Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS Lake Charles, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
630 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Canadian cold front is expected to move across this evening
  with a line of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms
  may produce damaging wind gusts and large hail and a Slight Risk
  (level 2 out of 5) to Marginal Risk (level 1 out of 5) of
  severe storms during that time frame for the area.

- Periodic Gale force winds over the coastal waters are expected
  tonight into Monday and a Gale Warning is in effect.

- Elevated potential for fire danger on Monday due to strong north winds
  and low afternoon relative humidity values along with dry fuels
  depending on how much rain falls on Sunday night and a Red Flag
  Warning has been issued.

- There is the potential for a light freeze for Monday night into
  Tuesday morning for mainly areas north of the I-10 corridor.
  Therefore a freeze watch has been issued as this is beyond the
  average last freeze date for the area.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 625 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026
Will be updating for the watch shortly and sometime this evening
hopefully soon issue the freeze warning bounded by and expanded
freeze watch on all sides.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Mainly timing of showers and thunderstorms this evening at the
different terminals. Winds will shift quickly and stay elevated
through the remainder of the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 229 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Strong southerly winds will continue a cold front sweeps through the
coastal waters tonight, bringing a brief period of showers and
storms. With a cold air mass behind the front moving over warmer
Gulf waters, strong and gusty offshore flow with gusts upwards of 40
kts can be expected late tonight into Monday, along with building
and rough seas. The elevated northerly winds and high seas will
persist into Monday night. Winds will gradually be relaxing and
becoming onshore by mid week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 229 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

A cold front will move across this evening into the overnight
Sunday. This front will bring a quick chance of showers and a few
thunderstorms, although rain amounts are not too impressive with the
chance of a wetting rain between 20 and 50 percent. Strong and gusty
north winds and a very dry air mass behind the front will likely
lead to elevated fire weather concerns on Monday and a Red Flag
Warning has been issued for the entire area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  38  52  28  58 /  90  10   0   0
LCH  42  55  35  59 /  80   0   0   0
LFT  44  54  33  57 /  80   0   0   0
BPT  42  57  35  61 /  50   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CDT Monday for LAZ027>033-044-045-055-
     073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.

     Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Monday for LAZ027>033-
     044-045-055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.

     Freeze Watch from Monday evening through Tuesday morning for
     LAZ027>033.

TX...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CDT Monday for TXZ180-201-259>262-515-
     516-615-616.

     Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Monday for TXZ180-201-
     259>262-515-516-615-616.

     Freeze Watch from Monday evening through Tuesday morning for
     TXZ260.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 AM CDT Tuesday
     for GMZ430-432-435-436.

     Low Water Advisory from 4 AM to 1 PM CDT Monday for GMZ430-432-
     435-436.

     Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM CDT Monday for
     GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.

     Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Monday to 1 AM CDT Tuesday for
     GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.

&&

SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...27