Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2026
Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Lubbock, TX
NWS Lubbock, TX issued this red flag warning at Feb 16, 2026, 10:04 PM CST for 21 counties in Texas. It took effect at Feb 17, 2026, 11:00 AM CST. It was in force for 9 hr. 36 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 16, 2026, 10:04 PM CST (04:04 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 17, 2026, 11:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Feb 17, 2026, 8:00 PM CST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Lubbock, TX
All 21 counties
Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Motley County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 11:27 AM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | 2 Ne Dimmitt, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 11:32 AM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | 2 Ssw Muleshoe, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 11:47 AM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 61 | 3 N Hart, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 11:50 AM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 1 E Happy, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 11:56 AM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 1 Ene Morton, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 12:07 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | 2 Ene Tulia, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 12:13 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 61 | Vigo Park, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 12:36 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | 1 S Plainview, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 12:59 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | 1 Ne Amherst, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 1:15 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | 6 S Olton, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 1:24 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 6 Ssw Anton, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 1:25 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 67 | 1 Nnw Lubbock Int. Airp, TX | |
| Feb 17, 1:29 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 3 Wsw Aiken, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 1:30 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | 2 Sse Plainview, TX | |
| Feb 17, 1:45 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | 7 Ese Silverton, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 1:51 PM CST | WILDFIRE | 3 Nne Plainview, TX | Arbor Fire: 600 acres burned in and north of the community of Seth Ward. Total of 8 structures destroyed. Several families displaced from their homes. No injuries. Fire began just before 2 PM on Feb. 17 and is 100% contained as of Feb. 18. |
| Feb 17, 1:58 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 63 | 2 S Lesley, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 2:00 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 72 | 1 N Lubbock Int. Airpor, TX | ASOS station KLBB Lubbock. |
| Feb 17, 2:00 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 73 | 1 N Lubbock Int. Airpor, TX | Corrects previous gust report. ASOS station KLBB Lubbock. |
| Feb 17, 2:02 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | Smyer, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 2:03 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | 3 Ene South Plains, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 2:16 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | 2 Wsw Turkey, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 2:17 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | Caprock Canyons State P, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 2:20 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | 6 Ene Abernathy, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 2:20 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | 2 Ne Friona, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 2:24 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | 4 Nne Shallowater, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 2:28 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | Reese Center, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 2:29 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 2 Wsw Turkey, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 2:35 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 64 | 2 Ssw Levelland, TX | |
| Feb 17, 2:36 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 1 Nne Floydada, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 2:53 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 2 E Flomot, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 3:03 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | 4 S Levelland, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 3:31 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | 6 S Wolfforth, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 3:31 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 3 N Plains, TX | Measured by the TTU mesonet. |
| Feb 17, 4:16 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 62 | 1 Se Ralls, TX | Mesonet station 9 Ralls 1SE. |
| Feb 17, 4:35 PM CST | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 6 E New Deal, TX | West Texas mesonet. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3791 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 89 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 116 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
