Flash Flood Warning 53, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 022052
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
352 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXC043-377-022245-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0053.000000T0000Z-260602T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Brewster TX-Presidio TX-
352 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR WESTERN BREWSTER AND EASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTIES...

At 352 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between
0.5 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts
up to 0.5 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is
ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Alpine, Alpine-Casparis Municipal Airport and Paisano Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3041 10380 3044 10376 3047 10366 3028 10358
      3026 10388 3040 10392 3041 10387

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED

$$

11

064 
WGUS74 KMAF 022135
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
435 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXC043-377-022245-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0053.000000T0000Z-260602T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Brewster TX-Presidio TX-
435 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR WESTERN BREWSTER AND EASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTIES...

At 435 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1
and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to
0.5 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing
or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Alpine, Alpine-Casparis Municipal Airport and Paisano Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3041 10380 3044 10376 3047 10366 3028 10358
      3026 10388 3040 10392 3041 10387

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED

$$

95

628 
WGUS74 KMAF 022224
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
524 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXC043-377-022245-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0053.000000T0000Z-260602T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Brewster TX-Presidio TX-
524 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR WESTERN BREWSTER AND EASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTIES...

At 524 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1
and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to
0.5 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing
or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Alpine, Alpine-Casparis Municipal Airport and Paisano Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3041 10380 3044 10376 3047 10366 3028 10358
      3026 10388 3040 10392 3041 10387

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED

$$

95

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1230 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

- Today will be the last day with highs in the 90s. Temperatures
  are cooler the rest of the week only reaching the 80s.

- Rain chances increase from the Guadalupe to the Davis mountains
  this afternoon and spread east overnight. There will be a good
  chance for rainfall over much of the area the remainder of the
  week, with localized flash flooding the main threat.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 234 AM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

Everything is quiet on satellite and radar this morning. This
changes later this afternoon as a negatively tilted trough over
the Baja of Mexico moves closer to New Mexico and Texas. A
disturbance ahead of the deeper trough moves across our CWA this
evening and tonight causing showers and thunderstorms to develop
in the higher elevations west of the Pecos River, then move east
to the adjacent plains overnight. Models are in good agreement
that an MCS develops over southeastern New Mexico but diverge on
how this system evolves with some moving it southeast into Texas
while others leave it nearly stationary. Climatology would favor
this system moving southeast, especially with a low level jet
feeding it moisture from the southeast, so PoPs shift east into
Wednesday. Highs today will be near normal then clouds and
rainfall bring highs down into the 80s on Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 234 AM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

The upper pattern late in the week can best be described as
chaotic. There isn't a strong upper system (low or high) in place
to dominate the weather pattern. This time of year though, lower
heights aloft, low level gulf moisture, and daytime heating
usually favors scattered afternoon/evening convection. The NBM
PoPs may be a bit high given that it is an ensemble forecast and
has difficulty in scattered convective events where individual
storms show in many different areas over various model runs.
Therefore despite the high PoPs over several days, there are
likely to be times when convection diminishes or locations get
missed due to the scattered nature of the individual storms.
Still, most locations should see at least a quarter of an inch by
the end of the week and a few isolated locations could see much
more. WPC QPF is enough to consider the issuance of a flood watch
but will not issue at this time due to low confidence in amounts
and timing. Temperatures during the rain event this week will be
below normal with highs generally in the 80s.

The upper pattern finally gets a strong feature Saturday when a
low develops over northern Mexico and moves northeast into West
Texas on Sunday. Subsidence on the back of the departing low
finally decreases rain chances and pushes temperatures back up to
near normal for early next week as highs get back into the 90s.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

VFR conditions prevail. Showers and thunderstorms begin to develop
this afternoon in the higher terrain west of the Pecos River.
Convection gradually spreads closer to TAF sites this evening and
overnight. PROB30s have been maintained for all sites, and
amendments may be necessary later this evening to add TEMPOs for
thunderstorms (particularly at FST or CNM). Gusty southeasterly
winds diminish overnight (outside of any wind from nearby
thunderstorms). Winds briefly become northeasterly overnight before
becoming southeasterly again by the end of the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               93  68  86  66 /   0  40  70  60
Carlsbad                 94  64  85  63 /  30  70  60  70
Dryden                   94  71  90  69 /   0  10  50  40
Fort Stockton            93  67  87  65 /  20  30  70  50
Guadalupe Pass           85  63  78  62 /  50  60  70  60
Hobbs                    91  61  82  60 /  10  80  90  70
Marfa                    90  56  83  55 /  60  30  60  60
Midland Intl Airport     91  67  84  65 /   0  50  70  60
Odessa                   91  67  84  65 /   0  50  70  60
Wink                     93  66  85  64 /  10  60  70  60

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
229 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXZ277-278-022000-
Davis Mountains Foothills TX-Davis Mountains TX-
229 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN BREWSTER...SOUTHERN JEFF
DAVIS AND NORTHEASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM CDT...

At 227 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southwest of Alpine-Casparis Municipal Airport, or 9 miles west
of Alpine. This thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Alpine, Alpine-Casparis Municipal Airport, and Paisano Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3020 10380 3035 10394 3047 10372 3031 10356
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 224DEG 2KT 3032 10380

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

KLG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
230 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXZ277-022000-
Davis Mountains TX-
230 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS COUNTY
THROUGH 300 PM CDT...

At 229 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
McDonald Observatory, or 15 miles northwest of Fort Davis. This
thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
McDonald Observatory and Black Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 10407 3075 10422 3091 10411 3072 10389
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 224DEG 2KT 3074 10410

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

KLG