Wind Advisory 4, NWS Lubbock, TX

Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Motley County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

699 
WWUS74 KLUB 161217
NPWLUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
617 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

TXZ033>044-161400-
/O.CAN.KLUB.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260116T1400Z/
/O.EXA.KLUB.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-260116T1400Z/
Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-
Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
Including the cities of Meadow, New Home, Aspermont, Crosbyton,
Post, Whiteface, Guthrie, Brownfield, Denver City, Old Glory,
Lubbock, Spur, Levelland, ODonnell, Sundown, Lake Alan Henry,
Plains, Slaton, Wolfforth, Ralls, Jayton, Dickens, Morton,
Tahoka, Dumont, and Wellman
617 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...North winds at 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph.

* WHERE...The southern South and Rolling Plains.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM CST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects and a few 
  power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

TXZ021>032-161400-
/O.CON.KLUB.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-260116T1400Z/
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-
Including the cities of Memphis, Paducah, Floydada, Muleshoe,
Plainview, Quitaque, Tulia, Silverton, Amherst, Happy, Childress,
Roaring Springs, Cee Vee, Hale Center, Lockney, Matador, Olton,
Friona, Dimmitt, Farwell, Kirkland, Bovina, Hart, Turkey, and
Littlefield
617 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...The northern South and Rolling Plains, and the far 
  southern Texas Panhandle.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM CST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects and a few 
  power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

Sincavage

971 
WWUS74 KLUB 161401
NPWLUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
801 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

TXZ021>044-161515-
/O.EXP.KLUB.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-260116T1400Z/
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
Including the cities of Hale Center, Cee Vee, Lake Alan Henry,
Wolfforth, Floydada, Bovina, Old Glory, Ralls, Morton, Jayton,
Brownfield, Matador, Roaring Springs, New Home, Olton, ODonnell,
Levelland, Plainview, Meadow, Friona, Quitaque, Paducah, Plains,
Spur, Silverton, Tulia, Dumont, Wellman, Childress, Denver City,
Post, Dimmitt, Sundown, Tahoka, Aspermont, Farwell, Happy,
Littlefield, Turkey, Amherst, Lubbock, Slaton, Guthrie, Muleshoe,
Crosbyton, Lockney, Kirkland, Memphis, Dickens, Hart, and
Whiteface
801 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

The winds have dropped below advisory levels. However, northerly 
winds of 20 to 30 mph, with higher gusts, will continue through the 
rest of the morning before gradually diminishing through the 
afternoon.

$$

23

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
523 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 523 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

 - A High Wind Warning is in effect for the entire forecast area
   through 8 AM CST.

 - Northerly winds between 30-40 mph, with gusts up to 65 mph and
   widespread blowing dust, are expected following the front.

 - Elevated fire danger for areas along and east of the I-27
   corridor.

 - Colder on Saturday with some flurries possible, then mostly
   mild and dry through next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 420 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

The Wind Advisory has been upgraded to a High Wind Warning for the
entire forecast area. Multiple WTM sites are measuring sustained
wind speeds between 30-40 mph, with gusts near 60 mph. Gusts may
peak near 65 mph as the cold front passes through the CWA. Expect
reductions in visibility as low as one mile from blowing dust, as
satellite continues to indicate a haboob along the cold front.

Sincavage

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 124 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

A Wind Advisory has been hoisted across the entire CWA between
09-14Z (3 AM CST through 8 AM CST), as a strong cold front
continues to surge southward across the High Plains. Water-vapor
imagery suggests that a barrier jet has developed along the lee of
the central Rocky Mountains in wake of an intense shortwave
trough digging southeastward into the Upper Midwest, which is
reinforcing its rapid progression. Numerous METARs across eastern
CO and western KS have observed sustained wind speeds within high
wind territory, with gusts exceeding 70 mph at times. The cold
front is moving southward at nearly 60 mph, and will enter the far
southern TX PH by 09Z. Post-frontal pressure rises will be steep,
with an expectation for wind gusts up to 55 mph to be common
immediately following the passage of the cold front. Highly
localized gusts may near or exceed 60 mph. Grids have been
adjusted to reflect this thinking, and a haboob remains evident on
satellite imagery and METAR data across eastern CO and western
KS. It is unclear how low reductions in visibility will be, but
potentially significant reductions in visibility may accompany the
cold front as it surges southward through the CWA, especially on
the Caprock. A consideration was made for a High Wind Warning, but
a gradual slackening of the sustained winds should occur, with
sustained wind speeds expected to be within the 25-35 mph range
across the CWA. The cold front will clear south of the CWA before
sunrise, and it is possible that the Wind Advisory may need to be
extended later into the morning.