516 WWUS84 KLUB 170404 RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1004 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 TXZ038-170515- /O.CAN.KLUB.FW.A.0003.260217T1700Z-260218T0100Z/ King- 1004 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... The National Weather Service in Lubbock has cancelled the Fire Weather Watch. Critical fire weather is no longer expected. $$ TXZ021>036-039>041-180100- /O.UPG.KLUB.FW.A.0003.260217T1700Z-260218T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KLUB.FW.W.0002.260217T1700Z-260218T0200Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0004.260218T1700Z-260219T0100Z/ Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale- Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Yoakum-Terry- Lynn- 1004 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CST TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS, FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, SOUTH PLAINS AND NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM CST Tuesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Timing...For the Warning, 11 AM through 7 PM CST Tuesday. For the Watch, Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening. * Wind...For Tuesday, Southwest at 30 to 45 mph, with gusts up to 65 mph. For Wednesday, Southwest at 25 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. * Humidity...For Tuesday, as low as 13 percent. For Wednesday, aslow as 10 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ037-042-180100- /O.UPG.KLUB.FW.A.0003.260217T1700Z-260218T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KLUB.FW.W.0002.260217T1700Z-260218T0200Z/ Dickens-Garza- 1004 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CST TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR DICKENS AND GARZA COUNTIES... The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM CST Tuesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Timing...11 AM through 7 PM CST Tuesday. * Wind...Southwest at 20 to 30 mph, with gusts to 50 mph. * Humidity...As low as 14 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
4 follow-up statements
596 WWUS84 KLUB 170541 RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1141 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 TXZ021>036-039>041-171345- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0002.260217T1700Z-260218T0200Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0004.260218T1700Z-260219T0100Z/ Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale- Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Yoakum-Terry- Lynn- 1141 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CST TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS, FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS, FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM CST Tuesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Timing...For the Warning, 11 AM through 8 PM CST Tuesday. For the Watch, Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening. * Wind...For Tuesday, Southwest at 30 to 45 mph, with gusts up to65 mph. For Wednesday, Southwest at 25 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. * Humidity...For Tuesday, as low as 13 percent. For Wednesday, as low as 10 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ037-042-171345- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0002.260217T1700Z-260218T0200Z/ Dickens-Garza- 1141 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CST TUESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR DICKENS AND GARZA COUNTIES... * Timing...11 AM through 7 PM CST Tuesday. * Wind...Southwest at 20 to 30 mph, with gusts to 50 mph. * Humidity...As low as 14 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
452 WWUS84 KLUB 171207 RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lubbock TX 607 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 TXZ021>036-039>041-180100- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0002.260217T1700Z-260218T0200Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0004.260218T1700Z-260219T0100Z/ Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale- Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Yoakum-Terry- Lynn- 607 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS, FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS, FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... * Timing...For the Warning, 11 AM through 8 PM CST Tuesday. For the Watch, Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening. * Wind...For Tuesday, Southwest at 30 to 45 mph, with gusts up to65 mph. For Wednesday, Southwest at 25 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. * Humidity...For Tuesday, as low as 13 percent. For Wednesday, as low as 10 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ037-042-180100- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0002.260217T1700Z-260218T0200Z/ Dickens-Garza- 607 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR DICKENS AND GARZA COUNTIES... * Timing...11 AM through 7 PM CST Tuesday. * Wind...Southwest at 20 to 30 mph, with gusts to 50 mph. * Humidity...As low as 14 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
331 WWUS84 KLUB 171739 RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1139 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 TXZ021>036-180100- /O.UPG.KLUB.FW.A.0004.260218T1700Z-260219T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KLUB.FW.W.0003.260218T1700Z-260219T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KLUB.FW.A.0005.260219T1700Z-260220T0200Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260218T0200Z/ Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale- Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby- 1139 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, SOUTH PLAINS, AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, SOUTH PLAINS, AND PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, NORTHERN SOUTH PLAINS, AND NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 11 AM to 7 PM CST Wednesday. A Fire Weather Watch has also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch is in effect from Thursday morning through Thursday evening. * Timing...11 AM through 7 PM CST Tuesday for Red Flag Warning. Wednesday afternoon for the Red Flag Warning. Thursday afternoon for the Fire Weather Watch. * Wind...For Tuesday, Southwest at 30 to 40 mph, with gusts up to 60 mph. For Wednesday, Southwest at 25 to 35 mph, with gusts up to 45 mph. For Thursday, West at 25 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. * Humidity...For Tuesday, as low as 13 percent. For Wednesday, as low as 9 percent. For Thursday, as low as 11 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ039>041-180100- /O.UPG.KLUB.FW.A.0004.260218T1700Z-260219T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KLUB.FW.W.0003.260218T1700Z-260219T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260218T0200Z/ Yoakum-Terry-Lynn- 1139 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, SOUTH PLAINS, AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, SOUTH PLAINS, AND PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 11 AM to 7 PM CST Wednesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Timing...11 AM through 7 PM CST Tuesday for Red Flag Warning. Wednesday afternoon for the Red Flag Warning. * Wind...For Tuesday, Southwest at 30 to 40 mph, with gusts up to 65 mph. For Wednesday, Southwest at 25 to 35 mph, with gusts up to 45 mph. * Humidity...For