River Flood Warning 39, NWS Northern Indiana

750 
WGUS83 KIWX 161554
FLSIWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1154 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Indiana...Ohio...Michigan...

  Tippecanoe River near Ora affecting Pulaski County.

  Eel River at North Manchester affecting Wabash, Whitley, Cass IN, 
  Miami and Kosciusko Counties.

  Saint Joseph River Ohio below Montpelier affecting Williams 
  County.

  Saint Joseph River Ohio near Newville affecting Allen IN, 
  Defiance and De Kalb Counties.

  Tiffin River at Stryker affecting Fulton OH, Defiance and 
  Williams Counties.

  Saint Joseph River Michigan at Three Rivers affecting Elkhart, 
  St. Joseph MI and Branch Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Indiana...
Michigan...

  Saint Joseph River Michigan at South Bend affecting Berrien, 
  Elkhart and St. Joseph Counties.

  Saint Joseph River Michigan at Niles affecting Berrien, St. 
  Joseph and Cass MI Counties.

  North Branch Elkhart River at Cosperville affecting Noble County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Indiana...Michigan...

  Saint Joseph River Michigan at Elkhart IN affecting Elkhart, St. 
  Joseph MI, St. Joseph and Cass MI Counties.

For the Tippecanoe River...including Ora, Winamac, Norway Dam...
Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Saint Joseph River Ohio...including Montpelier, Newville, 
St. Joe River Ft. Wayne...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Tiffin River...including Stryker...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Saint Joseph River Michigan...including Three Rivers, 
Mottville, Elkhart IN, South Bend, Niles...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Detailed river forecasts and additional information can be found at 
www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 100 PM EDT.

&&

INC039-141-MIC027-149-161700-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0039.260417T1000Z-260416T1554Z/
/EKMI3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Saint Joseph River Michigan at Elkhart IN.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:30 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 22.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 23.9
    feet early Saturday afternoon.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4166 8616 4168 8616 4171 8594 4169 8594
      4167 8599


$$

INC017-085-103-169-183-171000-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0035.260416T1554Z-260419T0449Z/
/NMCI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO EARLY SUNDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...No flooding is currently forecast.

* WHERE...Eel River at North Manchester.

* WHEN...From this morning to early Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, The river is at bankfull. Overflow of 
  agricultural fields begins.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:30 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 9.2 feet tomorrow morning.
    It will then fall to 7.9 feet Saturday morning. It will rise
    to 9.7 feet Sunday evening. It will then fall again and
    remain below flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
      4087 8599 4072 8631


$$

INC039-141-MIC021-171000-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0037.260417T0000Z-260423T1200Z/
/SBNI3.1.ER.260417T0000Z.260418T0600Z.260422T1200Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO THURSDAY, APRIL 
23...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Saint Joseph River Michigan at South Bend.

* WHEN...From this evening to Thursday, April 23.

* IMPACTS...At 6.0 feet, Flooding is confined to mostly park land 
  and golf courses. Leeper Park and Petro golf courses begin to 
  flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:15 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 5.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this evening to a crest of 6.3 feet early Saturday morning.
    It will then fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 5.5 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4172 8629 4178 8628 4178 8626 4166 8621
      4166 8624


$$

INC039-MIC023-149-171000-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0036.260417T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRVM4.1.ER.260417T0000Z.260419T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Saint Joseph River Michigan at Three Rivers.

* WHEN...From this evening until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Minor flooding of apartments near the river 
  along Mechanic Street, the River Glen Condos on east Michigan Ave, 
  and basements of several homes along River Drive can be expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 6.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this evening and continue rising to a crest of 8.0 feet
    Saturday evening.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4186 8568 4197 8564 4197 8554 4196 8554
      4193 8561 4184 8566


$$

OHC171-171000-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0033.260417T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MONO1.2.ER.260417T0000Z.260419T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Saint Joseph River Ohio below Montpelier.

