Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Louisville, KY

806 
WGUS73 KLMK 290254
FFSLMK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
954 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

KYC213-290304-
/O.CAN.KLMK.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260429T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Simpson KY-
954 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEASTERN SIMPSON 
COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3676 8657 3673 8643 3665 8643 3665 8645
      3665 8646 3665 8647 3665 8649 3665 8650
      3665 8651 3664 8654 3664 8655 3663 8656
      3663 8657 3665 8659 3665 8662 3665 8667
      3671 8666

$$

CSG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
757 PM EDT Tue Apr 28 2026

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Another round of strong to severe storms is expected this evening
  and into the overnight across central and southern KY. Damaging
  winds and large hail are the main severe threats.

* Temperatures cool Wednesday afternoon and will run below average
  through next weekend for late April/early May.

* Mostly dry weather is expected after Wednesday through the
  weekend, with a slight chance for light rain from Friday to
  Saturday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 347 PM EDT Tue Apr 28 2026

Skies are partly to mostly cloudy this afternoon, with somewhat
thicker stratus lingering southeast of the Bluegrass Parkway. The
lower clouds continue to gradually lift and mix out somewhat with
daytime heating. Sfc temperatures are warming through the 70s. A
stalled frontal boundary is draped southwest through SDF and PAH,
and extending west through southern MO and northern AR. Moderate
destabilization is ongoing south of the stalled boundary. MLCAPE of
1000-3000 J/kg is noted from central KY southwest through western TN
as of this writing, and HREF members plus the most recent HRRR/RAP
runs support 2000+ J/kg MLCAPE across south-central KY through 00Z
this evening.

Numerous thunderstorms have developed across the Ozarks this
afternoon as a mid-level shortwave trough interacts with the stalled
sfc boundary. Heading into tonight, this shortwave is forecast to
lift ENE across the Midwest in the exit region of a 125 kt upper jet
streak over the Four Corners/central Plains. Additional sfc wave
development is anticipated from the Ozarks northeast along the
stalled boundary through central KY this evening and overnight.

The consensus of the latest CAM guidance brings a cluster of strong
to severe storms east through western and south-central KY this
evening. Arrival time in the vicinity of Ohio, Butler, Logan, and
Warren counties is expected to be 5-7 PM CDT. Abundant CAPE, as well
40-45 kt effective deep shear, will support a risk of large hail and
damaging winds across the southern half of the forecast area through
the late evening hours.

The tornado potential is lower, but non-zero. Locally backed S/SE
sfc flow ahead of the low approaching from the southwest could
result in a brief tornado or two in central KY between 00-06Z this
evening. However, a stabilizing low level environment after sunset
will also limit the tornado risk.

Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms will continue to lift
northeast across the rest of central KY and southern IN overnight.
Beyond Midnight, scattered thunderstorms are likely to be elevated
in nature. Brief heavy rainfall, lightning, small hail, and isolated
gusty winds would still be possible with any storms, but the overall
severe threat will be greatly reduced by this time.

Scattered light to moderate rain showers continue through Wednesday
morning, but conditions will dry out Wednesday afternoon as low
pressure lifts into the Northeast. Cool, dry NW flow then develops
over the region through Wednesday night. Temperatures Wednesday
afternoon will top out in the mid/upper 60s north of I-64 and around
70 degrees in southern KY. Skies clear through Wednesday night, with
temperatures forecast to drop into the low to mid 40s early
Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 347 PM EDT Tue Apr 28 2026

The upper-level low begins to settle in over the northern Great
Lakes Region by Thursday while weak surface high pressure resides
over our area. Northwesterly flow will allow CAA to fill in over the
area, continuing a cooling trend that will last through the weekend.
Conditions will be dry, with afternoon temperatures getting into the
mid 60s.

A weak shortwave will slowly drift southward across the area
beginning Friday morning and exiting by the afternoon. There is a
slight chance for rain (< 25%), though HREF 24 hour rainfall
totals only amount to < 0.1" across the region. Temperatures will be
slightly cooler, with highs in the low-mo-mid 50s. A broad shortwave
will eject from the central Plains Friday morning, making its way
towards the SE CONUS during the day. The northern periphery may
skirt the southern counties of the CWA Friday evening through
Saturday morning, though chances for rainfall are on the lower end
(< 20%).

For the weekend, more robust surface high pressure fills in,
allowing for dry conditions to persist. Temperatures will continue
to be cooler, with highs on Saturday in the upper 50s/low 60, and
slightly warmer on Sunday with highs in the low-to-mid 60s. With
clearing skies on Saturday night, temperatures are currently
forecast to drop into the 30s, with some locations in the NE
portions of the CWA having a low (< 20%) chance at experiencing
frost.

