Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2026

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Lincoln, IL

March 5, 2026Lawrence County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this river flood warning at Mar 5, 2026, 10:19 AM CST for Lawrence County, Illinois. It took effect at Mar 5, 2026, 3:20 PM CST. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 5, 2026, 10:19 AM CST (16:19 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 5, 2026, 3:20 PM CST
Expired
Mar 11, 2026, 9:06 PM CDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Lincoln, IL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Lawrence County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Embarras River (IL) at Lawrenceville (LAWI2). The gauge peaked at 32.84 ft at Mar 9, 2026, 1:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate2025303503/0503/0603/0703/0803/0903/1003/1103/1203/13
Action stage
27 ft
Minor stage
30 ft
Moderate stage
37 ft
Major stage
41 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03346500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

541 
WGUS43 KILX 051619
FLWILX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1019 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

...The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.Heavy rainfall of 1 to 3 inches fell over the Embarras River basin 
over the last couple of days, and this has caused rapid rises. Minor 
flooding on the lower reaches of the basin will develop this 
afternoon, and continue into early next week.


The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-060830-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0002.260305T2120Z-260310T0113Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2120Z.260307T0600Z.260309T1912Z.NO/
1019 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...From this afternoon to Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM CST Thursday the stage was 29.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this afternoon to a crest of 33.1 feet early Saturday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Monday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.


&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (12 pm CST)    
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  29.2  Thu 9 am CST 32.5  33.1  31.7         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

Geelhart
17 follow-up statements
778 
WGUS83 KILX 060102
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
702 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-061715-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260310T0000Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260307T0600Z.260309T1800Z.NO/
702 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 30.0 feet, Minor agricultural flooding begins.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 PM CST Thursday the stage was 30.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:45 PM CST Thursday was 30.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 31.4
    feet early Saturday morning. It will then fall below flood
    stage early Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (6 pm CST)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  30.2  Thu 6 pm CST 31.3  31.2  30.7         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

37
078 
WGUS83 KILX 060939
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
339 AM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-070145-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260310T0430Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260307T0600Z.260309T2230Z.NO/
339 AM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until late Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:45 AM CST Friday the stage was 30.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:45 AM CST Friday was 30.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 31.7 feet just after
    midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage Monday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (6 am CST)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  30.8  Fri 2 am CST 31.6  31.5  30.6         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

Deubelbeiss
944 
WGUS83 KILX 061638 RRA
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1038 AM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-070845-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260310T1330Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260307T1200Z.260310T0730Z.NO/
1038 AM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM CST Friday the stage was 31.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:45 AM CST Friday was 31.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 32.6
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (12 pm CST)    
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  31.2  Fri 9 am CST 32.5  32.3  31.0         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

07
644 
WGUS83 KILX 062010
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
210 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-071615-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260310T1330Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260308T0000Z.260310T0730Z.NO/
210 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:45 PM CST Friday the stage was 31.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:45 PM CST Friday was 31.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 32.3
    feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (12 pm CST)    
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  31.3  Fri 1 pm CST 32.2  32.1  31.0         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

37
383 
WGUS83 KILX 070100
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
700 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-071700-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260310T0130Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260308T0000Z.260309T1930Z.NO/
700 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:45 PM CST Friday the stage was 31.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 5:45 PM CST Friday was 31.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 32.2
    feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (6 pm CST)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  31.5  Fri 5 pm CST 32.2  31.7  29.7         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

37
478 
WGUS83 KILX 071626
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1026 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-080830-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260310T1330Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260308T1200Z.260310T0730Z.NO/
1026 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM CST Saturday the stage was 31.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:45 AM CST Saturday was 31.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 32.9
    feet Sunday morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (12 pm CST)    
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  31.9  Sat 9 am CST 32.8  31.0  29.3         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

07
512 
WGUS83 KILX 072001
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
201 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-081215-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260310T1200Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260308T1200Z.260310T0600Z.NO/
201 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:45 PM CST Saturday the stage was 32.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:45 PM CST Saturday was 32.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 32.9
    feet Sunday morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (12 pm CST)    
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  32.0  Sat 1 pm CST 32.7  30.9  29.2         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

07
692 
WGUS83 KILX 080226
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
826 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to remain aware of the 
latest forecasts and associated flood risk for their area. Stay 
tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-081830-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260310T1424Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260308T1200Z.260310T0824Z.NO/
826 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CST Saturday the stage was 32.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CST Saturday was 32.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 32.4
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (6 pm CST)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  32.2  Sat 7 pm CST 32.3  30.7  28.5         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

ILC025-159-081830-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260313T0337Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.260305T1153Z.260307T0645Z.260312T2136Z.NO/
826 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Wabash River below Clay City.