* WHEN...From this evening until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, County Road K, one mile southwest of 
  Montpelier is flooded. Flood waters affect the southeast side of 
  Pioneer and cover large areas of low land and agricultural land 
  near the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 11.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this evening and continue rising to a crest of 13.6 feet
    early Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4158 8464 4169 8455 4167 8453 4156 8461


$$

INC131-171000-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0032.260417T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/ORAI3.1.ER.260417T0600Z.260419T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tippecanoe River near Ora.

* WHEN...From late tonight until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 12.5 feet, Flooding begins to affect residences near 
  the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 11.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue rising to a crest of
    12.6 feet Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4109 8658 4116 8660 4117 8656 4117 8653
      4115 8657 4108 8655


$$

INC141-MIC021-027-171000-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0038.260417T1500Z-260421T1800Z/
/NILM4.1.ER.260417T1500Z.260418T0600Z.260420T1800Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO EARLY TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Saint Joseph River Michigan at Niles.

* WHEN...From Friday morning to early Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Minor flooding of low lying areas adjacent 
  to the river, Island Park, and basement flooding of residences 
  along River and Mairmont Streets in Niles can be expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 10.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tomorrow morning to a crest of 11.4 feet early Saturday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Monday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4192 8639 4192 8634 4183 8625 4178 8626
      4178 8627 4184 8638


$$

OHC039-051-171-171000-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0031.260417T1600Z-000000T0000Z/
/STRO1.1.ER.260417T1600Z.260419T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Tiffin River at Stryker.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, Flood waters begin to affect some farm 
  buildings near Stryker and flood some secondary roads.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:00 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 10.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    early tomorrow afternoon and continue rising to a crest of
    13.1 feet Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4130 8444 4149 8446 4159 8439 4159 8429
      4130 8438


$$

INC003-033-OHC039-171000-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0034.260418T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NVLI3.1.ER.260418T0000Z.260421T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Saint Joseph River Ohio near Newville.

* WHEN...From Friday evening until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Significant flooding occurs on DeKalb 
  County Road 42 about 3 miles northeast of Newville. Considerable 
  agricultural and low land flooding occurs along the St. Joseph 
  River to the Cedarville Reservoir.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:25 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 9.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow evening and continue rising to 13.8 feet early
    Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4126 8498 4140 8481 4139 8478 4123 8493


$$

INC113-171000-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CPEI3.1.ER.260402T0915Z.260407T0715Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1154 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...North Branch Elkhart River at Cosperville.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 6.5 feet, Water is starting to approach foundations 
  on Waldron Lake Dr, Woodland Drive, and the south end of 
  Steinbarger Lake Rd.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:30 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 6.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 11:30 AM EDT Thursday was 6.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 6.7
    feet Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4150 8570 4152 8568 4149 8559 4150 8544
      4149 8543 4144 8555


$$

Frazier

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
731 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue
  through Thursday. Strong to severe storms are possible this
  afternoon into tonight.

- A Flood Watch is in effect for the entire area through tonight
  as additional rainfall may cause renewed flooding in some
  areas.

- A brief break is expected Thursday night into Friday before a
  stronger front arrives with more showers and thunderstorms.

- Overall temperatures will remain above normal, with a dip to
  near or slightly below normal Sunday behind the cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 150 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

While the overall severe threat is less for the next day or 2, the
potential for strong to possibly severe storms as well as heavy rain
will persist into Thursday as the region remains on the warm side of
a persistent trough to the west. The discussion will focus mainly
through Saturday before the pattern breaks for at least a short
time. A series of MCV's and other weaker disturbances, remnant
outflow boundaries and a decent upper level trough, will all
aid in the development of multiple rounds of showers and storms
into Thursday. Greatest severe threat today appears to exist
where it has the past couple of days from IA/IL area southwest
into OK and TX, but our area lies in a Slight risk (2 out of 5)
for large hail and damaging winds. Cloud cover and multiple
rounds of precip will likely limit more substantial instability,
but enough shear and CAPE will exist to bring a threat for stg-
svr storms.

