Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Wilmington, NC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
229 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
All sections updated with little change in forecast thinking.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
-1)Strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1...Strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon
and evening.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
The slight risk has been expanded and
now includes most of the area save for marginal for  northernmost
zones. Vorticity-laden NW flow continues with MLCAPE generally
around 2000 J/Kg. Confidence is shaky regarding exact location based
upon spread in CAMS, though the nearest term threat appears to be
the cluster of storms diving SE out of RAH's CWA, though they so far
have been only SPS-worthy though a small uptick in shear could
change that and a few SVR's may be needed.  Guidance is clinging to
rain chances over southernmost zones, which are closer to
yesterday's frontal boundary but would not be surprised to see
these lowered somewhat as instability wanes to zero.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR outside of thunderstorms today, which will shortly affect
LBT. Confidence in later storms is a bit less certain, though
CAMs slightly favoring the Cape Fear Region this evening. Dry
air pushes into NC tonight while models continue to show showers
and possible restrictions overnight but with the loss of
instability confidence is low and so forecast will remain mostly
dry. Wet weather returns over SC with heating tomorrow so
PROB30'd the Myrtles, FLO may have to be re-evaluated.

Extended Outlook...Mostly VFR conditions as drier high pressure
builds in from the north.

&&

.MARINE...
Post-frontal NE flow in place across the area. Tomorrow into
tomorrow night high pressure will start pushing the front farther to
the south and winds and seas build. The surge that results was
previously though to lead to SCA conditions but guidance has backed
off slightly on what was marginal in the first place and so have
held off for now. A few 25kt gusts still seem possible. The
high will be slow to progress keeping onshore flow into Tuesday
while speeds abate and some swell energy materializes.
Southwesterly flo late in the period increases with the approach
of another cold front but no headlines are anticipated. &&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

WHAT HAS CHANGED...MBB
KEY MESSAGES...RJB/MBB
DISCUSSION...MBB
AVIATION...MBB
MARINE...MBB

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
259 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

NCZ087-061945-
Robeson NC-
259 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT ROBESON COUNTY THROUGH 345 PM
EDT...

At 259 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Prospect, or near Red Springs, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Lumberton, Red Springs, Pembroke, Fairmont, Maxton, St. Pauls, Rex,
Raemon, Hestertown, Shannon, Buie, Robeson Community College,
Wakulla, Barker Ten Mile, Purvis, Prospect, Elrod, Parkton, Rennert,
and Proctorville.

This includes Interstate 95 in North Carolina between mile markers 6
and 38.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3490 7894 3488 7892 3486 7893 3483 7890
      3479 7888 3447 7904 3464 7945 3477 7933
      3482 7936 3484 7935 3483 7919 3495 7903
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 301DEG 19KT 3474 7920

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SCALORA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
325 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

SCZ023-032-062000-
Florence SC-Darlington SC-
325 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN FLORENCE AND SOUTH
CENTRAL DARLINGTON COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM EDT...

At 325 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Florence, moving south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Florence, Timmonsville, Lamar, Sardis, Effingham, Cartersville, New
Hope, Carolinas Hospital System, Mcleod Regional Medical Center,
Carolinas Hospital System - Cedar Tower, and Health South
Rehabilitation Hospital.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 20 between mile markers 126 and 141.
 Interstate 95 in South Carolina between mile markers 146 and 162.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3420 8011 3423 8011 3425 8013 3421 7974
      3399 7971 3400 7990 3401 7991 3402 7996
      3404 7999 3408 8003 3409 8008 3413 8013
      3416 8016
TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 005DEG 9KT 3411 7984

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SCALORA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
330 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

NCZ087-096-099-062015-
Robeson NC-Columbus NC-Bladen NC-
330 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EASTERN ROBESON...BLADEN AND
NORTHWESTERN COLUMBUS COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM EDT...

At 329 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Howellsville, or near Lumberton, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lumberton, Whiteville, Elizabethtown, Fairmont, St. Pauls, Chadbourn,
Bladenboro, Fair Bluff, Boardman, Bladen Community College, Ammon,
Butters, Hestertown, Southeastern Community College, Robeson
Community College, Williams, White Oak, Smiths, Howellsville, and
Abbottsburg.

This includes Interstate 95 in North Carolina between mile markers 9
and 31.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3486 7893 3484 7890 3485 7880 3485 7852
      3486 7850 3484 7849 3481 7845 3477 7843
      3475 7839 3473 7839 3472 7838 3416 7874
      3434 7912 3446 7926 3489 7893
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 295DEG 25KT 3466 7892

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SCALORA