Sincavage

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Friday night)
Issued at 1040 PM CST Thu Jan 15 2026

After temperatures well above normal Thursday, Friday looks to bring
much cooler weather with it. Large scale troughing will continue to
dominate over the eastern half of the CONUS, while a pair of
shortwave troughs wobble around the center of the low across Great
Lakes region. As a result of the southeastward propagating waves, a
cold front surging south from eastern CO ahead of hurricane-force
gusts and widespread blowing dust should arrive in our panhandle
counties around 3-4 AM ahead of strong N winds, perhaps advisory
levels. Behind the front, winds will veer out of the north,
becoming breezy around 15 to 25 MPH with gusts to 35 MPH not out
of the question. One of the biggest uncertainties regarding the
forecast Friday is just how strong the wind speeds will be.
However, the strongest wind speeds look to be confined across much
of the northern Texas Panhandle into central Oklahoma as the core
of the upper trough remains to our northeast. Both the H7 and H8
wind maxima remain focused across central Oklahoma, with the H8
core clipping portions of the far southeastern Texas Panhandle. If
the core of the trough creeps farther southward we could see
higher wind speeds move in. Regardless, a breezy and chilly day is
in store. Given the airmass behind the front will be very dry
with dewpoints in the single digits and some sub-zero readings
along with breezy north winds, elevated fire weather concerns are
likely. Primarily elevated concerns are expected as the cooler
temperatures and ERCs around the 50th to 74th percentile limit
critical fire potential. Although localized critical spots cannot
be ruled out across the far southeastern Texas Panhandle given
minimum RH values around 10 percent. Overnight, the cooler airmass
in place combined with clear skies and diminishing winds will
allow for max radiational cooling. Expect overnight lows to dip
into the upper teens to upper 20s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1040 PM CST Thu Jan 15 2026

Saturday opens with a chilly surface high settling over the South
Plains marked by 850 mb temps of around -7C at Childress to -4C
in Denver City. This cold dump occurs ahead of a potent upper
trough and 140 knot upper jet in northerly flow that fortunately
speeds off to our southeast by Sunday allowing a quick recovery
in temps. Until then, we'll have to contend with an expansive
stratus layer Saturday morning that could linger through the
afternoon and potentially cap high temps much lower than our
forecast. Although the mid-level are initially dry before
daybreak, ample height falls with DPVA ahead of the trough axis
are forecast to cool the mid levels enough for saturation
resulting in a snow-bearing layer around 700-600 mb. Add to this
a steady axis of Fn ascent at H7 as progged by higher res models
and the stage appears set for some snow mainly farther north in
the TX Panhandle while our northern row or two of counties has to
contend with drier low levels supportive of flurries. The NAM is
likely overdone with stratus camping out most of the day thereby
locking highs in the 30s, so we'll keep with the remaining models
and their theme of thinning stratus through the afternoon with
highs in the 40s. Lows Saturday night still get downright cold in
the teens even as the surface high exits ahead of light SW winds.

Southwest breezes for Sunday spell milder highs in the 60s until a
backdoor cold front arrives Sunday night via a distant shortwave
trough curling across the Corn Belt. This front knocks highs back to
the 40s for Monday until the UA pattern deamplifies and yields a
flatter/semi-zonal structure over the southern CONUS by Wed and Thu.
There's a slim chance this transition directs a subtropical impulse
our way, but for now we like the mild and dry NBM solution which has
good support from the global ensemble means.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 523 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

High winds will continue through 14Z at KCDS, KLBB, and KPVW, with
winds gradually diminishing thereafter. VSBY restrictions from
BLDU will improve quickly at KLBB in the next two hours. However,
blustery winds will persist through the early afternoon, with
northerly gusts to 30 kt expected at all terminals. Winds will
finally diminish by dusk.

Sincavage

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for TXZ021>044.

&&

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...09

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
418 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

TXZ021>044-171030-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
418 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A High Wind Warning is in effect for the entire forecast area through
8 AM CST. A strong cold front will surge southward across West
Texas, with an expectation for sustained winds between 30 to 40 mph
and gusts up to 65 mph. Widespread blowing dust is expected
following the cold front, with potentially significant reductions in
visibility possible upon its passage, especially on the Caprock.

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected today across the far
southeastern Texas Panhandle, Rolling Plains, and portions of the
eastern South Plains. A Rangeland Fire Danger Statement is in effect
Friday from 9 AM until 6 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
505 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst Lubbock Int. Airport    33.66N 101.81W
01/16/2026  M63 MPH          Lubbock            TX   ASOS

            Visibility down to one mile from blowing
            dust.

&&

HWS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
508 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 3 N Hart                34.43N 102.11W
01/16/2026  M61 MPH          Castro             TX   Mesonet

            West Texas Mesonet.

&&

jwl

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
510 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 2 ENE Tulia             34.55N 101.74W
01/16/2026  M59 MPH          Swisher            TX   Mesonet

            West Texas Mesonet.

&&

jwl

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
515 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0349 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 7 W Lakeview            34.66N 100.81W
01/16/2026  M60 MPH          Hall               TX   Public

            Additional gust to 58mph at 4:16 and 4:34am.
            West Texas Mesonet.

&&

jwl