Tuesday, as low as 13 percent. For Wednesday, as low as 9 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ TXZ037-180100- /O.NEW.KLUB.FW.A.0005.260219T1700Z-260220T0200Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260218T0200Z/ Dickens- 1139 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, SOUTH PLAINS, AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, NORTHERN SOUTH PLAINS, AND NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Fire Weather Watch, which is in effect from Thursday morning through Thursday evening. * Timing...11 AM through 7 PM CST Tuesday for Red Flag Warning. Thursday afternoon for the Fire Weather Watch. * Wind...For Tuesday, Southwest at 30 to 40 mph, with gusts to 65 mph. For Thursday, West at 25 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. * Humidity...For Tuesday, as low as 13 percent. For Thursday, as low as 11 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ042-180100- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260218T0200Z/ Garza- 1139 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, SOUTH PLAINS, AND MUCH OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... * Timing...11 AM through 7 PM CST Tuesday. * Wind...Southwest at 30 to 40 mph, with gusts to 65 mph. * Humidity...As low as 13 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ TXZ038-180100- /O.NEW.KLUB.FW.A.0005.260219T1700Z-260220T0200Z/ King- 1139 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, NORTHERN SOUTH PLAINS, AND NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Fire Weather Watch, which is in effect from Thursday morning through Thursday evening. * Timing...Thursday afternoon. * Wind...West at 25 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. * Humidity...As low as 11 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
851 WWUS84 KLUB 180210 AAA RFWLUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED National Weather Service Lubbock TX 810 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 TXZ021>036-180600- /O.EXP.KLUB.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260218T0200Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0003.260218T1700Z-260219T0100Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0005.260219T1700Z-260220T0200Z/ Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale- Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby- 810 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, SOUTH PLAINS, AND PORTIONS OF THE ROLLING PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE, NORTHERN SOUTH PLAINS, AND NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS... * Timing...Wednesday afternoon for the Red Flag Warning. Thursday afternoon for the Fire Weather Watch. * Wind...For Wednesday, Southwest at 20 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. For Thursday, West at 20 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. * Humidity...For Wednesday, as low as 9 percent. For Thursday, as low as 11 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ039>041-180600- /O.EXP.KLUB.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260218T0200Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0003.260218T1700Z-260219T0100Z/ Yoakum-Terry-Lynn- 810 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR YOAKUM, TERRY AND LYNN COUNTIES... * Timing...11 AM through 7 PM CST Wednesday. * Wind...Southwest at 20 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. * Humidity...As low as 9 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ TXZ037-180600- /O.EXP.KLUB.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260218T0200Z/ /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0005.260219T1700Z-260220T0200Z/ Dickens- 810 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR DICKENS COUNTY... * Timing...Thursday afternoon and evening. * Wind...West at 20 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. * Humidity...As low as 11 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ042-180315- /O.EXP.KLUB.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260218T0200Z/ Garza- 810 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR GARZA COUNTY... The threat has ended. $$ TXZ038-180600- /O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0005.260219T1700Z-260220T0200Z/ King- 810 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR KING COUNTY... * Timing...Thursday afternoon. * Wind...West at 20 to 30 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. * Humidity...As low as 11 percent. * Fuels...Normal to dry. * Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is discouraged. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Feb 16, 5:31 PM CST, 4 hours 33 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Issued at 1127 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026
- Breezy to strong winds Tuesday and Wednesday will bring elevated to critical fire weather conditions to the region.
- Warm and breezy conditions expected through much of the week.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 5:31 PM CST, 4 hours 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 531 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1127 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 - Breezy to strong winds Tuesday and Wednesday will bring elevated to critical fire weather conditions to the region. - Warm and breezy conditions expected through much of the week. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 1127 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 The rest of today will be pleasant and quiet. Mostly zonal flow aloft as a result of upper ridging will prevail through the rest of today. Breezy southwesterly winds this afternoon and slight thickness increases will aid temperatures in warming to well above seasonal average with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Quiet and warm conditions are expected to continue through the overnight hours. Winds will decrease through the evening, however will remain slightly breezy overnight. Moderate winds and high clouds filling in over the region will keep lows in the upper 40s to upper 50s overnight. All the action in the short term will be Tuesday with high winds and potential fire weather. A shortwave trough will shift south across the Pacific Coast Monday before translating over the Rockies to the Central Plains Tuesday. A strong mid/upper level jet associated with the upper trough will set up over the region Tuesday with 500 mb jet up to 110 knots and 700 mb jet up to 80 knots. Concurrently, a lee surface low will