Severe Thunderstorm Warning 239, NWS Lincoln, IL

280 
WWUS53 KILX 110529
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1229 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

ILC139-147-110538-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0239.000000T0000Z-260611T0600Z/
Moultrie-Piatt-
1229 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MOULTRIE AND
SOUTHEASTERN PIATT COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of 
the warnred area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
east central Illinois.

&&

LAT...LON 3972 8838 3974 8842 3996 8840 3996 8839
      3989 8794 3979 8794 3979 8797 3969 8797
      3968 8806 3965 8806 3965 8811
TIME...MOT...LOC 0528Z 287DEG 42KT 3991 8825 3973 8834 

$$

ILC019-041-110600-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0239.000000T0000Z-260611T0600Z/
Champaign-Douglas-
1229 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN CHAMPAIGN AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES...

At 1228 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Pesotum to near Arcola, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe storms will be near...
  Villa Grove and Camargo around 1235 AM CDT.
  Newman around 1245 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include
Hindsboro, Murdock, Fairland, Bourbon, Longview, and Walnut Point
State Park.

This includes Interstate 57 between mile markers 205 and 223.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3972 8838 3974 8842 3996 8840 3996 8839
      3989 8794 3979 8794 3979 8797 3969 8797
      3968 8806 3965 8806 3965 8811
TIME...MOT...LOC 0528Z 287DEG 42KT 3991 8825 3973 8834 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Erwin

485 
WWUS53 KILX 110543
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1243 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

ILC019-041-110553-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0239.000000T0000Z-260611T0600Z/
Champaign-Douglas-
1243 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN CHAMPAIGN AND DOUGLAS
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However, gusty winds are
still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
east central Illinois.

&&

LAT...LON 3972 8838 3974 8842 3996 8840 3996 8839
      3989 8794 3979 8794 3979 8797 3969 8797
      3968 8806 3965 8806 3965 8811
TIME...MOT...LOC 0541Z 287DEG 42KT 3986 8805 3968 8814 

$$

Erwin

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
906 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widespread heat continues through Thursday, though increasing
  cloud cover keeps the chance of heat index values exceeding
  100 degrees at around 20 percent south of Interstate 72.

- Thunderstorms will push across central Illinois this
  evening...bringing a risk for damaging wind gusts and
  localized flash flooding.

- A cold front brings another round of severe storms Thursday
  evening and overnight, where damaging straight-line winds
  remain the main concern.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 906 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Showers and storms continue as forecasted and overall, the
current forecast still looks good on timing of storms moving
across the area. However, did decide to clean up pops/wx and
increased them in the southeast late tonight. Also increased qpf
for tonight and overnight some. Remainder of the forecast for
temps and winds looks fine and will not plan to update the rest
of the night.

New update should be out shortly.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1246 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Short Term Forecast: Heat and Severe Potential

Today and tomorrow will feature widespread temperatures in the
90s, with heat indices climbing into the upper 90s to lower
100s. Confidence in meeting Heat Advisory criteria (max heat
index near 105F) remains low; LREF probabilities for heat
indices exceeding 100F generally hold around 20 percent for
areas south of I-72. Primary limiting factors for higher heat
readings will be increasing cloud cover and precip chances along
with convective debris, particularly on Thursday for the
latter.

Thunderstorms are ongoing early this afternoon across portions
of eastern Iowa and northeastern Missouri, with additional
development expected to our west later this evening. Out ahead
of the initial convective line, temperatures pushing 90 degrees
and dew points in the low to mid-70s are supporting roughly
1500-2000 J/kg of weakly capped MLCAPE across central Illinois.
Instability will further increase through mid-afternoon, peaking
near 2500 J/kg. Effective bulk shear values will increase to
around 30kt with the arrival of storms, sufficient to support an
organized severe threat.

