Severe Thunderstorm Warning 206, NWS Louisville, KY

503 
WWUS53 KLMK 120952
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
552 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

KYC073-209-239-121015-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0206.000000T0000Z-260812T1015Z/
Woodford KY-Scott KY-Franklin KY-
552 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN WOODFORD...SCOTT AND NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN
COUNTIES...

At 551 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles west of
Georgetown, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Georgetown, Frankfort, Midway, Stamping Ground, Longlick, Slickway,
Skinnersburg, Moon Lake Estates, Muddy Ford, and Great Crossing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3816 8455 3809 8471 3832 8494 3836 8490
      3835 8489 3836 8488 3836 8484 3835 8483
      3835 8481 3834 8479 3835 8475 3837 8471
      3840 8466 3833 8447
TIME...MOT...LOC 0951Z 316DEG 27KT 3826 8470 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

BJS

885 
WWUS53 KLMK 120958
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
558 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

KYC073-209-239-121015-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0206.000000T0000Z-260812T1015Z/
Woodford KY-Scott KY-Franklin KY-
558 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN WOODFORD...SOUTHWESTERN SCOTT AND NORTHEASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

At 558 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Georgetown,
moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Georgetown, Frankfort, Midway, Stamping Ground, Slickway, Great
Crossing, Elmville, Herdon, Shiff, and Duckers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3816 8455 3809 8471 3832 8494 3836 8490
      3835 8489 3836 8488 3836 8484 3835 8483
      3835 8481 3834 8479 3835 8475 3825 8451
TIME...MOT...LOC 0958Z 316DEG 27KT 3822 8465 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

BJS

093 
WWUS53 KLMK 121007
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
607 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

KYC073-209-239-121015-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0206.000000T0000Z-260812T1015Z/
Woodford KY-Scott KY-Franklin KY-
607 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN WOODFORD...SOUTHWESTERN SCOTT AND EAST CENTRAL
FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

At 607 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Georgetown,
moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Frankfort, Midway, Slickway, Lancelot Estates, Woodlake, Switzer,
Herdon, Wallace, White Sulphur, and Duckers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3816 8455 3809 8471 3828 8490 3828 8473
TIME...MOT...LOC 1007Z 316DEG 27KT 3817 8459 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

BJS

209 
WWUS53 KLMK 121013
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
613 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

KYC073-209-239-121023-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0206.000000T0000Z-260812T1015Z/
Woodford KY-Scott KY-Franklin KY-
613 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN WOODFORD...
SOUTHWESTERN SCOTT AND EAST CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
615 AM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Louisville.

&&

LAT...LON 3816 8455 3809 8471 3828 8490 3828 8473
TIME...MOT...LOC 1013Z 316DEG 27KT 3814 8455 

$$

BJS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
309 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Waves of thunderstorms into tonight could generate severe weather,
  with damaging winds the primary hazard and a lower risk for large
  hail. The risk appears greatest (15-29%) near and west of I-65
  during the evening.

* Repeated rounds of heavy rainfall in thunderstorms through this
  evening could result in flash flooding. There is a level 2 of 4
  (slight) risk for excessive rainfall area-wide.

* Additional rounds of storms are possible (40-60% chance) both
  tomorrow and Friday, but confidence is low on severe weather and
  flooding potential each day.

* Outside of storms, heat indices are likely (50-80% chance) to
  surpass 100 degrees west of I-65 each afternoon through Thursday,
  and area-wide over the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 309 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

***** FLOODING POTENTIAL THROUGH THIS EVENING *****

At 3 am EDT, heavy thunderstorms were located over southeast and
east-central Indiana, having formed at the interface of a 30-35 kt
LLJ and a leftover boundary from evening storms. These should
continue to drift southeast into southwest Ohio and northeast
Kentucky while additional activity backbuilds to the north and
northwest over central/northern Indiana. This suggests that the focus
for heavy rainfall and flash flooding potential will be right along
the northeast edge and just outside of our local area. However, a
few of the 00z CAMs suggest additional backbuilding towards the west
could bring repeated rounds of heavy thunderstorms into our eastern
county warning area (CWA) during the mid morning/afternoon. In fact,
the 00z HREF LPMM has pockets of over 3 inches of rainfall along and
east of roughly the I-75 corridor by 18z/2pm; for this reason, and
because heavy rainfall from last evening in parts of south-
central/southeast Kentucky has lowered the flash flooding threshold
(FFG) to less than 1.5 inches in 6 hours in spots, we've expanded
the Flood Watch westward to include another row of counties. While
the worst of this morning wave could stay off to the north and east,
the CAMs seem to agree that the next mid-level shortwave arriving
during the evening will spark additional storms that could prove
efficient rainmakers (>1 in/hour rates).