* WHEN...Until late Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 19.7 feet, Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CST Saturday the stage was 21.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CST Saturday was 21.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Thursday afternoon and continue falling to 17.8 feet Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (6 pm CST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue          

Little Wabash River
Clay City          18.0  21.1  Sat 7 pm CST 20.8  20.4  20.0         


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846


$$

Bumgardner
501 
WGUS83 KILX 081448 RRA
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
948 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to remain aware of the 
latest forecasts and associated flood risk for their area. Stay 
tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-090700-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260310T1648Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260308T1800Z.260310T1048Z.NO/
948 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 32.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 AM CDT Sunday was 32.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 32.7
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  32.6  Sun 8 am CDT 31.7  29.9  27.7         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

07
546 
WGUS83 KILX 081941
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
241 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Persons with interests along this river need to remain aware of the 
latest forecasts and associated flood risk for their area. Stay 
tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-091200-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260312T0000Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260309T0600Z.260311T1800Z.NO/
241 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:45 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 32.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:45 PM CDT Sunday was 32.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 32.8
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage early Wednesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  32.7  Sun 1 pm CDT 32.7  31.5  30.0         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

Bumgardner
040 
WGUS83 KILX 090143
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
843 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to remain aware of the 
latest forecasts and associated flood risk for their area. Stay 
tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-091745-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260311T1536Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260309T0045Z.260311T0936Z.NO/
843 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until late Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 32.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CDT Sunday was 32.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Wednesday morning and continue falling to 20.3 feet
    Wednesday, March 18.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  32.8  Sun 7 pm CDT 32.0  30.6  29.0         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

ILC025-159-091745-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260313T0224Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.260305T1153Z.260307T0645Z.260312T2024Z.NO/
843 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Wabash River below Clay City.

* WHEN...Until late Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 19.7 feet, Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 21.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CDT Sunday was 21.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Thursday afternoon and continue falling to 14.9 feet Friday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed          

Little Wabash River
Clay City          18.0  21.2  Sun 7 pm CDT 20.7  20.1  19.4         


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846


$$

Bumgardner
557 
WGUS83 KILX 091541
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1041 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to remain aware of the 
latest forecasts and associated flood risk for their area. Stay 
tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-100745-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260314T1800Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260309T0745Z.260314T1200Z.NO/
1041 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until early Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM CDT Monday the stage was 32.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:45 AM CDT Monday was 32.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Saturday morning and continue falling to 23.6 feet Thursday,
    March 19.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  32.8  Mon 9 am CDT 31.7  30.3  30.8         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

37
353 
WGUS83 KILX 100142
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
842 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to remain aware of the 
latest forecasts and associated flood risk for their area. Stay 
tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-101745-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260314T1400Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260309T0745Z.260314T0800Z.NO/
842 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Monday the stage was 32.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CDT Monday was 32.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Saturday morning and continue falling to 22.7 feet
    Thursday, March 19.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  32.5  Mon 7 pm CDT 31.3  30.2  30.9         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

Barnes
977 
WGUS83 KILX 101436
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
936 AM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to remain aware of the 
latest forecasts and associated flood risk for their area. Stay 
tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-110645-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260312T2100Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260309T0745Z.260312T1500Z.NO/
936 AM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 33.0 feet, Kelly's Lake Lane, 1160N, is inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 31.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 AM CDT Tuesday was 32.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late Thursday morning and continue falling to 20.5 feet
    Friday, March 20.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  31.9  Tue 8 am CDT 30.5  30.1  28.7         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

Copple
950 
WGUS83 KILX 110259
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
959 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to remain aware of the 
latest forecasts and associated flood risk for their area. Stay 
tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-111900-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260313T0730Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260309T0745Z.260313T0130Z.NO/
959 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 30.0 feet, Minor agricultural flooding begins.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 30.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 PM CDT Tuesday was 32.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to hover near flood stage
    over the next 24 hours, then rise to 30.9 feet Thursday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage by Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  30.2  Tue 8 pm CDT 29.5  30.1  28.7         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

Barnes
381 
WGUS83 KILX 111530
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1030 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to remain aware of the 
latest forecasts and associated flood risk for their area. Stay 
tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&

ILC101-120730-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260313T0731Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260309T0745Z.260311T0242Z.NO/
1030 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...No flooding is currently forecast.

