Small Craft Advisory 4, NWS Northern Indiana

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1230 AM EST Sat Jan 10 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...
- A period of light rain expected on Saturday, mixing with snow near
  and north of the MI border. Little to no snow accumulation.

- Colder and breezy with scattered snow showers Saturday night
  into Sunday. Most areas will see little to no snow
  accumulation, except for areas in northwest IN and sw MI where
  totals of 1-3" will be possible.

- Dry and trending warmer early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 157 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

Winds rapidly diminish this afternoon into early this evening as
weak low level ridging briefly makes an appearance between systems.
For Saturday, ascent will increase through the column in response to
an upper low digging southeast through Minnesota and Wisconsin,
and a separate southern stream shortwave getting absorbed
northeast into the OH Valley and southern Great Lakes. This
upward motion should allow for a least light precipitation to
accompany a low level trough east through the local area on
Saturday, though there are hints in a split overhead as more
pronounced forcing bypasses west and better moisture quality
remains locked up well to the east. Ptype looks to be a mix of
rain and snow near/north of the MI border with primarily light
rain elsewhere for a time along the aforementioned trough.
Temperatures generally in the mid 30s to near 40 otherwise on
Saturday.

The development and deepening of surface low pressure to the
northeast Saturday night into Sunday will allow a colder/blustery
air mass to wrap in. Several vort lobes will also pivot through late
Saturday into Saturday with scattered snow showers, transitioning to
pure LES in our nw flow snow belts into Sunday morning. Several
inches of snow accumulation will be possible in these areas during
this time with minor travel impacts possible.

A northwest flow regime will generally be in place next week. Monday
into Tuesday will feature a decent rebound in temps as clipper-type
systems track north with the local area in a warm advection regime
north of sfc high pressure. Medium range models have remained
relatively consistent in a cold front dropping through later Tuesday
into Tuesday night with light rain changing to snow showers post-
frontal. There could be a robust, yet brief, lake response sometime
Wednesday into Wednesday night as deep/cold northerly flow follows
in post-frontal.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1230 AM EST Sat Jan 10 2026

Current improvement in ceilings will likely be brief as moisture
advection ahead of the next trough will likely bring a return
to fuel-alternate ceilings within the next 1-3 hours. Associated
cold front will then swing through the area during the day with
IFR ceilings likely and some brief rain, possibly mixing with
snow at KSBN. Not expecting any significant snow accumulations
or visibilities below 1SM at KSBN and precip will likely remain
liquid at KFWA. Return to VFR anticipated by Sat evening but
lake effect snow showers and MVFR ceilings return to KSBN at the
very end of this forecast window.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Steinwedel
AVIATION...AGD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1256 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

INZ006>009-018-027-MIZ080-081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-
101800-
Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Allen IN-Adams-Branch-Hillsdale-
Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
1256 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest
Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A mix of rain and snow mix is possible Saturday, changing to all
snow Saturday night into Sunday. Snow accumulations of around 1 inch
or less are possible Saturday night into Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

INZ012>015-017-020-022>026-032>034-116-203-216-101800-
Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Whitley-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-
Huntington-Wells-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Northern Kosciusko-
Southern La Porte-Southern Kosciusko-
1256 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026 /1156 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A mix of rain and snow mix is possible Saturday, changing to all
snow Saturday night into Sunday. Snow accumulations of around 1 inch
or less are possible Saturday night into Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ043-046-101800-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
1256 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of
southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

 Small Craft Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Conditions hazardous to small craft are possible Saturday afternoon
into Monday, and then again Tuesday night into Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

INZ005-103-104-204-MIZ078-177-277-101800-
Elkhart-Northern La Porte-Eastern St. Joseph IN-
Western St. Joseph IN-Cass MI-Northern Berrien-Southern Berrien-
1256 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026 /1156 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
southwest Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A mix of rain and snow is expected Saturday, changing to all snow
Saturday night into Sunday. Snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are
possible along and north of the toll road.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MIZ079-101800-
St. Joseph MI-
1256 PM EST Fri Jan 9 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A mix of rain and snow is expected Saturday, changing to all snow
Saturday night into Sunday. Snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are
possible along and north of the toll road.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.