Tornado Warning 6, NWS Jacksonville, FL

244 
WWUS52 KJAX 161039
SVSJAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
639 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

GAC003-161049-
/O.CAN.KJAX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-260316T1100Z/
Atkinson GA-
639 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL ATKINSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 3146 8220 3137 8248 3139 8257 3141 8260
      3144 8261 3147 8260 3156 8260 3158 8258
      3161 8254 3166 8243 3157 8227
TIME...MOT...LOC 1039Z 249DEG 24KT 3146 8248 

$$

GAC005-229-299-161100-
/O.CON.KJAX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-260316T1100Z/
Pierce GA-Ware GA-Bacon GA-
639 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN PIERCE...NORTH CENTRAL WARE AND BACON COUNTIES...

At 639 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Alma, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Alma around 645 AM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include New
Lacy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3146 8220 3137 8248 3139 8257 3141 8260
      3144 8261 3147 8260 3156 8260 3158 8258
      3161 8254 3166 8243 3157 8227
TIME...MOT...LOC 1039Z 249DEG 24KT 3146 8248 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

HESS

511 
WWUS52 KJAX 161047
SVSJAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
647 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

GAC005-229-299-161056-
/O.CAN.KJAX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-260316T1100Z/
Pierce GA-Ware GA-Bacon GA-
647 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN PIERCE...NORTH CENTRAL WARE
AND BACON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 3146 8220 3137 8248 3139 8257 3141 8260
      3144 8261 3147 8260 3156 8260 3158 8258
      3161 8254 3166 8243 3157 8227
TIME...MOT...LOC 1044Z 249DEG 24KT 3148 8242 

$$

DUBOIS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
107 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Scattered To Numerous Severe Storms Monday Areawide. Potential
  Hazards: Damaging Wind Gusts, Isolated Tornadoes, and Hail.

- Freeze Watch for Portions of Inland Southeast GA Monday Night

- Small Craft Advisory Late Tonight through Tuesday

- Frost and Freeze for Inland Southeast GA & Suwannee Valley
  Tuesday night

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Main Highlights through Tonight:

- Scattered to Numerous Severe Storms Today. Potential Hazards:
Damaging Wind Gusts, Isolated Tornadoes, Hail, Frequent Lightning
Strikes, and Heavy Downpours.

- Light Freeze possible late tonight inland Southeast Georgia.

Today: Forecast on track for strong pre-frontal squall line to push
from NW to SE through SE GA/NE FL with scattered to numerous severe
storm activity. All Hazards are in play with damaging winds of 50-70
mph, isolated tornadoes, hail, frequent lightning and heavy
downpours. Timing still shows leading edge of this squall line
pushing into inland SE GA/Suwannee Valley by the mid-late morning
hours and reaching the I-95 corridor by the early afternoon hours,
then into the Atlantic waters by the late afternoon hours. Other
than the usual straight line wind threat along the squall line, will
be closely monitoring discrete supercell activity ahead of the line
for potential rotation and isolated tornadoes. Gradient winds out of
the south and southwest ahead of the squall line in diurnal heating
are expected to increase to sustained 15-25 mph with gusts in the 30-
40 mph range, but will likely fall short of Wind Advisory criteria
and the main messaging will be strong winds due to severe storms
anyways. Still expecting another day of above normal temps, although
not quite as warm as Sunday afternoon, Max temps will reach into the
lower/middle 80s across NE FL from the I-75 corridor eastward to the
Atlantic Coast, while the earlier timing of the squall line will
hold Max temps in the mid/upper 70s across most of SE GA and the
Suwannee Valley.

Tonight: Following the cold frontal passage a much colder air mass
will plunge into the region along with skies becoming partly to
mostly clear towards morning. Low temps will plummet into the lower
to middle 30s across inland SE GA and middle to upper 30s across
inland NE FL and around 40F along the Atlantic Coast. Gusty NW winds
at 15-20G30 mph in the evening will slowly fade to around 10 mph
during the overnight hours. There is enough confidence in low temps
around 32F across inland SE GA to the NW of Waycross to post a
Freeze Watch for these locations, along with some patchy frost
possible for some inland locations where the wind drops off closer
to 5 mph by sunrise Tuesday morning. The NW winds along with the
much colder temps will drive wind chills down into the 25-30F range
across SE GA and around 30F across most of NE FL, but still likely
just above Cold Weather Advisory criteria at this point.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Main Highlights This Period:

- Freezing low temperatures and frost Tuesday nigh for inland
southeast Georgia

Much cooler and drier air will be present behind the frontal
passage, with high temperatures Tuesday staying in the 50s areawide
with breezy northwesterly winds. Tuesday night, northerly winds will
calm and with clear skies it will dip into the 30s for inland areas,
and 40s for the coast and St. Johns river basin. A light freeze and
widespread frost is likely for inland southeast Georgia, with patchy
to areas of frost expanding into the Suwannee Valley and I-10
corridor area.

