   Brewster           TX   Public

            Uprooted tree reported at the Alpine County
            Club.

&&

JL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
403 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXZ272-276-277-022130-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor TX-Marfa Plateau TX-
Davis Mountains TX-
403 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS AND
SOUTHWESTERN CULBERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM CDT...

At 403 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles east of Green River, or 16 miles southeast of Van Horn. This
thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Van Horn and Lobo.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 139 and 141.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3105 10485 3096 10442 3095 10440 3095 10437
      3093 10429 3069 10457 3076 10484
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 219DEG 1KT 3082 10472

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

55

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
405 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXZ277-022130-
Davis Mountains TX-
405 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS AND
NORTHEASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM CDT...

At 405 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Bloys Camp, or 14 miles west of Fort Davis. This thunderstorm was
nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Davis, Bloys Camp, Davis Mountains State Park, and Indian Lodge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3042 10406 3054 10430 3074 10416 3056 10389
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 219DEG 1KT 3056 10413

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

55

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
824 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 N Lakewood            32.66N 104.36W
06/02/2026  M66 MPH          Eddy               NM   Mesonet

            Seven Rivers weather station recorded a
            thunderstorm wind gust of 66 mph.

0755 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 W Artesia             32.85N 104.47W
06/02/2026  M62 MPH          Eddy               NM   AWOS

            Artesia AWOS recorded a thunderstorm wind
            gust of 62 mph.

&&