Tornado Warning 7, NWS Jackson, KY

760 
WWUS53 KJKL 270025
SVSJKL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
825 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

KYC165-175-270034-
/O.CAN.KJKL.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-260527T0045Z/
Morgan KY-Menifee KY-
825 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MORGAN AND NORTHEASTERN
MENIFEE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
JACKSON KY.

&&

LAT...LON 3807 8328 3786 8319 3788 8361 3800 8360
      3803 8347 3803 8345 3804 8343
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 262DEG 16KT 3794 8344 

$$

MARCUS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
647 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There is a small chance for a strong to severe thunderstorm
  through this evening.

- Damaging wind gusts will be the main threat with any storms
  through this evening, though a stray, brief tornado will also
  be possible along with times of heavy rain.

- Humid and often wet weather will continue through mid week.

- Rain should become less prevalent late in the week as drier air
  arrives from the north.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 647 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2026

Thunderstorms have been developing within an overall moderately
unstable environment with some backing of surface winds near a
boundary and instability gradient stretching west-east across the
northern half of the forecast area. We will be watching this
gradient and boundary closely for the potential for an isolated
brief spin-up tornado, but the overall threat is low (i.e., marginal)
for any severe weather.

Otherwise, hourly grids and updated PoPs were refreshed with the
latest model data through this evening, with little if any overall
change to the forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 355 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2026

As of mid afternoon, an upper level ridge was centered between
Bermuda and the Southeast coast while an upper low/disturbance
extended from the Ozarks to Lower OH Valley vicinity. Rather deep
southerly flow from the Gulf into the OH Valley and Southern
Appalachians was occurring. Well to the norht, an upper low was
centered in Quebec with a shortwave trough dropping across western
sections of Ontario. Further west, meanwhile, an upper level
trough was over much of the western Conus to Four Corners region
to portions of the Southern Plains. At the surface, a slow moving
boundary extended from the southern Delmarva vicinity to the OH
Valley and across northern portions of the CWA. Locally PW was
analyzed in the 1.75 to 1.9 inch range or roughly the 95th to 99th
percentile while sfc dewpoints were in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Steadier showers have shifted north of the area while heating of
the moist airmass has resulted in MLCAPE near 250 J/kg north to
around 1000 J/kg near Lake Cumberland while MUCAPE is roughly in
the 1000 to 2000 J/kg range. Mid level lapse rates are currently
rather meager with low level lapse rates 6.5 to 7C/km in the
southern portions of the area.

Through this evening, limited instability, MLCAPE of 500 to 1000
J/kg is anticipated through early evening with low level lapse
rates averaging about 6.5C/km. Effective bulk shear per SPC
mesoanalysis is anticipated in the 30 to 40 KT range effective and
0-1 and 0-3km SRH as high as 100 to 150 m2/s2. The marginal
instability combined with the shear may be sufficient for a
stronger storm or two with marginal supercell characteristics.
The last couple of HRRR runs have a 2-5km UH swath that runs from
near Madison County east into the CWA to the north of JKL. A
couple of damaging wind gusts are possible and an isolated
tornado cannot be completely ruled out. Following a potential
uptick in coverage of convection this evening following some
heating, a relative lull in activity may occur overnight before
potentially an increase toward dawn as a disturbance approaches
per guidance. The anticipated moist airmass and associated cloud
cover and precipitation chances will limit diurnal ranges from
today to tonight once again as the quasi stationary boundary
likely shifts a bit to the north overnight.

Wednesday and Wednesday night, the shortwave trough initially
rotating across sections of western Ontario will move into Quebec
and the Great Lakes eventually the Northeast to mid Atlantic
states through the end of the period. Meanwhile, a weaker
shortwave is expected to track across the Lower OH Valley region
on Wednesday. At the same time, the quasi stationary boundary
should settle back into eastern KY Wednesday night while the
boundary preceding the cold front sags toward the OH Valley. A
rather moist airmass will remain in place across the region with
PW at least in the 80th to 90th percentile or higher through
Wednesday. This should result in additional rounds of convection
though these chances should diminish in the north by late
Wednesday evening or Wednesday night. WPC has a slight risk of
excessive ERO across the north near the expected location of the
lingering boundary. The northern sections of the area have been
wettest over the past 3 or 4 days and would be most primed for
high water or flash flood issues. In coordination with surrounding
offices, have opted to go with a Flash Flood Watch near and north
of I-64 for Wednesday. A stronger storm is also possible near the
boundary as per SPC Day 2 convective outlook during the afternoon
to early evening pending heating/instability.

