Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS New Orleans, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1205 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1031 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

- Well above average high temperatures in the upper 80s and lower
  90s will occur next week. Heat index values will climb into the
  upper 90s.

- The threat for thunderstorms, some possible strong to severe
  will continue through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Now through Tuesday) Issued at 1031 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

The first of several rounds of sh/ts is upon us this morning.
Another line is moving in from the Shreveport area this morning
as well. Any of these storms could produce strong winds and hail
with an isolated tornado possible as well. Today will be an off an
on event for sh/ts, basically there will likely be sh/ts forming
or decaying at all hours of the day today. We should see the next
complex of storms develop over the Oklahoma to Texarkana region
and race SE tonight into Sun morning reaching our area around mid
morning Sun. By Monday, the weakness(ThetaE) boundary will have
moved farther north while the front out west begins to slowly move
this way. This makes Monday dry in comparison to the weekend. As
the front gets closer, it will be responsible for the next set of
sh/ts that develop starting Tue. We can unravel Tue as we get
closer to it.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through Friday night)
Issued at 1031 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

Overall, going into the midweek next week the upper level flow
remains progressive and the low level flow remains southerly onshore
as high pressure remains over the eastern Gulf with upper level
ridging taking shape over the western Gulf. Because of the higher
heights and thicknesses the well above average temperatures (even
close to records for a few) will continue into the long term period.
That said, going into Wednesday and especially Wednesday night and
Thursday there looks to be a modest pattern flip. A more northwest
flow develops, which will bring the surface front southward toward
our region leading to increased POPs going into late next week.
Behind the front there looks to be some decrease in temperatures to
more average ranges, especially as a broader upper trough becomes
established over much of the central and eastern states. (Frye)

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1031 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

VFR conditions outside sh/ts this morning. Any storms
that move over any terminal will likely produce IFR or lower
conditions with cigs and vis. Some of these, although isolated,
could have strong winds and hail. Disturbed weather all day today
will have sh/ts around at any given time. Outside this activity
conditions will remain VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1031 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

A very early Summer like weather set up will keep a persistent south-
southeast flow of 10 to 15 knots in place through the middle of next
week. Seas will remain well below any hazardous limits at 1 to 3
feet through the period. The greatest concern and unknown is any
shower or thunderstorm impacts. A series of disturbances will try to
produce an area of storms over the Red River area and these may move
towards the coastal waters before they dissipate. If they develop,
these specific type of systems normally do not play well with the
models and they usually surge southeast faster and stronger than
expected. If they do, expect locally higher winds and seas around
these storms. Afterwards, winds may become light and variable for 3-
6 hours before the synoptic south-southeast winds take back over.

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...TE
LONG TERM....TE
AVIATION...RDF
MARINE...TE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
337 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

LAZ034>037-MSZ068-069-250930-
St. Helena LA-East Feliciana LA-Pointe Coupee LA-West Feliciana LA-
Wilkinson MS-Amite MS-
337 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF WEST FELICIANA,
NORTHERN ST. HELENA, POINTE COUPEE AND EAST FELICIANA PARISHES,
WILKINSON AND AMITE COUNTIES THROUGH 430 AM CDT
...

At 337 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 8 miles southwest of Garden
City to near Lettsworth to near Bunkie to near Turkey Creek. Movement
was southeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Zachary, New Roads, Jackson, St. Francisville, Clinton, Liberty,
Greensburg, Centreville, Woodville, Slaughter, Gloster, Fordoche,
Morganza, Wilson, Norwood, Smithdale, Wakefield, Spillman, Batchelor,
and Darlington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3087 9180 3097 9181 3101 9176 3104 9166
      3097 9166 3104 9156 3110 9159 3132 9116
      3135 9098 3135 9055 3084 9057 3071 9107
      3070 9126 3064 9132 3059 9151 3061 9176
      3071 9173 3086 9182
TIME...MOT...LOC 0837Z 297DEG 47KT 3126 9119 3100 9168 3091 9219 3089
9251

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CAB