It'll warm up a few more degrees Wednesday, with highs in the upper
50s to 60s with winds shifting onshore as high pressure builds to
the northeast. Low temperatures will stay just above freezing
Wednesday night, in the mid 30s to mid 40s inland, near 50 along the
Atlantic coast.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Main Highlights This Period:

- Warming trend late in the period

Temperatures will continue to warm up through the weekend as dry
conditions continue. Onshore winds will generally keep coastal
temperatures a few degrees cooler than inland locations, and by the
weekend inland areas will see highs in the lower to mid 80s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Shower activity lessening early this morning with mostly VFR conds
expected along with SW winds at 5-10 knots. SW winds increase
steadily to 15G25 knots through the morning hours ahead of the
squall line, then still on track for potential severe storms at all
terminals in the 16-20Z time frame and will continue the 25G35 knot
wind gusts in TEMPO groups, along with MVFR CIGS and IFR VSBYS in
TSRA activity, then some post squall line MVFR CIGS and VCSH with
lesser SW-W winds 10-15 knots in the 20-24Z time frame, before
becoming VFR later in the TAF period with mid/high VFR clouds
remaining.

&&

.MARINE...

Small Craft Advisory conditions develop this morning ahead of a
strong cold frontal boundary which will push into the local waters
this afternoon. Strong to severe thunderstorms are forecast to
impact our local waters this afternoon, with the potential for
damaging wind gusts, waterspouts, and large hail. Winds will shift
to westerly following the passage of the strong cold front, with
strong northwesterly winds forecast tonight and Tuesday morning
throughout our local waters with gale force gusts possible as high
pressure builds into the southeastern states. Winds will shift to
northerly on Tuesday afternoon and then northeasterly by Wednesday
as high pressure shifts northeastward towards the Mid-Atlantic
coast. This strengthening high pressure center will wedge down the
southeastern seaboard later this week, creating another round of
Small Craft Advisory conditions on Wednesday night and Thursday.
Winds and seas are expected to diminish by Friday afternoon.

Rip Currents: A moderate risk of rips is expected in the South to
Southwest flow today ahead of the cold front with surf/breakers in
the 2-4 ft range, with a continued Moderate risk on Tuesday with
Northwest to North flow and surf/breakers in the 2-3 ft range.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
- Patchy High Dispersion Monday And Tuesday
- Critically Low Minrh Tuesday Through Friday
- Scattered Severe Storms Monday

A strong cold front will move southeast across the area on Monday,
bringing scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. Much cooler and
drier air will be present behind the cold front on Tuesday. Breezy
southwest winds ahead of the front Monday will promote patchy high
daytime dispersion, and patchy high dispersion continues Tuesday as
winds shift northwesterly behind the front. MinRH values will drop
below 30% for most inland locations Tuesday, and remain low through
Friday.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: Significant fog potential is not
expected Tonight. A light freeze and patchy fog will be possible for
portions of inland southeast Georgia Monday night, with more
confidence in a freeze and widespread frost Tuesday night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  76  32  54  30 / 100  10   0   0
SSI  75  37  55  41 /  80  20   0   0
JAX  82  36  57  38 /  80  20   0   0
SGJ  82  38  58  44 /  80  30   0   0
GNV  81  36  58  37 /  90  20   0   0
OCF  83  37  59  38 /  80  20   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Tuesday morning for
     GAZ132>135-149.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 11 AM EDT
     Tuesday for AMZ450-452-454.
     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Tuesday for AMZ470-472-474.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
600 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

FLZ021-030-035-120-136-220-236-322-422-522-161045-
Eastern Alachua FL-Southeastern Columbia FL-Western Alachua FL-
Western Hamilton FL-Eastern Hamilton FL-Union FL-
Southwestern Columbia FL-Northern Columbia FL-Suwannee FL-
Gilchrist FL-
600 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN GILCHRIST...NORTHWESTERN
ALACHUA...SOUTHWESTERN UNION...SOUTHWESTERN COLUMBIA...SUWANNEE AND
SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES THROUGH 645 AM EDT...

At 600 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Obrien, or 9 miles east of Mayo, moving east at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph, pea size hail, and minor flooding
         due to heavy rainfall.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible. Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lake City, Live Oak, White Springs, Ichetucknee Spring, Suwannee
Springs, Columbia, Fort White, Providence, Winfield, and Suwannee
Valley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3047 8290 3030 8263 2990 8250 2980 8293
      2982 8293 2983 8289 2989 8288 2990 8290
      2989 8292 2996 8293 2996 8295 2999 8296
      3001 8300 3008 8307 3011 8312 3010 8314
      3011 8316 3009 8319 3011 8322 3025 8325
TIME...MOT...LOC 1000Z 249DEG 22KT 3001 8303

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

HESS