* WHERE...Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 27.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.5
    feet tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  27.2  Wed 9 am CDT 27.3  26.0  25.5         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

Copple
853 
WGUS83 KILX 120206
FLSILX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
906 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County.

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

ILC101-120315-
/O.CAN.KILX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-260312T0206Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.260305T2230Z.260309T0745Z.260311T0242Z.NO/
906 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Embarras River at Lawrenceville.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 27.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.9
    feet tomorrow morning, then begin falling.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location      Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Embarras River
Lawrenceville 30.0  27.9  Wed 8 pm CDT 28.1  26.3  25.2         


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

Barnes

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 5, 5:43 AM CST, 4 hours 36 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • A Dense Fog Advisory will remain in effect along and north of a Springfield to Danville line through 9am.
  • Fog will re-develop across central Illinois tonight as a warm front approaches from the south. There is a 50-80% chance that visibilities will once again drop below 1 mile.
  • After a windy and warm day with highs well into the 70s on Friday, a cold front will trigger a broken line of thunderstorms Friday night. There is a Slight Risk (15-30% chance) of severe weather...with the primary risk being damaging wind gusts.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 5, 5:43 AM CST, 4 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
543 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Dense Fog Advisory will remain in effect along and north of a
  Springfield to Danville line through 9am.

- Fog will re-develop across central Illinois tonight as a warm
  front approaches from the south. There is a 50-80% chance that
  visibilities will once again drop below 1 mile.

- After a windy and warm day with highs well into the 70s on
  Friday, a cold front will trigger a broken line of thunderstorms
  Friday night. There is a Slight Risk (15-30% chance) of severe
  weather...with the primary risk being damaging wind gusts.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday)
Issued at 354 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

A large area of rain with a few embedded thunderstorms continues
to track across the E/SE KILX CWA early this morning...with
09z/3am radar imagery showing the rain mainly along/southeast of a
Taylorville to Paris line. The showers have mixed the previously
stagnant airmass, resulting in improved visibility. As a result,
have opted to cancel the Dense Fog Advisory for this area.
Meanwhile further north where conditions have remained dry and
thus unmixed, dense fog is widespread. With only isolated showers
expected to develop over the next several hours and a clear
signal for continued low visbys on all CAMs, have extended the
advisory until 9am along/north of a Springfield to Danville line.
After that, the fog will gradually dissipate by early afternoon:
however, skies will remain overcast for the remainder of the day.
Afternoon highs will be a bit warmer than in recent days...mostly
in the upper 50s/lower 60s, but will reach the upper 60s south of
I-70.

As a vigorous short-wave trough currently over the Great Basin
slowly approaches from the west, the downstream upper flow will
become increasingly southwesterly tonight into Friday. This will
nudge the persistent frontal boundary across the Ozarks/Ohio
River Valley northward. With a very moist boundary layer in place
and light E/SE winds, think fog will re-develop this evening ahead
of the approaching front. CAMs are already suggesting the
potential for dense fog...especially north of the I-70 corridor.
The 00z Mar 5 REFS indicates a high probability (50-80% chance)
for visibilities dropping below 1 mile across nearly the entire
KILX CWA. Given the clear pattern signal and support from CAMs,
have added widespread fog to the forecast tonight. Think visbys
will be lowest north of I-70 from late evening into the first part
of the overnight before scattered showers/thunder developing
along the front mix the atmosphere and perhaps lead to some visby
improvement toward daybreak.

Forecast soundings do not look particularly favorable, but will
need to keep an eye on any cells that form along the front late
tonight into early Friday morning as elevated instability may be
strong enough to support marginally severe hail. The front and
its associated storm chances will surge north Friday morning, with
the strongest forcing pushing into Wisconsin/Michigan by midday.
To the south of the warm front, windy and much warmer weather will
be noted across central Illinois as afternoon highs soar into the
middle to upper 70s. NAM/GFS forecast soundings suggest a largely
capped airmass...with the weakest capping east of the I-57
corridor into Indiana. Since all primary forcing mechanisms will
be well to the north and west Friday afternoon, think storm
development at that time will be nil.

