Severe Thunderstorm Warning 21, NWS Little Rock, AR

704 
WWUS54 KLZK 110735
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
235 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

ARC009-101-110800-
/O.CON.KLZK.SV.W.0021.000000T0000Z-260311T0800Z/
Newton AR-Boone AR-
235 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN NEWTON AND SOUTHWESTERN BOONE COUNTIES...

At 234 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Red Bank to near Erbie to near Lost Valley State
Park, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Harrison...                       Jasper...
Bergman...                        Western Grove...
Valley Springs...                 Olvey...
Myrtle...                         Carver...
Erbie...                          Upper Buffalo Wilderness Area...
Red Bank...                       Lost Valley State Park...
Capps...                          Piercetown...
Pruitt...                         Bellefonte...
Batavia...                        Bear Creek Springs...
Marble Falls...                   Yardelle...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for north central
Arkansas.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3615 9295 3594 9300 3585 9352 3588 9353
      3588 9350 3592 9351 3592 9349 3595 9349
      3595 9347 3597 9347 3597 9345 3608 9345
      3608 9348 3612 9348 3612 9330 3628 9330
      3640 9301
TIME...MOT...LOC 0734Z 243DEG 50KT 3623 9329 3613 9326 3602 9334 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

62

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
138 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, CURRENTLY, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 137 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

-A line of strong to severe storms are in progress early Wednesday
morning pushing across Arkansas from west to east with a damaging
wind and embedded tornado threat within the line

-In wake of the cold front, quiet weather returns for Thursday
through the weekend

-Early Thursday morning, a small window will exist for a frost and
possible freeze across north-central, northwestern, and portions of
west-central Arkansas

-Early Monday and Tuesday mornings will both offer a better chance
 for a widespread frost and freeze across most of the state of
 Arkansas

&&

.CURRENTLY...
Issued at 137 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

As of 1:30 AM CDT, a line of strong to severe storms are across
western Arkansas and will continue to push eastward across the
state. The storms continue to pose a damaging wind and embedded
tornado threat within the line, but are encountering a lack of
instability and CIN as the QLCS progresses eastward. The severe risk
overall remains slight (level 2 of 5) overall across the
southeastern half of Arkansas. The activity moving into western
Arkansas is being specifically driven by QLCS mesoscale dynamics in
terms of damaging wind and tornado potential which is mentioned
below.

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 137 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

WEDNESDAY:

A parameter space conducive for severe weather is in place across
portions of Arkansas. A stout low-level jet is in place with 35 to
50 knots winds in place at 850 mb over Arkansas. However, MUCAPE
values which were widespread across the state from 1,500 J/kg to
3,000 J/kg just hours ago have now been suppressed to a localized
pocket of 1,500 J/kg to 2,000 J/kg running along a corridor from
Mena to Russellville to Mountain View to Hardy. It is to be noted
that this pocket of instability continues to be suppressed or shrink
due to two large regions of MUCIN across northern Arkansas and
southern Arkansas. QLCS tornadogenesis during the early morning
hours on Wednesday associated with the line of storms is most
favorable across western Arkansas where 0-3km MLCAPE is greater than
40 J/kg and bulk wind shear is greater than 30 knots.

The progression of this activity and intensity into the day on
Wednesday will depend heavily on progress the QLCS makes across the
state as locations across east-central and southeastern Arkansas may
have ample time to become unstable once more aided by an increase of
daytime temperatures. The damaging wind and tornado threat within
the QLCS will remain as the line of storms does traverse across the
state. Segments of the QLCS will encounter parameter space in which
severe weather potential will be limited at times followed by
pockets in which segments may become favorable for severe potential
and pose a risk of damaging winds and a few tornadoes. Additionally,
noted is a shield of rain activity which formed ahead of parent line
and may diminish some severe potential as the QLCS moves further
into Arkansas.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY/SATURDAY:

In the upper lvls, northwesterly to nearly zonal flow will in place
over Arkansas. At the sfc, high pressure will settle in behind the
cold front progged to move across Arkansas during the day on
Wednesday. Initially, a much colder and drier airmass will be in
place across the state of Arkansas. Early Thursday morning near
sunrise, a widespread area of frost (temperatures between 33 and 36
degrees) will be possible across much of the northwestern half of
the state and a limited area of a freeze (temperatures of 32 degrees
or less) will be possible across north-central, northwestern, and
portions of west-central Arkansas. The temperature trend after
Thursday will be one which will see a nudge of temperatures upward
through this period. High temperatures on Saturday across Arkansas
are expected to be back in the low to upper 70s as southerly flow
will assist in allowing temperatures to increase overall. Quiet
weather conditions are expected over this period.

