Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Wichita, KS

550 
WWUS83 KICT 130934
RFWICT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wichita KS
434 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

.Southwest winds may gust over 30 mph at times as relative
humidity falls into the teens behind a dryline this afternoon.

KSZ032-033-047-048-050-067-082-091-140045-
/O.CON.KICT.FW.W.0008.260413T1700Z-260414T0200Z/
/O.CON.KICT.FW.A.0007.260414T1700Z-260415T0200Z/
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Rice-Reno-Kingman-Harper-
434 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR AREAS WEST OF
I-135... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE 
DANGER FOR AREAS WEST OF I-135...

* Extreme Grassland Fire Danger...

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts around 40 mph possible.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 14 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will spread quickly and be 
  difficult to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

A fire weather watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
red flag warnings.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

&&

$$

488 
WWUS83 KICT 132123
RFWICT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wichita KS
423 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

KSZ032-033-047-048-050-067-082-091-150200-
/O.UPG.KICT.FW.A.0007.260414T1700Z-260415T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KICT.FW.W.0009.260414T1700Z-260415T0200Z/
/O.CON.KICT.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260414T0200Z/
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Rice-Reno-Kingman-Harper-
423 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR AREAS WEST OF I-135...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR
EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR AREAS WEST OF I-135...

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a Red Flag
Warning for extreme grassland fire danger, which is in effect
from noon to 9 PM CDT Tuesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no
longer in effect.

* Extreme Grassland Fire Danger...Will persist into this evening
  west of I-135, with extreme grassland fire danger expected 
  again Tuesday afternoon and evening west of I-135.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph at times.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent today, and as low as 15
  to 20 percent Tuesday.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will spread quickly and be 
  difficult to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures
can contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

&&

$$

656 
WWUS83 KICT 140152
RFWICT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wichita KS
852 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

KSZ032-033-047-048-050-067-082-091-141700-
/O.EXP.KICT.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-260414T0200Z/
/O.CON.KICT.FW.W.0009.260414T1700Z-260415T0200Z/
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Rice-Reno-Kingman-Harper-
852 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR AREAS WEST OF I-135...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT
TUESDAY FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR AREAS WEST OF
I-135...

* Extreme Grassland Fire Danger...Will persist into this evening 
  west of I-135, with extreme grassland fire danger expected 
  again Tuesday afternoon and evening west of I-135.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will spread quickly and be 
  difficult to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures
can contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this fire weather product.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1240 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and thunderstorms will linger over southeast Kansas this
  morning. Severe weather is not expected.

- A severe thunderstorm or two may be possible late this
  afternoon into the early evening hours and again on Monday
  late afternoon into the evening hours with an isolated storm
  along the dryline.

- Better chances for severe thunderstorms and associated severe
  may arrive on Tuesday, possibly lingering into Wednesday.

- Additional thunderstorm chances possible next Friday-
  Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Ongoing showers and thunderstorms developing over central and
northern OK will lift into parts of south central and much of
southeast Kansas late tonight while lingering over southeast Kansas
through the mid/late morning hours. This activity was associated
with a subtle shortwave trough lifting out of the Southern Plains.
Some subtle afternoon height rises/subsidence in the wake of this
trough will likely preclude deep moist convection this afternoon for
much of the area. There is a nonzero chance for a rogue storm or two
to develop along the dryline late this afternoon/early evening as
the low level winds back toward 00Z and the airmass is progged to
remain only weakly capped. Steep mid-lvl lapse rates/ML CAPE over
1500 J/KG and veering winds with height/deep layer shear around
35 knots would support some storm organization with large
hail/damaging winds assuming a storm can develop.

The dryline is progged to mix further eastward as we move into Monday
with deep vertical mixing/strong winds impacting locations in the
wake of the dryline. Deep vertical mixing will result in very dry
conditions and gusty winds with extreme fire danger anticipated for
parts of central and western Kansas. Once again, we could see an
isolated afternoon/evening storm or two develop along the
dryline late Monday as the cap weakens. If an isolated storm can
develop, steep mid-level lapse rates/MLCAPE over 2000 J/KG and
deep layer shear around 50 knots will support supercells with
all modes of severe weather possible. The window of opportunity
appears to be relatively brief along the Turnpike corridor
before the cap returns during the evening hours.