With the clouds and rather moist airmass in place, highs should
average near normal for Wednesday with once again a limited
diurnal range into Wednesday night.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 255 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2026

In the days prior to Thursday, an area of low pressure over the
Ozarks will feature a stationary boundary oriented across Kentucky,
providing shower and storms chances to the area. With strong high
pressure off the Atlantic coastline this area of low pressure
struggles to progress eastward, eventually doing so Thursday.

The stationary boundary moves south through the area as a cold front
early Thursday. Winds become northerly for the remainder of the
extended forecast period. In addition to the post-frontal wind shift,
drier air and lower PWATs return to the area. An upper level
trough digs southeast from Eastern Canada through New England
Friday. Models continue to hint at a weak wave embedded within the
upper level flow aloft, upstream of the closed low moving across
the New England area. This may lead to isolated showers or
thunderstorm chances south of the Hal Rogers/KY-80 corridor,
Friday afternoon.

Saturday, an area of low pressure stalls south of the area in the
Tennessee region, a dry cold front is expected to dig south out of
the Ohio Valley from the closed low departing the New England area.
Eastern Kentucky may see some  showers and thunderstorms , mainly
south of I-64, most concentrated along the KY-TN stateline. With
high pressure building into the Ohio Valley Sunday and beyond,
rain and thunderstorm chances will slowly diminish each day with
isolated to scattered chances along the KY-TN stateline Sunday
afternoon.

Temperatures remain mild through next Tuesday, with highs and lows
near normal overall (mid to upper 70s for highs, upper 50s for
lows). Diminishing rain chances transition to a cooler and drier
regime towards the end of the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 210 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2026

At issuance time, a mixture and of MVFR and IFR was reported at
most locations while where there were breaks in the clouds some
VFR was reported. Steadier showers were occurring near and north
of I-64 while more isolated activity was further south. Behind
the steadier rain some partial clearing or areas of clearing
should shift north with ceilings trending toward VFR in many
areas. However, convection should redevelop this afternoon, with
isolated to scattered activity for most locations during the
first 6 hours of the period. Within any heavier showers and any
storms, MVFR or lower reductions are anticipated along with wind
gusts potentially exceeding 30KT. Otherwise, with the loss of
daytime heating, conditions from 00Z onward, VFR should prevail
for much of the night, although guidance has MVFR increasing in
coverage between 09Z and 14Z. In addition to lower clouds, some
stratus build down fog may also develop in the more northern
locations nearer to a quasi stationary boundary. A general trend
toward prevailing VFR should occur late in the period. This will
also be accompanied by increasing chances for convection which
could result in time of lower ceilings and visibility late. Winds
will remain light and variable through the period outside of any
stronger showers or storms.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch from Wednesday morning through late Wednesday night
for KYZ044-050>052.

&&

UPDATE...CMC
SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...GINNICK
AVIATION...JP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
246 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-271900-
Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-
McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-
Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Martin-Pike-
246 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This evening and tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast. Though this
evening, the strongest of these could contain heavy rains, gusty
winds, and a stray, brief tornado cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are possible at times on Wednesday and these could
bring locally heavy rainfall. From Saturday through Monday,
thunderstorms are also possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

KYZ044-050>052-271900-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-
246 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This evening and tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast. Though this
evening, the strongest of these could contain heavy rains, gusty
winds, and a stray, brief tornado cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are possible at times on Wednesday and these could
bring locally heavy rainfall and localized instances of flash
flooding. From Saturday through Monday, thunderstorms are also
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

JKL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
450 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

KYZ110-120-262115-
Floyd KY-Pike KY-
450 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL FLOYD AND
NORTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

At 450 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
East McDowell, or 10 miles west of Pikeville, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pikeville, Coal Run Village, East McDowell, Harold, Coal Run,
Zebulon, Garden Village, Aluba, Galveston, Shelbiana, Betsy Layne,
Boldman, Craynor, Honaker, Blue Moon, Osborn, Chloe, and Grethel.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 U.S. Highway 119 in Pike County between mile markers 1 and 4.
 U.S. Highway 23 in Floyd County between mile markers 1 and 2.
 U.S. Highway 23 in Pike County between mile markers 18 and 32.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3743 8273 3751 8273 3763 8247 3742 8245
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 255DEG 14KT 3746 8270

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MARCUS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
514 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

KYZ120-262145-
Pike KY-
514 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

...GUSTY SHOWERS WILL IMPACT CENTRAL PIKE COUNTY THROUGH 545 PM
EDT...