SUNDAY/MONDAY/TUESDAY:

In the upper lvls, a digging trof will be moving into the Mid-West
region of the CONUS with flow over Arkansas remaining predominately
northwesterly. At the sfc, an overwhelmingly dry cold front will
push across Arkansas during the day on Sunday. A few model solutions
are placing a small window for a rain-snow mix to occur during the
early morning hours on Monday, but accumulation is not expected and
this possible wintry activity would be fighting increasing
temperatures and any rain-snow mix may be seen across central and
eastern Arkansas, but will only be in the cards for a couple of
hours. The potential for frost and freezing temperatures will be
possible during the early morning hours on Monday and Tuesday across
a much larger portion of Arkansas, but specifics will need to be
ironed out this far in advance. The signal does present itself given
the colder and drier airmass behind the cold front progged to move
across Arkansas on Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

An approaching storm system will bring low cigs and poor flight
conditions through most of the TAF cycle. A line of SHRA/TSRA
will enter Arkansas after 06z first impacting northern terminals
around 07Z, central terminals and KPBF around 10z, and KLLQ
around 18z. Precip will gradually clear the area from NW to SE as
a cold front pushes across the state with winds veering from S/SW
to N/NW behind the front with gusts in the 20-25 kt range. LLWS is
expected along and ahead of the cold front as it moves through
the state.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     74  38  61  42 /  90  10   0   0
Camden AR         75  41  63  38 / 100  40   0   0
Harrison AR       70  34  61  45 /  90   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    73  39  63  41 /  90  20   0   0
Little Rock   AR  74  40  61  42 /  90  30   0   0
Monticello AR     79  43  61  41 /  90  70   0   0
Mount Ida AR      74  38  64  41 /  90  10   0   0
Mountain Home AR  71  35  61  43 /  90   0   0   0
Newport AR        73  38  58  42 /  90  20   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     75  40  60  40 / 100  50   0   0
Russellville AR   75  37  64  41 /  80  10   0   0
Searcy AR         75  38  61  38 / 100  20   0   0
Stuttgart AR      74  40  58  42 /  90  40   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...76

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1243 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

ARZ140-237-240-340-110630-
Polk County Lower Elevations AR-Central and Southern Scott County AR-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations AR-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations AR-
1243 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southwestern Scott
and Polk Counties through 130 AM CDT
...

At 1242 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 13 miles southwest of Octavia to 17 miles
northeast of Idabel to near Broken Bow. Movement was northeast at 55
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Mena...                           Wickes...
Grannis...                        Hatfield...
Vandervoort...                    Beauchamp...
Opal...                           Cossatot River State Park...
Mountain Fork...                  Polk County Fairgrounds...
Mena Intermountain Airport...     Mccauley...
Shady...                          Hartley...
Bard Springs Recreation Area...   Caney Creek Wilderness...
Queen Wilhelmina State Park...    Cove...
Acorn...                          Big Fork...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for western
Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3478 9445 3492 9416 3455 9393 3435 9394
      3436 9425 3419 9425 3419 9447
TIME...MOT...LOC 0542Z 233DEG 50KT 3436 9481 3412 9468 3397 9468

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

62

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
126 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

ARZ130-137-138-140-141-230-237-238-240-241-340-341-110715-
Northwest Yell County AR-Northern Scott County AR-
Western and Northern Logan County AR-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations AR-
Yell Excluding Northwest AR-Polk County Lower Elevations AR-
Central and Southern Scott County AR-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations AR-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations AR-
Southern and Eastern Logan County AR-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations AR-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County AR-
126 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Logan, Scott, Polk,
southwestern Yell and northern Montgomery Counties through 215 AM CDT
...

At 126 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles west of Beauchamp to near Mena to near
Hartley. Movement was northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Mena...                           Booneville...
Waldron...                        Paris...
Mansfield...                      Magazine...
Wickes...                         Subiaco...
Grannis...                        Hatfield...
Oden...                           Ratcliff...
Blue Mountain...                  Vandervoort...
Beauchamp...                      Little Missouri Falls Recreatio...
Bard Springs Recreation Area...   Mauldin...
Muddy Creek WMA...                Mimosa...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for western
Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3493 9445 3496 9437 3495 9434 3497 9424
      3506 9423 3506 9425 3510 9414 3514 9414
      3514 9403 3523 9403 3523 9392 3532 9392
      3531 9381 3537 9381 3525 9355 3473 9340
      3435 9394 3436 9425 3419 9426 3456 9446
TIME...MOT...LOC 0626Z 219DEG 54KT 3480 9439 3463 9418 3439 9414

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

62