This initial line of storms is expected to lift northeast,
likely staying near or just north of the I-72 corridor. While
low-level flow is currently veered with unimpressive SRH values,
this is forecast to increase ahead of the second line of
storms. DCAPE values around 900-1200 J/kg, coupled with
increasingly steep low-level lapse rates, will support a wind
threat with the first wave of convection. Round two will see
strengthened kinematic fields as storms congeal into a line and
spread ESE across central Illinois late this evening. Damaging
winds will remain the primary threat, though interactions with
remnant outflow boundaries and increasing low-level winds
associated with a strengthening low-level jet will support a
localized tornado threat this evening. This threat will slowly
subside with waning diurnal instability as the system moves east
overnight.

In addition to the severe potential, multiple rounds of storms--
including the possibility for backbuilding and training--pose a
localized flooding threat. Corfidi vectors ahead of the second
line of storms drop below 10 kt and become oriented out of the
northeast, suggesting potential for backbuilding along the
southern periphery of the QLCS. While the severe threat should
diminish overnight, the hydro threat may linger well into or
through the overnight hours.

Thursday and Extended Period
A robust shortwave trough is expected to lift into the Upper
Midwest on Thursday, driving a cold front through central
Illinois Thursday evening and overnight. Ahead of this boundary,
the GFS suggests a broad, unstable warm sector with MLCAPE
values exceeding 3000 J/kg. Coupled with deep-layer shear of
25-35 kt and 0-1km shear of 15-25 kt, the kinematic environment
remains seasonably strong Thursday. While pre-frontal discrete
activity with all severe hazards is possible, the primary
concern remains straight-line winds as convective elements
congeal into a line along and ahead of the front.

Lingering showers and storms over southeast Illinois on Friday
morning will exit quickly, giving way to clearing skies as high
pressure builds into the region. This will provide a brief
return to more seasonal conditions, with highs in the lower to
mid-80s and dew points mixing down into the upper 50s, resulting
in a much more comfortable air mass.

For the weekend and into early next week, the pattern turns
more zonal aloft while a low-level baroclinic zone wobbles over
the region. This setup maintains additional chances for showers
and thunderstorms, though specifics regarding timing and
coverage remain uncertain at this forecast range.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 634 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

The airmass across central Illinois has temporarily stabilized
early this evening: however, as the nocturnal low-level jet
strengthens after sunset, another round of convection will
develop. 2315z/615pm regional radar mosaic shows clusters of
thunderstorms from near KMLI westward to KMCI. These storms will
rapidly spread/develop eastward and will impact the central
Illinois terminals later this evening. Based on radar timing
tools and the latest HRRR/RAP, have carried a TEMPO group for
thunder and wind gusts to 50kt at KPIA between 02z and 04z, then
further southeast to the I-72 TAF sites between 03z and 06z.
Once the line of storms drops further south, showers will linger
for a couple of hours before dry weather returns across the
board overnight through much of Thursday. The latest guidance
suggests a line of thunderstorms will develop along an advancing
cold front late Thursday, but will remain west of the terminals
until after 00z Fri.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT Thursday for ILZ027>031-036>038-
040>043-047>051.

&&

KEY MESSAGES...Deubelbeiss
UPDATE...Auten
DISCUSSION...Barnes
AVIATION...Deubelbeiss

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
210 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

ILZ027>031-036>038-040-041-111915-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-
210 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and west
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A couple waves of severe thunderstorms are possible (30-45% chance)
this afternoon into tonight. The primary threat will be damaging
winds in excess of 70 mph, though large hail and a tornado or two are
also possible. Areas of flash flooding are also a concern.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The heat index will again reach 100 degrees on Thursday.

Another round of severe thunderstorms is expected Thursday evening.
The primary risk remains with damaging winds over 70 mph, but large
hail and tornadoes are also possible. Flash flooding is also a
concern, especially wherever heavy rain falls today.

Additional thunderstorms are expected Saturday night. The severe
weather risk is uncertain at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon and evening.

