Special Weather Statement, NWS Little Rock, AR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1221 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 218 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

 - Heat advisory in effect for parts of eastern and east central Arkansas
   through 8 PM.

 - Showers and thunderstorms are expected to move across the
   state after midnight tonight as a cold front moves through.
   Strong storms will be possible along the Arkansas/Missouri
   border.

 - Unsettled conditions are expected to linger into early next
   with several additional rounds of rain possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 218 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Overall, quiet conditions are seen across the FA this morning as
the area is under broad flat ridging. Upper flow remains quasi-zonal
and is expected to remain so through the remainder of the weekend.
Early this morning, temperatures remain warm with readings currently
in the 70s for the majority of the state.

Surface analysis places an ill defined boundary over the northeast
corner of Arkansas with guidance moving it further north through the
remainder of the night. Another very warm and humid day is expected
across the forecast area with heat index values in excess of 105
degrees for parts of eastern and east central Arkansas. As such a
a heat advisory has been issued.

The heat advisory only goes as far north as Jackson/Independence
counties as guidance is showing a cluster of showers/thunderstorms
developing over northeast Arkansas during the late afternoon hours.
CAMS guidance has backed off on the development of this cluster over
the past few runs but the environment continues to support its
development. Another complicating factor for convection Saturday
afternoon with be the outflow boundary that moved across central
Arkansas Friday evening. Boundary is currently residing over western
Arkansas and could be a focal point for additional convection during
peak heating.

Attention will then turn to a cold front moving into north Arkansas
at or slightly after midnight Saturday night/Sunday morning. Strong
storms can not be ruled out primarily along the Arkansas/Missouri
border where instability will be its highest. Strong gusty winds and
some hail will be the primary concerns. The severe threat does
diminish through the night but rain chances remain as the front
crosses the state and stalls out along the Arkansas/Louisiana border
Sunday night and Monday with precipitation chances continuing
through Sunday for central and southern parts of the state.

With broad troughing covering the region, low pressure will traverse
the aforementioned boundary on Monday with additional rain chances
across once again, the central and southern parts of the state while
the north looks to be mainly dry. After a generally dry Tuesday and
Wednesday, another system will be approaching the region on
Thursday.

Concerning temperatures, widespread upper 80s/mid 90s are expected
on Saturday with plenty of humidity as well. Temperatures do cool off
across the north and to a lesser extent over central sections on
Sunday with widespread 70s on Monday behind the boundary. The "cool
down" is short lived as temperatures rise back into the 80s/90s to
close out the period. Heat headlines may be needed once again next
Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

An ongoing bow echo is entering the NW corner of the FA at
issuance. Northern terminals will be impacted with TSRA, IFR CIGs
and gusty winds before 8z. This system is expected to weaken as it
enters Central AR and become scattered rain with isolated thunder
before it makes it to remaining terminals. Within this decaying
system MVFR CIGs will be likely for a short period as leading edge
moves over terminals before recovering within an hour or two back
to VFR. Further development in S AR will be possible later Sun.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     83  63  80  60 /  30  10   0   0
Camden AR         89  68  78  65 /  70  80  70  20
Harrison AR       76  58  76  57 /  30   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    85  66  79  64 /  70  70  40  10
Little Rock   AR  86  67  79  64 /  50  50  10  10
Monticello AR     89  69  78  66 /  50  80  60  30
Mount Ida AR      84  66  79  63 /  70  60  40  10
Mountain Home AR  77  59  77  58 /  20   0   0  10
Newport AR        84  65  80  62 /  30  10   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     87  68  78  65 /  60  70  50  10
Russellville AR   83  66  81  63 /  40  20   0   0
Searcy AR         86  65  81  61 /  40  20   0   0
Stuttgart AR      87  68  79  65 /  50  40  20  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...78

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1015 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     Flash Flood      1 SSE Eros              36.16N 92.84W
06/13/2026                   Marion             AR   Public

            Public shared picture of damage to State HWY
            125. Time estimated from radar.

&&

CJB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
149 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

ARZ112-113-121>123-221>223-313-140730-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations AR-
Pope County Higher Elevations AR-Newton County Higher Elevations AR-
Southern Pope County AR-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations AR-
Searcy County Lower Elevations AR-Southeast Van Buren County AR-
Johnson County Higher Elevations AR-Southern Johnson County AR-
149 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southern Searcy,
southern Newton, northern Johnson, northern Van Buren and northern
Pope Counties through 230 AM CDT
...

At 147 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Piercetown to 7 miles east of Walnut to 7
miles south of Pettigrew. Movement was southeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Clinton...                        Marshall...
Hector...                         Marsena...
Witts Spring...                   Rocky Hill...
Carver...                         Moore...
Dabney...                         Point Peter...
Devils Knob...                    Bohannon...
Imo...                            Elberta...
Watts...                          Rosetta...
Kay...                            Dillen...
Broomfield...                     Solo...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for
western, central and north central Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3585 9241 3572 9242 3571 9227 3556 9251
      3542 9310 3567 9370 3572 9370 3583 9329
      3599 9304 3599 9299
TIME...MOT...LOC 0647Z 292DEG 40KT 3594 9303 3582 9324 3571 9363

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

78/56

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
208 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

ARZ121-122-130-137-138-221-222-230-238-140745-
Northwest Yell County AR-Pope County Higher Elevations AR-
Northern Scott County AR-Western and Northern Logan County AR-
Yell Excluding Northwest AR-Southern Pope County AR-
Southern and Eastern Logan County AR-
Johnson County Higher Elevations AR-Southern Johnson County AR-
208 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Logan, central
Johnson, northwestern Scott, northern Yell and central Pope Counties
through 245 AM CDT
...

At 207 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles south of Rosetta to near Wiederkehr
Village to Dyer. Movement was southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Russellville...                   Clarksville...
Booneville...                     Paris...
Dardanelle...                     Atkins...
Pottsville...                     Lamar...
Dover...                          Mansfield...
London...                         Magazine...
Knoxville...                      Subiaco...
Hartman...                        Hector...
Scranton...                       Ratcliff...
Blue Mountain...                  Lake Dardanelle State Park...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for
central and western Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3510 9414 3514 9414 3514 9403 3523 9403
      3523 9392 3532 9391 3532 9381 3543 9381
      3536 9375 3538 9371 3556 9370 3565 9335
      3539 9285 3521 9286 3514 9315 3504 9423
      3507 9423
TIME...MOT...LOC 0707Z 307DEG 37KT 3560 9338 3551 9374 3550 9415

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

78/56