As has been advertised for the past couple of days, a strong cold
front will swing into the region late Friday night into Saturday
morning, bringing the potential for strong to severe convection.
An early look at the CAMs suggests a few cells may lift N/NE from
northern Missouri/southern Iowa into the Illinois River Valley by
mid to late evening: however, the main broken line of storms
associated with the cold front will not arrive until overnight.
While daytime instability will be waning at that point and the
storms may become more elevated in nature, am concerned that a
55-65kt 850mb jet streak translating northeastward across the area
will add enough wind energy to the profile to support severe wind
gusts to the surface even with weak convection. The latest SPC
outlook continues to highlight locations along/west of I-57 for a
Slight Risk (15-30% chance) of severe, and think this looks quite
reasonable.

Barnes

.LONG TERM... (Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 354 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

The cold front will work its way across central Illinois Saturday
morning, followed by a return to dry and slightly cooler weather
for Saturday afternoon and Sunday. After chilly morning lows in
the 30s, the dry Pacific-origin airmass will heat sufficiently
to produce Sunday afternoon highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s.
After that, warmer conditions will return early next week thanks
to southwesterly flow. Highs will climb back into the 70s on
Monday and Tuesday...and rain chances will return as well. While
there are still some timing discrepancies among the synoptic
models at that range, consensus points to Monday night through
Wednesday morning as the wettest period as another storm system
traverses the region.

Barnes

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Friday Morning)
Issued at 543 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

IFR ceilings/visbys will persist at the central Illinois terminals
through midday. 1/4 to 1/2 mile fog will continue through 15z
before gradually improving and becoming unrestricted by 18z/19z.
While the fog will eventually clear, the low clouds will not.
Forecast soundings suggest ceilings may rise to MVFR late this
afternoon into early evening before once again lowering to IFR
after dark. Given ample low-level moisture and only light E/SE
winds developing ahead of a slowly approaching warm front, fog
will re-develop tonight. CAMs vary on the exact timing and how low
visbys will become, but the synoptic pattern suggests another
foggy night. Have lowered all sites to 1 mile after 05z/06z
accordingly, but these may need to be adjusted down if trends
persist.

Barnes

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for ILZ027>031-
036>038-040>051-053.

Flood Watch until 9 AM CST this morning for ILZ062-063-066>068-
071>073.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 5, 5:10 AM CST, 5 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
510 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>051-053-061115-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-
Morgan-Sangamon-Macon-
510 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Areas of dense fog this morning will reduce visibility to a quarter
mile or less through mid morning. Fog may redevelop across the area
tonight.

A warm front lifting across the region late tonight will bring
scattered thunderstorms to portions of central Illinois.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A cold front will move across central Illinois Friday night into
Saturday morning bringing another round of showers and thunderstorms
to central Illinois. Some storms could be severe with damaging winds
the primary hazard, but large hail and an isolated tornado cannot be
ruled out.

Additional thunderstorm chances are expected Tuesday, though the
severe weather risk is uncertain at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

ILZ052-054>057-061-061115-
Christian-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
510 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and east
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Patchy fog may reduce visibility to under a mile at times this
morning.

A warm front lifting across the region late tonight will bring
scattered thunderstorms to portions of central Illinois.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A cold front will move across central Illinois Friday night into
Saturday morning bringing another round of showers and thunderstorms
to central Illinois. Some storms could be severe with damaging winds
the primary hazard, but large hail and an isolated tornado cannot be
ruled out.

Additional thunderstorm chances are expected Tuesday, though the
severe weather risk is uncertain at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-061115-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
510 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Illinois and
southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Periods of rain and a few embedded storms will continue across
portions of southeastern Illinois this morning. Locally heavy rain
may result in ponding of water in low lying areas.

Portions of the Little Wabash River near Clay City will rise to minor
flood stage this morning.

A warm front lifting across the region late tonight will bring
scattered thunderstorms to portions of central Illinois.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A cold front will move across central Illinois Friday night into
Saturday morning bringing another round of showers and thunderstorms
to central Illinois. Some storms could be severe with damaging winds
the primary hazard, but large hail cannot be ruled out.