Expected storm motion is toward the northeast around 35 mph.

ILZ042>057-061-111915-
Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-Morgan-
Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
210 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to move across the area
this evening. The primary risk is damaging winds in excess of 60 mph,
although large hail and a tornado or two are also possible. There is
also a risk for flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The heat index will again reach 100 degrees on Thursday.

Another round of severe thunderstorms is expected Thursday evening.
The primary risk is with damaging winds over 70 mph, though large
hail and a few tornadoes are also possible. Flash flooding is also a
concern, especially where heavy rain falls today.

Additional thunderstorms are expected Saturday night. The severe
weather risk is uncertain at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

Expected storm motion is toward the northeast around 35 mph.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-111915-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
210 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Illinois and
southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A decaying line of thunderstorms will move into the area after 9 pm.
While the severe weather risk will be decreasing, isolated damaging
wind gusts remain a concern.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

A line of severe thunderstorms is expected Thursday evening,
lingering after midnight. The primary risk is with damaging winds
over 60 mph, though large hail and a tornado or two are also
possible.

Additional thunderstorms are expected Saturday night. The severe
weather risk is uncertain at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

Deubelbeiss

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1152 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Springfield             39.80N 89.65W
06/10/2026                   Sangamon           IL   Emergency Mngr

            Trees blown down at Chatham road at Seven
            Pines, Jefferson at First St, Livingston and
            Cook st, 5th and Sangamon.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1153 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 PM     Rain             2 NW Metamora           40.81N 89.38W
06/10/2026  M3.03 Inch       Woodford           IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station AU804 1 NW Metamora.

1131 PM     Rain             2 NNW Washington        40.74N 89.42W
06/10/2026  M2.68 Inch       Tazewell           IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station EW4888 Washington.

1140 PM     Rain             1 SE West Peoria        40.69N 89.62W
06/10/2026  M2.58 Inch       Peoria             IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station AW321 PEORIA.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1200 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 PM     Rain             2 NW Metamora           40.81N 89.38W
06/10/2026  M3.06 Inch       Woodford           IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station AU804 1 NW Metamora.

1145 PM     Rain             1 SSW Germantown Hills  40.76N 89.48W
06/10/2026  M2.84 Inch       Woodford           IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station AX391 GERMANTOWN HILLS.

1141 PM     Rain             2 NNW Washington        40.74N 89.42W
06/10/2026  M2.71 Inch       Tazewell           IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station EW4888 Washington.

1150 PM     Rain             2 S Cooksville          40.51N 88.72W
06/10/2026  M2.63 Inch       McLean             IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station EW0890 Cooksville.

1149 PM     Rain             1 SE West Peoria        40.69N 89.62W
06/10/2026  M2.62 Inch       Peoria             IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station AW321 PEORIA.

1146 PM     Rain             2 ESE Bloomington       40.47N 88.96W
06/10/2026  M2.46 Inch       McLean             IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station GW0991 Bloomington.

1145 PM     Rain             1 NNE Eureka            40.73N 89.27W
06/10/2026  M2.44 Inch       Woodford           IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station CW1740 Eureka.

1145 PM     Rain             Pekin                   40.57N 89.63W
06/10/2026  M2.37 Inch       Tazewell           IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station FW0283 Pekin.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1212 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 PM     Tornado          2 S Lane                40.09N 88.86W
06/10/2026                   De Witt            IL   Public

            Tornado on the ground south of Lane.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1215 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 W Spaulding           39.87N 89.56W
06/10/2026                   Sangamon           IL   Public

            Narrow tree damage path between Riverton and
            Sherman. Strong winds went multiple
            directions.

&&

07

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1219 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1110 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 E Capital Airport     39.84N 89.64W
06/10/2026                   Sangamon           IL   Broadcast Media

            Trees and power poles and lines blown down
            at 8th street and Taintor Raod on north side
            of IL State Fairgrounds in Springfield.

&&

07