***** SEVERE WEATHER RISK THIS EVENING *****

The CAMs seem to broadly agree that, once again, a complex of severe
thunderstorms will develop over eastern Iowa/northern Illinois later
this morning. Their solutions diverge, however, in what happens once
that complex reaches Indiana. The latest (04z) HRRR, for example,
has the line racing eastward across northern Indiana and northern
Ohio, while the NAMNest and ARW, by contrast, suggest it will take a
dive southward over east-central Illinois and southern Indiana
during the afternoon. However, even the HRRR suggests the MCS will
lay out an outflow boundary on which additional convection will fire
during the late afternoon over central/southern Indiana, with that
activity tracking southeast into our area during the evening hours.
The main difference between the two solutions is timing, with the
ARW and NAMNest being a little faster (late afternoon/early evening
vs late evening). If this earlier outcome materializes, higher
diurnal instability would suggest a greater severe wind risk, while
the slower HRRR outcome would mean the risk will be lower, at least
for areas east of I-65. Like yesterday, hodographs exhibit modest
clockwise curvature in the lowest kilometer of the atmosphere, which
may maintain a bit of a messy storm mode, with broken linear
segments comprised of individual cells which could at times exhibit
deviant motion towards the right; in addition, the resultant 100-200
m^2/s^2 0-1km SRH could favor a brief tornado with any individual
cells, particularly right movers that realize the best low level
shear. These will also be the ones to watch for locally severe hail,
which, despite the warm and humid environment, was observed in our
area yesterday in the most robust updrafts. SPC has the area
outlooked in a level 2 of 5 (slight) risk for severe weather, with
damaging winds the primary risk but a lower chance for hail and
tornadoes.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 309 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

***** STORM CHANCES WANE, HEAT BUILDS INTO THE WEEKEND *****

Global models and their ensembles agree that ridging will slowly
build over the area into the weekend. One or more additional mid-
level disturbances will offer thunderstorm chances Thursday into
Friday, mainly east of I-65, but then the MCS corridor should shift
to the northeast by Saturday. This will allow the heat to intensify
across the area over the weekend, with triple digit heat indices,
confined to areas mainly west of I-65 today and tomorrow, expanding
east to encompass the entire area both Saturday and Sunday. In fact,
there is a 60-90% (20-40%) chance HeatRisk reaches the major
(extreme) category by Sunday afternoon - suggesting an increased risk
for heat-related illness, especially among vulnerable populations
including those without proper cooling.

A shortwave trough should flatten the ridge and drop a frontal
boundary over the area sometime early next work week, potentially
offering some relief from the heat for at least a portion of the
area and serving as a trigger for showers and storms. It's too early
to tell whether a severe weather risk may materialize with this
activity, but the joint probability of > 25 kt 0-6km bulk shear and
> 2000 J/kg MUCAPE from the LREF is less than 20%, which, at least
at this point in time, suggests the risk should be relatively low.
Given the richly moist and unstable airmass ahead of the trough and
attendant front, heavy rain and localized microbursts in water-laden
collapsing cores would seem to be the primary hazards (if any).

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 208 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

A thunderstorm complex over southeast Indiana is forecast to drop
southeastward, and with any backbuilding could (30-50% chance)
affect LEX and RGA later this morning. Chances are lower (20-35%) at
SDF, but elected to keep the prob30 from the 00z TAFs just in case.
The higher chance (50-70%) for widespread storms will be during the
late afternoon and evening when a storm complex is slated to dive
southeast out of Illinois and Indiana, but we elected not to upgrade
from prob30 to tempo groups given uncertainty on timing at any given
terminal. Outside of storms, VFR conditions should be predominant,
though there will be a low (10-20%) chance of an MVFR ceiling
through 13z. Light and fickle winds will switch around to
predominantly southwest by mid morning, with a few gusts up to 20 kt
during the afternoon.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...Flood Watch through late tonight for KYZ032>037-039>043-
     047>049-055>057-066-067.
IN...Flood Watch through late tonight for INZ079.