Additional thunderstorm chances are expected Tuesday, though the
severe weather risk is uncertain at this time.

Minor flooding is expected to continue on the Little Wabash River
near Clay City into next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

Deubelbeiss

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 5, 7:56 AM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
756 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 AM     Rain             1 NNE Flora             38.68N 88.48W
03/05/2026  M2.00 Inch       Clay               IL   CO-OP Observer

            CO-OP Observer station FORI2 Flora. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0740 AM     Rain             2 SSE Clay City         38.66N 88.33W
03/05/2026  M1.85 Inch       Clay               IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station AX448 CLAY CITY. The period
            of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0600 AM     Rain             6 SSE Clay City         38.61N 88.31W
03/05/2026  M1.80 Inch       Clay               IL   CO-OP Observer

            CO-OP Observer station CLYI2 Clay City 6
            SSE. The period of the Rain event was 24
            hours.

0653 AM     Rain             Lawrenceville Airport   38.76N 87.60W
03/05/2026  M1.80 Inch       Lawrence           IL   ASOS

            ASOS station KLWV Lawrenceville AP. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0730 AM     Rain             1 SW Olney Noble Airpor 38.72N 88.18W
03/05/2026  M1.75 Inch       Richland           IL   AWOS

            AWOS station KOLY Olney Noble AP. The period
            of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             Watson                  39.03N 88.57W
03/05/2026  M1.69 Inch       Effingham          IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-EF-10 Watson. The period
            of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             1 ENE Shelbyville       39.41N 88.80W
03/05/2026  M1.48 Inch       Shelby             IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-SH-1 Shelbyville 0.5 NE.
            The period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             Yale                    39.12N 88.03W
03/05/2026  M1.48 Inch       Jasper             IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-JS-5 Yale 0.1 SSW. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0730 AM     Rain             1 SSE Newton            38.98N 88.16W
03/05/2026  M1.42 Inch       Jasper             IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station EW0638 Newton. The period of
            the Rain event was 24 hours.

0733 AM     Rain             Shelbyville             39.41N 88.81W
03/05/2026  M1.40 Inch       Shelby             IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station AT671 Shelbyville. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0600 AM     Rain             1 SSW Pana              39.37N 89.09W
03/05/2026  M1.37 Inch       Christian          IL   CO-OP Observer

            CO-OP Observer station PNAI2 Pana. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0630 AM     Rain             1 N Windsor             39.45N 88.60W
03/05/2026  M1.34 Inch       Shelby             IL   CO-OP Observer

            CO-OP Observer station WISI2 Windsor. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             Morrisonville           39.41N 89.45W
03/05/2026  M1.33 Inch       Christian          IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-CN-13 Morrisonville 0.5
            SSE. The period of the Rain event was 24
            hours.

0700 AM     Rain             Hutsonville             39.11N 87.67W
03/05/2026  M1.32 Inch       Crawford           IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-CW-3 Hutsonville. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0740 AM     Rain             3 W Findlay             39.52N 88.81W
03/05/2026  M1.28 Inch       Shelby             IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station 8451D 2 W Findlay. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             1 E Paris               39.62N 87.67W
03/05/2026  M1.27 Inch       Edgar              IL   CO-OP Observer

            CO-OP Observer station PWWI2 Paris. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             1 NNW Effingham         39.13N 88.55W
03/05/2026  M1.27 Inch       Effingham          IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-EF-37 Effingham 1.0 NNE.
            The period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0735 AM     Rain             Edgar County Airport    39.70N 87.67W
03/05/2026  M1.24 Inch       Edgar              IL   AWOS

            AWOS station KPRG Edgar Co. Arpt. The period
            of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             3 WSW Vermilion Regiona 40.18N 87.65W
03/05/2026  M1.22 Inch       Vermilion          IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-VR-38 Danville 3.1 NNW.
            The period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0730 AM     Rain             1 SW Newton             38.98N 88.17W
03/05/2026  M1.21 Inch       Jasper             IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station EW2373 Newton. The period of
            the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             2 SE Collison           40.21N 87.78W
03/05/2026  M1.18 Inch       Vermilion          IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-VR-46 Collison 1.9 SE.
            The period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0530 AM     Rain             4 W Vermilion Regional  40.19N 87.67W
03/05/2026  M1.16 Inch       Vermilion          IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-VR-33 Danville 4.2 NW.
            The period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0730 AM     Rain             3 SW Dundas             38.80N 88.12W
03/05/2026  M1.15 Inch       Richland           IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station FW1422 Olney. The period of
            the Rain event was 24 hours.