By the start of next week, the overall wind flow will flip to the
south, allowing for warmer temperatures (low 70s) to return. The end
of the forecast period for Monday and Tuesday shows a return to more
active weather, with chances for showers and a few thunderstorms.
Guidance is picking up on a shortwave trough moving over the region,
though deterministic and ensemble guidance is having a hard time on
the timing and progression of the system. As a result, we currently
have chance (~25-35%) POPs in the grids Monday-Tuesday afternoon
across the entire area.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 756 PM EDT Tue Apr 28 2026

A cluster of showers and thunderstorms are beginning to enter the
region from the southwest and will move east/northeast over the area
tonight. The strongest thunderstorms will most likely be over BWG,
which could contain gusty winds, hail, heavy rainfall, and
lightning. The rest of the TAF sites will experience weaker but
numerous showers and occasional storms, lasting through early
Wednesday morning.

Ceilings will drop down to low-MVFR/IFR Wednesday morning after the
showers and storms depart, improving to VFR by the afternoon hours.
Wind gusts of 15-20 kts will occur late Wednesday afternoon, lasting
through the remainder of the TAF period.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...EBW
LONG TERM...BEN
AVIATION...BEN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
358 PM EDT Tue Apr 28 2026

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-292000-
Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-
Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-
Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-
Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-
Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Larue-Marion-
Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-
Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-
Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
358 PM EDT Tue Apr 28 2026 /258 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Indiana
and central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a risk of severe storms this evening and overnight.
Damaging winds and large hail are the main hazards. A brief tornado
or two is possible in central Kentucky, but the tornado threat is
relatively low overall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected during this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

EBW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
455 PM EDT Tue Apr 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 NW Peytona            38.22N 85.14W
04/27/2026                   Shelby             KY   Emergency Mngr

            Pictures of barn destroyed as well as bent
            power poles.

&&

RJS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
527 PM EDT Tue Apr 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 S Westport            38.46N 85.47W
04/28/2026  M58 MPH          Oldham             KY   Mesonet

            Measured at the Oldham County Kentucky
            Mesonet station.

&&

RJS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
545 PM EDT Tue Apr 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 AM     Tornado          2 NNE Hartford          37.48N 86.88W
04/28/2026                   Ohio               KY   NWS Storm Survey

            A National Weather Service storm survey
            confirmed an EF1 tornado touched down north
            of Hartford during the early morning hours
            on April 28th. The maximum estimated wind
            speed was 105 mph with a maximum path width
            of 110 yards. The tornado tracked to the
            southeast for just under two miles before
            lifting.

&&

CSG

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
620 PM EDT Tue Apr 28 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0224 AM     Tornado          1 E Millerstown         37.44N 86.04W
04/28/2026                   Hart               KY   NWS Storm Survey

            A National Weather Service storm survey
            confirmed an EF0 tornado touched down near
            Millerstown in far northwestern Hart County
            during the early morning hours on April
            28th. The maximum estimated wind speed was
            80 mph with a maximum path width of 150
            yards. The tornado tracked to the east for
            approximately one mile before lifting.

&&

CSG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
635 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

KYZ070>073-290015-
Warren KY-Logan KY-Simpson KY-Allen KY-
635 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN LOGAN...SIMPSON...
SOUTHERN ALLEN AND SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM CDT...

At 635 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles southeast of Elkton to 12 miles
southeast of Russellville to 9 miles northeast of Portland. Movement
was east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Russellville, Scottsville, Franklin, Adairville, Woodburn, Alonzo,
Cave Springs, Butlersville, New Roe, and Keysburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
south central Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3664 8706 3682 8705 3688 8632 3676 8601
      3664 8625
TIME...MOT...LOC 2335Z 253DEG 25KT 3674 8706 3675 8670 3668 8640

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RJS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
716 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

KYZ070-072-073-290045-
Logan KY-Simpson KY-Allen KY-
716 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN LOGAN...SIMPSON AND
SOUTHERN ALLEN COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM CDT...

At 716 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 7 miles south of
Russellville to 8 miles north of Portland to 6 miles northwest of
Westmoreland. Movement was northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Russellville, Scottsville, Franklin, Adairville, Justice,
Gordonsville, Black Jack, Hilltop, Dennis, and Clare.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
south central Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3665 8651 3663 8656 3665 8659 3664 8706
      3690 8706 3681 8642 3678 8640 3681 8636
      3665 8596 3663 8602
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 234DEG 14KT 3674 8689 3670 8657 3660 8635

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RJS