Severe Thunderstorm Warning 249, NWS Jackson, MS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
321 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mainly afternoon and evening storm threats continue to be a
  concern with a marginal (Level 1 of 5) severe risk for damaging
  wind gusts today and again Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

For early to mid week: The threat for dangerous heat has lessened
a bit as the subtropical ridge has weakened its grip over the
Lower MS Valley region. The troughing in it's place is supporting
cyclonic flow and a series of weak mesoscale convective vortices
crossing the forecast area, with the latest MCV helping to
initiate a few strong to severe downbursts this afternoon/evening
in a hot, unstable, and very moist airmass. There should be
another MCV moving in Monday with another marginal damaging wind
risk expected for isolated storms in the ArkLaMiss region per
SPC. Confidence isn't the greatest in terms of the area for this
risk, so keep up with the latest outlooks. In terms of heat
danger threats, we should stay mainly below limited thresholds for
the most part.

Late week into next weekend: The ridge is forecast by most
guidance to rebuild, and this should lessen convective rainfall
coverage while allowing heat stress to intensify some. Additional
heat related graphics for limited/elevated heat threats may
eventually become necessary. /EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1249 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

VFR conditions will prevail for the majority of the period for all
sites. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will be found across most
of the CWA this afternoon into early evening, as such a tempo for TS
can be found in sites expected to receive convection this afternoon.
Early morning tomorrow may see some thin fog/mist development
especially along central through southern sites./OAJ/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       74  90  73  90 /  20  40  20  50
Meridian      74  91  73  91 /  20  40  20  40
Vicksburg     74  90  74  91 /  30  50  30  40
Hattiesburg   74  91  74  91 /  30  70  20  50
Natchez       74  91  74  91 /  30  60  40  50
Greenville    73  90  73  91 /  30  30  30  20
Greenwood     73  91  73  92 /  30  40  30  20

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

EC/OAJ

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
216 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

MSZ064>066-052030-
Jones MS-Jefferson Davis MS-Covington MS-
216 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT COVINGTON...WESTERN JONES AND
EAST CENTRAL JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM CDT...

At 216 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Collins, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Collins, Seminary, Sanford, and Hebron.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3154 8974 3178 8964 3180 8932 3145 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1916Z 292DEG 12KT 3166 8959

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
254 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

MSZ032-037-038-044-052100-
Attala MS-Winston MS-Leake MS-Choctaw MS-
254 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN LEAKE...
SOUTHEASTERN CHOCTAW...SOUTHEASTERN ATTALA AND SOUTHWESTERN WINSTON
COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM CDT...

At 254 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ethel, or 11 miles east of Kosciusko, moving southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Zama around 305 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3315 8913 3314 8917 3294 8928 3293 8930
      3293 8932 3292 8932 3282 8949 3313 8954
      3322 8935 3320 8912
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 330DEG 11KT 3311 8940

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
323 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

MSZ057-066-052130-
Jones MS-Jasper MS-
323 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN JASPER AND
NORTHWESTERN JONES COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM CDT...

At 323 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Soso, or 10 miles northwest of Laurel, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Laurel, Ellisville, Soso, Tuckers Crossing, Moss, Stringer, and
Vernon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3158 8909 3161 8936 3180 8936 3180 8932
      3192 8932 3191 8904
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 273DEG 12KT 3179 8929

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
334 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

MSZ066-073-074-052130-
Jones MS-Lamar MS-Forrest MS-
334 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN FORREST...NORTHEASTERN
LAMAR AND SOUTHWESTERN JONES COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM CDT...

At 334 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over West Hattiesburg, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Hattiesburg, Petal, West Hattiesburg, Oak Grove, Rawls Springs,
Moselle, Eastabuchie, Sunrise, and Macedonia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 8947 3143 8940 3146 8940 3154 8918
      3143 8914 3127 8915 3122 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 249DEG 13KT 3134 8936

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
347 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

MSZ044-045-052145-
Neshoba MS-Leake MS-
347 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN LEAKE AND NESHOBA
COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM CDT...

At 346 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Stallo, or 7 miles north of Pearl River, moving
southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Philadelphia, Pearl River, Tucker, Edinburg, Burnside, Forestdale,
Bethsaida, Stallo, and Dixon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3268 8902 3258 8924 3287 8940 3293 8934
      3293 8897 3292 8896 3292 8894 3291 8892
      3272 8892
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 310DEG 19KT 3289 8921

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SAS