0740 AM     Rain             3 NNE Villa Grove       39.91N 88.14W
03/05/2026  M1.14 Inch       Champaign          IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station 8414D 3 NNE Villa Grove. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             1 SSE Philo             40.00N 88.15W
03/05/2026  M1.08 Inch       Champaign          IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-CP-166 Philo. The period
            of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0626 AM     Rain             3 SSE Shumway           39.15N 88.62W
03/05/2026  M1.05 Inch       Effingham          IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-EF-32 Effingham 4.2 WNW.
            The period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             1 WSW Tuscola           39.79N 88.29W
03/05/2026  M1.05 Inch       Douglas            IL   CO-OP Observer

            CO-OP Observer station TUSI2 Tuscola. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0647 AM     Rain             4 WSW Hammond           39.77N 88.65W
03/05/2026  M1.02 Inch       Moultrie           IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-MU-8 Lovington 4.1 NNW.
            The period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             2 W Mattoon             39.48N 88.41W
03/05/2026  M1.02 Inch       Coles              IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-CE-17 Mattoon 2.1 W. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0738 AM     Rain             Morrisonville           39.41N 89.45W
03/05/2026  M1.02 Inch       Christian          IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station GW3839 Morrisonville. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0730 AM     Rain             2 SW Chesterville       39.69N 88.42W
03/05/2026  M1.00 Inch       Douglas            IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station FW5656 Arcola. The period of
            the Rain event was 24 hours.

0730 AM     Rain             2 NNE Effingham         39.15N 88.53W
03/05/2026  M1.00 Inch       Effingham          IL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station DW5254 Baraboo. The period
            of the Rain event was 24 hours.

&&

Geelhart
Special weather statement, Mar 5, 9:03 AM CST, 1 hour 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
903 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>045-047>053-051800-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Cass-Menard-Scott-Morgan-
Sangamon-Christian-Macon-
Including the cities of Galesburg, Toulon, Peoria, Lacon, Eureka,
Canton, Pekin, Bloomington, Normal, Rushville, Havana, Lincoln,
Clinton, Monticello, Champaign, Urbana, Beardstown, Petersburg,
Winchester, Jacksonville, Springfield, Taylorville, and Decatur
903 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

...AREAS OF FOG WILL AFFECT TRAVEL OVER OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IL
UNTIL NOON...

Areas of fog will linger through noon, with locally dense fog during
the next hour or two from I-55 northwest where the visibility may be
near a quarter mile at times. The fog could lead to potentially
hazardous travel conditions, so be sure to slow down if you
encounter dense fog. Use low beam headlights if driving, and leave
plenty of distance between you and the vehicle ahead.

07
Local storm report, Mar 5, 9:38 AM CST, 41 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
938 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     Rain             2 W Robinson            39.01N 87.78W
03/05/2026  M1.78 Inch       Crawford           IL   CO-OP Observer

            CO-OP Observer station RBSI2 2.0 W Robinson.
            The period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0600 AM     Rain             2 S Olney               38.70N 88.08W
03/05/2026  M1.55 Inch       Richland           IL   CO-OP Observer

            CO-OP Observer station OLYI2 Olney 2 S. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             1 WSW Lawrenceville     38.72N 87.71W
03/05/2026  M1.47 Inch       Lawrence           IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-LW-3 1 W Lawrenceville.
            The period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0730 AM     Rain             3 SE Teutopolis         39.10N 88.43W
03/05/2026  M1.29 Inch       Effingham          IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-EF-9 Teutopolis 3.4 SE.
            The period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             1 SE Bement             39.91N 88.56W
03/05/2026  M1.09 Inch       Piatt              IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-PT-26 Bement 1.5 SE. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

0700 AM     Rain             Champaign               40.12N 88.27W
03/05/2026  M1.05 Inch       Champaign          IL   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station IL-CP-103 Champaign. The
            period of the Rain event was 24 hours.

&&

Geelhart

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 4, 7:09 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryILXCass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles and 29 more14 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2026Every river flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.