Severe Thunderstorm Warning 19, NWS Indianapolis, IN

105 
WWUS53 KIND 040002
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
702 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

INC063-040012-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260304T0015Z/
Hendricks IN-
702 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL HENDRICKS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3976 8630 3976 8621 3966 8621 3968 8633
      3977 8633 3977 8630
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 275DEG 39KT 3973 8627 

$$

INC097-040015-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260304T0015Z/
Marion IN-
702 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EST
FOR SOUTHWESTERN MARION COUNTY...

At 702 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Speedway, or 7
miles southwest of Indianapolis, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

Locations impacted include...
Indianapolis, Plainfield, Avon, and Indianapolis Int'l Airport.

This includes Interstate 70 between mile markers 69 and 77.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3976 8630 3976 8621 3966 8621 3968 8633
      3977 8633 3977 8630
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 275DEG 39KT 3973 8627 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

ME

341 
WWUS53 KIND 040007
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
707 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

INC097-040017-
/O.EXP.KIND.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-260304T0015Z/
Marion IN-
707 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN MARION COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM EST...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3976 8630 3976 8621 3966 8621 3968 8633
      3977 8633 3977 8630
TIME...MOT...LOC 0007Z 277DEG 38KT 3973 8624 

$$

ME

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
638 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Flood Watch in effect from 7PM this evening through 10AM EST
  Wednesday for the southern two-thirds of the forecast area

- Widespread rain accumulations between 1-3 inches expected through
  Wednesday morning with locally higher amounts

- Much warmer late week into the weekend with near record warmth
  Friday

- Daily rain chances with additional threats for rain and
  thunderstorms this weekend into next week will increase the risk
  for flooding across central Indiana

&&

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 543 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

Weak instability from parcels elevated above a frontal inversion
paired with around 35 knots of effective shear will support
clusters of organized convection early this evening. One cell near
Newport/Rockville now has displayed a robust reflectivity core on
radar but appears insufficient for >1 inch hail at this time,
with only a very low probability of severe. Small hail, lightning,
and heavy rain can be expected with the strongest thunderstorms.

The heavy rain/flooding threat will increase through the evening as
convective coverage increases within warm advection regime and
minimally unstable environment, where a moisture provide favorable
for high precipitation efficiency resides.

&&

.SHORT TERM (This evening through Wednesday)...
Issued at 250 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

Current KIND radar imagery depicts rain ongoing over portions of
central Indiana. This is associated with a frontal boundary which
has stalled across the area. Aloft, a shortwave trough centered near
the Rockies continues to advect positive vorticity towards Indiana
promoting large scale ascent. Favorable forcing from these features
combined with Pacific and Gulf moisture advection within
southwesterly mean atmospheric flow will continue to support
widespread rainfall.

Heavy rainfall is possible at times given the anomalous moisture in
place and the potential for training storms along the west to east
oriented boundary. Some high-resolution guidance also suggest warm
air advection could lead to weak elevated instability. This would
support the potential for embedded convective elements and more
efficient rainfall rates. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1 to 3
inches are expected with the potential for locally higher amounts.
Most guidance including the HREF focuses the heaviest amounts from
near Sullivan to Parke county and points east-southeastward.

A Flood Watch is in effect from 7PM this evening through 10AM EST
Wednesday over roughly the southern two-thirds of the forecast area.
Precipitation falling over a 12 hour duration and the ongoing
drought in some areas may limit the flash flood threat. However,
expected QPF amounts with high-res guidance suggesting the potential
for locally higher amounts could still lead to flooding, especially
along smaller creeks and streams.

Most high-resolution guidance suggest that convection shunts the
stalled boundary further south Wednesday morning. If this occurs, a
lull in precipitation or more limited coverage of rain would be
expected during the day. There is some slight uncertainty in areas,
but rain chances were lowered significantly from mid-morning to the
early afternoon hours on Wednesday given trends. Additional
refinements may be needed in future updates.

Rain chances quickly increase again late Wednesday ahead of another
system lifting into the region. The aforementioned surface boundary
will lift back north as a warm front aiding in low-level theta-e
advection. Expect widespread showers and isolated to scattered
storms late in the day. Diurnal temperatures swings will be limited
by rain and clouds. Look for lows tonight to range from near 40F to
50F while highs Wednesday range from the mid 50s to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM (Wednesday night through Tuesday)...
Issued at 250 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

Wednesday Night through Saturday...

Periods of rain from time to time will be expected from Wednesday
Night through Sunday. Models show a continued, persistent warm front
lingering across Central Indiana through Friday. An upper level
weather disturbance looks arrive and pass on Wednesday Night into
Thursday, providing forcing. A warm and moist air mass will be in
place, with forecast soundings showing saturation within the lower
levels and pwats over 1 inch. Thus confidence remains high for rain
showers. Moist ground and continued periodic rainfall may lead to
possible lowland flooding.

On Friday, morning rain still looks possible as the warm front
surges northward toward the Great Lakes. This will place Central
Indiana within the warm sector for what should be a very warm early
March day within the warm sector. A dry and warm Friday afternoon is
possible. More Rain chances will return on Saturday as a cold front
approaches and crosses the state. Precise timing, morning or
afternoon, of the cold front is a bit uncertain at this moment.
Thunder will be possible within the warm sector ahead of the cold
front.

