Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Louisville, KY

954 
WWUS53 KLMK 252205
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
505 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

INC123-KYC091-252215-
/O.CAN.KLMK.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-260625T2230Z/
Perry IN-Hancock KY-
505 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN PERRY AND NORTH
CENTRAL HANCOCK COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However, heavy rain is
still possible with this thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3800 8681 3802 8680 3800 8678 3800 8677
      3803 8678 3803 8677 3804 8679 3806 8677
      3808 8678 3810 8677 3810 8678 3812 8679
      3811 8680 3813 8680 3808 8659 3793 8665
      3799 8685
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 294DEG 23KT 3800 8675 

$$

Neudorff

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
349 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Shower and storm chances will continue tonight through Sunday
  morning. Excessive rainfall is likely across southern Indiana and
  portions of northern Kentucky. A Flood Watch is now in effect for
  portions of southern Indiana and the Louisville Metro.

* Summer heat and humidity will build across the region next work
  week, with triple digit heat indices likely (60-80% chance) west
  of I-65 on Monday and area-wide by Tuesday. This will pose a risk
  for heat-related illness, especially among vulnerable populations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 349 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

A surface low in the Great Lakes region is slowly getting pushed off
to the east. The system's trailing cold front is dropping south
through Michigan, Indiana, and back towards the Plains. South of
this front, moisture in the Lower Ohio Valley is pooling with
precipitable water values between 1.6 to 1.8 inches as Gulf
moisture continues flowing into the region.

This afternoon and evening, diurnal warming will help to generate
scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front across
southern Indiana before drifting southeast. During this time, higher
precipitable water values will continue inching in from the west
ahead of the front, increasing values to 1.8 to 2 inches. This could
lead to thunderstorm being able to quickly drop a couple of inches
of rain fairly quickly. We could see some ponding on area roadways
and in poor drainage areas. 6-Hour Flash Flood Guidance shows values
between 2.5 to 4 inches, so we should be able to take some water
before widespread issues are observed. Not expected widespread
severe weather, but with around 1,500 J/kg of MLCAPE and steep low
level lapse rates, a few strong gusts will be possible from any
thunderstorm.

Tonight, showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue before
possibly tapering off late in the night. Even if convection weakens,
chances will remain through the night along and north of Interstate
64. None of this activity is expected to be severe, but a flooding
concern remains if showers and thunderstorms begin to train along
the boundary. Remaining cloud cover and continued WAA are expected
to keep low temperatures in the mid 60s to near 70.

Tomorrow, with precipitable water values expected to reach over 2
inches ahead of an approaching surface low, an MCS type system is
expected to reach southern Indiana and central Kentucky. With the
heaviest precipitation expected on the northeast side of the low,
the highest rain chances remain north of the Ohio River, including
in the location of the current Flood Watch. With future forecasts
the watch could be adjusted if needed. As bands work around the low,
waves of showers and thunderstorms are expected to work east through
Kentucky. This is expected to give breaks between any heavy rain
showers, reducing the flood threat across central Kentucky. WAA will
help temperatures reach into the 80s.

Friday night, as the low nears, a low level jet is expected to work
over the CWA. This will drive further shower and storm chances,
keeping the flood threat in place into Saturday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 349 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Saturday, there remains some uncertainty on how far the cold front
bringing all the rain in the short-term will push through the CWA.
Global models tend to keep the front closer to the Ohio River,
making for another wet day across southern Indiana and central
Kentucky, but some CAMs have a more progressive solution, dropping
the front farther south. This would make for a more dry day across
the CWA. Believe rain chances will remain, but the flood threat will
be reduced with lower expected rainfall totals. Either way, this
should be the last day of widespread rain.

Sunday, summer arrives. An upper ridge axis advances east towards
the CWA where it is expected to remain through at least the end of
the workweek. Skies are expected to become mostly clear on Sunday
and remain through the rest of the week. With high pressure at the
surface, winds will ease to near calm. Dew points in the low 70s and
temperatures climbing through the mid and possibly upper 90s will
make it feel hot and sticky. Heat products currently look likely.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 216 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

South of a stalled boundary over southern Indiana moisture levels
are increasing. This is expected to lead to shower and thunderstorm
development this afternoon and evening. Developed convection will
then drift southeast, impacting HNB and SDF. Heavy rainfall and
lightning are the main concerns, but gusty winds will also be
possible. Visibilities will be reduced in areas with heavy rainfall.
Tonight, conditions are expected to improve before more rain showers
and storms return tomorrow morning.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...Flood Watch through Saturday morning for KYZ030.
IN...Flood Watch through Saturday morning for INZ076-077-083-084-
     089>092.

&&

SHORT TERM...KDW
LONG TERM...KDW
AVIATION...KDW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
413 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

INZ076-077-252115-
Orange IN-Washington IN-
413 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN ORANGE AND NORTHERN
WASHINGTON COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

At 412 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles north of Paoli, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Salem, Orleans, New Pekin, Campbellsburg, Saltillo, Leipsic, Kossuth,
Smedley, Claysville, and South Boston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3876 8603 3877 8602 3876 8601 3876 8599
      3875 8598 3876 8594 3875 8592 3875 8591
      3851 8600 3866 8659 3869 8658 3869 8631
      3873 8631 3874 8629 3877 8628 3878 8620
      3878 8619 3876 8613 3878 8609
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 287DEG 29KT 3871 8644

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Neudorff

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
453 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

INZ076-077-252130-
Orange IN-Washington IN-
453 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL ORANGE AND SOUTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...

At 453 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Paoli, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Paoli, Stampers Creek, Hardinsburg, Livonia, Bromer, Woodlawn Grove,
Trotter Crossing, Braxtons Siding, Pine Valley, and Chambersburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3848 8658 3862 8657 3860 8634 3854 8610
      3846 8616
TIME...MOT...LOC 2053Z 265DEG 29KT 3853 8645

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Neudorff