At 513 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking gusty showers over Coal
Run, or near Pikeville, and near Zebulon, both moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Pikeville, Coal Run Village, Canada, Meta, Boldman, Kimper, Coal Run,
Raccoon, Zebulon, Sidney, and Phyllis.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 U.S. Highway 119 in Pike County between mile markers 1 and 16.
 U.S. Highway 23 in Pike County between mile markers 23 and 32.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3747 8259 3749 8260 3750 8260 3751 8262
      3754 8262 3754 8261 3768 8232 3744 8231
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 252DEG 15KT 3749 8258

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MARCUS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
542 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

KYZ120-262215-
Pike KY-
542 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

...GUSTY SHOWERS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN PIKE COUNTY THROUGH 615 PM
EDT...

At 541 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking gusty showers over Canada,
or 7 miles southwest of Williamson, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Forest Hills, Huddy, Canada, Mcandrews, Meta, Belfry, Majestic,
Hardy, Board Tree, Sidney, Phelps, and Edgarton.

THIS INCLUDES U.S. Highway 119 in Pike County between mile markers 5
and 24.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3753 8205 3750 8246 3759 8246 3766 8227
      3765 8223 3762 8221 3763 8219 3765 8218
      3762 8218 3761 8216 3759 8215 3759 8213
      3758 8213 3757 8214 3756 8213 3756 8208
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 245DEG 19KT 3758 8234

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MARCUS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
615 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

KYZ050-058-059-262300-
Montgomery KY-Estill KY-Powell KY-
615 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN POWELL...SOUTHWESTERN
MONTGOMERY AND NORTHWESTERN ESTILL COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM EDT...

At 614 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Harris Ferry, or 10 miles northeast of Richmond, moving east at 20
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Camargo, Clay City, Westbend, Powell Valley, Levee, Harris Ferry,
Spout Springs, Kimbrell, Cottage Furnace, Cressy, Hargett,
Waltersville, Palmer, Virden, Vaughns Mill, Hardwick, Iron Mound,
Vianna, and Sam.

THIS INCLUDES Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 12
and 21.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Conditions are favorable for the development of weak, brief funnel
clouds. This type of funnel cloud is harmless, but on rare occasions
they can briefly touch down, producing wind gusts over 50 mph. If a
funnel cloud is spotted move indoors and report your sighting to the
National Weather Service.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3775 8387 3779 8409 3781 8408 3782 8410
      3780 8412 3781 8412 3784 8410 3784 8408
      3782 8407 3785 8406 3784 8400 3787 8403
      3787 8402 3792 8399 3793 8397 3801 8401
      3804 8389
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 253DEG 16KT 3786 8419

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MARCUS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
654 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

KYZ050-051-059-060-262330-
Montgomery KY-Menifee KY-Bath KY-Powell KY-
654 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN POWELL...SOUTHERN
MONTGOMERY...SOUTH CENTRAL BATH AND WESTERN MENIFEE COUNTIES THROUGH
730 PM EDT...

At 653 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Virden, or near Stanton, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Mount Sterling, Stanton, Owingsville, Frenchburg, Jeffersonville,
Camargo, Clay City, Clay Lick, Means, Levee, Preston, Cornwell,
Rothwell, Walkers Crossing, Cedar Groves, Coons Station, Stepstone,
Bean, Bourbon Furnace, and Waltersville.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 12 and 18.
 Interstate 64 in eastern Kentucky between mile markers 120 and 122.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Conditions are favorable for the development of weak, brief funnel
clouds. This type of funnel cloud is harmless, but on rare occasions
they can briefly touch down, producing wind gusts over 50 mph. If a
funnel cloud is spotted move indoors and report your sighting to the
National Weather Service.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3788 8358 3784 8399 3785 8399 3784 8401
      3787 8403 3787 8402 3786 8402 3790 8399
      3792 8399 3793 8397 3801 8401 3814 8374
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 241DEG 18KT 3788 8397

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MARCUS