Severe Thunderstorm Warning 337, NWS Jackson, MS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
328 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dangerous heat stress conditions are expected across at least
  portions of the forecast area again today.

- Isolated to scattered severe storms capable of damaging wind
  gusts are possible again this afternoon into this evening.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 315 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

Through Saturday: A frontal boundary will sag slowly southward
toward the coast and help to focus scattered diurnally driven
storms for the remainder of the afternoon and into the early
evening over the southern half of the area. Given how hot and
unstable the boundary layer conditions are, steep low level lapse
rates are supporting microburst winds (e.g., 58 mph gust at TVR
just now), and have continued to message for a slight severe
weather risk this afternoon/evening. This threat may shift into
northwest portions of the area Saturday afternoon as stronger mid
level flow potentially brings organized convection, so stay tuned
for additional severe weather messaging. Of course the dangerous
heat threat continues as well and have issued an additional heat
advisory for Saturday. The heat will gradually become more
focused over southwest portions of the area, and have adjusted our
messaging to reflect this.

Sunday through next week: Global model guidance indicate that a
northwest flow pattern will evolve and persist through the
remainder of the forecast. A NW-SE oriented thermal gradient will
support the greatest heat stress over southwest portions of the
forecast area, but this doesn't appear it will be more than a
limited to elevated dangerous heat situation. This pattern would
continue to support an occasional MCS threat, but timing details
are very uncertain, and overall rain chances are not great in the
mean. Unfortunately for those needing rainfall, there are no
strong signals for significant rainfall at this point aside from a
gradual uptick in rain chances as we go later into next week. All
global model ensembles point to dry anomalies. Given the
continued vegetative stress, the forecast area will become more
vulnerable to fire danger should wind/RH thresholds be met. As of
now the weather pattern isn't supporting this, but all fire
related interests should monitor closely. /EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

VFR flight conditions will prevail through the period. Site along
and south of I-20 will have a chance for scattered TSRA this
afternoon/evening with gusty winds and reduced flight conditions. /SW/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       73 100  74  99 /   0   0  10  10
Meridian      73  99  73  98 /  10   0  10  10
Vicksburg     73 100  73  98 /   0  10  10  10
Hattiesburg   74  99  74  99 /  40   0   0  10
Natchez       74 101  75  99 /  10   0   0  10
Greenville    73  99  73  98 /   0  10  20  10
Greenwood     72  98  72  97 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-019-025>039-
     044>046-050>052-056>058-065-066-073-074.

     Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Saturday for MSZ018-019-025-
     034>036-040>043-047>049-053>055-059>064-072.

     Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ040>043-
     047>049-053>055-059>064-072.

LA...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Saturday for LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

     Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-
     015-016-023>026.

AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-075.

     Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Saturday for ARZ074-075.

&&

EC/SW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
143 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1044 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     6 NW Sharon             32.71N 90.02W
08/20/2026                   Madison            MS   Utility Company

            Several trees down on lines N of Canton.

&&

CE

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Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
150 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0847 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 E Zion Hill           31.93N 89.74W
08/20/2026                   Simpson            MS   Law Enforcement

            Couple trees down.

&&

CE

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
151 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 NNE Clem              31.78N 89.77W
08/20/2026                   Simpson            MS   Law Enforcement

            Couple trees down.

&&

CE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
212 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

LAZ026-211945-
Concordia LA-
212 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CONCORDIA PARISH
THROUGH 245 PM CDT...

At 212 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Frogmore, or near Ferriday, moving southeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Frogmore around 220 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
northeastern Louisiana.

&&

LAT...LON 3165 9177 3162 9176 3161 9174 3164 9171
      3168 9171 3171 9170 3173 9167 3173 9163
      3158 9156 3150 9168 3163 9180
TIME...MOT...LOC 1912Z 325DEG 6KT 3164 9168

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
314 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0301 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 NNW Mound             32.35N 91.03W
08/21/2026  M58 MPH          Madison            LA   Official NWS Obs

            SPECI KTVR 212003Z AUTO 36024G50KT 1 3/4SM
            +TSRA SCT032 BKN075 27/22 A3000 RMK AO2 PK
            WND 36050/2001 LTG DSNT ALQDS PRESRR P0005
            T02720222.

&&

OAJ