Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Wilmington, NC

503 
WGUS72 KILM 140422
FFSILM

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1222 AM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026

NCC155-SCC031-033-069-140432-
/O.EXP.KILM.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260714T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Robeson NC-Darlington SC-Dillon SC-Marlboro SC-
1222 AM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1230 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING
FOR WEST CENTRAL ROBESON, NORTHEASTERN DARLINGTON, NORTH CENTRAL
DILLON AND CENTRAL MARLBORO COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3446 7987 3450 7987 3453 7984 3453 7983
      3461 7980 3461 7979 3461 7978 3464 7980
      3465 7980 3468 7986 3473 7988 3472 7957
      3463 7946 3471 7939 3471 7919 3459 7919

$$

MAS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
852 PM EDT Mon Jul 13 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Moderate rip risk in effect for Pender and New Hanover County
Beaches Tuesday.

Aviation discussion updated with the 00Z Tafs Issuance.

Today's severe weather threat has been moved well to our south.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
-1)Minor drought releif today and tomorrow.

-2)Rain chances decrease and the heat returns thereafter.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Minor drought relief today and tomorrow.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
Weakly cyclonic mid level flow to our west will enhance shower
and storm coverage this afternoon as well as Tuesday's. In
addition to the mid level forcing there are also outflow and
differential heating boundaries across the area making timing
and favored locations tricky.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Rain chances decrease by late Tue and the heat
slowly returns thereafter and into next weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
From Wednesday through Friday mid level ridge pokes back into
the area from the NW. This will lead to a warmup but not like
last week where the ridge and max heat was closer to being
overhead. At this point it looks like we will get back into the
Heat Advisory realm rather than Excessive Heat Warning criteria.
Unfortunately the capping effect of the ridging will keep rain
chances to minimal/none. KEY MESSAGE 3...

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Outflow boundary interaction will help keep convection going
thru generally midnight given the moisture laden atm with
PWs around 2.25 inches. Will cary Tempo and Prob30 groups to
identify. Latest GFSLamp guidance indicates another overnight
into daytime Tue morning hrs with MVFR/IFR stratus, with the
best and consistent coverage across LBT/FLO and to a lesser
degree at the coastal terminals, not to say that they won't
expereince any. Convective activity to increase again by midday
Tue and persist well into the evening hrs, with Prob30 groups
identified. Later updates may need to change to Tempo groups or
possibly go prevailing. Main emphasis with this convection will
be the slow movement and backfiring leading to training and
more copious amounts of rainfall. Winds generally ESE becoming
NE AOB 5 kt tonight and NE becoming E 5 to 10 kt during Tue.

Extended Forecast...Showers and thunderstorms remain a concern
for periodic flight restrictions Tue evening. High pressure
will slowly build into the region by midweek with predominantly
VFR conditions Wed through Sat.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight through Saturday... Rather unusual warm season onshore flow
in the near term with a frontal boundary stalled south of the area.
Wind speeds will be light and so the wind waves diminutive but
there is a rather long easterly fetch into the region for a swell
component. Changes take shape gradually late Wednesday as a Piedmont
Trough develops and becomes the main wind-maker leading to a more
typical SW flow locally. Seas won't really build much but the swell
should wane as the long easterly fetch gets interrupted.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for NCZ106-
     108-110.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for NCZ107.
SC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for SCZ054-
     056.
MARINE...None.

&&

WHAT HAS CHANGED...DCH/MBB
KEY MESSAGES...MBB
DISCUSSION...DCH
AVIATION...DCH
MARINE...MBB