Sunday and Monday...

Dry weather is still expected during this time with mild
temperatures. Surface high pressure will be moving across the region
with zonal flow in place aloft allowing no arctic air intrusions.

Tuesday...

Troughing aloft in the western CONUS will lead to SW flow aloft.
This will lead to another mild day on Tuesday amid southerly surface
flow within the warm sector. At the moment, some instability and
sufficient moist appears available that an afternoon thunderstorm
cannot be ruled out.

&&

.AVIATION (00Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 637 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

Impacts:

- IFR or worse conditions in low ceilings and BR/fog

- Brief improvements to MVFR conditions possible at times

Discussion:

Classic warm advection pattern will persist through much of the TAF
period bringing low stratus and BR/fog. Dense fog is unlikely in
this pattern. Brief periods of improvement or worsening may occur
but the in general this is a steady-state pattern with little
variability. Waves of rain can be expected. There is just enough
instability for a few weaker thunderstorms with lightning as the
main hazard.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for INZ044>049-051>057-
060>065-067>072.

&&

MESOSCALE...BRB
SHORT TERM...Melo
LONG TERM...Puma
AVIATION...BRB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
347 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

INZ021-028>031-035>043-042100-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-
347 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

A few thunderstorms will be possible late today into tonight. Severe
storms are not expected, though heavy rainfall and localized flooding
will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Daily rain chances with moderate to heavy rainfall at times will
lead to increasing chances of waterway flooding by late week.
Details on the locations and timing of heaviest rainfall remain
uncertain at this time.

There is also a chance for thunderstorms at times through Saturday.
A few strong storms are possible Wednesday along and south of
Interstate 70, with additional strong thunderstorms possible late
Friday into Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated, but spotters are encouraged to
report rainfall amounts.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

INZ044>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-042100-
Parke-Putnam-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-
Johnson-Shelby-Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-
Knox-Daviess-Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
347 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

A few thunderstorms will be possible late today into tonight. Severe
storms are not expected, though heavy rainfall and localized flooding
will be possible.

A Flood Watch is in effect from 7PM this evening through 10AM EST
Wednesday as excessive rainfall may lead to flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Daily rain chances with moderate to heavy rainfall at times will
lead to increasing chances of waterway flooding by late week. Details on
the locations and timing of heaviest rainfall remain uncertain at
this time.

There is also a chance for thunderstorms at times through Saturday.
A few strong storms are possible Wednesday along and south of
Interstate 70, with additional strong thunderstorms possible late
Friday into Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated, but spotters are encouraged to
report rainfall amounts.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
522 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

INZ035-036-043-044-032300-
Montgomery IN-Fountain IN-Parke IN-Vermillion IN-
522 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Fountain,
northern Parke, central Vermillion and southwestern Montgomery
Counties through 600 PM EST...

At 522 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Ridge Farm, or 16 miles south of Danville, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Rockville, Newport, Cayuga, Montezuma, Dana, Kingman, Waveland,
Bloomingdale, Marshall, Cecil Harden Lake, Lodi, Turkey Run State
Park, Shades State Park, and Judson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3999 8753 3997 8700 3970 8703 3981 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 278DEG 48KT 3990 8762

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

ME

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
555 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

INZ036-044>046-032345-
Montgomery IN-Putnam IN-Hendricks IN-Parke IN-
555 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Hendricks,
northeastern Parke, southern Montgomery and northern Putnam Counties
through 645 PM EST...

At 554 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Rockville, or 20 miles southwest of Crawfordsville, moving east at 55
mph.

HAZARD...Penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Danville, Rockville, Pittsboro, Clayton, Roachdale, Bainbridge,
Fillmore, Coatesville, North Salem, Waveland, Amo, Russellville,
Marshall, Stilesville, Carpentersville, Cecil Harden Lake, Groveland,
Turkey Run State Park, and Judson.

This includes Interstate 70 between mile markers 58 and 60.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3989 8724 3987 8645 3963 8644 3963 8646
      3960 8647 3960 8649 3976 8725
TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 278DEG 47KT 3982 8715

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

ME

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
630 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

INZ046>048-055-056-040015-
Johnson IN-Hendricks IN-Shelby IN-Hancock IN-Marion IN-
630 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Hancock, northwestern Shelby, northern Johnson, southeastern
Hendricks and Marion Counties through 715 PM EST...

At 629 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Danville, or 19 miles west of Indianapolis, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Indianapolis, Greenwood, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Beech Grove,
Speedway, Danville, Southport, Avon, Cumberland, New Palestine,
Warren Park, Clermont, Homecroft, Fairland, Spring Lake, Monument
Circle, Boggstown, Indianapolis Int'l Airport, and Camby.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3955 8585 3962 8625 3963 8625 3963 8629
      3967 8651 3983 8647 3982 8584
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 277DEG 41KT 3974 8651

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

ME

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
632 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 PM     Hail             1 N Bainbridge          39.78N 86.81W
03/03/2026  M0.70 Inch       Putnam             IN   Emergency Mngr

&&

BH