The first round of showers/storms was moving northeast across
NW parts of the area. A small area of storms has been
intensifying with strong indications of hail and possibly gusty
winds. This will continue ENE and pose a threat for severe
weather. SWOMCD #446 was just sent by SPC discussing the
concerns through the remainder of the afternoon. CAMs generally
suggest another round towards 00Z and again overnight as the
sfc low passes to our NW. Severe threat could return again
towards evening with all modes of severe possible again, but
impacts of current storms could limit the concerns. On the
hydro side, most areas dodged the heavy rainfall last night (far
south and far north mainly), but with several rounds expected
through tonight, opted to expand the Flood Watch to the entire
area and expire at 12Z Thu. Do not expect widespread flood
issues, but there will be swaths of heavier rainfall that could
impact small creeks, streams and low areas as well as eventually
cause rising river levels.

Showers may linger into the start of Thursday, but model trends seem
to suggest that the severe threat may shift more towards the east as
the area is likely convectively overturned and main upper level
support is exiting. SPC DY2 reflects this with a Marginal Risk
across SE half or so of the area and could see this possibly being
trimmed further in future outlooks.

In the wake of the trough and increasing upper level heights we
should get a break in precip Thursday night into Friday evening
before a stronger trough (entering the Pacific NW) dives into the
Plains and eventually makes it to the Great Lakes into Sat. Shower
and thunderstorm chances will increase with this, but overall timing
of the cold front now favors a less than ideal situation (late Fri
night into early Sat). This is reflected with the main severe threat
Fri to our west and then the 15% severe prob mainly east on Sat.
Time to sort that out. Colder air then arrives behind this front
with a brief return to 40s and 50s Sunday then moderation back into
the 60s and 60s for the work week. Rain chances appear limited at
this point, but another strong trough will be to the west that most
likely will bring precip chances back.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 730 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

The area continues to be in the warm sector with plenty of moisture
moving through the overnight as a cold front moves through by
Thursday morning. Given cloudiness and left over stability left
behind by early afternoon convection, recovery is in question and
remains the main area of uncertainty with a second chance for
thunderstorms between 00 and 3z tonight. Otherwise, another batch of
rain approaches around 6z according to the HRRR model. Thunderstorm
ingredients like shear and instability wane the rest of the day
Thursday so that while scattered showers and a thunderstorm or two
are possible, the severity of thunderstorms looks weaker for
Thursday. With all of that, the chance for MVFR or lower conditions
will depend on thunderstorms 2z to 9z and then FWA has a period of
probably more tempo MVFR CIGs between 9 and 13z Thursday AM.

Winds come out of the southwest for the bulk of the period and we'll
have gusty winds to around 25 kts during the day Thursday with the
cold front nearby and its attendent LLJ overhead.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for INZ005>009-012>015-
     017-018-020-022>027-032>034-103-104-116-203-204-216.
OH...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for OHZ001-002-004-005-
     015-016-024-025.
MI...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for MIZ078>081-177-277.
MARINE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Fisher
AVIATION...Roller

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
532 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

INZ005>009-012>015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-103-104-116-203-204-
216-MIZ078>081-177-277-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-162145-
Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-
Fulton IN-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-
Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Northern La Porte-
Eastern St. Joseph IN-Northern Kosciusko-Southern La Porte-
Western St. Joseph IN-Southern Kosciusko-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-
Branch-Hillsdale-Northern Berrien-Southern Berrien-Williams-
Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
532 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026 /432 PM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026/

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest
Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ043-046-162145-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
532 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of
southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms today with gusty winds and small hail as the
main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There are continued chances of thunderstorms Thursday and then again
late Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
528 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0152 PM     Hail             Claypool                41.13N 85.88W
04/15/2026  E2.00 Inch       Kosciusko          IN   Broadcast Media

            Broadcast media relayed a photo from the
            public of what is estimated to be between 2
            and 2.25 inch hail in Claypool. Delayed
            report and time estimated by radar.

&&

Norman