Flash Flood Warning 111, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

595 
WGUS74 KMAF 010117
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
717 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2026

NMC025-010330-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0111.000000T0000Z-260701T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lea NM-
717 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR EAST CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...

At 717 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 1.5 and 3 inches of rain have
fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban
         areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Monument and Oil Center.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3267 10327 3268 10338 3259 10351 3250 10358
      3236 10357 3240 10335 3251 10323 3265 10313

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

21

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
649 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 644 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

- Best storm chances will be today and Wednesday, roughly along an
  axis from the Presidio Valley, through the Davis Mountains,
  through the northern Permian Basin. Chances become more confined
  to the higher terrain Thursday into the weekend.

- Near-normal temperatures gradually warm back above normal by the
  end of the week and into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 137 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

As temperatures warm up, showers and storms will develop from around
Big Bend north into the Davis Mountains and southeast New Mexico. A
few storms will be strong to severe and be capable of producing
damaging winds and small hail in addition to lightning. Heavy
rainfall will also be a threat as some areas received rain
yesterday that are likely to receive more rain today, such as
portions of Presidio and Brewster counties. Best rain chances
remain generally west of Midland/Odessa with the eastern Permian
Basin more than likely staying mostly dry. Tonight, showers and
storms gradually decay with the loss of daytime heating. Breezy
southeast winds and lingering cloud cover keep temperatures for
most in the 70s, but rain cooled areas in the higher elevations
dip into the 60s.

Heading into Wednesday, rain chances (20-50%) continue for areas
west of the Pecos River Valley. Once again, heavy rainfall may lead
to localized flash flooding. A combination of the increased cloud
cover and nearby upper level low will keep temperatures below normal
for tomorrow as many locations reach the 80s to low 90s. Similar
conditions to tonight are expected Wednesday night as any places
that did not get much rain settle into the 70s. The higher
elevations cool into the 60s.

-Stickney

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 137 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

Upper-level ridging starts to shift westward by the end of the week
and into the weekend. As a result, temperatures gradually begin to
climb back above normal. While highs in the mid-to-upper 90s will be
commonplace Thursday (80s in the higher terrain), upper 90s and
highs near the century mark become more widespread by Friday and
Saturday. Shower and thunderstorm chances (generally 20-40%) also
become more confined to the higher terrain west of the Pecos during
this timeframe, especially the Davis Mountains. By the end of the
weekend/beginning of next week, our area ends up on the eastern
periphery of the ridge. Long range guidance attempts to develop an
inverted trough near our area during this time. This, along with
increasing moisture, would once again open the door for more
widespread shower and thunderstorm chances early next week
(currently 20-40%). This would also allow highs to once again cool
into the low-to-mid 90s for most locations by Monday and Tuesday.
Stay tuned for updates!

Sprang

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 644 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

Thunderstorms have developed across portions of southeast New
Mexico and southwest Texas this afternoon continuing through this
evening. Brief MVFR/IFR VIS may occur with any storm impacting
terminals. The threat of storms is expected to end after 06Z.
Otherwise, VFR conditions and southerly to southeasterly winds are
anticipated to prevail through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               97  74  95  74 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 96  71  93  69 /  60  40  30  20
Dryden                   97  75  97  75 /   0  10   0  10
Fort Stockton            94  72  92  72 /  30  20  30  10
Guadalupe Pass           87  67  86  66 /  40  70  30  10
Hobbs                    93  68  89  68 /  40  40  20  20
Marfa                    87  61  84  60 /  60  40  60  30
Midland Intl Airport     94  73  92  73 /  10  10  10   0
Odessa                   94  73  91  73 /  10  20  10  10
Wink                     96  73  92  72 /  20  40  30  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...11

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
231 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2026

NMZ028-302115-
Eddy County Plains NM-
231 PM MDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY
THROUGH 315 PM MDT...

At 231 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Carlsbad, moving northeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Carlsbad, Carlsbad North, Otis, Cavern City Air Terminal, and Living
Desert State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3221 10428 3227 10442 3252 10431 3239 10403
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 215DEG 7KT 3231 10431

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

11

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
440 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 AM     Flash Flood      1 WSW Study Butte       29.33N 103.55W
06/30/2026                   Brewster           TX   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Fire chief reported significant flash
            flooding along Hwy 170. A high water rescue
            was preformed under the Terlingua Creek
            Bridge.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
552 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

TXZ276-279-281-302330-
Central Brewster County TX-Presidio Valley TX-Marfa Plateau TX-
552 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL BREWSTER AND
SOUTHEASTERN PRESIDIO COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM CDT...

At 551 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles northeast of Big Bend Ranch State Park, moving northeast at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central
Brewster and southeastern Presidio Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2943 10386 2952 10411 2991 10400 2984 10353
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 203DEG 11KT 2965 10391

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

11

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
655 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

TXZ278-279-010045-
Central Brewster County TX-Davis Mountains Foothills TX-
655 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN BREWSTER COUNTY
THROUGH 745 PM CDT...

At 655 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Marathon, or 27 miles southeast of Alpine, moving northwest at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Marathon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
g
&&

LAT...LON 3002 10334 3024 10346 3024 10345 3025 10346
      3026 10346 3027 10347 3028 10346 3029 10348
      3030 10348 3040 10320 3007 10314
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 156DEG 13KT 3013 10327

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

21

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
729 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

NMZ033-034-TXZ045-010115-
Southern Lea County NM-Central Lea County NM-Gaines TX-
729 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LEA...NORTHWESTERN
ANDREWS AND SOUTHWESTERN GAINES COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM CDT/715 PM
MDT/...

At 729 PM CDT/629 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm over Monument, or 11 miles northwest of Eunice, moving
northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Hobbs, Eunice, Monument, Nadine, Eunice Airport, Lea County Regional
Airport, Industrial Airpark, and Oil Center.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3287 10299 3254 10288 3252 10294 3252 10306
      3248 10306 3233 10351 3260 10357
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 234DEG 11KT 3259 10326

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

11