develop over Colorado in response to the passing of the upper shortwave. The combination of the tightening pressure gradient and the strong upper jet mixing down will give way to a gusty Tuesday. Winds will begin to increase Tuesday morning with an expected peak around mid-afternoon. Wind speeds up to 30-45 mph and gusts up to 60 mph with the strongest winds expected on the Caprock, especially over the far southwestern Texas Panhandle. Similar to previous forecasts, NBM continues to underplay wind speeds with this set up, therefore speeds were increased using NBM75th beginning late Tuesday morning through early evening. With the expected strong winds, areas of blowing dust will be possible across the Caprock through late Tuesday afternoon. On top of high winds, Tuesday will be warm with highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Warm temperatures and strong winds will bring fire weather concerns to much of the region Tuesday afternoon. Elevated to critical fire weather conditions will be possible, however with the rainfall the region got this past Friday, fuel responses are uncertain at the moment, especially for areas over the southwestern Texas Panhandle that received around 0.5 inches or less compared to areas on the South Plains that saw over 1 inch. Winds will gradually decrease through the evening as a Pacific Cold front pushing eastward through the CWA will slightly shift southwest winds to the west at the same time as the mid to upper jet exits away from the region. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1127 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 Windy conditions and warm temperatures will continue into Wednesday, although not as strong as Tuesday. Winds will shift back to the southwest and increase Wednesday afternoon in response to another shortwave passing through the Central Plains causing the development of a lee surface low developing over Colorado. Temperatures. although cooler than Tuesday, remain well above seasonal average with highs in the 70s for much of the region. Warmer temperatures and windy conditions will once again bring fire weather concerns to the region Wednesday. Thursday seems to be a rinse and repeat of Wednesday. Another shortwave passes over Central CONUS causing a lee surface low to develop giving way to breezy conditions on Thursday. In case you thought there weren't anymore upper shortwaves, another one will pass overhead this weekend. Temperatures will "cool" the latter half of the week, however will remain above seasonal average with highs in the 60s. Otherwise, conditions will remain mild. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 530 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 VFR with LLWS developing at all terminals around midnight, then improving by 15-16Z as SW winds ramp up followed by likely 30+ knots sustained at LBB and PVW. Frequent gusts over 40 knots will likely create vis reductions in BLDU Tuesday afternoon, possibly to MVFR or lower. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1126 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026 Strong-to-high winds are expected for most of the region Tuesday, with a risk of critical fire weather developing across the far southern Texas Panhandle, South Plains and most of the Rolling Plains. Fuel responses are uncertain at the moment due to the rainfall received last week. Southwesterly winds will begin to increase around sunrise and peak around mid-afternoon. Wind speeds up to 30-45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph will be possible. The strongest winds are expected across the Caprock, especially over the far southwestern Texas Panhandle. Winds off the Caprock, although breezy, will not be as strong as on the Caprock with speeds up to 30 mph and gusts up to 40 mph possible. RH values will drop as low as 15 percent during the afternoon hours, however will recover to 35 to 55 percent overnight. Winds will begin to decrease around sunset. Breezy and warm conditions continue into Wednesday, although not as strong as Tuesday bringing elevated to critical fire weather conditions again. Winds will increase during the afternoon up to 25-35 mph with gusts up to 40 mph possible. Similar to Tuesday, the strongest winds will be across the Caprock. RH values will reach as low as 10 percent before recovering up to 30-50 percent overnight. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for TXZ021>042. Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening for TXZ021>036-039>041. High Wind Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for TXZ021>024-027>029-033>035. && SHORT TERM...10 LONG TERM....10 AVIATION...93
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 16, 2:04 AM CST, 20 hours before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lubbock TX 204 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 TXZ021>044-170815- Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd- Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum- Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall- 204 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Strong-to-high winds are expected for most of the region Tuesday, in addition to blowing dust. A High Wind Watch is in effect from 11 AM through 7 PM CST Tuesday for most of the Caprock. Wind gusts may exceed 60 mph in areas under the High Wind Watch. Critical fire danger will also exist for portions of the Caprock, and a Fire Weather Watch is in effect from 11 AM through 7 PM CST Tuesday across the far southwestern Texas Panhandle and the northwestern South Plains. Low-end windy conditions and warm temperatures will yield the return of an elevated fire weather risk Wednesday and Thursday.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 9:56 PM CST | High Wind Warning | LUB | Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Hale, Hockley and 4 more | 21 hr |
| Feb 16, 9:56 PM CST | Wind Advisory | LUB | Childress, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Floyd, Garza and 5 more | 21 hr |
| Feb 17, 11:39 AM CST | Fire Weather Watch | LUB | Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Cochran, Cottle and 12 more | 25 hr |
| Feb 17, 11:39 AM CST | Red Flag Warning | LUB | Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Cochran, Cottle and 13 more | 31 hr |
| Feb 17, 2:01 PM CST | Blowing Dust Advisory | LUB | Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Crosby, Floyd and 12 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2026Every red flag warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.