Tuesday...a mid/upper trough is progged to emerge from the Southern
Rockies late in the period. Very strong winds are progged through
the column with 0-6km bulk shear progged around 60-70 kt. Given the
magnitude of large-scale forcing for ascent, an earlier initiation
seems possible as the cap weakens around midday or possibly even
sooner. Early convection could impact the magnitude of severe
weather as we move into the afternoon hours. However, if the cap can
hold a bit longer, then we could be looking at more supercell storms
with all modes of severe weather during the afternoon/evening hours.

The threat for severe weather may begin to move east of the forecast
area as we move into Wed but there is still some uncertainty in the
progression of the mid/upper trough and some pops were maintained in
southeast KS to account for that uncertainty. Seasonably mild air is
expected in the wake of the system with highs mostly in the 70s on
Wed.

Breezy southerly winds and above normal temperatures will return to
the area on Thursday as a mid/upper ridge translates eastward across
the central CONUS. Meanwhile, the next vigorous mid/upper trough is
progged to build into the Central Great Basin area. This mid/upper
trough will move eastward into the Central and Northern Rockies on
Friday. Another round of severe storms appears possible with
activity along an advancing cold front, as well as storms developing
along a dryline. The warm sector is progged to be moist and unstable
while deep layer shear around 50 knots returns. This will bring the
potential for organized storms and severe weather once again late
Friday and Friday night.

A stable post-frontal regime will overspread the area on Saturday as
sfc high pressure settles over the area. Radiational cooling early on
Sunday could result in some frost as temperatures fall into the mid
and upper 30s. Seasonable temperatures will return in the wake of
the cold front with highs on Sunday in the mid 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Low clouds and rain showers will gradually shift east of
southeast Kansas this afternoon. Meanwhile gusty south winds and
VFR conditions will prevail across the region for this afternoon
across central/south central Kansas with clearing skies. Low
level wind shear will develop over central/south central Kansas
by late evening and persist through the night time hours. Low
clouds will redevelop over southeast Kansas overnight as richer
low level moisture streams northward.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Extreme grassland fire danger is expected on Monday and possibly
again on Tuesday afternoon along and west of a dryline where
afternoon relative humidity may fall into the teens. Deep vertical
mixing will also bring the potential gusty southwest winds. The area
of concern will be mainly west of Highway 14 or along and west of a
line from Lincoln to Ellsworth to Kingman to Harper. Otherwise,
spring green-up and higher humidity values should keep grassfire
danger in check for most areas, especially areas southeast of the
Kansas Turnpike.

Breezy southerly winds will return on Thursday and Friday resulting
in a very high grassland fire danger for Russell and Barton counties
in central Kansas.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday
evening for KSZ032-033-047-048-050-067-082-091.

&&

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...CDJ
FIRE WEATHER...MWM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
128 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-131830-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
128 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

An isolated thunderstorm or two can't be ruled out late this
afternoon and evening, mainly west of Interstate 135. If a storm is
able to develop, severe weather is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Similar to Sunday, an isolated thunderstorm or two can't be ruled
out late Monday afternoon and evening. If a storm is able to
develop, severe weather is possible.

Scattered thunderstorms are possible Tuesday afternoon and evening,
and possibly again Wednesday afternoon and evening over southeast
Kansas. Strong to severe thunderstorms capable of all severe
hazards are possible both days. Stay tuned as we refine forecast
details in the coming days.

Another storm system will arrive on Friday bringing the potential
for another rounds of severe storms.

Extreme grassland fire danger is possible west of a line from
Lincoln to Lyons to Harper on Monday and Tuesday during the
afternoon hours, due to very low humidity and gusty southwest winds
behind a dryline.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated this afternoon or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wichita KS
934 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     Rain             Penalosa                37.72N 98.32W
04/12/2026  M3.25 Inch       Kingman            KS   Cocorahs

            24 hour total.

&&

ADK

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wichita KS
935 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     Rain             1 SW Haven              37.89N 97.79W
04/12/2026  M2.02 Inch       Reno               KS   Cocorahs

            24 hour total.

&&

ADK