&&

SHORT TERM...JRB
LONG TERM...JRB
AVIATION...JRB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1141 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Colville                38.36N 84.21W
08/11/2026                   Harrison           KY   Public

            Time Estimated by Radar: Trees down at the
            intersection of Hick Hardy Road and KY-32.

&&

BKF

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1206 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0757 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 ENE Valley Station    38.11N 85.81W
08/11/2026                   Jefferson          KY   911 Call Center

            Time Estimated by Radar: Tree blocking the
            roadway of the 2500 block of Lamborne Blvd.

&&

BKF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
417 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

KYZ034>037-039>043-047>049-056-057-120900-
Shelby KY-Mercer KY-Scott KY-Woodford KY-Jessamine KY-Franklin KY-
Clark KY-Madison KY-Garrard KY-Anderson KY-Bourbon KY-Fayette KY-
Nicholas KY-Harrison KY-
417 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL SHELBY...
NORTHWESTERN GARRARD...EASTERN ANDERSON...CLARK...JESSAMINE...
SOUTHWESTERN NICHOLAS...SOUTHEASTERN HARRISON...SOUTHERN FRANKLIN...
EASTERN MERCER...WOODFORD...SOUTHERN SCOTT...BOURBON...MADISON AND
FAYETTE COUNTIES THROUGH 500 AM EDT...

At 417 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northeast of Paris to Bryan Station to
near Lawrenceburg. Movement was southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lexington, Richmond, Georgetown, Frankfort, Nicholasville,
Winchester, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Paris, and Harrodsburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3792 8399 3786 8401 3787 8403 3783 8400
      3785 8406 3782 8407 3785 8408 3782 8412
      3781 8408 3778 8411 3777 8408 3772 8410
      3767 8409 3772 8481 3820 8505 3824 8449
      3840 8420 3818 8399 3812 8408 3793 8397
TIME...MOT...LOC 0817Z 333DEG 34KT 3825 8417 3809 8439 3807 8491

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

BJS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
512 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

KYZ039>041-047>049-056-057-121000-
Mercer KY-Woodford KY-Fayette KY-Jessamine KY-Clark KY-Madison KY-
Garrard KY-Anderson KY-
512 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN MERCER...SOUTHERN
WOODFORD...GARRARD...EASTERN ANDERSON...SOUTHERN CLARK...JESSAMINE...
MADISON AND SOUTHEASTERN FAYETTE COUNTIES THROUGH 600 AM EDT...

At 512 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Virden to Richmond to 8 miles northeast of
Harrodsburg. Movement was southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Richmond, Nicholasville, Lancaster, Harris Ferry, Mccreary, Berea,
Wilmore, Goffs Corner, Valley View, and Buggytown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3786 8401 3787 8403 3784 8400 3785 8406
      3782 8407 3785 8408 3782 8412 3781 8408
      3778 8411 3777 8408 3767 8409 3765 8413
      3757 8409 3756 8416 3752 8427 3758 8455
      3800 8486 3792 8436 3801 8402 3794 8397
TIME...MOT...LOC 0912Z 316DEG 27KT 3788 8398 3774 8432 3785 8474

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

BJS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
529 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

KYZ031-033>036-039-040-121015-
Oldham KY-Shelby KY-Henry KY-Scott KY-Woodford KY-Franklin KY-
Anderson KY-
529 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN OLDHAM...SHELBY...
NORTHERN WOODFORD...SOUTHWESTERN SCOTT...NORTHEASTERN ANDERSON...
SOUTHERN HENRY AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 615 AM EDT...

At 528 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Owenton to 10 miles north of Frankfort to
near La Grange. Movement was south at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Frankfort, Shelbyville, Lawrenceburg, La Grange, New Castle,
Eminence, Midway, Pleasureville, Stamping Ground, and Smithfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3847 8495 3843 8496 3843 8494 3846 8493
      3846 8491 3844 8493 3842 8488 3838 8490
      3837 8487 3836 8487 3834 8479 3839 8468
      3816 8457 3800 8493 3811 8531 3842 8538
      3849 8499
TIME...MOT...LOC 0928Z 356DEG 32KT 3848 8481 3834 8493 3837 8538

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

BJS